Frantz, Pasteur, CalPreps: Who We Say Wins (and Why) the D-II Regional Semifinals

EFvsDP

For the past four years playoff point guru Drew Pasteur and I have engaged in a friendly competition of playoff pick’em. His Formula vs My Feel. It’s been good fun and highly competitive. This season it continues. Here’s a look at who we think wins in Week 12. As for Week 11? We tied 94-18 each. That’s the second time in three years we’ve tied in the regional quarters. My key wins? Colerain, Mapleton and Columbus DeSales. DP’s big wins? Columbiana Crestview, Bowling Green and West Liberty-Salem.

As always, enjoy or destroy.

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Eric Frantz vs Drew Pasteur Playoff Pick History

State Finals

EF Picks 2013: 4-3 (57%)
EF Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
EF Picks 2011: 3-3 (50%)
EF Picks 2010: 4-2 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 3-4 (43%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 5-1 (83%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: N/A

State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 11-3 (79%)
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 9-5 (64%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2014: 94-18 (84%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79.5%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

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2014 D-II REGIONAL SEMIFINAL PICKS

Region 3

1 Bedford (11-0) vs. 4 Willoughby South (8-3) at Solon Stewart Field
EF: Bedford
DP: Bedford (11-0) by 15 (83%) vs South (Willoughby) (8-3)
CP: Bedford 35-19
*Bedford doesn’t have an extensive playoff history but aims t reach its first regional title. Willoughby South is coming off a huge win over Glenville. Can the Rebels spring another upset?

2 Mayfield (10-1) vs. 3 Madison (10-1) at Mentor Jerome T. Osborne Sr. Stadium
EF: Mayfield
DP: Mayfield (10-1) by 6 (65%) vs Madison (10-1)
CP: Mayfield 28-24
*Mayfield has won 10 in a row and is averaging 42 points in in its last five games. Madison is averaging 46 points in its last four games. Who can stop who?

Region 4

1 Grafton Midview (11-0) vs. 5 Avon (10-1) at North Royalton Serpentini Chevrolet Stadium – Gibson Field
EF: Midview
DP: Midview (Grafton) (11-0) by 4 (59%) vs Avon (10-1)
CP: Midview 35-31
*Midview is on fire and looking to win back-to-back playoff games for the first time in history. In order to do so, they’ll have to beat Avon for the second time this season. The Middies survived the first meeting – barely – 49-42 in Week 5.

2 Macedonia Nordonia (11-0) vs. 3 Perrysburg (11-0) at Sandusky Strobel Field at Cedar Point Stadium
EF: Nordonia
DP: Nordonia (Macedonia) (11-0) by 1 (52%) vs Perrysburg (11-0)
CP: Nordonia 30-28
*Nordonia finished the season ranked No. 1 in the National Guard JJHuddle D-II state poll. Perrysburg finished the season ranked No. 1 in the AP State Poll. Big game.

Region 5

1 Lewis Center Olentangy (11-0) vs. 4 Wooster (8-3) at Mansfield Arlin Field
EF: Olentangy
DP: Olentangy (Lewis Center) (11-0) by 20 (89%) vs Wooster (8-3)
CP: Olentangy 38-14
*Olentangy has only played two games this year that have ben decided by less than 29 points. Wooster is having one of the most successful seasons in school history after starting 1-3.

7 Dublin Scioto (7-4) vs. 6 Worthington Kilbourne (8-3) at Upper Arlington Marvin Morehead Stadium
EF: Scioto
DP: Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (7-4) by 1 (52%) vs Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (8-3)
CP: Scioto 20-19
*This is the fourth time these schools have met in the last two years. Scioto won the 2013 opener and then fell to the Wolves in the regional quarterfinals. Kilbourne is hoping for the same script. Scioto won the opener this season 17-14.

Region 6

1 Cincinnati LaSalle (10-1) vs. 5 Harrison (8-3) at Hamilton Virgil M. Schwarm Stadium
EF: LaSalle
DP: La Salle (Cincinnati) (10-1) by 32 (98%) vs Harrison (8-3)
CP: LaSalle 44-14
*Hard to believe last week’s win was LaSalle’s first in the postseason. The Lancers appear capable of seeing this run through. Harrison scored on the last play of the game to win last week after trailing 29-0 at one point. Will be hard for the Wildcats to stay in striking distance that deep into the game this time.

2 Cincinnati Mt. Healthy (11-0) vs. 3 Kings Mills Kings (11-0) at West Chester Lakota West Firebird Stadium
EF: Kings
DP: Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (11-0) by 3 (57%) vs Kings (Kings Mills) (11-0)
CP: Mt. Healthy 28-27
*Game pits Eastern Cincinnati Conference winner (Kings) against the Southwest Ohio Conference winner (Mt. Healthy). Kings senior RB DeAndre Barnett has rushed for 1,411 yards and 25 TDs. MH junior QB David Montgomery has rushed for 1,608 yards and 19 TDs. Talawanda was a common opponent. Mount Healthy won 38-6. Kings won 63-35.

 

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