Who We Say Wins the State Semifinals: Eric Frantz and Drew Pasteur go head-to-head

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Another excruciatingly close one last week. One game. One game – again. That’s how much better Drew Pastuer and the Fantastic 50 was in the regional finals than me. DP went 25-3. I went 24-4. Both performances were dramatic improvements over what we did last year.

DP went 4-0 in Divisions II, IV, V and VI. I went 4-0 in Divisions II, IV, V, VI and VII. I also went 2-2 in both D-I and D-III.

Now on to the State Semifinals. What we see…and Happy Thanksgiving.

2013 STATE SEMIFINAL PICKS

DIVISION I PICKS

Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 30

Home Team Listed First. Div. I state championship game is Sat., Dec. 7 (time TBA)

Region 1

EF: 1 Lakewood St. Edward (11-1) vs. 2 Mentor (12-1) at University of Akron InfoCision Stadium – Summa Field: St. Edward
DP: Region 1: #1 St Edward (Lakewood) (11-1) by 3 (57%) vs #2 Mentor (12-1)
*Mentor has one parochial pelt (St. Ignatius). Can it get another? The Cards and Eagles are about to put on a show. We think St. Ed survives. Barely.

Region 2

EF: 1 Hilliard Davidson (13-0) vs. 2 Cin. Archbishop Moeller (12-1) at Dayton Welcome Stadium: Moeller
DP; Region 2: #3 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (12-1) by 3 (57%) vs #4 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (13-0)
*Davidson is legit. If there were any questions about that when the playoffs started, they’ve been answered loud and clear. Moeller is coming off an impressive win over another ground-dominated offense in Colerain (35-326). Crusaders QB Gus Ragland (205 yards, four TDs against Colerain) could be the wildcard.

DIVISION II PICKS

Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 29

Div. II state championship game is either Thursday, Dec. 5 or Friday, Dec. 6 (time TBA)

EF: 1 Cle. Glenville (12-1) vs. 1 Medina Highland (13-0) at Parma Byers Field: Glenville
DP: #10 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (12-1) by 4 (60%) vs #19 Highland (Medina) (13-0)
*Glenville is one win away from its first state final since 2009. The Tarblooders, however, face a Highland team that’s had an impressive run through the postseason (wins over Avon Lake, Massillon Washington and Avon). Expect Glenville’s defense (specifically the secondary) to impact the outcome greatly.

EF: 3 Zanesville (13-0) vs. 1 Loveland (13-0) at Columbus St. Francis DeSales Alumni Stadium: Loveland
DP: #9 Zanesville (13-0) by 4 (60%) vs #15 Loveland (13-0)
*Zanesville has an explosive offense (48.9 ppg). Loveland has a defense that doesn’t give up points (8.3 ppg). We’re going with the defense.  Both teams own six wins over playoff teams. Zanesville was No. 2 in the final National Guard JJHuddle D-II Power Poll. Loveland was No. 3. Coming into this season, both programs had one postseason win each in their history. They’ve won three straight now.

DIVISION III PICKS

Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 29

Home Teams Listed First. Div. III state championship game is either Thurs., Dec. 5 or Friday, Dec. 6 (time TBA)

EF: 1 Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary (13-0) vs. 2 Cols. Marion-Franklin (12-1) at New Philadelphia Woody Hayes Quaker Stadium: St Vincent-St Mary
DP: #6 St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (13-0) by 17 (86%) vs #34 Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (12-1)
*Solid match up pitting northeast and central Ohio powers. Marion-Franklin can score. Question is can they stop the Irish? Last week the Red Devils held an Athens offense averaging 57.5 points a game to seven. SVSM, led by Ohio State RB recruit Parris Campbell, is a totally different animal. Campbell is as explosive as anyone in Ohio.

EF: 2 Clyde (12-1) vs. 7 Trotwood-Madison (10-2) at Lima Stadium: Trotwood-Madison
DP: #21 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (10-2$) by 4 (59%) vs #29 Clyde (12-1)
*It wasn’t supposed to be like this. Trotwood was supposed to have a rematch with defending state champion Toledo Central Catholic, who edged the Rams in last year’s state final. Clyde didn’t care. The Fliers pulled out the state’s biggest shocker last week when they outlasted the Irish 42-41. Their reward? The Rams, who are looking to reach their fourth straight state final.

 

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DIVISION IV PICKS

Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 29

Home Teams Listed First. Div. IV state championship game is either Thursday, Dec. 5 or Friday, Dec. 6 (time TBA)

EF: 3 Youngstown Cardinal Mooney (9-4) vs. 8 Steubenville (9-4) at Canton Fawcett Stadium: Mooney
DP: #26 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (9-4) by 17 (86%) vs Steubenville (9-4)
*This game wreaks tradition. The teams have combined for 11 state titles, 52 playoff appearances (26 each) and 109 playoff wins (both have at least 50). One of them is going to earn the right to play for another championship. We lean Mooney.

EF: 2 Kenton (13-0) vs. 2 Clarksville Clinton-Massie (12-1) at Dayton Welcome Stadium: Kenton
DP: #18 Kenton (13-0) by 8 (69%) vs #38 Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (12-1)
*Toughest game in the state to call. One thing we know for sure – this one has star and firepower. Kenton owns the record-setting pass and catch combo of quarterback Grant Sherman and Justin Sawmiller who have both set state and national records this season. Last week Sherman completed a national HS record 57 passes in a 46-43 win over Bryan. Sawmiller caught 24 passes in the game. Massie counters with its own offensive hammer in record-setting RB Bayle Wolfe. Wolfe has scored 107 career TDs (No. 6 all-time in state history), including 97 on the ground. “Ground and Pound” vs “Fun and Gun.” It’s on.

DIVISION V PICKS

Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 30

Home Teams Listed First. Div. V state championship game is Sat., Dec. 7 (time TBA)

EF: 1 Akron Manchester (11-2) vs. 1 Cols. Bishop Hartley (12-1) at Mansfield Arlin Field: Hartley
DP: #24 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (12-1) by 20 (90%) vs Manchester (Akron) (11-2)
*One thing is for sure – these teams will run it. Manchester rushed for 616 yards (seventh best single-game effort ever in Ohio history) and Hartley RB Sam Mackowiak ran for 240 yards and five TDs on 24 carries last week.

EF: 5 Coldwater (11-2) vs. 1 West Jefferson (12-1) at Piqua Alexander Stadium – Purk Field: Coldwater
DP: #32 Coldwater (11-2) by 9 (72%) vs West Jefferson (12-1)
*The Cavaliers are one win away from their fifth straight state final appearance (and a potential rematch with Hartley). West Jefferson is in its first state semifinal since 1982. The Roughriders lone loss this season is to Midwest Athletic Conference member Marion Local. Now they face another MAC opponent in Coldwater.  These two have history as well. The Cavs beat West Jeff in the D-V Region 20 final in 2010 (44-12_ and 2011 (28-6).

DIVISION VI PICKS

Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 29

Home Teams Listed First. Div. VI state championship game is either Thursday, Dec. 5 or Friday, Dec. 6 (time TBA)

EF: 1 Kirtland (13-0) vs. 2 Cols. Bishop Ready (12-1) at Mansfield Arlin Field: Ready
DP: #45 Bishop Ready (Columbus) (12-1) by 3 (56%) vs Kirtland (13-0)
*This should have been allowed to have been a state final. Kirtland was No. 1 in the final AP state poll. Ready was No. 1 in the final National Guard JJHuddle Power Poll. We have our playoff.

EF: 5 Haviland Wayne Trace (12-1) vs. 4 Mechanicsburg (11-2) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Wayne Trace
DP: Wayne Trace (Haviland) (12-1) by 10 (74%) vs Mechanicsburg (11-2)
*Great small school match up. Both are playing in their first state semifinals and one is going to earn a shot at the state title. Biggest question is can the Burg slow down Wayne Trace’s offense. The Raiders have been held under 40 just twice all season. Burg hasn’t allowed more than 28.

DIVISION VII PICKS

Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 30

Home Teams Listed First. Div. VII state championship game is Sat., Dec. 7 (time TBA)

EF: 1 Berlin Center Western Reserve (13-0) vs. 1 Glouster Trimble (13-0) at St. Clairsville Red Devil Stadium: Trimble
DP: Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (13-0) by 1 (52%) vs Trimble (Glouster) (13-0)
*Western Reserve has beaten an impressive eight playoff teams (in 13 games) this season. Last week the WR defense was especially stout, holding Norwalk St. Paul to 34 total yards. Speaking of defense, Trimble has one of the state’s best. The Tomcats didn’t allow Shadyside to cross the 50-yardline in the second half of their win over the Tigers. Trimble has yielded 69 points all season.

EF: 3 Maria Stein Marion Local (13-0) vs. 8 Delphos St. John’s (9-4) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Marion Local
DP: #25 Marion Local (Maria Stein) (13-0) by 24 (93%) vs Delphos St John’s (9-4)
*A MAC team is assured of going home as the state has set up another annual state semifinal meeting between conference brethren Marion Local and Delphos St. John’s. This is the third time in five years these two have been bracketed to meet in the state semifinals. The last two meetings (a 21-14 ML win in 2011 and a 13-7 DSJ win in OT in 2009) we’re close. During the regular season ML won 28-14.

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State Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: TBA
EF Picks 2012: 7-5 (58%)
EF Picks 2011: 9-3 (75%)
EF Picks 2010: 8-4 (67%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: TBA
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 6-6 (50%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 7-5 (58%)

Regional Final History

EF Picks 2013: 24-4 (86%)
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 25-3 (89%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79.5%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

Regular Season Recap

WHIO TV 2013 Picks Final:
Last Week: 6-0
Season Total: 51-9 (85%)
Finished strong with another 6-0 week and finished second overall in WHIO TV’s contest. Congrats to shadatc who went 54-6.

Columbus ThisWeek Picks Final:
Last Week: 12-3
Season Total: 114-36 (76%)
After finishing middle of the pack last year, I finished first overall this season. Feels good to have proof that I kind of know what I’m talking about.

Ohio Statewide Slate
Last Week: 16-4
Season Total: 146-54 (73%)
Finished on an upward swing after some less than impressive weeks.

 

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