Frantz, Pasteur, CalPreps: Who We Say Wins (and Why) the D-I Regional Finals/State Semis

EFvsDP

For the past four years playoff point guru Drew Pasteur and I have engaged in a friendly competition of playoff pick’em. His Formula vs My Feel. It’s been good fun and highly competitive. This season it continues. Here’s a look at who we think wins in Week 14. As for Week 13? I edged ahead by two more games overall (now lead by four) with a 24-4 week. Drew and the Fantastic 50 went 22-6. CalPreps? 21-7. I went undefeated in divisions I, II, IV and V. DP went undefeated in IV and V. CP went undefeated in V. Here are this week’s picks…

As always, enjoy or destroy.

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2014 D-I REGIONAL FINAL PICKS

Region 1

1 Hudson (13-0) vs. 2 Lakewood St. Edward (11-2) at University of Akron InfoCision Stadium – Summa Field
EF: St. Edward
DP: St. Edward (Lakewood) (11-2) by 3 (56%) vs Hudson (13-0)
CP: St. Edward 27-14
*St. Edward started the season ranked No. 1 in the National Guard JJHuddle D-I Power Poll. Hudson finished the season there. The Explorers are in uncharted territory. They’ve never been this far into the postseason. St. Edward is one step from its first state final since winning its first state title in 2010. The Eagles have a roster littered with D-I commits and prospects. Hudson has a few of its own. Both QBs – Hudson’s Mitch Guadgni (Toledo) and St. Ed’s Brett Kean (South Florida) – are D-I recruits. Despite finishing No. 1 in both the AP and JJH state polls, Hudson finds itself the underdog. St. Edward’s talent is hard to pick against. “In the six years that I’ve been here, that’s the best team I’ve seen,” Westerville Central coach John Magistro told the Columbus Disptach after his team lost 41-0 last week. “I can’t imagine that they won’t be there right at the end two weeks from now. Wow, do they have some athletes.”

Region 2

5 Huber Heights Wayne (12-1) vs. 6 Cincinnati Archbishop Moeller (10-3) at Mason Dwire Field at Atrium Stadium
EF: Wayne
DP: Moeller (Cincinnati) (10-3) by 1 (53%) vs Wayne (Huber Heights) (12-1)
CP: Wayne 21-20
*Wayne rolled to its third straight impressive playoff win with a 38-3 victory over Lakota West. Combined with earlier wins over Elder and Dublin Coffman, Wayne has now outscored its postseason foes 124-51 and has outgained them 1,609-959. Senior QB D’Mitrik Trice (AP SW District POY) has thrown for 11 TDs and one INT in the postseason. Moeller moved a step closer to defending its back-to-back D-I state titles with a 21-0 shutout win over GCL South rival St. Xavier. Moeller senior DB Noah Able had two fourth quarter INTs, including one he returned 36 yards for a TD to ice it. Ball security will be huge in this one. Both teams have dominant D lineman in Elijah Taylor (Moeller/Notre Dame) and Robert Landers (Wayne/West Virginia).

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Eric Frantz vs Drew Pasteur Playoff Pick History

State Finals

EF Picks 2013: 4-3 (57%)
EF Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
EF Picks 2011: 3-3 (50%)
EF Picks 2010: 4-2 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 3-4 (43%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: N/A

State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2014: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 22-6 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2014: 44-12 (79%)
EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 42-14 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79.5%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

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