Who We Say Wins the Regional Finals: Eric Frantz and Drew Pasteur go head-to-head

Close one last week. One game. That’s how much better Drew Pastuer and the Fantastic 50 was in the regional semifinals than me. DP went 41-15. I went 40-16.

DP went 8-0 in Division I and 7-1 in D-VII. My best divisions were I (7-1) and VII (7-1) as well. Our worst divisions? DP went 4-4 in D-II. I went 4-4 in D-VI.

Now on to the Regional Finals. What we see…

2013 REGIONAL FINAL PICKS

DIVISION I PICKS

Division I Regional Semifinals
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 23
Div. I regional finals are Sat., Nov. 30

Region 1

EF: 1 Lakewood St. Edward (10‐1) vs. 4 Austintown Fitch (12‐0) at University of Akron InfoCision Stadium – Summa Field: St. Edward
DP: #1 St Edward (Lakewood) (10-1) by 9 (71%) vs #4 Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (12-0)
*Match up of Northeast Ohio powers. Big question is can Fitch’s defense keep par with St. Edward’s? The Falcons have given up 45 points in wins over Westerville Central and Marysville. The Eagles have allowed seven in wins over Shaker Heights and Cleveland Heights.

EF:2 Mentor (11‐1) vs. 11 Cle. St. Ignatius (8‐4) at Parma Byers Field: St. Ignatius
DP: #11 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (8-4) by 6 (64%) vs #2 Mentor (11-1)
* Way back in Week 2, St. Ignatius beat Mentor 26-6. Since then the Cardinals have won 10 straight, including playoff wins over Brunswick (42-0) and Stow-Munroe Falls (43-0). Against Stow, Mentor built a 40-0 halftime lead and had four first half turnovers on defense. St. Ignatius rallied from a 14-0 deficit to beat Hudson 28-17. The Wildcats ran a reverse for their final TD with nine seconds left.

Region 2

EF: 1 Hilliard Davidson (12‐0) vs. 5 Huber Heights Wayne (11‐1) at Upper Arlington Marv Moorehead Stadium: Davidson
DP: #1 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (12-0) by 7 (67%) vs #5 Wayne (Huber Heights) (11-1)
*Wayne is the first Dayton-area team to make the D-I Elite Eight since the Braxton Miller-led Warriors did it in 2010. That year Wayne finished state runner-up to St. Edward. The Warriors held Dublin Coffman to 54 yards rushing in a 31-10 win last week. Davidson, however, is an entirely different beast on the ground. The Wildcats defense will be tasked with stopping Wayne junior QB D’Mitrik Trice whose thrown  for 35 TDs and five INTs this season.

EF: 2 Cin. Archbishop Moeller (11‐1) vs. 6 Cin. Colerain (12‐0) at Mason Dwire Field at Atrium Stadium: Colerain
DP: #2 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (11-1) by 1 (53%) vs #6 Colerain (Cincinnati) (12-0)
* Defending D-I state champion Moeller and No. 1 ranked Colerain (National Guard JJHuddle Power Poll & AP) meet in a highly anticipated match up. Moeller shut out Elder 24-0 last week, thanks in part to five turnovers and an interception return for a TD by Will Mercurio. Colerain escaped a solid Pickerington Central squad 38-20. The Cardinals trailed 10-0 in the second quarter. Moeller beat Colerain 24-21 in last year’s Region 4 final. Senior RB DeTuan Smith (1,685 yards, 18 TDs) and senior QB Kelvin Cook (1,584 yards, 18 TDs) are a formidable duo for Colerain.

DIVISION II PICKS

Division II Regional Finals
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 22
State semifinals are Fri., Nov. 29: Region 3 vs. Region 4 … Region 5 vs. Region 6

Region 3
EF: 1 Cle. Glenville (11‐1) vs. 6 Madison (10‐2) at Mentor Jerome T. Osborne Sr. Stadium: Glenville
DP: #1 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (11-1) by 16 (84%) vs #6 Madison (10-2)
*Madison is on the best postseason run in school history. The Blue Streaks had one previous playoff win until this year and now find themselves in a  regional final. Glenville allowed over 10 points for just the second time since Week 3 in a 26-12 victory over Bedford last week.

Region 4
EF: 1 Medina Highland (12‐0) vs. 2 Avon (12‐0) at Brunswick Judy Kirsch Field: Highland
DP: #1 Highland (Medina) (12-0) by 3 (57%) vs #2 Avon (12-0)
*Hard to pick against Avon, but considering what Highland did last week (Beat Massillon 17-14) it’s hard not to like them even more. Highland has won 16 straight and limited Massillon to 62 yards rushing on 30 attempts.

Region 5
EF: 1 New Albany (11‐1) vs. 3 Zanesville (12‐0) at Columbus St. Francis DeSales Alumni Stadium: Zanesville
DP: #3 Zanesville (12-0) by 10 (73%) vs #1 New Albany (11-1)
*Zanesville’s historic season continues. The Blue Devils, who finished 10-0 for the second time ever, now find themselves in their first regional final. Prior to this year, Zanesville had one postseason victory in history. In its last four games – including playoff wins over St. Charles and Worthington Kilbourne – Zanesville has outscored the opposition 205-0. New Albany lost to Kilbourne 14-12 in Week 9. Zanesville has beaten five playoff teams this year.

Region 6
EF: 1 Loveland (12‐0) vs. 2 Cin. Mount Healthy (11‐1) at Lockland Roettger Field: Loveland
DP: #1 Loveland (12-0) by 11 (76%) vs #2 Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (11-1)
*The anticipated Winton Woods-Loveland rematch never materialized as Mt. Healthy beat WW 13-10 last week. The Owls are riding a 10-game win streak, while Loveland has allowed 81 points in 12 games. Both teams are playing in their first regional final.

DIVISION III PICKS

Division III Regional Finals
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 22
State semifinals are Fri., Nov. 29: Region 7 vs. Region 9 … Region 8 vs. Region 10

Region 7
EF: 1 Akron St. Vincent‐St. Mary (12‐0) vs. 2 Hubbard (12‐0) at Ravenna Gilcrest Field: Akron SVSM
DP: #1 Akron SVSM (12-0) by 15 (82%) vs #2 Hubbard (12-0)
*JJHuddle writer Tim Rogers says this is going to be Northeast Ohio’s best playoff game this weekend. Hubbard has beaten eight teams with wining records and is the regional finals for the first time since 2000.  Akron SVSM is riding an 18-game win streak. Hubbard has lost to SVSM its last two trips to the postseason (2012 and 2010).

Region 8
EF: 1 Toledo Central Catholic (12‐0) vs. 2 Clyde (11‐1) at Bowling Green State University Doyt Perry Stadium: Toledo Central Catholic
DP: #1 Toledo Central Catholic (12-0) by 15 (83%) vs #2 Clyde (11-1)
*Toledo Central Catholic was expected to gbe in this position. Clyde? Not so much. But after 12 weeks the Fliers remain. Clyde avenged its only loss this season with a 19-6 win over Perkins last week. TCC continued its hot streak by rolling over Columbian (42-13). The Irish have allowed over 14 points just twice this season.

Region 9
EF: 1 The Plains Athens (12‐0) vs. 2 Cols. Marion‐Franklin (11‐1) at Logan Chieftain Stadium: Athens
DP: #2 Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (11-1) by 5 (63%) vs #1 Athens (The Plains) (12-0)
*One thing we know about Athens is it can score. The Bulldogs became just the sixth team in state history to reach 700 points in a season last week with a 55-52 OT win over Tri-Valley. Athens has scored at least 42 points in every game this year. Marion-Franklin is coming off a 20-19 win over Brookhaven and has allowed just one team (Columbus Hartley) to score more than 19 points this year.

Region 10
EF: 1 Tipp City Tippecanoe (12‐0) vs. 7 Trotwood‐Madison (9‐2) at Piqua Alexander Stadium – Purk Field: Trotwood-Madison
DP: #7 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (9-2) by 1 (53%) vs #1 Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (12-0)
*Hard to pick against Tippecanoe considering what the Red Devils have been able to accomplish this season.  Last week DP tabbed Thurgood Marshall a 1-point favorite over Tipp and the Cougars lost 30-13. This week Trotwood is a 1-point favorite. If Trotwood takes care of the ball, it should win. If Tipp can force seven TOs (like it did last week) watch out. Tipp senior Jacob Hall needs just 125 yards to reach 2,000 for the season. He’s scored 33 TDs.

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DIVISION IV PICKS

Division IV Regional Finals
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 22
State semifinals are Fri., Nov. 29: Region 11 vs. Region 13 … Region 12 vs. Region 14

Region 11
EF: 5 Cle. Benedictine (9‐3) vs. 3 Youngstown Cardinal Mooney (8‐4) at Solon Stewart Field: Mooney
DP: #3 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (8-4) by 13 (80%) vs #5 Benedictine (Cleveland) (9-3)
*Meeting between Northeast Ohio parochial heavyweights that don’t play during the regular season. Benedictine surprised many with its 52-35 win over Chagrin Falls last week. Mooney put together another methodical 42-14 win over Struthers. The Cardinals must stop Benedictine junior Jerome Baker who carried the ball 19 times for 252 yards and five TDs against Chagrin Falls.

Region 12
EF: 5 Bryan (12‐0) vs. 2 Kenton (12‐0) at Findlay Donnell Stadium: Kenton
DP: #2 Kenton (12-0) by 7 (68%) vs #5 Bryan (12-0)
*Toughest game in the state to call this week. Features two outstanding QBS, two great offense and two defenses led by standout individuals and units. The game has everything. Kenton QB Grant Sherman has thrown for 4,966 yards and 58 TDs this season, while WR Justin Sawmiller has caught 123 passes for 1,959 yards and 20 TDs. WR Kollin Stollar also has 20 TD catches (1,206 yards, 77 recpetions). Kenton DE Noah Furbush (Michigan recruit) has 26 TFL. Bryan QB Austin Schimmoeller has thrown for 33 TDs and run for 16 more.

Region 13
EF: 8 Steubenville (8‐4) vs. 2 Gnadenhutten Indian Valley (10‐2) at Dover Crater Stadium: Steubenville
DP: #8 Steubenville (8-4) by 5 (63%) vs #2 Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (10-2)
*We ranked Indian Valley high in our preseason Power Poll and after getting some flack now have vindication. The Braves – in just their second playoff appearance ever – are in their first regional final after winning the program’s first two playoff games. Steubenville on the other hand is looking for postseason win No. 50. Big Red is the playoffs for the 26th time.

Region 14
EF: 1 Kettering Archbishop Alter (11‐1) vs. 2 Clarksville Clinton‐Massie (11‐1) at Dayton Welcome Stadium: Clinton-Massie
DP: #2 Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (11-1) by 1 (51%) vs #1 Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (11-1)
*Remember Clinton-Massie’s Bayle Wolfe? McNicholas won’t forget him. The Falcons all-everything RB torched the Rockets for a school record 363 yards and six TDs on 33 carries in Massie’s 52-14 win last week. The effort broke Drew Frey’s previous record of 356 yards. Up next for the Falcons? Another GCL foe. Alter beat Massie 32-7 in the 2009 D-IV Region 16 final. Tough, tough call. DP has Massie a 1-point favorite and that’s about right. Game is going to be physical and played in the trenches. Both squads love to run. Alter owns wins over six playoff teams to date. The Knights beat McNick 51-20 in Week 7.

DIVISION V PICKS

Division V Regional Finals
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 23
State semifinals are Sat., Nov. 30: Region 15 vs. Region 17 … Region 16 vs. Region 18

Region 15
EF: 1 Akron Manchester (10‐2) vs. 2 Columbiana Crestview (11‐1) at Minerva Dr. Robert H. Hines Stadium: Manchester
DP: #1 Manchester (Akron) (10-2) by 6 (64%) vs #2 Crestview (Columbiana) (11-1)
*Crestview eked out a 27-26 win over Gilmour Academy, while Manchester had an easier than expected time (won 35-7) against Fairless in a highly anticipated rematch. You want seasoned? This is the eight time this season Manchester will face a playoff team (5-2 in previous seven).

Region 16
EF: 5 Coldwater (10‐2) vs. 7 Huron (9‐3) at Findlay Donnell Stadium: Coldwater
DP: #5 Coldwater (10-2) by 12 (77%) vs #7 Huron (9-3)
*Coldwater continues to march on. The Cavaliers are two wins away from their fifth straight state final appearance and are playing in their 14th regional final in 16 years. This is the third time these two have met in the postseason with Coldwater winning the previous two meetings 19-6 in 2004 and 28-0 in 2005.

Region 17
EF: 1 Cols. Bishop Hartley (11‐1) vs. 3 Wheelersburg (11‐1) at Nelsonville Boston Field: Hartley
DP: #1 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (11-1) by 15 (83%) vs #3 Wheelersburg (11-1)
*Since a Week 2 loss to Coldwater, Hartley has allowed only one opponent to score more than 16 points. Wheelersburg has only scored less then 40 once. Both teams played Ironton. Hartley won 54-0. Burg won 49-12. Keep an eye on Hartley’s Alonzo Saxton and Burg’s Eddie Miller.

Region 18
EF: 1 West Jefferson (11‐1) vs. 3 Hamilton Badin (10‐2) at Clayton Northmont Good Samaritan Stadium, Matt Dudon Memorial Field: West Jefferson
DP: #1 West Jefferson (11-1) by 8 (69%) vs #3 Badin (Hamilton) (10-2)
*Badin is playing really well right now, but then again, so is West Jeff. The Roughridgers 37-20 win over North Union was as impressive as any teams Week 12 win. West Jeff’s only loss is to Marion Local in Week 2. Badin had a huge 31-17 win over CHCA (the AP’s No. 1 ranked team) last week. Hard to pick against the GCL – again.

DIVISION VI PICKS

Division VI Regional Finals
Games at 7:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 22
State semifinals are Fri., Nov. 29: Region 19 vs. Region 21 … Region 20 vs. Region 22

Region 19
EF: 1 Kirtland (12‐0) vs. 3 Mogadore (11‐1) at Twinsburg Tiger Stadium: Kirtland
DP: #1 Kirtland (12-0) by 12 (78%) vs #3 Mogadore (11-1)
*Well, Kirtland allowed a team to reach 20 points for just the second time all season last week, but still won by 28 (beat St. Thomas Aquinas 49-21). In its previous five games, Kirtland had allowed 21 points total.  The Hornets 49 points was just the second time this season they failed to score over 50. Mogadore has 51 playoff wins and 27 appearances to its credit, but taking another step towards the program’s fourth state title and first since 2002 will be difficult.

Region 20
EF: 5 Haviland Wayne Trace (11‐1) vs. 7 Ada (9‐3) at Lima Stadium: Wayne Trace
DP: #5 Wayne Trace (Haviland) (11-1) by 5 (63%) vs #7 Ada (9-3)
*Both teams avenged regular season losses last week with Wayne Trace beating Tinora (40-7) and Ada beating Convoy Crestview (35-0). Wayne Trace is in its first regional final in history, while Ada is in its first regional final since 2009. The Bulldogs last five playoff losses are to St. Henry, Marion Local, and Delphos St. John’s (three times).

Region 21
EF: 4 Newark Catholic (11‐1) vs. 2 Cols. Bishop Ready (11‐1) at Gahanna Lincoln Stadium: Ready
DP: #2 Bishop Ready (Columbus) (11-1) by 1 (53%) vs #4 Newark Catholic (Newark) (11-1)
*The Silver Knights and Green Wave met Week 1 with Ready winning 26-14. Now they meet again. Ready beat Monroe Central 45-14, while NC beat Lucasville Valley 35-21 last week. Ready was No. 1 in the final NBC4 JJHuddle Central Ohio Power Poll. NC was No. 3.

Region 22
EF: 4 Mechanicsburg (10‐2) vs. 6 West Liberty‐Salem (10‐2) at Wapakoneta Harmon Field: Mechanicsburg
DP: #4 Mechanicsburg (10-2) by 6 (64%) vs #6 West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (10-2)
*With no MAC teams in the fold, Region 22 was wide open two weeks ago. The Ohio Heritage Conference decided to make it its own. OHC teams Mechanicsburg and West Liberty-Salem meet with a spot in the final four on the line. The game is a rematch of a Week 7 game the Burg won 32-22. Both squads have lost to D-VII regional finalist Triad. Mechanicsburg also lost to D-V regional finalist West Jefferson.

DIVISION VII PICKS

Division VII Regional Finals
Games at 7 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 23
State semifinals are Sat., Nov. 30: Region 23 vs. Region 25 … Region 26 vs. Region 24

Region 23
EF: 1 Berlin Center Western Reserve (12‐0) vs. 2 Norwalk St. Paul (11‐1) at Medina Ken Dukes Stadium: Western Reserve
DP: #1 Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (12-0) by 2 (55%) vs #2 St Paul (Norwalk) (11-1)
*Western Reserve has played – and beaten – seven playoff teams this year. St. Paul is 4-1 against the five playoff teams it’s faced. The Flyers lone loss? To D-V regional finalist Huron. Both teams have played Wellsville in the last three weeks. WR won 25-8 in Week 10. St. Paul won 24-0 last week.

Region 24
EF: 8 Delphos St. John’s (8‐4) vs. 6 Arlington (9‐3) at Lima Stadium: Delphos St John’s
DP: #8 Delphos St John’s (8-4) by 5 (61%) vs #6 Arlington (9-3)
*The Blue Jays started the season 2-4 and are trying to become one of the rare eighth seeds to win a regional title. One thing we know for sure – this game will feature two outstanding RBs. DSJ senior Tyler Jettinghoff ran for 186 yards and five TDs on 20 carries and returned a kickoff 85 yards for a TD in last week’s win over Tiffin Calvert. Not to be outdone, Arlington junior RB Austin Rettig carried the ball 30 times for 294 yards and seven TDs in the Red Devils win over Hicksville.

Region 25
EF: 1 Glouster Trimble (12‐0) vs. 2 Shadyside (12‐0) at Zanesville Sulsberger Stadium: Trimble
DP: #2 Shadyside (12-0) by 2 (54%) vs #1 Trimble (Glouster) (12-0)
*Talk about titanic. What a clash. This is the meeting Southeast Ohio has waited for. After allowing just 33 points in its first 11 games, Trimble surrendered 22 last week to Steubenville Catholic Central but still managed to advance to the program’s first regional final. Shadyside owns 27 postseason wins but is still searching for its first state title. Many believe this team could get it done. Expect plenty of emotion.

Region 26
EF: 1 North Lewisburg Triad (12‐0) vs. 3 Maria Stein Marion Local (12‐0) at Piqua Alexander Stadium – Purk Field: Marion Local
DP: #3 Marion Local (Maria Stein) (12-0) by 19 (89%) vs #1 Triad (North Lewisburg) (12-0)
*Marion Local rallied to beat Covington 35-28 last week on a 29-yard TD pass with 29 seconds left. The Flyers converted a fourth-and-10 from their own 49-yardline with 1:20 left to extend the game-winning drive. Triad will try to extend the best season in school history. The Cardinals are playing in their first regional final. Marion Local is 50-9 with six state titles in 16 playoff appearances.

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Regional Final History

EF Picks 2013: TBA
EF Picks 2012: 16-8 (67%)
EF Picks 2011: 20-4 (83%)
EF Picks 2010: 17-7 (71%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: TBA
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 19-5 (79%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 18-6 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 16-8 (67%)

Regional Semifinal History

EF Picks 2013: 40-16 (71%)
EF Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
EF Picks 2011: 31-17 (65%)
EF Picks 2010: 35-13 (73%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 41-15 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 39-9 (81%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 35-13 (73%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 37-11 (77%)

Regional Quarterfinal History

EF Picks 2013: 93-19 (83%)
EF Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
EF Picks 2011: 76-20 (79%)
EF Picks 2010: 72-24 (75%)

DP FAN 50 Picks 2013: 89-23 (79.5%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2012: 72-24 (75%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2011: 82-14 (85%)
DP FAN 50 Picks 2010: 77-19 (80%)

Regular Season Recap

WHIO TV 2013 Picks Final:
Last Week: 6-0
Season Total: 51-9 (85%)
Finished strong with another 6-0 week and finished second overall in WHIO TV’s contest. Congrats to shadatc who went 54-6.

Columbus ThisWeek Picks Final:
Last Week: 12-3
Season Total: 114-36 (76%)
After finishing middle of the pack last year, I finished first overall this season. Feels good to have proof that I kind of know what I’m talking about.

Ohio Statewide Slate
Last Week: 16-4
Season Total: 146-54 (73%)
Finished on an upward swing after some less than impressive weeks.

 

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