For the third year in a row we're changing our focus from flesh to formulas.
After going against pickers and staff from the Dayton Daily and ThisWeek News during
the regular season we're back to challenge Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50 in
For the second straight week...the Fan50 and I tied! We both went 39-9 (81%) in regional semfinals after going 72-24 (75%) in the regional semifinals. Weird.
Click here to see who the Fantastic 50 says will win in Week 13.
Here's my human vote…
4 Mentor (11-1) vs. 2 Cleveland St. Ignatius (11-1) at Parma Byers Field: ST. IGNATIUS...Barely. The Cardinals played the Wildcats nearly even in the second half of their Week 3 game and are riding a ton of momentum thanks to last week's historic win over St. Edward. St. Ignatius is still the D-I favorite.
1 Massillon Washington (11-1) vs. 2 Toledo Whitmer (12-0) at Mansfield Arlin Field: WHITMER...Despite undergoing a coaching change and losing several key pieces form back-to-back regional title teams, Whitmer finds itself back in the Elite Eight and looking for a third straight state semi berth. Massillon has had an incredible seaosn that includes two wins over Canton McKinley.
4 Pickerington North (11-1) vs. 7 Hilliard Davidson (10-2) at Ohio Wesleyan University Selby Stadium: PICKERINGTON NORTH...The Panthers are primed to ensure Pickerington a second straight berth in the State Semis. Last year Pick Cetnral won Region 3. Pick North would love to follow suit. In thier way? Two-time state champion Hilliard Davidson. What a game.
Cincinnati Colerain (12-0) vs. 3 Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller (9-3) at
University of Cincinnati Nippert Stadium, 7:30 p.m.: COLERAIN...The Cardinals have had a remarkable ride with a couple close calls and big wins in the final seconds. Moeller is playing like the team we had ranked No. 1 in the preseason National Guard JJHuddle Power Poll. This was the match-up we predicted in the JJHuddle Football Preview Magazine released in July.
4 Chardon (10-2) vs. 3 Aurora (11-1) at Twinsburg Tiger Stadium: AURORA...Chardon has won as many games this year (10) as it did from 2009-11, but getting past Aurora here is a steep task. The Greenmen are looking for thier second straight regional title and should get it.
4 Avon (11-1) vs. 2 Toledo Central Catholic (11-1) at Clyde Robert Bishop Jr. Stadium: TCC...D-II state title TCC's to lose? Many think so. Avon is somewhat of a surprise if you can call a team that's won 11 straight that. The question mark for Avon is how much and whether or not senior RB Ross Douglas (Michigan commit) plays after getting injured last week and leaving the game.
4 New Albany (10-2) vs. 3 Columbus Marion-Franklin (11-1) at Gahanna Lincoln Stadium: NEW ALBANY...This game features two teams that were ranked in the final National Guard JJHuddle Power Poll and not in the final AP Poll. Hmm. Tough one to call and NA is coming off an emotional win after finally getting by Tri-Valley in the postseason. Senior QB Corry Benson takes M-F to another level.
1 Cincinnati Turpin (12-0) vs. 6 Trotwood-Madison (10-2) at Kings Stadium: TROTWOOD-MADISON...The Rams started off shaky (1-2) and had to win in Week 10 just to ensure a shot at defending their D-II state title, but they did it. Last week Trotwood survived a huge test from Winton Woods by rallying from a 20-7 fourth quarter deficit to win in OT. Turpin's played some good teams, but none have had the quickness and defense Trotwood will offer. Can the Rams win another state title with a freshman QB?
1 Chagrin Falls (11-1) vs. 6 Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary (10-2) at Solon Stewart Field: CHAGRIN FALLS...Chagrin Falls is going for its fourth straight regional title. Standing
in its way is Akron SVSM and a rematch of last year’s Region 9 final
that CF won 30-12. Since a Week 5 loss to Kenston, CF is averaging 47
points per game. Akron SVSM has scored 103 points in two playoff games.
1 Napoleon (11-0-1) vs. 2 Bellevue (11-1) at Findlay Donnell Stadium: NAPOLEON...I haven't been on the Napoleon bandwagon until now and I hope that doesn't derail it. I think Bryan is a better football team than most people think and Napoleon edged the Golden Bears 21-20. Bellevue rallied to beat Perkins and has one of the state's top QBs in Jalen Santoro. Gonna be a good one.
4 Dover (10-2) vs. 2 Millersburg West Holmes (11-1) at Canton Fawcett Stadium: WEST HOLMES...Run vs pass with plenty of passion. Have to admit, the JJHuddle forums have been buzzing this week about this game. We've even had to throw some water on a couple fires. What's apparent is people care about this contest. And they should. Dover is in its sixth regional final in seven years and fifth in a row, but the Tornadoes are 0-5 in the previous five finals. West Holmes is in the playoffs for the first time since 2000.
1 Dayton Thurgood Marshall (11-1) vs. 3 The Plains Athens (11-1) at Reynoldsburg Raider Stadium: THURGOOD MARHSALL...Despite going 10-1 and earning the school’s second playoff berth ever
(and first since 1990) last year, Athens entered the season
lacking respect. Now it's earned some – and the school’s first two
playoff wins. After beating Circleville in the Region 12 quarterfinals,
the Bulldogs rallied to beat last year’s D-III state runner-up
Springfield Shawnee 36-35 in the semis. Athens trailed 35-22 in the
fourth quarter. This week Athens faces a formidable task in No. 1 ranked Thurgood Marshall. Athens lone loss this year was a 52-34
setback to Gallia Academy in Week 1. Last week Marshall beat Gallia
69-9. The Cougars had four RBs go over 100 yards.
1 Brookfield (12-0) vs. 2 Creston Norwayne (12-0) at Stow Ron Marhofer Auto Family Field: NORWAYNE...The Bobcats face a team that looks an awful lot like they did last year at this point - and undefeated team fighting for respect. Plenty of star power in this game with Norwayne senior RB Jon Zimmerly and Brookfield senior QB Jeremy Quinlan.
1 Columbus Bishop Hartley (12-0) vs. 2 Ottawa-Glandorf (12-0) at Piqua Alexander Stadium-Park Field: HARTLEY...Hartley has been No. 1 in the state all season and is rightfully seen as
the state’s favorite for a D-IV state title. The Hawks average margin
of victory this season is 38 points per game.
O-G is the Western Buckeye League champion and the best team Hartley
has faced to date. Since a one-point win over Elida in Week 7, the
Titans are averaging 53 points per game.
1 St. Clairsville (12-0) vs. 3 Johnstown-Monroe (10-2) at Zanesville Sulsberger Stadium: ST. CLAIRSVILLE...The Red Devils have been regarded as Southeast/Eastern Ohio's top D-IV team all season and are one game from finally proving it. St. C has a ton of offensive talent and will need it against a Johnnies squad looking for its second straight regional title.
1 Clarksville Clinton-Massie (12-0) vs. 7 West Milton Milton-Union (10-2) at Centerville Stadium: CLINTON-MASSIE...After Milton was beaten
28-27 by Dixie in Week 8, things looked a little bleak. Now they’ve
never looked better. The Bulldogs could be the surprise of the
postseason regardless of division. M-U has scored 97 points in lopsided
wins over Westfall (46-14) and Norwood (51-8). Things get tougher this
week with Clinton-Massie. The Falcons are looking for their second straight regional title and are powered by a record-setting scoring offense of their own. Massie has scored 696 points this season and needs just 35 to set a new state single-season record.
1 Kirtland (12-0) vs. 7 Youngstown Ursuline (8-4) at Aurora Veterans Stadium: KIRTLAND...Coin toss. Winner of this faces Coldwater in state final.
4 Findlay Liberty-Benton (11-1) vs. 7 Hamler Patrick Henry (10-2) at Lima Stadium: PATRICK HENRY...This is the fifth time in 10 years these two teams have met in the playoffs and the first since the 2008 regional final that Liberty-Benton - led by then-QB Aaron Craft - won 28-0. PH holds the series edge 3-1. Nine of the last 10 Region 18 finals have included at least one of these schools. It's the third time its included both.
1 Lucasville Valley (12-0) vs. 6 Baltimore Liberty Union (10-2) at Nelsonville-York Boston Field: LUCASVILLE VALLEY...LU finished 8-2 twice in the last three years but that wasn’t
good enough to get them into the postseason. This year it was. The Lions
started 3-2 but since then have rattled off seven straight wins. LU is in the regional final for the first time since 2008 (when it beat Ready). Valley is making its second straight regional final appearance. The Indians lost to Wynford 54-48 in OT last year.
1 Coldwater (12-0) vs. 3 Covington (12-0) at Dayton Welcome Stadium: COLDWATER...This is an intriguing game where it could be argued the best team in one program's history is facing the best team in another's. Coldwater is trying to make its fourth straight D-V state final and send a senior class that will has a chance to play in 60 games out with a state championship. Covington - which has scored 650 points this season (ranks No. 8 all-time) - wants to beat Coldwater and a MAC team.
1 Mogadore (12-0) vs. 6 Youngstown Christian (9-2) at Ravenna Gilcrest Field: MOGADORE...A year after making its first playoff appearance, Youngstown Christian has now advanced to its first regional final.
The Eagles beat only one team with a winning record in the regular
season but have doubled that with wins over two (Warren JFK and Malvern)
in the playoffs. Mogadore and senior RB Gary Strain
1 McComb (12-0) vs. 6 Delphos St. John’s (8-4) at Findlay Donnell Stadium: DELPHOS ST. JOHN'S...McComb advanced to its second regional final
in three years with a 42-0 win over Tiffin Calvert in Region 22. The
Panthers opponent? Delphos St. John’s – the same team that knocked them
out in Week 13 two years ago (56-20). McComb held Calvert to 110 total
yards and racked up 505 of its own. Senior RB Jerry Brown led the way
with 243 yards and a TD on 22 carries. Delphos St. John’s trailed
Fremont St. Joseph 21-7 before scoring 47 unanswered points en route to a
54-21 win. Junior RB Tyler Jettinghoff ran for 255 yards and two TDs on
21 carries for DSJ, which had 541 yards of offense (461 on the ground).
Few conferences can compete with MAC, but the Blanchard Valley Conference is one that can hold its own.
1 Danville (11-1) vs. 2 Newark Catholic (10-2) at Westerville Central Warhawk Field: NEWARK CATHOLIC...Another tough one to call. Fittingly, the top two teams in the final JJHuddle/NBC4 Central Ohio Power Poll meet on the field. Newark Catholic senior Kevin Bourne could make the difference.
4 St. Henry (9-3) vs. 3 Maria Stein Marion Local (10-2) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: MARION LOCAL...After losing nine games last year, St. Henry has won nine this season. Remarkable turnaround. Marion Local moved one step closer to defending its D-VI title by beating fellow MAC member Minster last week and faces another conference opponent this week. The last time St. Henry faced another MAC team in a regional final was 2009 when the Redskins lost the Region 20 final to Coldwater 47-41 in four OTs. Look for QBs Kyle Stahl (St. Henry) and Adam Bertke (Marion) to have big games. The key could be Marion sophomore RB Jacy Goettemoeller.
EF Picks 2012: TBD
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: TBD
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)
2012 EF REGIONAL FINAL PICKS
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)
2012 EF REGIONAL SEMIFINAL PICKS
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)
2012 EF REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PICKS
Regular Season Wrap
DAYTON DAILY NEWS
Last Week: (6-0)
Season: (44-16, 73%)
about a comeback. Down three games with six to go I made up ground and
caught Greg Billing in Week 10. It took a perfect performance and that's
what I got. Have to thank Northmont, Piqua and Springfield Shawnee for
thier big wins.
DDN 2012 Pickers Final Standings
Eric Frantz (JJHuddle Managing Editor) 44-16
Greg Billing (Dayton Daily News Reporter) 44-16
Mike Hartsock (WHIO TV Sports Director) 35-25
to see WHIO Pick Six Stats
COLUMBUS THISWEEK PICKS
Last Week: (14-1)
Season: (114-36, 76%)
I went out with a
bang with another 14-1 week, but it wasn't enough to catapult into the
upper echelon. I finished mid-pack. Not bad for the first year, but not
ThisWeek Pickers Final Standings:
Andy Resnik (ThisWeek staff writer) 122-28
Jarrod Ulrey (ThisWeek staff writer) 121-29
Aaron Blankenship (ThisWeek staff writer) 117-33
Don Delco (ThisWeek web producer) 116-34
John Hulkenberg (ThisWeek staff writer) 115-35
Patrick Dolan (ThisWeek staff writer) 115-35
Eric Frantz (JJHuddle Managing Editor) 114-36
Scott Hennen (ThisWeek staff writer) 114-36
Lee Cochran (ThisWeek Managing Editor/Sports and Photography) 111-39
Brad Emerine (ThisWeek staff writer) 109-42
Dave Purpura(ThisWeek staff writer) 91-29
to see ThisWeek Staff Wrap
OHIO 12 PACK
Last Week: (7-5)
Season: (87-33, 73%)
may have gone 20-1 combined in the DDN and TWN contests, but I finsihed
a disappointing 7-5 in the 12-pack. Just shows you how deep Ohio is
this year - and how rivalry games can go either way.