Drew Pasteur's Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions
Cincinnati Moeller is still in the top spot of the Fantastic 50. Who is second? Is it Steubenville again? Or is it St. Ignatius? Is it someone else? As far as who is going to
win this week....? Click here to find out.
We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There's also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.
What is the Fantastic 50? The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state's top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.
Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams' ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn't too large. These rankings are
not intended to be "fair" in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.
Who is Drew Pasteur? Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has
recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects
postseason participants.
Rankings and Predictions Here are this week's Fantastic 50 rankings. Want to debate? Do it in the JJ forums.
Logically, St. Ignatius should be ranked ahead of Steubenville, but my rankings this week do not reflect that. St. Ignatius is undefeated, and beat Inkster (MI), who handed Steubenville its first loss last weekend. Because I do not use games against out-of-state in my rankings, except as they affect the Harbin points, the games against Inkster were not considered for either team. Looking at only OHSAA games, Steubenville is 4-0, with double-digit wins over #13 Massillon and #32 Poland. By comparison, St. Ignatius is 6-0 against a tougher schedule, with all six wins coming against top-50 teams; even though four of the wins were by a touchdown or less, they have the stronger resume. Even without the non-OHSAA games, St. Ignatius has accomplished more, and my numbers don't reflect that.
Predictions for this week's games (Games between two ranked teams are in bold.) Adena (Frankfort) (5-4, D5 R19) by 32 (99%) vs Huntington (Chillicothe) (0-9, D5 R19) Admiral King (Lorain) (1-8, D1 R2) by 2 (56%) at Southview (Lorain) (2-7#, D2 R6) Alexander (Albany) (7-2, D4 R15) by 11 (79%) vs Wellston (3-6, D4 R15) Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (9-0, D4 R15) by 36 (99%) vs Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (2-7, D4 R15) #6 Anderson (Cincinnati) (9-0, D1 R4) by 30 (98%) at Harrison (5-4, D2 R8) #36 Anna (8-1, D5 R20) by 18 (91%) at Marion Local (Maria Stein) (4-5, D6 R24) Ansonia (9-0, D6 R24) by 5 (63%) at Miami East (Casstown) (8-1, D5 R20) Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) (6-3, D1 R2) by 11 (78%) at Springfield (Holland) (3-6, D2 R6) Arcanum (3-6, D6 R24) by 4 (62%) at Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (3-6, D5 R20) #11 Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (9-0, D4 R16) by 24 (96%) at Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (8-1#, D3 R12) Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (6-3, D3 R9) by 13 (82%) at Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (5-4, D3 R9) #1 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (9-0, D1 R4) by 12 (79%) vs #8 St Xavier (Cincinnati) (7-2, D1 R4) Arlington (6-3, D6 R22) by 37 (99%) vs Vanlue (1-8, D6 R22) Ashland (8-1, D2 R5) by 8 (72%) at Lexington (6-3, D2 R6) Athens (The Plains) (8-1, D2 R7) at Wahama () [Wv] (7-1, D6) - no pick Aurora (7-2, D2 R5) by 10 (77%) vs Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (6-3, D2 R5) Avon Lake (6-3, D2 R6) by 2 (57%) at Steele (Amherst) (7-2, D1 R2) Badin (Hamilton) (6-3, D5 R20) by 1 (53%) at Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (5-4, D3 R12) Bay (Bay Village) (7-2, D3 R9) by 6 (66%) vs Avon (5-4, D2 R6) Beallsville (4-5, D6 R23) by 20 (92%) vs St John Central (Bellaire) (2-7, D6 R23) Beaver (Lisbon) (0-9, D3 R11) by 6 (67%) vs Brookfield (1-8, D5 R17) Bedford (2-7, D2 R6) by 7 (68%) at Warrensville Heights (4-5, D3 R9) Beechcroft (Columbus) (6-3, D2 R7) by 10 (75%) vs Northland (Columbus) (6-3, D1 R3) Belmont (Dayton) (2-7, D2 R8) by 11 (79%) vs Jefferson Township (Dayton) (4-5#, D6 R24) Bethel (Tipp City) (5-4, D5 R20) by 26 (97%) vs Bradford (1-8, D6 R24) Bethel-Tate (Bethel) (4-5, D3 R12) at Bishop Brossart () [Ky] (5-3, D5) - no pick Bishop Ready (Columbus) (7-1, D5 R20) by 5 (65%) vs Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (7-2, D4 R15) Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (7-2, D6 R23) by 2 (57%) vs Fort Frye (Beverly) (6-3, D5 R19) Black River (Sullivan) (5-4, D4 R14) by 14 (84%) at Brooklyn (4-5, D4 R13) Blanchester (2-7, D4 R16) by 7 (68%) at Batavia (2-7, D4 R16) Boardman (Youngstown) (6-3, D1 R1) by 9 (74%) vs Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-3, D1 R1) Bowling Green (2-7, D2 R6) by 20 (92%) at Rossford (0-9, D4 R14) Bowsher (Toledo) (3-6, D1 R2) by 22 (94%) at Libbey (Toledo) (1-7, D3 R10) Bridgeport (8-1, D6 R23) vs Cameron () [Wv] (1-7, D6) - no pick Briggs (Columbus) (3-6, D2 R7) by 1 (51%) vs West (Columbus) (5-4, D1 R3) Brookhaven (Columbus) (7-2, D2 R7) by 34 (99%) at Mifflin (Columbus) (2-7, D2 R7) Brunswick (6-3, D1 R2) by 13 (82%) vs Medina (4-5, D1 R2) Brush (Lyndhurst) (5-4, D1 R1) by 4 (61%) at Garfield Heights (4-5, D1 R1) Bryan (7-2, D3 R10) by 28 (98%) at Evergreen (Metamora) (4-5, D4 R14) Buckeye (Medina) (7-2, D3 R9) by 26 (97%) vs Keystone (La Grange) (5-4, D4 R14) Buckeye Local (Rayland) (7-2, D3 R11) vs Weir () [Wv] (1-7, D3) - no pick Bucyrus (7-2, D4 R14) by 30 (99%) vs Buckeye Central (New Washington) (4-5, D6 R21) Caldwell (7-2, D5 R19) by 7 (70%) vs Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (6-3, D5 R19) Calvert (Tiffin) (5-4, D6 R21) by 9 (75%) at Seneca East (Attica) (4-5, D6 R21) Cambridge (4-5, D3 R11) by 12 (81%) at Meadowbrook (Byesville) (2-7, D4 R13) Canal Winchester (7-2, D2 R7) by 26 (97%) at Teays Valley (Ashville) (3-6, D2 R8) Canton South (Canton) (2-7, D3 R11) by 2 (56%) at Carrollton (6-3, D3 R11) Cardinal (Middlefield) (4-5, D5 R17) by 8 (71%) vs Berkshire (Burton) (3-6, D5 R17) #4 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (9-0, D3 R9) by 14 (84%) at #29 Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (7-2, D3 R10) Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (5-4, D5 R19) by 7 (70%) vs Northmor (Galion) (4-5, D5 R19) Carey (9-0, D6 R22) by 17 (89%) vs St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (8-1, D6 R22) Carlisle (7-2, D4 R16) by 24 (96%) vs Dixie (New Lebanon) (5-4, D5 R20) Carroll (Dayton) (5-4, D2 R8) by 7 (69%) at Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (5-4, D4 R16) Catholic Central (Steubenville) (2-7, D6 R23) by 1 (53%) vs Labrae (Leavittsburg) (3-6, D4 R13) #22 Centerville (7-2, D1 R4) by 20 (92%) vs Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) (4-5, D1 R4) #49 Central Catholic (Toledo) (7-2, D2 R6) by 7 (69%) at St John'S Jesuit (Toledo) (6-3, D1 R2) #37 Chagrin Falls (9-0, D4 R13) by 22 (95%) vs Perry (6-3, D4 R13) Chalker (Southington) (4-4, D6 R21) by 22 (94%) vs Lutheran East (Cleveland Heights) (2-7, D6 R21) Chesapeake (3-6, D5 R19) by 8 (72%) vs South Point (1-8, D4 R15) Cincinnati Christian (Fairfield) (2-7, D6 R24) at Cincinnati Oyler (2-2, D6) - no pick Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (6-3, D5 R20) by 12 (81%) at Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (7-2, D6 R24) Clear Fork (Bellville) (6-3, D4 R14) by 23 (95%) vs West Holmes (Millersburg) (2-7, D3 R11) Clearview (Lorain) (7-2, D4 R14) by 13 (83%) at Oberlin (6-3, D5 R18) Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) (2-7, D4 R16) by 1 (51%) at Williamsburg (3-6, D5 R20) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (9-0, D4 R16) by 29 (98%) at East Clinton (Lees Creek) (6-3, D5 R20) #24 Coldwater (8-1, D5 R20) by 29 (98%) at New Bremen (5-4, D6 R24) #23 Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-2, D1 R4) by 20 (93%) at Oak Hills (Cincinnati) (3-6, D1 R4) Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (5-4, D5 R18) by 4 (60%) at Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) (5-4, D5 R18) Columbia (Columbia Station) (4-5, D5 R18) by 19 (91%) vs Lutheran West (Rocky River) (0-9, D5 R17) Columbian (Tiffin) (6-3, D3 R10) by 19 (91%) vs Fostoria (3-6, D4 R14) Columbiana (7-2, D6 R23) by 15 (85%) vs South Range (North Lima) (2-7, D5 R17) Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (7-2, D5 R20) by 27 (97%) at Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (2-7, D3 R10) Columbus Grove (6-3, D6 R22) by 14 (85%) vs Bluffton (4-5, D5 R18) Copley (6-3, D2 R5) by 1 (52%) vs Revere (Richfield) (6-3, D2 R5) Cory-Rawson (Rawson) (6-3, D6 R22) by 24 (96%) vs Van Buren (2-7, D6 R22) Coshocton (7-2, D4 R15) by 33 (99%) at River View (Warsaw) (1-8, D3 R11) Covington (6-3, D6 R24) by 20 (93%) vs Mississinawa Valley (Union City) (5-4, D6 R24) Crestview (Ashland) (8-1, D5 R18) by 45 (99%) vs Plymouth (0-9, D5 R18) Crestview (Columbiana) (8-1, D5 R17) by 11 (78%) vs Springfield (New Middletown) (5-4, D5 R17) Crestview (Convoy) (3-6, D6 R22) by 6 (67%) vs Paulding (2-7, D4 R14) Crooksville (4-5, D5 R19) by 1 (51%) vs Maysville (Zanesville) (5-4, D3 R11) Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (9-0, D5 R17) by 11 (77%) at Independence (9-0, D5 R17) Dalton (8-1, D6 R21) by 27 (97%) vs Chippewa (Doylestown) (2-7, D4 R14) Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (8-1, D5 R19) by 9 (75%) vs Fairland (Proctorville) (6-3, D4 R15) Dayton Christian (Miamisburg) (4-5, D5 R20) by 7 (69%) at Troy Christian (Troy) (3-6, D6 R24) Defiance (4-5, D3 R10) by 22 (94%) vs Bath (Lima) (2-7, D4 R16) Delta (2-7, D5 R18) by 23 (95%) vs Montpelier (0-9, D5 R18) #31 Dover (8-1, D3 R11) by 7 (68%) vs #44 New Philadelphia (9-0, D2 R7) #7 Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (9-0, D1 R3) by 26 (97%) at Upper Arlington (Columbus) (5-4, D1 R3) Dublin Jerome (Dublin) (5-4, D2 R7) by 6 (67%) vs Westerville Central (Westerville) (4-5, D1 R3) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (4-5, D2 R7) by 9 (73%) at Marysville (3-6, D1 R3) Dunbar (Dayton) (4-5, D3 R12) by 21 (93%) vs Meadowdale (Dayton) (2-7, D2 R8) East (Columbus) (3-6, D3 R10) by 10 (76%) vs Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (3-6, D3 R10) East (Youngstown) (2-7, D2 R5) by 8 (72%) at Chaney (Youngstown) (1-8, D2 R5) East Knox (Howard) (2-7, D4 R15) by 1 (52%) at Danville (1-8, D6 R23) East Palestine (7-2, D5 R17) by 1 (52%) at Mineral Ridge (5-4, D5 R17) Eastern (Reedsville) (5-4, D6 R23) by 3 (58%) at Southern (Racine) (5-4, D6 R23) Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (7-2, D3 R10) by 32 (99%) vs Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (2-7, D5 R20) Eastwood (Pemberville) (7-2, D4 R14) by 24 (95%) at Gibsonburg (3-6, D5 R18) Eaton (7-2, D3 R12) by 33 (99%) at Preble Shawnee (Camden) (3-6, D4 R16) Edgerton (6-3, D6 R22) by 6 (65%) at Antwerp (4-5, D6 R22) Edgewood (Ashtabula) (6-3, D3 R9) by 28 (98%) vs Conneaut (1-8, D3 R9) Edgewood (Trenton) (4-5, D2 R8) by 1 (53%) at Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (6-3, D2 R8) Edison (Milan) (8-1, D4 R14) by 8 (71%) vs Clyde (5-4, D3 R10) #5 Elder (Cincinnati) (6-2, D1 R4) by 42 (99%) vs Western Hills (Cincinnati) (3-6, D1 R4) Elida (4-5, D3 R10) by 19 (91%) at Wapakoneta (1-8, D2 R8) Ellet (Akron) (4-5, D2 R5) by 17 (89%) vs East (Akron) (2-7, D2 R5) Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (6-3, D4 R14) by 18 (90%) at Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) (6-3, D4 R13) Fairbanks (Milford Center) (7-2, D5 R20) by 1 (52%) vs Waynesfield-Goshen (Waynesfield) (8-1, D6 R24) Fairfield (5-4, D1 R4) by 6 (66%) at Hamilton (2-7, D1 R4) Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (5-4, D4 R15) by 28 (98%) at Hamilton Township (Columbus) (0-9, D2 R7) Fairport Harding (Fairport Harbor) (1-8, D6 R21) by 8 (71%) vs Richmond Heights (0-8, D5 R17) Fairview (Sherwood) (6-3, D5 R18) by 31 (99%) at Ayersville (Defiance) (1-8, D6 R22) Federal Hocking (Stewart) (2-7, D5 R19) by 8 (70%) at Waterford (3-6, D6 R23) Field (Mogadore) (7-2, D3 R9) by 35 (99%) vs Coventry (Akron) (0-9, D3 R9) Firestone (Akron) (3-6, D2 R5) by 25 (96%) at Kenmore (Akron) (0-9, D2 R5) Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) (3-6, D6 R23) by 25 (97%) vs Millersport (2-7, D6 R23) Franklin (6-3, D3 R12) by 19 (91%) at Oakwood (Dayton) (1-8, D3 R12) Fredericktown (9-0, D5 R19) by 20 (92%) at Loudonville (6-3, D5 R18) Fremont Ross (Fremont) (5-4, D1 R2) by 6 (67%) at Sandusky (4-5, D2 R6) Frontier (New Matamoras) (6-3, D6 R23) by 6 (67%) vs River (Hannibal) (2-7, D6 R23) Galion (9-0, D4 R14) by 10 (75%) at Bellevue (5-4, D3 R10) Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (1-8, D3 R12) by 4 (60%) at Marietta (1-8, D2 R7) Garaway (Sugarcreek) (3-6, D5 R17) by 19 (92%) vs Strasburg-Franklin (Strasburg) (2-7, D6 R23) Garfield (Akron) (6-3, D2 R5) by 7 (68%) vs Buchtel (Akron) (6-3, D3 R9) Garfield (Garrettsville) (6-3, D4 R13) by 26 (97%) at Windham (0-9, D6 R21) Geneva (7-2, D2 R5) by 19 (92%) at Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (2-7, D5 R17) #40 Genoa Area (Genoa) (9-0, D4 R14) by 37 (99%) vs Elmwood (Bloomdale) (3-6, D5 R18) Girard (9-0, D4 R13) by 22 (94%) at Liberty (Youngstown) (4-5, D4 R13) #43 Glenoak (Canton) (7-2, D1 R2) by 16 (88%) at Perry (Massillon) (4-5, D1 R2) #9 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (8-1, D1 R1) by 55 (99%) at East (Cleveland) (1-8, D3 R9) Graham (St Paris) (7-2, D3 R10) by 21 (93%) vs Urbana (5-4, D3 R10) Grandview Heights (Columbus) (4-5, D5 R20) by 18 (90%) at Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (1-8, D6 R23) Granville (8-1, D3 R11) by 16 (87%) vs Newark Catholic (Newark) (6-3, D6 R23) Green (2-7, D1 R2) by 10 (76%) vs Tallmadge (2-7, D2 R5) Grove City Christian (Grove City) (8-1, D6 R23) by 40 (99%) vs Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (2-7, D6 R23) Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (6-3, D1 R3) by 16 (87%) at Lincoln (Gahanna) (3-6, D1 R3) Hardin Northern (Dola) (2-7, D6 R22) by 21 (94%) vs Arcadia (2-7, D6 R22) Harrison Central (Cadiz) (7-2, D3 R11) by 8 (71%) at St Clairsville (6-3, D4 R13) Hawken (Gates Mills) (7-2, D5 R17) by 17 (89%) at Beachwood (6-3, D4 R13) Hayes (Delaware) (6-3, D1 R3) by 1 (51%) vs Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) (7-2, D2 R7) Heath (7-2, D4 R15) by 34 (99%) vs Lakewood (Hebron) (0-9, D3 R11) Highland (Medina) (6-3, D2 R5) by 13 (82%) vs Cloverleaf (Lodi) (5-4, D2 R5) Highland (Sparta) (7-2, D4 R15) by 27 (97%) at Mount Gilead (2-7, D5 R19) #14 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (7-1, D1 R3) by 26 (97%) at Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (3-5, D1 R3) Hillsboro (7-2, D3 R12) by 11 (78%) at Mc Clain (Greenfield) (4-5, D3 R12) Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (7-2, D5 R18) by 32 (99%) vs Rittman (1-8, D6 R21) Hilltop (West Unity) (6-3, D6 R22) by 23 (95%) vs Edon (2-7, D6 R22) #39 Hoover (North Canton) (6-3, D1 R2) by 26 (97%) vs Jackson (Massillon) (0-9, D1 R2) Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (7-2, D6 R21) by 18 (90%) at Lakota (Kansas) (4-5, D5 R18) Howland (Warren) (8-1, D2 R5) by 8 (71%) at John F Kennedy (Warren) (7-2, D6 R21) Hubbard (8-1, D3 R9) by 29 (98%) at Niles Mc Kinley (Niles) (4-5, D3 R9) Hudson (7-2, D1 R2) by 31 (99%) vs Lakewood (1-8, D1 R1) Huron (5-4, D4 R14) by 14 (84%) vs Port Clinton (4-5, D4 R14) Indian Creek (Wintersville) (5-4, D3 R11) by 13 (83%) at Edison (Richmond) (3-6, D3 R11) Indian Lake (Lewistown) (4-5, D4 R16) by 14 (84%) at Benjamin Logan (Bellefontaine) (1-8, D3 R10) Ironton (7-2, D4 R15) by 25 (96%) at Warren (Vincent) (7-2, D2 R7) Jefferson (Delphos) (5-4, D5 R18) by 24 (96%) at Spencerville (0-9, D5 R18) John Adams (Cleveland) (6-3#, D1 R1) by 24 (96%) at South (Cleveland) (2-7, D2 R6) John Hay (Cleveland) (3-6, D4 R13) by 10 (77%) at Lincoln West (Cleveland) (3-6, D1 R1) John Marshall (Cleveland) (7-2, D1 R1) by 12 (81%) vs John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (5-4, D2 R6) Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-5, D4 R15) by 25 (96%) vs Northridge (Johnstown) (1-8, D5 R19) #48 Kenton (8-1, D4 R16) by 27 (98%) vs Memorial (St Marys) (5-4, D3 R10) Kings (Kings Mills) (2-7, D2 R8) by 5 (64%) vs Walnut Hills (Cincinnati) (5-4, D2 R8) Kirtland (6-3, D5 R17) by 37 (99%) vs Newbury (1-7, D6 R21) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-5, D1 R4) by 2 (56%) at Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (5-3, D2 R5) Lake (Millbury) (6-3, D4 R14) by 7 (68%) vs Allen East (Harrod) (3-6, D5 R18) Lake (Uniontown) (4-5, D2 R7) by 40 (99%) vs East Technical (Cleveland) (2-7, D3 R9) #17 Lake Catholic (Mentor) (8-1, D2 R5) by 37 (99%) at St Peter Chanel (Bedford) (4-4, D6 R21) Lakeside (Ashtabula) (4-5, D2 R5) by 1 (53%) at North (Eastlake) (4-5, D1 R1) Lakeview (Cortland) (6-3, D4 R13) by 32 (99%) at Champion (Warren) (1-8, D4 R13) #20 Lakota West (West Chester) (8-1, D1 R4) by 21 (93%) at Lakota East (Liberty Township) (3-6, D1 R4) #46 Lancaster (5-4, D1 R3) by 36 (99%) vs Newark (0-9, D1 R3) Lebanon (7-2, D1 R4) by 30 (98%) at Miamisburg (1-8, D1 R4) Ledgemont (Thompson) (5-4, D6 R21) by 22 (94%) vs Mathews (Vienna) (0-9, D6 R21) Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (6-3, D6 R24) by 7 (68%) at Fort Loramie (8-1, D6 R24) Leipsic (8-1, D6 R22) by 13 (83%) vs Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (6-3, D5 R18) Liberty Center (6-3, D5 R18) by 2 (56%) at Archbold (6-3, D5 R18) Licking Heights (Pataskala) (7-2, D3 R11) by 20 (92%) vs Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (3-6, D5 R19) Licking Valley (Newark) (4-5, D3 R11) by 6 (67%) at Bexley (Columbus) (3-6, D3 R10) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (8-1, D5 R18) by 1 (53%) vs Ada (9-0, D6 R22) Little Miami (Morrow) (4-5, D2 R8) by 16 (87%) at Amelia (Batavia) (1-8, D2 R8) Lockland (8-1, D6 R24) vs an unsanctioned team - no pick #15 Logan (9-0, D2 R7) by 42 (99%) vs Chillicothe (1-8, D3 R12) Logan Elm (Circleville) (7-2, D3 R12) by 21 (93%) at Circleville (3-6, D3 R12) London (4-5, D4 R16) by 10 (77%) vs Madison Plains (London) (3-6, D4 R16) #16 Louisville (9-0, D2 R7) by 20 (92%) at Minerva (7-2, D3 R11) Loveland (4-5, D1 R4) by 7 (70%) at Milford (5-4, D1 R4) Madeira (Cincinnati) (5-4, D4 R16) by 10 (77%) vs Mariemont (Cincinnati) (4-5, D5 R20) Madison (3-6, D2 R5) by 15 (86%) at Riverside (Painesville) (2-7, D1 R1) Malvern (8-1, D6 R23) by 17 (89%) at Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (5-4, D4 R13) Manchester (0-9, D6 R24) vs an unsanctioned team - no pick Manchester (Akron) (8-1, D4 R13) by 16 (87%) vs Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (7-2, D4 R13) Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (3-6, D2 R6) by 11 (77%) vs Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (1-8, D2 R6) Maple Heights (7-2#, D2 R6) by 23 (95%) at Shaker Heights (1-8, D1 R1) Marion Catholic (Marion) (1-8, D6 R24) by 5 (64%) at Ridgemont (Ridgeway) (1-8, D6 R22) Marion Harding (Marion) (3-6, D1 R3) by 6 (67%) at Lima Senior (Lima) (2-7, D1 R3) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (7-2, D2 R7) by 35 (99%) at South Urban Academy (Columbus) (2-7, D3 R10) Marlington (Alliance) (7-2, D3 R11) by 14 (85%) at West Branch (Beloit) (3-6, D3 R9) Martins Ferry (7-2, D4 R13) by 35 (99%) at Bellaire (1-8, D4 R13) Mason (2-7, D1 R4) by 5 (65%) vs Sycamore (Cincinnati) (2-7, D1 R4) #13 Massillon Washington (Massillon) (7-2, D1 R2) by 16 (88%) at Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (5-4, D1 R2) Maumee (8-1, D2 R6) by 10 (76%) vs Perrysburg (7-2, D1 R2) #18 Mayfield (8-1, D1 R1) by 29 (98%) at Nordonia (Macedonia) (2-7, D1 R2) Mc Comb (6-3, D6 R22) by 5 (63%) vs Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (6-3, D6 R22) Mc Donald (9-0, D6 R21) by 26 (97%) vs Leetonia (5-4, D6 R23) Mechanicsburg (6-3, D5 R20) by 15 (85%) vs Catholic Central (Springfield) (5-4, D6 R24) Meigs (Pomeroy) (4-5, D4 R15) by 26 (97%) at Belpre (0-9, D5 R19) Memorial (Campbell) (6-3, D4 R13) by 14 (84%) vs Struthers (2-7, D3 R9) #30 Mentor (5-4, D1 R1) by 20 (92%) vs Cleveland Heights (4-5$, D1 R1) Miami Trace (Washington Court House) (4-5, D3 R12) by 1 (51%) vs Washington (Washington Court House) (6-3, D3 R12) #26 Middletown (8-1, D1 R4) by 14 (85%) at Princeton (Cincinnati) (5-4, D1 R4) Midpark (Middleburg Heights) (4-5, D1 R1) by 17 (89%) at Berea (1-8, D2 R6) Milton-Union (West Milton) (6-3, D4 R16) by 13 (82%) at Bellbrook (1-8, D3 R12) Minford (7-2$, D5 R19) by 10 (76%) vs Valley (Lucasville) (7-2, D5 R19) Mogadore (8-1, D6 R21) by 12 (80%) vs East Canton (5-4, D5 R17) Mohawk (Sycamore) (3-6, D6 R22) by 21 (93%) at North Baltimore (2-7, D6 R22) Monroe (7-2, D3 R12) by 32 (99%) vs Northridge (Dayton) (1-8, D4 R16) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (8-1, D5 R19) by 36 (99%) at Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (1-8, D5 R19) Napoleon (8-1, D3 R10) by 10 (76%) vs Findlay (4-5, D1 R2) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (7-2, D5 R19) by 30 (99%) vs Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (1-8, D3 R12) New Albany (6-3, D2 R7) by 16 (88%) at Mount Vernon (3-6, D1 R3) New London (2-7, D5 R18) by 7 (68%) vs South Central (Greenwich) (2-7, D6 R21) New Richmond (8-1, D3 R12) by 2 (56%) at Greenville (3-6, D2 R8) Newton Falls (6-3, D4 R13) by 22 (94%) vs Grand Valley (Orwell) (6-3, D5 R17) North College Hill (Cincinnati) (9-0, D4 R16) by 42 (99%) vs New Miami (Hamilton) (1-8, D6 R24) North Ridgeville (7-2, D2 R6) by 10 (75%) vs Midview (Grafton) (5-4, D2 R6) North Royalton (8-1, D1 R1) by 9 (74%) vs Normandy (Parma) (5-4, D2 R6) North Union (Richwood) (9-0, D5 R20) by 9 (74%) at Buckeye Valley (Delaware) (7-2, D3 R10) Northeastern (Springfield) (3-6, D4 R16) by 14 (84%) at Greeneview (Jamestown) (2-7, D5 R20) #34 Northmont (Clayton) (5-4, D1 R4) by 15 (85%) at Beavercreek (4-5, D1 R4) Northwest (Canal Fulton) (6-3, D3 R11) by 21 (94%) at Alliance (1-8, D3 R11) Northwestern (Springfield) (1-8, D4 R16) by 1 (50%) at Greenon (Springfield) (2-7#, D3 R12) Northwood (6-3, D5 R18) by 33 (99%) at Cardinal Stritch (Oregon) (1-8, D6 R22) Norwayne (Creston) (5-4, D5 R17) by 3 (58%) at Smithville (3-6, D5 R17) Norwood (3-6, D3 R12) by 8 (71%) vs Talawanda (Oxford) (1-8, D2 R8) Oak Harbor (3-6, D3 R10) by 18 (90%) at St Mary Central Catholic (Sandusky) (1-8, D6 R21) Oak Hill (9-0, D5 R19) by 46 (99%) vs Green (Franklin Furnace) (2-7, D6 R24) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (2-7, D2 R7) by 18 (90%) vs Westerville North (Westerville) (0-9, D1 R3) Olmsted Falls (6-3, D2 R6) by 13 (82%) at North Olmsted (6-3, D1 R1) Ontario (Mansfield) (3-6, D4 R14) by 6 (66%) vs Lucas (3-6, D6 R21) Orange (Pepper Pike) (2-7, D3 R9) by 3 (59%) at Harvey (Painesville) (3-6, D2 R5) Orrville (6-3, D4 R14) by 15 (85%) vs Wooster (5-4, D2 R5) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (7-2, D4 R14) by 29 (98%) at Celina (1-8, D3 R10) Padua Franciscan (Parma) (6-3, D3 R9) by 32 (99%) vs Holy Name (Parma Heights) (1-8, D3 R9) Parma (6-3, D1 R1) by 16 (87%) at Valley Forge (Parma Heights) (2-7, D1 R1) #35 Patrick Henry (Hamler) (9-0, D5 R18) by 29 (98%) vs Wauseon (5-4, D4 R14) Perkins (Sandusky) (8-1, D3 R10) by 26 (97%) vs Margaretta (Castalia) (2-7, D5 R18) Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-7, D3 R11) by 15 (87%) vs Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-9, D3 R11) #27 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (8-1, D1 R3) by 24 (95%) vs Reynoldsburg (2-7, D1 R3) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (6-3, D1 R3) by 14 (84%) vs Big Walnut (Sunbury) (6-3, D2 R7) Pleasant (Marion) (5-4, D4 R15) by 23 (95%) vs Elgin (Marion) (3-6, D4 R15) #32 Poland Seminary (Poland) (8-1, D3 R9) by 17 (88%) vs Canfield (8-1, D2 R5) Portsmouth (6-3, D4 R15) by 23 (95%) at Western Brown (Mount Orab) (4-5, D2 R8) Ravenna (7-2, D2 R5) by 15 (86%) vs Springfield (Akron) (6-3, D3 R9) Reading (4-5, D4 R16) by 20 (92%) at Deer Park (Cincinnati) (1-8, D5 R20) Rhodes (Cleveland) (5-4, D1 R1) by 20 (93%) at Collinwood (Cleveland) (0-8, D2 R6) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (9-0, D5 R19) by 25 (96%) at Newcomerstown (5-4, D5 R17) River Valley (Caledonia) (1-8, D4 R15) by 9 (73%) at Ridgedale (Morral) (0-9, D6 R24) Riverside (De Graff) (5-4, D6 R24) by 17 (89%) vs Perry (Lima) (4-5, D6 R22) Rock Hill (Ironton) (2-7, D4 R15) by 30 (98%) vs River Valley (Cheshire) (1-8#, D4 R15) Rocky River (7-2, D2 R6) by 8 (71%) at Fairview (Fairview Park) (4-5, D4 R13) Roger Bacon (St Bernard) (1-8, D3 R12) by 11 (79%) vs Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) (1-8, D4 R16) Rogers (Toledo) (8-1, D2 R6) by 34 (99%) at Scott (Toledo) (2-7, D2 R6) Roosevelt (Kent) (7-2, D2 R5) by 27 (97%) vs Norton (4-5, D3 R9) Ross (Hamilton) (5-4, D2 R8) by 10 (76%) vs Northwest (Cincinnati) (4-5, D2 R8) Salem (7-2, D3 R11) by 18 (90%) at East Liverpool (4-5, D3 R11) Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) (5-4, D6 R24) by 17 (89%) vs Notre Dame (Portsmouth) (3-6, D6 R24) Shadyside (4-5, D6 R23) vs Holy Cross () [Ky] (5-4, D4) - no pick Shaw (East Cleveland) (6-2-1, D1 R1) by 3 (59%) at Euclid (5-4, D1 R1) Shawnee (Lima) (6-3, D3 R10) by 15 (86%) vs Van Wert (5-4, D4 R14) Shawnee (Springfield) (6-3, D3 R12) by 32 (99%) vs Stebbins (Riverside) (0-9, D2 R8) Shelby (5-4, D3 R10) by 8 (72%) at Willard (2-7, D3 R10) Sheridan (Thornville) (7-2, D3 R11) by 14 (85%) at New Lexington (4-5, D3 R11) Shroder (Cincinnati) (4-5, D4 R16) by 10 (76%) vs Woodward (Cincinnati) (2-7, D1 R4) #10 Solon (9-0, D1 R1) by 25 (96%) vs Strongsville (3-6, D1 R1) South (Willoughby) (7-2, D1 R1) by 31 (99%) at Chardon (2-7, D2 R5) Southeast (Ravenna) (1-8, D3 R9) by 1 (53%) vs Crestwood (Mantua) (1-8, D3 R9) Southeastern (Chillicothe) (2-7, D5 R19) by 3 (60%) vs Unioto (Chillicothe) (2-7, D4 R15) Southeastern Local (South Charleston) (7-2, D6 R24) by 20 (93%) vs Triad (North Lewisburg) (3-6, D5 R20) Southern (Salineville) (3-6, D6 R23) by 9 (75%) vs Jackson-Milton (North Jackson) (2-7, D6 R21) Springboro (7-2, D1 R4) by 6 (66%) vs Fairborn (6-3, D1 R4) St Charles (Columbus) (5-4, D2 R7) by 3 (58%) at Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (6-3, D4 R16) #21 St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (6-3, D3 R10) by 26 (97%) vs Benedictine (Cleveland) (3-6, D3 R9) St Francis De Sales (Toledo) (8-1, D2 R6) by 24 (96%) vs Clay (Oregon) (4-5, D1 R2) St Henry (6-3, D5 R20) by 30 (98%) at Minster (1-8, D6 R24) #3 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (9-0, D1 R1) by 22 (94%) at #47 St Edward (Lakewood) (4-5, D1 R1) #12 St John'S (Delphos) (9-0, D6 R22) by 39 (99%) vs Fort Recovery (3-6, D6 R24) #45 St Paul (Norwalk) (9-0, D6 R21) by 29 (98%) vs Monroeville (7-2, D6 R21) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (2-7, D5 R17) by 10 (75%) vs Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (2-7, D4 R13) #2 Steubenville (8-1, D3 R11) vs Cardinal O'Hara (Tonawanda) [Ny] (5-2, D6) - no pick Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) (1-8, D1 R2) by 2 (54%) vs Cuyahoga Falls (3-6, D1 R2) Streetsboro (4-5, D3 R9) by 5 (64%) at Rootstown (5-4, D5 R17) Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (4-5, D5 R20) by 6 (66%) vs Clark Montessori (Cincinnati) (4-5, D5 R20) Swanton (1-8, D4 R14) by 26 (97%) vs Danbury (Lakeside) (1-8, D6 R22) Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (6-3, D1 R2) by 26 (97%) vs Sylvania Northview (Sylvania) (3-6, D2 R6) Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (7-2, D6 R23) by 24 (95%) at South Gallia (Crown City) (3-6, D6 R23) Taft (Cincinnati) (5-4, D4 R16) by 19 (91%) at Hughes Center (Cincinnati) (3-6, D2 R8) Taylor (North Bend) (3-6, D3 R12) by 12 (80%) at Finneytown (Cincinnati) (0-9, D4 R16) Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (8-1, D2 R8) by 11 (77%) at Bellefontaine (8-1, D3 R10) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (6-3$, D4 R16) by 45 (99%) vs Pontz Tech (Dayton) (1-8, D6 R24) Tinora (Defiance) (8-1, D5 R18) by 14 (85%) vs Hicksville (9-0, D5 R18) Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (7-2, D3 R10) by 23 (95%) at Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (4-5, D3 R12) Toledo Christian (Toledo) (6-3, D6 R22) by 15 (86%) at Ottawa Hills (Toledo) (4-5, D6 R22) Toronto (1-8, D6 R23) at Trinity Christian School () [Wv] (2-6, D6) - no pick Trimble (Glouster) (5-4, D6 R23) by 29 (98%) vs Miller (Corning) (2-7, D6 R23) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (8-1, D2 R7) by 30 (98%) vs John Glenn (New Concord) (2-7, D3 R11) Triway (Wooster) (7-2, D4 R14) by 34 (99%) at Timken (Canton) (1-8, D2 R7) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (6-3, D2 R8) by 29 (98%) vs Butler (Vandalia) (2-7, D2 R8) Troy (5-4, D1 R3) by 9 (74%) at Sidney (4-5, D2 R8) #50 Turpin (Cincinnati) (9-0, D2 R8) by 19 (91%) at Wilmington (7-2, D2 R8) Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (6-3, D6 R23) by 32 (99%) at Conotton Valley (Bowerston) (0-9, D6 R23) Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (3-6, D4 R13) by 11 (79%) vs Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-6, D4 R13) Tuslaw (Massillon) (4-5, D4 R13) by 22 (94%) at Fairless (Navarre) (1-8, D3 R11) Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (3-6, D5 R20) by 21 (93%) vs National Trail (New Paris) (1-8, D6 R24) #38 Twinsburg (8-1, D1 R2) by 26 (97%) at Elyria (4-5, D1 R2) Union Local (Belmont) (5-4, D4 R13) by 10 (75%) vs Barnesville (5-4, D5 R19) United (Hanoverton) (4-5, D5 R17) by 28 (98%) at David Anderson (Lisbon) (0-9, D5 R17) University School (Hunting Valley) (5-4, D3 R9) by 26 (97%) at Jefferson Area (Jefferson) (3-6, D3 R9) Upper Sandusky (2-7, D4 R14) by 13 (83%) at Norwalk (0-9, D2 R6) Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey) (5-4, D6 R22) by 34 (99%) at St Wendelin (Fostoria) (0-9, D6 R22) #28 Ursuline (Youngstown) (5-3, D5 R17) by 11 (78%) vs St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (6-3, D3 R9) Utica (6-3, D4 R15) by 26 (97%) at Centerburg (2-7, D5 R19) Valley View (Germantown) (6-3, D4 R16) by 12 (81%) vs Brookville (5-4, D4 R16) Vermilion (0-9, D3 R10) by 1 (52%) at Firelands (Oberlin) (2-7, D3 R9) Versailles (5-4, D5 R20) by 28 (98%) vs Parkway (Rockford) (1-8, D5 R20) Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (4-5, D5 R17) by 1 (54%) vs Trinity (Garfield Heights) (7-2, D5 R17) Wadsworth (8-1, D1 R2) by 21 (93%) at Barberton (3-6, D2 R5) Waite (Toledo) (2-7, D1 R2) by 28 (98%) vs Woodward (Toledo) (0-8, D2 R6) Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (7-2, D2 R7) by 13 (83%) vs Independence (Columbus) (4-5, D2 R7) #42 Warren G Harding (Warren) (6-3-1, D1 R1) by 35 (99%) vs North (Akron) (3-6, D2 R5) Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (1-8, D2 R7) by 1 (52%) at Bradley (Hilliard) (2-7, D2 R7) Waverly (3-6, D3 R12) by 27 (97%) vs Northwest (Mc Dermott) (2-7, D4 R15) #33 Wayne (Huber Heights) (6-3, D1 R4) by 4 (62%) at Springfield (6-3, D1 R3) Wayne Trace (Haviland) (5-4, D5 R18) by 25 (96%) vs Holgate (1-8, D6 R22) Waynedale (Apple Creek) (7-2, D5 R17) by 8 (72%) at Northwestern (West Salem) (4-5, D5 R17) Waynesville (7-2, D4 R16) by 29 (98%) vs Madison (Middletown) (3-6, D4 R16) Wellington (4-5, D4 R14) by 25 (96%) vs Brookside (Sheffield) (2-7, D4 R14) Wellsville (6-3, D6 R23) by 25 (97%) at Mc Kinley (Sebring) (1-8, D6 R21) West Carrollton (8-1, D2 R8) by 5 (65%) at Goshen (7-2, D3 R12) West Geauga (Chesterland) (8-1, D2 R5) by 34 (99%) at Wickliffe (1-8, D4 R13) West Jefferson (8-1, D5 R20) by 1 (53%) vs Liberty Union (Baltimore) (8-1, D5 R19) West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (9-0, D5 R20) by 36 (99%) at Cedarville (2-7, D6 R24) West Muskingum (Zanesville) (8-1, D4 R15) by 28 (98%) at Claymont (Uhrichsville) (2-7, D3 R11) Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (8-1, D6 R21) by 10 (77%) vs Lowellville (5-4, D6 R21) Western Reserve (Collins) (5-4, D5 R18) by 31 (99%) vs Mapleton (Ashland) (1-8, D6 R21) #25 Westerville South (Westerville) (7-2, D1 R3) by 9 (73%) at Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (7-2, D1 R3) Westfall (Williamsport) (6-3, D4 R15) by 12 (81%) vs Piketon (5-4, D4 R15) Westlake (3-6, D2 R6) by 5 (65%) at Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (1-8, D1 R1) Wheelersburg (7-2, D5 R19) by 16 (88%) vs Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (6-3, D4 R15) Whetstone (Columbus) (5-4, D2 R7) by 32 (99%) vs Centennial (Columbus) (0-9, D2 R7) #41 Whitmer (Toledo) (8-1, D1 R2) by 29 (98%) at Start (Toledo) (2-7, D1 R2) #19 Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (7-2, D2 R8) by 28 (98%) vs Glen Este (Cincinnati) (4-5, D1 R4) Withrow (Cincinnati) (7-2, D1 R4) by 37 (99%) vs Aiken (Cincinnati) (0-9, D2 R8) Woodmore (Elmore) (3-6, D5 R18) by 26 (97%) vs Otsego (Tontogany) (0-9, D4 R14) Woodridge (Peninsula) (7-2, D4 R13) by 31 (99%) at Waterloo (Atwater) (1-8, D4 R13) Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (4-4, D1 R3) by 4 (60%) vs Thomas Worthington (Worthington) (5-4, D1 R3) Wynford (Bucyrus) (9-0, D6 R21) by 38 (99%) at Crestline (2-7, D6 R21) Wyoming (Cincinnati) (9-0, D3 R12) by 12 (80%) vs Indian Hill (Cincinnati) (6-3, D3 R12) Xenia (2-7, D1 R4) by 2 (56%) vs Piqua (2-7, D2 R8) Yellow Springs (2-7, D6 R24) vs an unsanctioned team - no pick Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (5-4, D6 R21) by 12 (81%) at Pymatuning Valley (Andover) (2-7, D4 R13) Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (7-2, D4 R15) by 20 (93%) vs Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (4-5, D5 R19) Zanesville (8-1, D2 R7) by 14 (83%) vs Jackson (7-2, D3 R12)
Last week's predictions Record: 296-55 (84.3%) Within 7 points: 130 (37.0%) Within 3 points: 55 (15.7%) Winner and exact margin: 9 (2.6%)
Week #4-to-date predictions Record: 1733-371 (82.4%) Within 7 points: 768 (36.5%) Within 3 points: 365 (17.3%) Winner and exact margin: 53 (2.5%)
Season-to-date predictions Record: 2518-622 (80.2%) Within 7 points: 1100 (35.0%) Within 3 points: 515 (16.4%) Winner and exact margin: 68 (2.2%)
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