Frantz, Pasteur, CalPreps: Who We Say Wins (and Why) the D-IV Regional Semifinals

EFvsDP

For the past four years playoff point guru Drew Pasteur and I have engaged in a friendly competition of playoff pick’em. His Formula vs My Feel. It’s been good fun and highly competitive. This season it continues. Here’s a look at who we think wins in Week 12. As for Week 11? We tied 94-18 each. That’s the second time in three years we’ve tied in the regional quarters. My key wins? Colerain, Mapleton and Columbus DeSales. DP’s big wins? Columbiana Crestview, Bowling Green and West Liberty-Salem.

As always, enjoy or destroy.

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Eric Frantz vs Drew Pasteur Playoff Pick History

State Finals

EF Picks 2013: 4-3 (57%)
EF Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
EF Picks 2011: 3-3 (50%)
EF Picks 2010: 4-2 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 3-4 (43%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: N/A

State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79.5%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

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2014 D-IV REGIONAL SEMIFINAL PICKS

Region 11

1 Cleveland Benedictine (10-1) vs. 5 Youngstown Cardinal Mooney (6-4) at Richfield Revere Joseph F. Pappano Stadium
EF: Benedictine
DP: Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (6-4) by 2 (56%) vs Benedictine (Cleveland) (10-1)
CP: Benedictine 22-21
*This should/could be considered the regional final. I think you can literally flip a coin on this one. Certainly one of the state’s best – if not the top – second round match-up.

7 Bay Village Bay (7-4) vs. 6 Chardon Notre-Dame Cathedral Latin (7-4) at Twinsburg Tiger Stadium
EF: NDCL
DP: Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (7-4) by 10 (74%) vs Bay (Bay Village) (7-4)
CP: NDCL 31-21
*Both these teams won their first playoff game ever last week. Who gets no. 2?

Region 12

1 Wooster Triway (11-0) vs. 4 Kenton (9-2) at Ashland High School Community Stadium
EF: Kenton
DP: Kenton (9-2) by 1 (52%) vs Triway (Wooster) (11-0)
CP: Triway 30-28
*I do not envy the scoreboard operator in this one. Rematch of last year’s regional semifinal that Kenton won 46-6. Since then Triway has been unstoppable. Senior QB Parker Carmichael comes in with over 11,000 career passing yards which ranks third all-time behind two guys named Mauk from Kenton. As for Kenton, their QB is sophomore Trent Hites. Last week he threw for 520 yards and six TDs (and ran for one). Going to be a good game. Kenton’s defense is arguably the best Triway has faced all year. The Wildcats haven’t allowed more than 24 points in a game (and that was to Coldwater). Triway has scored less than 42 once.

2 Bellevue (9-2) vs. 3 Wauseon (11-0) at Fremont Harmon Field at Don Paul Stadium
EF: Bellevue
DP: Wauseon (11-0) by 2 (54%) vs Bellevue (9-2)
CP: Wauseon 31-27
*Wauseon survived Genoa last week when it blocked a game-winning 36-yard field goal attempt with 13 seconds left. Whew. Emotionally Wauseon will have to refocus. Bellevue, a state finalist two years ago, has lost only to D-III regional semifinalists Clyde and Norwalk.

Region 13

1 Columbus Beechcroft (10-1) vs. 5 Zanesville Maysville (10-1) at Gahanna Lincoln Stadium
EF: Beechcroft
DP: Beechcroft (Columbus) (10-1) by 1 (52%) vs Maysville (Zanesville) (10-1)
CP: Beechcroft 27-21
*Beechcroft has been one of the state’s bigger surprises this season. Maysville has been highly thought of since Day 1. Tough one to call. Reasons to like both teams.

2 Columbus Marion-Franklin (10-1) vs. 3 Steubenville (8-3) at Byesville Meadowbrook Eugene Capers Field
EF: Steubenville
DP: Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (10-1) by 4 (59%) vs Steubenville (8-3)
CP: Steubenville 27-20
*What a match-up. Another coin-flip game. Big Red is looking for its 52nd playoff win in 27 appearances. We think they get it – barely.

Region 14

1 Kettering Archbishop Alter (11-0) vs. 4 Cincinnati Wyoming (10-1) at Monroe Fighting Hornet Stadium
EF: Alter
DP: Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (11-0) by 23 (93%) vs Wyoming (Cincinnati) (10-1)
CP: Alter 35-14
*The Knights continue to march towards a rematch with Clinton-Massie in the regional final. Defensively Alter has allowed 87 points in 11 games. The Knights are averaging 380 yards a game rushing. Wyoming had to replace seven first team All-CHL selections from last year’s team that lost in the regional quarters and has advanced one step farther. Asking the Cowboys to beat Alter is a tall task.

2 Clarksville Clinton-Massie (11-0) vs. 3 Cincinnati Archbishop McNicholas (10-1) at Mt. Orab Western Brown Kibler Stadium at LaRosa’s Field
EF: Clinton-Massie
DP: Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (11-0) by 1 (53%) vs Archbishop McNicholas (Cincinnati) (10-1)
CP: Clinton-Massie 31-21
*Rematch of last year’s regional semifinal that Massie won 52-14. Falcons can send a message to Alter with big win. The Knights beat McNicholas 49-0 in Week 8. McNick senior QB Luke Sulken is a good one. He’s thrown for 1,281 yards (10 TDs) and rushed for 1,001 yards (13 TDs). Massie has allowed 60 points in 11 games.

 

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