It doesn't look good for the Irish, even with another win. The schedule was a just a little bit too ambitious.
Drew Pasteur - Region 17
#31 Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-6) 137.5
Ranked #1 of 118 in Division V, #1 in Region 17
Str-of-sched 0.839, #60 toughest overall, #1 in Division V
Win total probabilities: 3W-30% 4W-70%
Playoff chance 6%, no home game
Projected 14.25 Harbin points, projected out (best #6, worst out)
Harbin projections (ranges): 4W-14.2 (13.1-14.9)
Playoff probabilities:
4W-8%
Seed projections (ranges): 4W-#out (6-#out)
First round: Kirtland 85%, Monroe Central (Woodsfield) 14%, Memorial (Campbell) 1%, Crestview (Columbiana) 1%
Week 1: Lost 18-54 H vs RED LION CHRISTIAN ACADEMY (Bear) [DE] (2-4, D5)
Week 2: Lost 27-38 A vs #3 Mentor (9-0, D1 R1), pick: L by 2
Week 3: Lost 0-9 A vs #15 Lake Catholic (Mentor) (8-1, D3 R9), pick: W by 1
Week 4: Won 13-9 A vs #209 Zanesville (5-4, D2 R7), pick: W by 6
Week 5: Lost 17-22 H vs #12 Steubenville (9-0, D3 R11), pick: W by 3
Week 6: Lost 7-20 H vs #2 St Edward (Lakewood) (7-2, D1 R1), pick: L by 26
Week 7: Lost 21-31 H vs ST. PETER'S PREP (Jersey City) [NJ] (4-2, D2)
Week 8: Won 39-0 H vs #620 East Technical (Cleveland) (1-8, D1 R1), pick: W by 42
Week 9: Won 25-21 A vs #20 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (5-3, D3 R11), pick: L by 15
Week 10: H vs #57 St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (8-1, D3 R9) 70% W (8 pts)