The Fantastic 50: Who Wins Ohio’s Week 5 HS Football Games

weeklyawards_content

Who is favored to win this weekend? Here’s who the computers and the Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50 formula favors…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.

Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

FBscores_long

_______________________________________________________________________

This Week’s Predictions

Adena (Frankfort) (1-3, D5 R17) by 6 (62%) at Huntington (Chillicothe) (1-3, D6 R21)
#17 Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (4-0, D4 R14) by 30 (96%) vs Roger Bacon (St Bernard) (2-2, D5 R18)
#50 Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (4-0, D4 R14) by 26 (93%) at Carroll (Dayton) (2-2, D3 R10)
Arlington (4-0, D7 R24) by 37 (98%) vs Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) (0-4, D6 R22)
Ashland (2-2, D2 R5) by 16 (81%) vs West Holmes (Millersburg) (1-3, D3 R9)
Athens (The Plains) (4-0, D3 R9) by 41 (99%) vs Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (0-4, D3 R9)
#34 Aurora (4-0, D3 R7) by 29 (95%) vs Orange (Pepper Pike) (3-1, D4 R11)
#40 Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (3-1, D1 R1) by 21 (89%) vs Boardman (Youngstown) (0-4, D2 R3)
#33 Avon (4-0, D2 R4) by 5 (60%) at Midview (Grafton) (4-0, D2 R4)
Badin (Hamilton) (4-0, D5 R18) by 10 (71%) at Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (1-3, D4 R14)
Bath (Lima) (1-3, D4 R12) by 4 (58%) vs Memorial (St Marys) (2-2, D3 R10)
Bay (Bay Village) (3-1, D4 R11) by 6 (63%) vs Lakewood (2-2, D1 R1)
Beachwood (1-3, D5 R15) by 6 (63%) at Berkshire (Burton) (2-2, D6 R19)
Beavercreek (1-3, D1 R2) by 4 (59%) vs Dunbar (Dayton) (2-2, D4 R14)
#24 Bedford (4-0, D2 R3) by 11 (74%) at Euclid (2-2, D1 R1)
Beechcroft (Columbus) (4-0, D4 R13) by 35 (98%) at Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (1-3, D5 R17)
Bellaire (0-4, D6 R21) by 10 (71%) vs Buckeye Local (Rayland) (0-4, D4 R13)
Bellbrook (2-2, D3 R10) by 3 (57%) at Eaton (1-3, D4 R14)
Bellefontaine (3-1, D3 R10) by 25 (93%) vs Benjamin Logan (Bellefontaine) (1-3, D4 R12)
Bellevue (3-1, D4 R12) by 28 (94%) at Shelby (1-3, D4 R12)
Belmont (Dayton) (3-1, D3 R10) by 14 (78%) at Ridgemont (Ridgeway) (2-2, D7 R26)
Belpre (2-2, D6 R21) by 8 (68%) vs Southern (Racine) (2-2, D7 R25)
Benedictine (Cleveland) (3-1, D4 R11) by 13 (77%) at Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (1-3, D4 R13)
Berea-Midpark (Berea) (3-1, D1 R1) by 5 (61%) vs Avon Lake (1-3, D2 R4)
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (0-4, D6 R21) by 11 (73%) vs Millersport (4-0, D7 R25)
Bexley (Columbus) (4-0, D4 R13) by 18 (85%) vs Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (1-3, D3 R9)
Big Walnut (Sunbury) (2-2, D3 R9) by 14 (79%) at Hayes (Delaware) (1-3, D1 R1)
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (2-2, D5 R17) by 3 (58%) vs Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (2-2, D3 R10)
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (3-1, D6 R21) by 23 (91%) at Whetstone (Columbus) (0-4$, D2 R5)
Black River (Sullivan) (2-2, D5 R15) by 14 (78%) vs Clearview (Lorain) (2-2, D4 R12)
Blanchester (1-3, D5 R18) by 5 (62%) vs Amelia (Batavia) (3-1, D2 R6)
Bluffton (1-3, D6 R20) by 7 (67%) vs Ada (1-3, D6 R22)
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (3-1, D2 R3) by 10 (71%) vs North Olmsted (3-1, D2 R3)
Bridgeport (1-3, D7 R25) by 22 (90%) at Conotton Valley (Bowerston) (0-4, D7 R25)
Brookfield (2-2, D6 R19) by 13 (76%) vs John F Kennedy (Warren) (1-3, D7 R23)
Brookside (Sheffield) (3-1, D4 R12) by 16 (83%) vs Fairview (Fairview Park) (0-4, D4 R11)
Brookville (2-2, D5 R18) by 3 (57%) at Monroe (3-1, D4 R14)
#20 Brunswick (3-1, D1 R1) by 43 (99%) vs Normandy (Parma) (0-4, D2 R3)
Bryan (3-1, D4 R12) by 11 (74%) at Swanton (2-2, D5 R16)
Buchtel (Akron) (0-4, D3 R7) by 16 (83%) at Firestone (Akron) (0-4, D2 R4)
Buckeye (Medina) (2-2, D3 R8) by 11 (74%) vs Lutheran West (Rocky River) (1-3, D5 R15)
Buckeye Central (New Washington) (3-1, D7 R24) by 21 (88%) at Ridgedale (Morral) (2-2, D7 R24)
Buckeye Valley (Delaware) (1-3, D3 R9) by 7 (65%) vs Fairbanks (Milford Center) (1-3, D6 R22)
Caldwell (4-0, D7 R25) by 21 (88%) vs Beallsville (1-3, D7 R25)
Calvert (Tiffin) (3-1, D7 R24) by 16 (82%) at Northwood (1-3, D6 R20)
Canfield (1-3, D3 R7) by 14 (79%) vs Sidney (2-2, D2 R6)
Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (4-0, D5 R15) by 32 (97%) vs East (Youngstown) (1-3, D1 R1)
#46 Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (1-3, D1 R1) by 17 (84%) at Lake (Uniontown) (1-3, D2 R4)
Cardinal (Middlefield) (3-1, D5 R15) by 12 (76%) at Richmond Heights (3-1, D7 R23)
#14 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (3-1, D4 R11) by 26 (93%) at Lake Catholic (Mentor) (1-3, D3 R8)
Cardinal Stritch (Oregon) (2-2, D7 R24) by 1 (53%) at Hilltop (West Unity) (1-3, D7 R24)
Carey (3-1, D6 R20) by 38 (98%) vs Crestline (0-4, D7 R24)
Carlisle (1-3, D4 R14) by 31 (96%) vs Northridge (Dayton) (1-3, D5 R18)
Catholic Central (Steubenville) (1-3, D7 R23) at Oak Glen () [WV] (1-3, D5) – no pick
Centennial (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9) by 3 (57%) at Mifflin (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R5)
Centerburg (3-1, D6 R21) by 11 (73%) at Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (3-1, D6 R21)
#9 Centerville (4-0, D1 R2) by 48 (99%) vs West Carrollton (0-4, D2 R6)
#26 Central Catholic (Toledo) (2-2, D3 R8) by 24 (92%) vs Fremont Ross (Fremont) (2-2, D2 R4)
Chalker (Southington) (1-3, D7 R23) by 15 (81%) vs Newbury (1-3, D7 R23)
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (3-1, D5 R18) by 24 (92%) vs Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) (2-2, D5 R18)
Chillicothe (2-2, D3 R9) by 26 (93%) at Hillsboro (2-2, D3 R10)
Chippewa (Doylestown) (4-0, D5 R16) by 4 (58%) at Norwayne (Creston) (3-1, D5 R16)
Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (4-0, D6 R22) by 29 (95%) at Cincinnati Christian (Fairfield) (0-4, D7 R26)
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (4-0, D5 R18) by 24 (91%) at Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (4-0, D6 R22)
Claymont (Uhrichsville) (1-3, D4 R13) by 22 (89%) at Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (1-3, D7 R25)
Clear Fork (Bellville) (2-2, D4 R12) by 23 (90%) vs Lexington (0-4, D3 R8)
Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) (2-2, D4 R11) by 11 (74%) at East Liverpool (0-4, D4 R11)
Cleveland Heights (1-3, D1 R1) by 17 (84%) vs Maple Heights (2-2, D2 R3)
#30 Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (4-0, D4 R14) by 39 (99%) vs Washington (Washington Court House) (1-3, D3 R9)
#29 Clyde (4-0, D3 R8) by 40 (99%) vs Rogers (Toledo) (0-4, D3 R8)
#12 Coldwater (4-0, D5 R16) by 29 (95%) at Anna (3-1, D6 R22)
#31 Colerain (Cincinnati) (1-3, D1 R2) by 1 (52%) at #43 Lakota West (West Chester) (2-2, D1 R2)
Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (3-1, D6 R20) by 9 (70%) vs Bucyrus (3-1, D5 R16)
Columbia (Columbia Station) (3-1, D5 R16) by 21 (89%) vs Wellington (1-3, D5 R16)
Columbian (Tiffin) (2-2, D3 R8) by 25 (92%) vs Sandusky (1-3, D3 R8)
Conneaut (3-1, D4 R11) by 18 (84%) at Pymatuning Valley (Andover) (1-3, D5 R15)
Cory-Rawson (Rawson) (0-4, D7 R24) by 14 (78%) at Vanlue (1-3, D7 R24)
Coshocton (4-0, D5 R17) by 14 (79%) vs Danville (3-1, D7 R25)
Coventry (Akron) (2-2, D3 R7) by 8 (68%) vs Norton (0-4, D3 R7)
Covington (3-1, D7 R26) by 33 (97%) vs Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) (1-3, D7 R26)
Crestview (Convoy) (4-0, D6 R20) by 27 (94%) at Allen East (Harrod) (1-3, D6 R20)
Crestwood (Mantua) (4-0, D4 R11) by 29 (95%) at Garfield (Garrettsville) (2-2, D5 R15)
Crooksville (1-3, D6 R21) by 9 (70%) vs West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D5 R17)
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (1-3, D4 R11) by 5 (60%) at Tuslaw (Massillon) (0-4, D5 R15)
Dalton (3-1, D6 R19) by 21 (88%) at Rittman (2-2, D6 R19)
David Anderson (Lisbon) (3-1, D6 R19) by 24 (91%) vs East Palestine (1-3, D5 R15)
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (2-2, D6 R21) by 5 (61%) vs Waverly (2-2, D5 R17)
Dayton Christian (Miamisburg) (0-4, D6 R22) by 15 (81%) vs Elmwood (St Bernard) (0-3, D6 R22)
Delta (4-0, D5 R16) by 26 (93%) vs Liberty Center (1-3, D5 R16)
Dover (2-2, D3 R9) by 28 (94%) vs Waite (Toledo) (1-3, D3 R8)
#7 Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (4-0, D1 R2) by 28 (94%) at Marysville (3-1, D1 R1)
Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (2-2, D2 R5) by 28 (95%) vs Westerville North (Westerville) (1-3, D1 R2)
East (Akron) (2-2, D3 R7) by 25 (93%) vs North (Akron) (1-3, D3 R7)
East Knox (Howard) (0-4, D6 R21) by 1 (51%) vs Northmor (Galion) (2-2, D6 R21)
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (4-0, D5 R17) by 30 (95%) at Briggs (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R9)
Eastwood (Pemberville) (3-1, D5 R16) by 13 (77%) vs Genoa Area (Genoa) (3-1, D4 R12)
Edgewood (Ashtabula) (1-3, D4 R11) by 18 (84%) at Ledgemont (Thompson) (1-2, D7 R23)
Edison (Richmond) (1-3, D4 R13) by 5 (61%) at Union Local (Belmont) (2-2, D5 R17)
Edon (1-3, D7 R24) at Constantine () [MI] (4-0, D6) – no pick
Elder (Cincinnati) (3-1, D1 R2) vs Rosa Fort (Tunica) [MS] (1-4, D4) – no pick
Ellet (Akron) (3-1, D2 R4) by 31 (96%) at Barberton (0-4, D2 R4)
Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (3-1, D5 R16) by 17 (83%) vs Steele (Amherst) (1-3, D2 R4)
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (0-4, D6 R21) vs Wahama () [WV] (3-1, D6) – no pick
Field (Mogadore) (3-1, D4 R11) by 18 (84%) vs Springfield (Akron) (2-2, D3 R7)
Findlay (4-0, D1 R1) by 21 (89%) vs St John’s Jesuit (Toledo) (1-3, D2 R4)
Firelands (Oberlin) (3-1, D4 R12) by 21 (88%) at Oberlin (1-3, D6 R19)
Fort Loramie (2-2, D7 R26) by 30 (96%) vs Waynesfield-Goshen (Waynesfield) (1-3, D7 R26)
Fort Recovery (3-1, D7 R26) by 21 (89%) at Parkway (Rockford) (0-4, D6 R22)
Fredericktown (4-0, D6 R21) by 31 (96%) vs Mount Gilead (2-2, D5 R16)
Frontier (New Matamoras) (4-0, D7 R25) by 25 (92%) at Waterford (1-3, D7 R25)
Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (2-2, D4 R14) at Point Pleasant () [WV] (4-1, D3) – no pick
Garaway (Sugarcreek) (4-0, D6 R19) by 32 (97%) vs Newcomerstown (2-2, D6 R19)
Garfield (Akron) (1-3, D3 R7) by 8 (67%) at Kenmore (Akron) (1-3, D3 R7)
Geneva (2-2, D3 R7) by 21 (89%) vs Lakeside (Ashtabula) (0-4, D2 R3)
Gibsonburg (4-0, D6 R20) by 22 (90%) at Danbury (Lakeside) (2-2, D7 R24)
Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (4-0, D5 R15) by 31 (96%) vs Grand Valley (Orwell) (1-3, D5 R15)
Girard (3-1, D5 R15) by 28 (94%) at Newton Falls (1-3, D6 R19)
#42 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (2-2, D2 R3) by 52 (99%) vs Collinwood (Cleveland) (2-2, D3 R8)
Goshen (1-3, D3 R10) by 1 (50%) vs Williamsburg (1-3, D6 R22)
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (3-1, D6 R21) by 5 (62%) vs Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (2-1, D6 R21)
Granville (3-1, D3 R9) by 28 (95%) vs Utica (1-3, D4 R13)
Green (2-2, D1 R1) by 7 (65%) vs Revere (Richfield) (3-1, D3 R7)
Green (Franklin Furnace) (1-3, D7 R25) vs an unsanctioned team – no pick
Greeneview (Jamestown) (4-0, D5 R18) by 2 (55%) vs Triad (North Lewisburg) (3-1, D7 R26)
Grove City (1-3, D1 R2) by 18 (85%) at Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (2-2, D1 R2)
Grove City Christian (Grove City) (2-2, D7 R25) by 27 (94%) vs Worthington Christian (Worthington) (0-4, D6 R21)
Hamilton Township (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) by 8 (67%) vs Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (3-1, D4 R13)
Harrison (4-0, D2 R6) by 23 (91%) vs Talawanda (Oxford) (2-2, D3 R10)
Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (3-1, D7 R25) by 28 (94%) at Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (0-4, D7 R25)
Harvey (Painesville) (2-2, D3 R8) by 21 (89%) vs Wickliffe (1-3, D5 R15)
Hawken (Gates Mills) (2-2, D5 R15) at Western Reserve Academy (Hudson) (3-1, D7) – no pick
Heath (1-3, D4 R13) by 14 (79%) at Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4, D3 R9)
Hicksville (2-2, D7 R24) by 7 (65%) vs Fairview (Sherwood) (1-3, D6 R20)
Highland (Sparta) (1-3, D4 R12) by 13 (76%) at Elgin (Marion) (1-3, D5 R16)
Hillcrest Academy (Cincinnati) (0-3, D7 R26) at an unsanctioned team – no pick
#37 Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (3-1, D1 R2) by 25 (93%) vs Dublin Jerome (Dublin) (1-3, D2 R5)
#48 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (2-2, D1 R2) by 22 (90%) vs Central Crossing (Grove City) (2-2, D1 R2)
Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (3-1, D6 R19) by 5 (61%) vs Waynedale (Apple Creek) (2-2, D5 R16)
Holgate (2-2, D7 R24) by 3 (57%) at Antwerp (1-3, D7 R24)
Hoover (North Canton) (2-2, D1 R1) by 3 (56%) at Perry (Massillon) (2-2, D1 R1)
Howland (Warren) (3-1, D3 R7) by 26 (93%) vs Bowsher (Toledo) (1-3, D2 R4)
#22 Hubbard (4-0, D3 R7) by 7 (65%) at Poland Seminary (Poland) (4-0, D3 R7)
#5 Hudson (4-0, D1 R1) by 38 (99%) at Cuyahoga Falls (2-2, D1 R1)
Huron (3-1, D5 R16) by 5 (61%) vs Perkins (Sandusky) (3-1, D3 R8)

weeklyawards_content

Independence (2-2, D5 R15) by 29 (95%) vs Fairport Harding (Fairport Harbor) (0-4, D7 R23)
Independence (Columbus) (0-4, D3 R9) by 22 (90%) at South Urban Academy (Columbus) (1-3#, D4 R13)
Indian Hill (Cincinnati) (1-2, D4 R14) by 22 (90%) vs Deer Park (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R18)
Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-1, D4 R13) by 32 (97%) at Timken (Canton) (1-3, D2 R4)
Ironton (3-1, D5 R17) by 12 (74%) at Portsmouth (1-3, D5 R17)
Jackson (Massillon) (4-0, D1 R1) by 2 (55%) vs Glenoak (Canton) (3-1, D1 R1)
Jefferson Area (Jefferson) (4-0, D4 R11) by 26 (93%) vs Memorial (Campbell) (0-4, D5 R15)
John Adams (Cleveland) (1-3, D2 R3) by 1 (52%) vs John Hay (Cleveland) (0-4, D4 R11)
John Marshall (Cleveland) (1-3, D2 R3) by 1 (52%) at John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (0-4, D2 R3)
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0, D4 R13) by 13 (77%) vs Licking Valley (Newark) (3-1, D4 R13)
Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (1-3, D4 R14) by 2 (54%) at Galion (3-1, D4 R12)
Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (2-2, D3 R7) by 3 (57%) vs Chagrin Falls (1-3, D4 R11)
Kenton (2-2, D4 R12) by 23 (91%) at Shawnee (Lima) (1-3, D3 R8)
Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (4-0, D3 R10) by 28 (95%) at Northwestern (Springfield) (2-2, D4 R14)
Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) (2-2, D1 R2) by 19 (86%) vs Greenville (1-3, D3 R10)
Keystone (La Grange) (3-1, D4 R12) by 28 (94%) vs Brooklyn (1-3, D3 R8)
#39 Kings (Kings Mills) (4-0, D2 R6) by 10 (73%) vs Loveland (2-2, D2 R6)
Kirtland (4-0, D6 R19) by 23 (91%) at Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (3-1, D6 R19)
#13 La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-0, D2 R6) by 27 (94%) vs Northwest (Cincinnati) (3-1, D2 R6)
Lake (Millbury) (4-0, D4 R12) by 26 (93%) vs Woodmore (Elmore) (0-4, D6 R20)
Lakeview (Cortland) (2-2, D4 R11) by 34 (97%) vs Champion (Warren) (0-4, D5 R15)
Lakota (Kansas) (1-3, D6 R20) by 7 (66%) vs Woodward (Toledo) (0-4, D3 R8)
#15 Lakota East (Liberty Township) (4-0, D1 R2) by 20 (87%) at Fairfield (2-2, D1 R2)
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (2-2, D7 R26) by 15 (81%) vs Riverside (De Graff) (3-1, D7 R26)
Leipsic (2-2, D7 R24) by 11 (73%) vs Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (2-2, D7 R24)
Liberty (Youngstown) (3-1, D5 R15) by 1 (51%) at Labrae (Leavittsburg) (3-1, D5 R15)
Liberty Union (Baltimore) (3-1, D5 R17) by 2 (54%) vs Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-1, D4 R13)
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (4-0, D5 R16) by 31 (96%) vs Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (2-2, D6 R20)
Licking Heights (Pataskala) (3-1, D2 R5) by 35 (98%) vs Northridge (Johnstown) (1-3, D5 R17)
Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (3-1, D6 R20) by 6 (64%) vs Jefferson (Delphos) (4-0, D6 R20)
#49 Lima Senior (Lima) (4-0, D2 R6) by 24 (91%) at St Francis De Sales (Toledo) (1-3, D2 R4)
Lincoln (Gahanna) (2-2, D1 R2) by 29 (95%) at Newark (0-4, D1 R1)
Lincoln West (Cleveland) (1-2, D2 R3) by 20 (87%) vs Whitney Young (Cleveland) (0-4, D7 R23)
Logan (1-3, D2 R5) by 7 (65%) vs Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (3-1, D6 R21)
Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-0, D3 R9) by 27 (94%) vs Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-2, D4 R13)
Lorain (3-1, D1 R1) by 23 (90%) vs Shaw (East Cleveland) (1-3, D2 R3)
Loudonville (4-0, D6 R19) by 37 (98%) vs Willard (0-4, D5 R16)
Louisville (3-1, D3 R7) by 10 (72%) at Carrollton (4-0, D3 R9)
Lowellville (2-2, D7 R23) by 11 (74%) at Southern (Salineville) (1-3, D6 R19)
Lucas (2-2, D7 R23) by 15 (80%) vs Mathews (Vienna) (2-2, D7 R23)
Madeira (Cincinnati) (3-1, D5 R18) by 16 (82%) vs Reading (3-1, D5 R18)
#28 Madison (4-0, D2 R3) by 12 (74%) at Chardon (4-0, D3 R7)
Madison Plains (London) (3-1, D6 R22) by 13 (78%) vs London (1-3, D4 R14)
Malvern (0-4, D7 R23) by 14 (79%) at East Canton (0-4, D7 R23)
Manchester (Akron) (1-3, D5 R15) by 8 (68%) at Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (0-4, D4 R13)
Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (2-2, D2 R5) by 15 (80%) at Orrville (2-2, D5 R16)
Mapleton (Ashland) (2-2, D7 R23) by 12 (75%) at New London (1-3, D6 R20)
Mariemont (Cincinnati) (4-0, D5 R18) by 29 (95%) at Finneytown (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R18)
Marietta (2-2, D3 R9) vs Parkersburg (Parkersburg) [WV] (1-2, D1) – no pick
Marion Harding (Marion) (0-4, D2 R5) by 1 (50%) vs Scott (Toledo) (3-1, D4 R12)
#38 Marion Local (Maria Stein) (4-0, D7 R26) by 15 (80%) at St Henry (3-1, D6 R22)
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (3-1, D4 R13) by 23 (90%) at Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R9)
Marlington (Alliance) (1-3, D3 R7) by 1 (53%) vs Minerva (1-3, D4 R11)
Martins Ferry (3-1, D5 R17) by 8 (68%) at Harrison Central (Cadiz) (3-1, D5 R15)
Mason (2-2, D1 R2) by 13 (77%) vs Princeton (Cincinnati) (2-2, D2 R6)
#18 Massillon Washington (Massillon) (4-0, D2 R4) by 12 (75%) vs Steubenville (4-0, D4 R13)
Maumee (2-2, D3 R8) by 6 (63%) at Sylvania Northview (Sylvania) (2-2, D2 R4)
Mayfield (3-1, D2 R3) by 16 (81%) vs Elyria (2-2, D1 R1)
Maysville (Zanesville) (4-0, D4 R13) by 31 (96%) at River View (Warsaw) (0-4, D4 R13)
Mc Comb (3-1, D7 R24) by 31 (96%) vs Arcadia (2-2, D7 R24)
Mc Donald (4-0, D6 R19) by 28 (94%) at Mc Kinley (Sebring) (3-1, D7 R23)
Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1, D4 R13) by 8 (68%) at Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (1-3, D6 R21)
Meadowdale (Dayton) (2-2, D3 R10) by 12 (76%) vs Pontz Tech (Dayton) (2-2, D3 R10)
Mechanicsburg (3-1, D6 R22) by 11 (74%) vs Cedarville (2-2, D7 R26)
Medina (1-3, D1 R1) by 11 (74%) at North Royalton (0-4, D1 R1)
Meigs (Pomeroy) (2-2, D4 R14) by 12 (76%) vs River Valley (Cheshire) (3-1, D5 R17)
#2 Mentor (4-0, D1 R1) by 40 (99%) vs Brush (Lyndhurst) (1-3, D2 R3)
Miami East (Casstown) (4-0, D6 R22) by 31 (96%) at Mississinawa Valley (Union City) (0-4, D7 R26)
Miami Trace (Washington Court House) (2-2, D4 R14) by 34 (98%) vs Mc Clain (Greenfield) (0-4, D4 R14)
Miami Valley Christian (Cincinnati) (3-1, D7 R26) by 11 (73%) vs Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) (1-3, D7 R26)
Middletown (1-3, D1 R2) by 21 (88%) at Hamilton (0-4, D1 R2)
Milford (3-1, D1 R2) by 3 (58%) at Anderson (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6)
Minster (2-2, D6 R22) by 4 (60%) vs Versailles (3-1, D6 R22)
Mogadore (4-0, D6 R19) by 6 (64%) at Woodridge (Peninsula) (3-1, D4 R11)
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (2-2, D6 R21) by 13 (78%) at Fort Frye (Beverly) (3-1, D6 R21)
Montpelier (2-2, D6 R20) by 8 (67%) at Evergreen (Metamora) (1-3, D6 R20)
#47 Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (4-0, D2 R6) by 37 (98%) at Little Miami (Morrow) (0-3, D2 R6)
National Trail (New Paris) (1-3, D6 R22) by 9 (69%) at Ansonia (0-4, D7 R26)
New Albany (2-2, D2 R5) by 36 (98%) vs Franklin Heights (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R5)
New Miami (Hamilton) (3-1, D7 R26) by 6 (64%) at Lockland (1-3, D7 R26)
New Philadelphia (2-2, D3 R9) by 2 (54%) at Northwest (Canal Fulton) (3-1, D4 R11)
New Richmond (2-2, D3 R10) by 19 (86%) vs Bethel-Tate (Bethel) (3-1, D5 R18)
Niles Mc Kinley (Niles) (1-3, D3 R7) by 12 (75%) vs Beaver (Lisbon) (2-2, D4 R11)
#32 Nordonia (Macedonia) (4-0, D2 R4) by 41 (99%) vs Cloverleaf (Lodi) (0-4, D3 R8)
North College Hill (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R18) by 9 (70%) vs Clark Montessori (Cincinnati) (2-2, D5 R18)
North Ridgeville (3-1, D2 R4) by 15 (80%) at Rocky River (3-1, D3 R8)
North Union (Richwood) (3-1, D5 R18) by 26 (93%) at Upper Sandusky (2-2, D4 R12)
Northland (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R5) by 28 (95%) at East (Columbus) (0-4, D5 R17)
Norwalk (4-0, D3 R8) by 32 (97%) vs Ontario (Mansfield) (2-2, D4 R12)
Norwood (2-2, D4 R14) by 13 (78%) at Batavia (2-2, D4 R14)
Notre Dame (Portsmouth) (1-3, D7 R25) by 11 (74%) at Fayetteville-Perry (Fayetteville) (0-4, D6 R22)
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (3-1, D4 R11) by 19 (86%) at Struthers (2-2, D4 R11)
Oak Harbor (1-3, D4 R12) by 5 (60%) at Edison (Milan) (2-2, D5 R16)
Oak Hill (3-1, D6 R21) by 4 (58%) at Minford (3-1, D4 R14)
Oak Hills (Cincinnati) (1-3, D1 R2) by 4 (59%) at Sycamore (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R2)
Oakwood (Dayton) (1-3, D4 R14) by 4 (60%) at Madison (Middletown) (0-4, D5 R18)
#16 Olentangy (Lewis Center) (4-0, D2 R5) by 24 (92%) vs Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) (2-2, D2 R5)
#35 Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (3-1, D1 R1) by 15 (81%) vs Upper Arlington (Columbus) (3-1, D1 R2)
Open Door Christian (Elyria) (0-4, D7 R23) by 4 (60%) vs Saint John (Ashtabula) (0-3, D7 R23)
Otsego (Tontogany) (0-4, D4 R12) by 9 (69%) at Elmwood (Bloomdale) (0-4, D6 R20)
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (4-0, D5 R16) by 31 (96%) at Defiance (0-4, D3 R8)
Padua Franciscan (Parma) (1-3, D3 R8) by 3 (57%) at Holy Name (Parma Heights) (2-2, D4 R11)
Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (2-2, D7 R25) by 5 (62%) vs Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (2-2, D5 R17)
Patrick Henry (Hamler) (2-2, D6 R20) by 17 (83%) vs Paulding (1-3, D5 R16)
Perry (3-1, D4 R11) by 9 (70%) at West Geauga (Chesterland) (2-2, D3 R7)
#19 Perrysburg (4-0, D2 R4) by 23 (90%) at Napoleon (4-0, D3 R8)
Philo (Duncan Falls) (2-2, D4 R13) by 8 (67%) at John Glenn (New Concord) (2-2, D4 R13)
#23 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (4-0, D1 R2) by 17 (83%) at Reynoldsburg (1-3, D1 R2)
Pickerington North (Pickerington) (1-3, D1 R2) by 2 (54%) at Lancaster (2-2, D1 R2)
Piqua (2-2, D2 R6) by 25 (92%) at Fairborn (1-3, D2 R6)
Pleasant (Marion) (4-0, D5 R16) by 9 (70%) vs River Valley (Caledonia) (2-2, D4 R12)
Plymouth (3-1, D7 R23) by 26 (93%) vs Monroeville (0-4, D7 R23)
Port Clinton (3-1, D4 R12) by 5 (60%) vs Margaretta (Castalia) (3-1, D5 R16)
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (2-2, D5 R17) by 17 (84%) vs South Point (2-2, D5 R17)
Preble Shawnee (Camden) (3-1, D5 R18) by 5 (61%) vs Milton-Union (West Milton) (1-3, D5 R18)
Ravenna (1-3, D3 R7) by 2 (55%) at Roosevelt (Kent) (1-3, D2 R3)
Rhodes (Cleveland) (3-1, D2 R3) by 4 (59%) at East Technical (Cleveland) (1-3, D2 R3)
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (3-1, D6 R21) by 38 (98%) at Strasburg-Franklin (Strasburg) (1-3, D7 R25)
River (Hannibal) (1-3, D6 R21) at Paden City () [WV] (1-2, D7) – no pick
Riverside (Painesville) (3-1, D2 R3) by 27 (94%) at North (Eastlake) (0-4, D2 R3)
Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) (3-1, D7 R26) by 4 (59%) at Manchester (2-2, D7 R26)
Rock Hill (Ironton) (1-3, D5 R17) by 7 (66%) at Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) (2-2, D7 R25)
Ross (Hamilton) (2-2, D3 R10) by 7 (66%) vs Edgewood (Trenton) (1-3, D2 R6)
Rossford (0-4, D4 R12) by 6 (64%) vs Fostoria (3-1, D4 R12)
Salem (2-2, D4 R11) by 1 (51%) vs Alliance (2-2, D3 R7)
Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (3-1, D5 R15) by 1 (52%) at Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (4-0, D7 R25)
Shadyside (4-0, D7 R25) by 25 (92%) at Toronto (3-1, D7 R23)
Shawnee (Springfield) (2-2, D3 R10) by 30 (96%) at Greenon (Springfield) (0-4, D4 R14)
Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (0-4, D6 R21) by 1 (52%) vs Barnesville (0-4, D6 R21)
Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R9) by 39 (99%) vs Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (0-4, D4 R13)
Shroder (Cincinnati) (3-1, D5 R18) by 21 (89%) vs Hughes Center (Cincinnati) (1-3, D3 R10)
Smithville (2-2, D6 R19) by 1 (50%) at Northwestern (West Salem) (2-2, D5 R16)
#21 Solon (4-0, D1 R1) by 39 (99%) vs Valley Forge (Parma Heights) (0-4, D2 R3)
South (Willoughby) (1-3, D2 R3) by 8 (68%) at University School (Hunting Valley) (2-2, D3 R8)
South Central (Greenwich) (1-3, D6 R20) by 1 (52%) at Crestview (Ashland) (1-3, D6 R20)
South Gallia (Crown City) (2-2, D7 R25) by 2 (55%) at Eastern (Reedsville) (2-2, D7 R25)
South Range (North Lima) (3-1, D6 R19) by 18 (84%) at Crestview (Columbiana) (2-2, D5 R15)
Southeastern Local (South Charleston) (0-4, D7 R26) by 1 (52%) at Catholic Central (Springfield) (0-4, D7 R26)
Spencerville (4-0, D6 R20) by 13 (77%) vs Columbus Grove (3-1, D7 R24)
#25 Springboro (3-1, D1 R2) by 9 (70%) at Northmont (Clayton) (2-2, D1 R2)
Springfield (1-3, D1 R2) by 1 (53%) vs Butler (Vandalia) (1-3, D2 R6)
Springfield (Holland) (3-1, D2 R4) by 9 (71%) vs Bowling Green (2-2, D3 R8)
Springfield (New Middletown) (3-1, D6 R19) by 5 (62%) at Columbiana (3-1, D6 R19)
St Charles (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R5) vs an unsanctioned team – no pick
St Clairsville (4-0, D5 R17) by 14 (79%) at Indian Creek (Wintersville) (4-0, D4 R13)
#6 St Edward (Lakewood) (3-1, D1 R1) at Bergen Catholic (Oradell) [NJ] (2-1, D2) – no pick
#27 St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R9) by 37 (98%) at Warrensville Heights (1-3, D5 R15)
#8 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (3-1, D1 R1) at Paramus Catholic (Paramus) [NJ] (3-0, D2) – no pick
St John Central (Bellaire) (3-1, D7 R25) at Clay-Battelle () [WV] (3-0, D7) – no pick
St John’s (Delphos) (2-2, D7 R24) by 28 (94%) at New Bremen (0-4, D6 R22)
St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (0-4, D7 R24) by 19 (86%) at Hardin Northern (Dola) (2-2, D7 R26)
St Mary Central Catholic (Sandusky) (2-2, D7 R23) by 23 (90%) vs Seneca East (Attica) (0-4, D6 R20)
St Paul (Norwalk) (3-1, D7 R23) by 26 (93%) at Western Reserve (Collins) (1-3, D5 R16)
St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (3-1, D6 R19) by 38 (98%) vs Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (0-4, D7 R23)
St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (2-2, D3 R7) by 7 (66%) vs Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (4-0, D3 R7)
#1 St Wendelin (Fostoria) (0-4, D7 R24) vs Horizon Science Academy (Toledo) (0-4, D7) – no pick
#4 St Xavier (Cincinnati) (3-1, D1 R2) by 1 (51%) vs #3 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R2)
Start (Toledo) (2-2, D2 R4) by 29 (95%) vs Vermilion (1-3, D4 R12)
Stebbins (Riverside) (2-2, D2 R6) by 13 (76%) vs Graham (St Paris) (1-3, D3 R10)
#44 Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) (4-0, D1 R1) by 26 (93%) at Shaker Heights (1-3, D1 R1)
Streetsboro (4-0, D4 R11) by 17 (84%) vs Southeast (Ravenna) (0-4, D4 R11)
Strongsville (3-1, D1 R1) by 22 (90%) at Parma (1-3, D2 R3)
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (2-2, D2 R4) by 14 (79%) at Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) (1-3, D2 R4)
Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (2-2, D7 R25) by 18 (85%) vs Northwest (Mc Dermott) (1-3, D5 R17)
Taft (Cincinnati) (2-2, D3 R10) by 39 (99%) vs Aiken (Cincinnati) (1-3, D7 R26)
#45 Tallmadge (4-0, D3 R7) by 5 (61%) at Copley (4-0, D2 R4)
Teays Valley (Ashville) (3-1, D2 R5) by 3 (57%) at Circleville (3-1, D4 R14)
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (4-0, D2 R6) by 14 (79%) vs Urbana (2-2, D4 R14)
Tinora (Defiance) (4-0, D6 R20) by 24 (91%) vs Edgerton (2-2, D7 R24)
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (4-0, D3 R10) by 27 (94%) vs Indian Lake (Lewistown) (1-3, D4 R12)
Toledo Christian (Toledo) (3-1, D7 R24) by 12 (75%) vs Ottawa Hills (Toledo) (1-3, D7 R24)
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (4-0, D6 R22) by 22 (89%) at Bethel (Tipp City) (3-1, D6 R22)
Trimble (Glouster) (4-0, D7 R25) by 45 (99%) at Miller (Corning) (0-4, D7 R25)
Trinity (Garfield Heights) (2-2, D7 R23) vs Linsly (Wheeling) [WV] (1-2, D6) – no pick
Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D3 R9) by 31 (96%) vs New Lexington (2-2, D4 R13)
Triway (Wooster) (4-0, D4 R12) by 27 (94%) at Fairless (Navarre) (1-3, D5 R15)
#36 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (3-1, D3 R10) by 4 (58%) at Lebanon (2-2, D1 R2)
Troy Christian (Troy) (2-2, D7 R26) by 18 (85%) vs Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) (1-3, D5 R18)
Turpin (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6) by 1 (53%) at Glen Este (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6)
Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (3-0, D6 R22) by 5 (62%) at Arcanum (1-3, D6 R22)
Twinsburg (0-4, D2 R4) by 3 (57%) at Garfield Heights (3-1, D2 R3)
Unioto (Chillicothe) (3-1, D4 R14) by 29 (95%) vs Southeastern (Chillicothe) (0-4, D5 R17)
United (Hanoverton) (3-1, D5 R15) by 12 (76%) at Jackson-Milton (North Jackson) (3-1, D6 R19)
Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey) (2-2, D7 R26) by 11 (73%) at Perry (Lima) (0-4, D7 R24)
Ursuline (Youngstown) (2-2, D5 R15) by 1 (51%) at Warren G Harding (Warren) (2-2, D1 R1)
Valley (Lucasville) (4-0, D6 R21) by 29 (95%) vs Fairland (Proctorville) (0-4, D5 R17)
Valley View (Germantown) (3-1, D4 R14) by 1 (52%) at Franklin (2-2, D3 R10)
Van Buren (3-1, D6 R20) by 16 (81%) vs North Baltimore (3-1, D7 R24)
Van Wert (1-3, D5 R16) by 4 (59%) vs Elida (1-3, D3 R8)
Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (2-2, D6 R19) at East (Erie) [PA] (0-4, D3) – no pick
Wadsworth (3-1, D1 R1) by 14 (79%) vs Highland (Medina) (2-2, D2 R4)
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-2, D2 R4) vs Detroit U of D Jesuit () [MI] (2-2, D2) – no pick
Wapakoneta (4-0, D3 R10) by 9 (69%) at Celina (3-1, D3 R10)
Warren (Vincent) (1-3, D4 R13) by 22 (89%) at Chesapeake (2-2, D5 R17)
Waterloo (Atwater) (2-2, D6 R19) by 13 (77%) at Rootstown (2-2, D6 R19)
Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (4-0, D2 R5) by 14 (78%) vs Newark Catholic (Newark) (3-1, D6 R21)
Wauseon (4-0, D4 R12) by 21 (88%) at Archbold (0-4, D5 R16)
#10 Wayne (Huber Heights) (4-0, D1 R2) by 16 (83%) vs Miamisburg (4-0, D1 R2)
Wayne Trace (Haviland) (3-1, D6 R20) by 11 (74%) vs Ayersville (Defiance) (4-0, D6 R20)
Waynesville (3-1, D5 R18) by 35 (98%) at Dixie (New Lebanon) (0-4, D6 R22)
Wellston (2-2, D5 R17) by 7 (65%) vs Alexander (Albany) (2-2, D5 R17)
Wellsville (2-2, D7 R23) by 24 (92%) at Leetonia (1-3, D7 R23)
West (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R9) by 24 (92%) at Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (1-3, D7 R25)
West Branch (Beloit) (1-3, D4 R11) by 3 (57%) vs Canton South (Canton) (0-4, D3 R7)
West Jefferson (1-3, D5 R18) by 25 (93%) vs Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) (0-4, D7 R25)
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (4-0, D6 R22) by 17 (83%) vs Northeastern (Springfield) (2-2, D5 R18)
Western Brown (Mount Orab) (4-0, D3 R10) by 41 (99%) at Jefferson Township (Dayton) (0-4, D7 R26)
Western Hills (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6) by 21 (88%) vs Woodward (Cincinnati) (1-3, D3 R10)
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (4-0, D7 R23) by 31 (96%) at Mineral Ridge (1-3, D7 R23)
#11 Westerville Central (Westerville) (4-0, D1 R1) by 33 (97%) at Canal Winchester (1-3, D2 R5)
#41 Westerville South (Westerville) (3-1, D1 R2) by 11 (74%) at Bradley (Hilliard) (3-1, D2 R5)
Westfall (Williamsport) (1-3, D5 R17) by 8 (68%) at Piketon (2-2, D5 R17)
Westlake (2-2, D2 R3) by 1 (52%) vs Olmsted Falls (1-3, D2 R3)
Westland (Galloway) (2-2, D1 R2) by 6 (62%) at Thomas Worthington (Worthington) (0-4, D2 R5)
Wheelersburg (4-0, D5 R17) by 3 (57%) vs Jackson (4-0, D3 R9)
Whitmer (Toledo) (2-2, D1 R1) by 22 (89%) at Clay (Oregon) (1-3, D2 R4)
Wilmington (4-0, D3 R10) by 32 (96%) at East Clinton (Lees Creek) (0-4, D5 R18)
Windham (0-4, D7 R23) by 1 (52%) vs Lutheran East (Cleveland Heights) (2-1, D7 R23)
Withrow (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R6) by 1 (50%) at Walnut Hills (Cincinnati) (0-4, D2 R6)
Wooster (1-3, D2 R5) by 5 (61%) at Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (2-2, D3 R8)
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (3-1, D2 R5) by 16 (82%) at Mount Vernon (3-1, D2 R5)
Wynford (Bucyrus) (3-1, D6 R20) by 25 (92%) vs Mohawk (Sycamore) (0-4, D7 R24)
Wyoming (Cincinnati) (3-1, D4 R14) by 12 (76%) at Taylor (North Bend) (4-0, D4 R14)
Xenia (3-1, D2 R6) by 23 (91%) vs Troy (0-4, D2 R6)
Zanesville (1-3, D2 R5) by 9 (69%) vs Cambridge (2-2, D3 R9)
Week #1: 244-102 (70.5%)
Week #2: 263-82 (76.2%)
Week #3: 276-70 (79.8%)
Week #4: 277-71 (79.6%)

Detailed results after week #4
Season: 1060-325 (76.5%)
Within 7 points: 370 (26.7%)
Within 3 points: 176 (12.7%)
Winner and exact margin: 26 (1.9%)
Avg. error on scores: 14.53 pts.
Week #4 onward: 277-71 (79.6%)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *