The Fantastic 50: Week 9 League Championship Possibilities

Based on at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, here’s the most likely outcomes of conference championship races. Yep. You read that right. How cool? Very. Thanks to math guru Drew Pasteur, heading into the halfway point we can already breakdown the conference and league championship odds. Every Ohio race is broken down…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at. Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

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This Week’s Game Predictions

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This Week’s League Title Possibilities

This feature uses at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season to determine the most likely outcomes of conference championship races.

Akron City Series championship probabilities
90% Ellet (Akron) outright
8% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
1% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron)
1% Ellet (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
1% Buchtel (Akron) outright

All-American Conference – American championship probabilities
58% Lakeview (Cortland) outright
36% Liberty (Youngstown) outright
5% Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)

All-American Conference – National championship probabilities
88% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
12% Poland Seminary (Poland) outright
1% Hubbard outright
1% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard

Blanchard Valley Conference championship probabilities
88% Liberty-Benton (Findlay) outright
9% Mc Comb & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
2% Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
1% Mc Comb & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
1% Mc Comb & Arlington

Buckeye 8 championship probabilities
53% Bellaire outright
32% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry & Bellaire
10% St Clairsville & Bellaire
3% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry
1% Martins Ferry & Bellaire

Central Buckeye Conference – Kenton Trail championship probabilities
49% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) outright
33% Shawnee (Springfield) outright
11% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield) & Kenton Ridge (Springfield)
6% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield)
1% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Kenton Ridge (Springfield)

Central Buckeye Conference – Mad River championship probabilities
88% Urbana outright
8% Indian Lake (Lewistown) outright
3% Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)

Central Catholic League championship probabilities
71% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) outright
29% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Charles (Columbus)

Chagrin Valley Conference – Chagrin championship probabilities
50% Chagrin Falls & Aurora
19% Aurora outright
13% Chagrin Falls outright
10% Chagrin Falls & Kenston (Chagrin Falls)
4% chance of a 4-way tie

Chagrin Valley Conference – Metro championship probabilities
80% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) & Beachwood
20% Beachwood outright

Chagrin Valley Conference – Valley championship probabilities
100% Kirtland outright

Cincinnati Hills League championship probabilities
96% Wyoming (Cincinnati) outright
4% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Indian Hill (Cincinnati) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Madeira (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)

Cincinnati Metro Athletic Conference championship probabilities
100% Withrow (Cincinnati) outright

Columbus City League – North championship probabilities
76% Brookhaven (Columbus) outright
12% Mifflin (Columbus) & Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
6% Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
5% Mifflin (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
1% Mifflin (Columbus) & Northland (Columbus)

Columbus City League – South championship probabilities
99% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) outright
1% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) & Independence (Columbus)

Cross County Conference championship probabilities
94% Covington outright
4% Covington & Miami East (Casstown)
2% Covington & National Trail (New Paris) & Miami East (Casstown)
1% Covington & National Trail (New Paris)

Dayton City League championship probabilities
99% Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) outright
1% Dunbar (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)

East Central Ohio League – Gray championship probabilities
96% Claymont (Uhrichsville) outright
2% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
2% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
1% Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)

East Central Ohio League – Scarlett championship probabilities
99% Zanesville outright
1% Dover & Zanesville
1% New Philadelphia & Zanesville

Eastern Cincinnati Conference championship probabilities
95% Loveland outright
3% Loveland & Glen Este (Cincinnati)
2% Kings (Kings Mills) & Loveland
1% Glen Este (Cincinnati) outright
1% Kings (Kings Mills) outright

Federal League championship probabilities
99% Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) outright
1% Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)

Firelands Conference championship probabilities
86% St Paul (Norwalk) outright
11% St Paul (Norwalk) & Western Reserve (Collins)
4% St Paul (Norwalk) & Mapleton (Ashland)
1% Western Reserve (Collins) outright
1% Mapleton (Ashland) outright

Greater Catholic League – Central championship probabilities
55% Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) outright
34% Badin (Hamilton) outright
5% Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
4% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
1% Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)

Greater Catholic League – North championship probabilities
61% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) outright
19% Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) outright
11% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
5% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
2% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin)

Greater Catholic League – South championship probabilities
100% Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) outright

Greater Miami Conference championship probabilities
62% Lakota West (West Chester) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
27% Colerain (Cincinnati) outright
8% Lakota West (West Chester) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% Lakota West (West Chester) & Fairfield & Colerain (Cincinnati)

Greater Western Ohio Conference – Central championship probabilities
60% Wayne (Huber Heights) outright
35% Northmont (Clayton) outright
5% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton)

Greater Western Ohio Conference – North championship probabilities
83% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) outright
6% Butler (Vandalia) outright
5% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua
4% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood)
2% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua

Greater Western Ohio Conference – South championship probabilities
68% Springboro outright
15% Lebanon outright
12% Springboro & Miamisburg & Lebanon
2% Springboro & Lebanon
2% Springboro & Miamisburg

Green Meadows Conference championship probabilities
89% Tinora (Defiance) outright
11% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Tinora (Defiance)

Inter Tri-County League – Large championship probabilities
77% South Range (North Lima) outright
20% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
1% South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
1% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima)
1% Springfield (New Middletown) & Crestview (Columbiana)

Inter Tri-County League – Small championship probabilities
93% Western Reserve (Berlin Center) outright
5% Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
3% Wellsville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)

Inter Valley Conference championship probabilities
52% Sandy Valley (Magnolia) outright
24% Malvern outright
23% Malvern & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
1% Malvern & Garaway (Sugarcreek) & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)

Lake Erie League championship probabilities
99% Cleveland Heights outright
1% Cleveland Heights & Bedford
1% Euclid & Cleveland Heights & Bedford

Licking County League championship probabilities
63% Licking Valley (Newark) outright
21% Licking Valley (Newark) & Granville
15% Newark Catholic (Newark) & Licking Valley (Newark)
1% Newark Catholic (Newark) outright
1% Granville outright

Miami Valley Conference championship probabilities
71% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
22% Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) outright
6% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) outright
1% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)

Mid Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
100% Loudonville outright

Midland Athletic League championship probabilities
22% Calvert (Tiffin) outright
21% Carey outright
19% Carey & Calvert (Tiffin)
8% Mohawk (Sycamore) outright
7% Carey & Mohawk (Sycamore)

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Blue championship probabilities
64% Centerburg outright
34% Fredericktown & Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
1% Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
1% Fredericktown & Centerburg

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Red championship probabilities
99% River Valley (Caledonia) outright
1% North Union (Richwood) & River Valley (Caledonia)

Mid-State League – Buckeye championship probabilities
26% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Logan Elm (Circleville)
17% Liberty Union (Baltimore) outright
16% Logan Elm (Circleville) & Circleville
15% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)
10% Circleville outright

Mid-State League – Cardinal championship probabilities
43% Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) outright
24% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)
11% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) outright
10% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)
8% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)

Mid-State League – Ohio championship probabilities
92% West Jefferson outright
8% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna)
1% Columbus Academy (Gahanna) outright
1% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna) & Bexley (Columbus)
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Midwest Athletic Conference championship probabilities
99% Marion Local (Maria Stein) outright
1% Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Minster & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater

Muskingum Valley League championship probabilities
65% Tri-Valley (Dresden) outright
30% Philo (Duncan Falls) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
5% Philo (Duncan Falls) outright
1% Maysville (Zanesville) & Philo (Duncan Falls) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
1% chance of a 4-way tie

North Central Conference championship probabilities
36% Galion outright
27% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Galion
17% Upper Sandusky outright
15% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) outright
3% chance of a 5-way tie

North Coast League – Blue championship probabilities
41% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) outright
32% Archbishop Hoban (Akron) outright
15% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Archbishop Hoban (Akron)
6% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Benedictine (Cleveland) & Archbishop Hoban (Akron)
3% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Benedictine (Cleveland)

North Coast League – White championship probabilities
53% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) outright
27% Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) outright
10% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland)
7% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)
2% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)

Northeast Ohio Conference – Lake championship probabilities
87% Brush (Lyndhurst) outright
5% Parma & Brush (Lyndhurst)
4% Parma & Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
3% Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
1% Parma outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – River championship probabilities
78% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) outright
19% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria
2% Elyria outright
1% Mayfield & Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria
1% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria & Shaker Heights

Northeast Ohio Conference – Valley championship probabilities
56% Mentor outright
39% Hudson outright
5% Hudson & Mentor

Northeastern Athletic Conference championship probabilities
77% Grand Valley (Orwell) outright
12% Grand Valley (Orwell) & Pymatuning Valley (Andover)
9% Chalker (Southington) & Grand Valley (Orwell)
1% Pymatuning Valley (Andover) outright
1% Chalker (Southington) outright

Northeastern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
73% Louisville outright
13% Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville
11% Louisville & Alliance
1% Alliance outright
1% Marlington (Alliance) outright

Northern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
99% Genoa Area (Genoa) outright
1% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Genoa Area (Genoa)

Northern Lakes League championship probabilities
91% Perrysburg outright
9% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
1% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) & Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg

Northern Ohio League championship probabilities
96% Columbian (Tiffin) outright
4% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk

Northwest Conference championship probabilities
95% Jefferson (Delphos) outright
4% Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
1% Crestview (Convoy) & Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
1% Ada outright

Northwest Central Conference championship probabilities
97% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) outright
3% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie
1% Fort Loramie outright
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Riverside (De Graff)

Northwest Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
99% Bryan outright
1% Wauseon & Bryan
1% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Bryan

Ohio Capital Conference – Capital championship probabilities
57% New Albany outright
33% Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) outright
6% New Albany & Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus)
4% New Albany & Mount Vernon & Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus)
1% New Albany & Mount Vernon

Ohio Capital Conference – Cardinal championship probabilities
53% Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) outright
38% Westerville Central (Westerville) outright
8% Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)
1% Bradley (Hilliard) & Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)
1% Bradley (Hilliard) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)

Ohio Capital Conference – Central championship probabilities
98% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) outright
2% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
1% Dublin Coffman (Dublin) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Ohio Capital Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
93% Pickerington North (Pickerington) outright
7% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
1% Pickerington Central (Pickerington) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Ohio Cardinal Conference championship probabilities
98% Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) outright
2% Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% Ashland outright

Ohio Heritage Conference championship probabilities
82% Triad (North Lewisburg) outright
12% Mechanicsburg & West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
6% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
1% Mechanicsburg & Triad (North Lewisburg)
1% Mechanicsburg & West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty)

Ohio Valley Conference championship probabilities
98% Fairland (Proctorville) outright
1% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Fairland (Proctorville)
1% South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)
1% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) outright

Ohio Valley Athletic League championship probabilities
27% Manchester outright
26% Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) & Manchester
25% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) outright
23% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stars championship probabilities
64% Black River (Sullivan) outright
23% Keystone (La Grange) outright
10% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)
2% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan)
1% Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stripes championship probabilities
92% Columbia (Columbia Station) outright
4% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
3% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
1% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain)
1% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Lutheran West (Rocky River)

Pioneer Valley Conference championship probabilities
87% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) outright
12% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield)
1% Caldwell outright
1% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)

Portage Trail Conference – County championship probabilities
99% Woodridge (Peninsula) outright
1% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula)

Portage Trail Conference – Metro championship probabilities
80% Roosevelt (Kent) outright
10% Norton outright
9% Norton & Roosevelt (Kent)

Premier Athletic Conference championship probabilities
60% Madison & South (Willoughby)
21% South (Willoughby) & Riverside (Painesville)
11% Madison & Riverside (Painesville)
5% Riverside (Painesville) outright
3% South (Willoughby) outright

Principals Athletic Conference championship probabilities
50% Triway (Wooster) outright
46% Triway (Wooster) & Manchester (Akron)
3% Manchester (Akron) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Sandusky Bay Conference championship probabilities
97% Perkins (Sandusky) outright
2% Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
1% Huron & Perkins (Sandusky)

Scioto Valley Conference championship probabilities
50% Westfall (Williamsport) outright
11% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport) & Zane Trace (Chillicothe)
8% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport) & Unioto (Chillicothe)
7% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)
4% Adena (Frankfort) & Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)

Cleveland Senate Athletic League championship probabilities
98% Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) outright
2% John Hay (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)

South Central Ohio League championship probabilities
72% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) outright
23% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) outright
4% chance of a 4-way tie
1% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe
1% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Washington (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe

Southeastern Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
33% Logan outright
24% Jackson & Logan
24% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Logan
4% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) outright
4% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Warren (Vincent)

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – American championship probabilities
81% Western Brown (Mount Orab) outright
19% Norwood & New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – National championship probabilities
100% Williamsburg outright

Southern Ohio Conference I championship probabilities
99% Oak Hill outright
1% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Oak Hill
1% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Green (Franklin Furnace) & Oak Hill
1% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
1% Green (Franklin Furnace) & Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill

Southern Ohio Conference II championship probabilities
71% Wheelersburg outright
19% Valley (Lucasville) outright
8% Wheelersburg & Valley (Lucasville)
2% Wheelersburg & Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) & Valley (Lucasville)
1% Wheelersburg & Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth)

Southwestern Conference championship probabilities
96% Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) outright
4% Avon Lake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Avon Lake outright
1% Avon Lake & Berea-Midpark & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Southwest Ohio Conference championship probabilities
50% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) outright
39% Northwest (Cincinnati) outright
9% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison
1% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)
1% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison

Southwestern Buckeye League – Buckeye championship probabilities
95% Carlisle outright
4% Waynesville & Carlisle
1% Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
1% Waynesville outright
1% Madison (Middletown) outright

Southwestern Buckeye League – Southwestern championship probabilities
88% Franklin outright
11% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin
1% Valley View (Germantown) outright
1% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin & Eaton
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Suburban League championship probabilities
49% Highland (Medina) outright
31% Nordonia (Macedonia) outright
16% Highland (Medina) & Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)
4% Highland (Medina) & Nordonia (Macedonia)
1% Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)

Three Rivers Athletic Conference championship probabilities
96% Central Catholic (Toledo) outright
3% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo) & Lima Senior (Lima)
1% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Lima Senior (Lima)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) outright

Toledo Area Athletic Conference championship probabilities
95% Northwood outright
3% Edon & Northwood
2% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Northwood
1% Edon outright
1% Toledo Christian (Toledo) outright

Toledo City League championship probabilities
85% Bowsher (Toledo) outright
13% Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
2% Start (Toledo) outright
1% Rogers (Toledo) & Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Tri-Valley Conference – Hocking championship probabilities
89% Trimble (Glouster) outright
10% Southern (Racine) outright
1% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)

Tri-Valley Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
91% Athens (The Plains) outright
8% Meigs (Pomeroy) outright
1% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains)

Wayne County Athletic League championship probabilities
81% Northwestern (West Salem) outright
8% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston) & Chippewa (Doylestown)
8% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)
3% Northwestern (West Salem) & Chippewa (Doylestown)
1% Norwayne (Creston) & Chippewa (Doylestown)

West Shore Conference championship probabilities
99% Avon outright
1% Elyria Catholic (Elyria) & Avon

Western Buckeye League championship probabilities
82% Kenton outright
11% Kenton & Wapakoneta & Celina
6% Kenton & Wapakoneta
1% Kenton & Celina
1% Wapakoneta & Celina

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