The Fantastic 50: Week 8 League Championship Possibilities

Based on at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, here’s the most likely outcomes of conference championship races. Yep. You read that right. How cool? Very. Thanks to math guru Drew Pasteur, heading into the halfway point we can already breakdown the conference and league championship odds. Every Ohio race is broken down…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at. Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

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This Week’s Game Predictions

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This Week’s League Title Possibilities

This feature uses at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season to determine the most likely outcomes of conference championship races.

Akron City Series championship probabilities
90% Ellet (Akron) outright
7% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
2% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron)
1% Ellet (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
1% Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)

All-American Conference – American championship probabilities
47% Lakeview (Cortland) outright
37% Liberty (Youngstown) outright
16% Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)
1% Girard & Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)
1% Memorial (Campbell) & Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)

All-American Conference – National championship probabilities
64% Poland Seminary (Poland) outright
36% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
1% Hubbard outright
1% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard

Blanchard Valley Conference championship probabilities
82% Liberty-Benton (Findlay) outright
7% Mc Comb & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
5% Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
4% Mc Comb & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
1% Leipsic & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)

Buckeye 8 championship probabilities
45% Bellaire outright
27% St Clairsville & Bellaire
15% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry & Bellaire
6% St Clairsville outright
5% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry

Central Buckeye Conference – Kenton Trail championship probabilities
39% Shawnee (Springfield) outright
33% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) outright
15% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield)
6% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield) & Kenton Ridge (Springfield)
3% Shawnee (Springfield) & Kenton Ridge (Springfield)

Central Buckeye Conference – Mad River championship probabilities
87% Urbana outright
8% Indian Lake (Lewistown) outright
4% Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)
1% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)
1% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana

Central Catholic League championship probabilities
71% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) outright
23% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Charles (Columbus)
6% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & Bishop Watterson (Columbus)

Chagrin Valley Conference – Chagrin championship probabilities
18% Aurora outright
18% West Geauga (Chesterland) outright
18% West Geauga (Chesterland) & Aurora
14% Chagrin Falls & Aurora
11% Kenston (Chagrin Falls) outright

Chagrin Valley Conference – Metro championship probabilities
72% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) outright
24% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) & Beachwood
5% Beachwood outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% chance of a 4-way tie

Chagrin Valley Conference – Valley championship probabilities
99% Kirtland outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)
1% Berkshire (Burton) outright
1% Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland

Cincinnati Hills League championship probabilities
83% Wyoming (Cincinnati) outright
12% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Mariemont (Cincinnati)
3% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Mariemont (Cincinnati) outright
1% Mariemont (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)

Cincinnati Metro Athletic Conference championship probabilities
96% Withrow (Cincinnati) outright
2% Western Hills (Cincinnati) outright
2% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)

Columbus City League – North championship probabilities
49% Brookhaven (Columbus) outright
19% Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
8% Mifflin (Columbus) & Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
6% Beechcroft (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
5% Mifflin (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)

Columbus City League – South championship probabilities
97% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) outright
1% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) & Independence (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)

Cross County Conference championship probabilities
92% Covington outright
3% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg)
3% Covington & Miami East (Casstown)
1% Covington & National Trail (New Paris)
1% Covington & National Trail (New Paris) & Miami East (Casstown)

Dayton City League championship probabilities
99% Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) outright
1% Dunbar (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)

East Central Ohio League – Gray championship probabilities
61% Claymont (Uhrichsville) outright
34% Meadowbrook (Byesville) outright
3% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
2% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
1% Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)

East Central Ohio League – Scarlett championship probabilities
99% Zanesville outright
1% Dover & Zanesville
1% New Philadelphia & Zanesville

Eastern Cincinnati Conference championship probabilities
96% Loveland outright
2% Kings (Kings Mills) & Loveland
2% Loveland & Glen Este (Cincinnati)
1% Kings (Kings Mills) outright
1% Glen Este (Cincinnati) outright

Federal League championship probabilities
99% Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) outright
1% Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
1% Lake (Uniontown) & Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
1% Jackson (Massillon) outright
1% Lake (Uniontown) & Hoover (North Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)

Firelands Conference championship probabilities
79% St Paul (Norwalk) outright
14% St Paul (Norwalk) & Western Reserve (Collins)
4% St Paul (Norwalk) & Mapleton (Ashland)
1% Western Reserve (Collins) outright
1% Mapleton (Ashland) outright

Greater Catholic League – Central championship probabilities
42% Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) outright
31% Badin (Hamilton) outright
9% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
8% Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
2% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) outright

Greater Catholic League – North championship probabilities
57% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) outright
13% Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) outright
12% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
7% Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) outright
5% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin)

Greater Catholic League – South championship probabilities
100% Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) outright

Greater Miami Conference championship probabilities
56% Lakota West (West Chester) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
32% Colerain (Cincinnati) outright
9% Lakota West (West Chester) outright
1% Lakota West (West Chester) & Oak Hills (Cincinnati) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
1% Lakota West (West Chester) & Fairfield & Colerain (Cincinnati)

Greater Western Ohio Conference – Central championship probabilities
42% Northmont (Clayton) outright
23% Wayne (Huber Heights) outright
21% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville
7% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton)
5% Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville

Greater Western Ohio Conference – North championship probabilities
79% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) outright
7% Butler (Vandalia) outright
7% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood)
3% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua
3% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua

Greater Western Ohio Conference – South championship probabilities
49% Springboro outright
18% Springboro & Miamisburg & Lebanon
18% Lebanon outright
11% Miamisburg outright
2% Springboro & Lebanon

Green Meadows Conference championship probabilities
65% Wayne Trace (Haviland) outright
24% Tinora (Defiance) outright
6% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Ayersville (Defiance) & Tinora (Defiance)
5% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Tinora (Defiance)
1% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Ayersville (Defiance)

Inter Tri-County League – Large championship probabilities
76% South Range (North Lima) outright
17% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
4% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima)
2% South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
1% Springfield (New Middletown) & Crestview (Columbiana)

Inter Tri-County League – Small championship probabilities
94% Western Reserve (Berlin Center) outright
2% Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
2% Wellsville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
1% Lowellville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
1% Wellsville & Lowellville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)

Inter Valley Conference championship probabilities
42% Sandy Valley (Magnolia) outright
26% Malvern outright
12% Malvern & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
6% Malvern & Garaway (Sugarcreek) & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
3% chance of a 4-way tie

Lake Erie League championship probabilities
87% Cleveland Heights outright
9% Cleveland Heights & Bedford
4% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights
1% Bedford outright
1% Warren G Harding (Warren) outright

Licking County League championship probabilities
26% Licking Valley (Newark) outright
14% Licking Valley (Newark) & Granville
14% Licking Heights (Pataskala) & Granville
13% Licking Heights (Pataskala) & Licking Valley (Newark)
10% Newark Catholic (Newark) & Licking Valley (Newark)

Miami Valley Conference championship probabilities
80% Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) outright
13% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
3% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
2% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) outright

Mid Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
63% Loudonville outright
34% Danville outright
1% Danville & Loudonville
1% Danville & Loudonville & East Knox (Howard)
1% Lucas & Danville & Loudonville

Midland Athletic League championship probabilities
20% St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) outright
16% Carey & St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont)
15% Carey outright
8% Calvert (Tiffin) outright
7% Mohawk (Sycamore) outright

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Blue championship probabilities
51% Centerburg outright
32% Highland (Sparta) outright
13% Fredericktown & Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
2% Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
1% Fredericktown & Centerburg

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Red championship probabilities
88% River Valley (Caledonia) outright
11% North Union (Richwood) & River Valley (Caledonia)
1% Jonathan Alder (Plain City) & River Valley (Caledonia)
1% North Union (Richwood) outright
1% Jonathan Alder (Plain City) outright

Mid-State League – Buckeye championship probabilities
39% Logan Elm (Circleville) outright
18% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Logan Elm (Circleville)
7% Liberty Union (Baltimore) outright
7% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)
6% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Logan Elm (Circleville) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)

Mid-State League – Cardinal championship probabilities
22% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)
20% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) outright
18% Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) outright
16% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)
9% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)

Mid-State League – Ohio championship probabilities
91% West Jefferson outright
8% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna)
1% Columbus Academy (Gahanna) outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna) & Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall)

Midwest Athletic Conference championship probabilities
65% Coldwater outright
34% Marion Local (Maria Stein) outright
1% Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Minster & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Minster & Marion Local (Maria Stein)

Muskingum Valley League championship probabilities
35% Tri-Valley (Dresden) outright
18% Philo (Duncan Falls) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
9% Sheridan (Thornville) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
8% Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
8% Maysville (Zanesville) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)

North Central Conference championship probabilities
25% Wynford (Bucyrus) & Galion
23% Galion outright
12% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Galion
12% Upper Sandusky outright
8% Wynford (Bucyrus) outright

North Coast League – Blue championship probabilities
40% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) outright
16% Archbishop Hoban (Akron) outright
12% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Archbishop Hoban (Akron)
10% Benedictine (Cleveland) outright
10% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Benedictine (Cleveland)

North Coast League – White championship probabilities
46% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) outright
24% Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) outright
11% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)
9% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland)
5% Holy Name (Parma Heights) outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – Lake championship probabilities
76% Brush (Lyndhurst) outright
9% Parma & Brush (Lyndhurst)
8% Parma outright
3% Parma & Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
2% Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights

Northeast Ohio Conference – River championship probabilities
76% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) outright
8% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Shaker Heights
7% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria
2% Elyria outright
2% Shaker Heights outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – Valley championship probabilities
41% Hudson outright
39% Mentor outright
13% Hudson & Mentor
4% Hudson & Solon & Mentor
1% Hudson & Solon

Northeastern Athletic Conference championship probabilities
40% Grand Valley (Orwell) outright
29% Pymatuning Valley (Andover) outright
16% Grand Valley (Orwell) & Pymatuning Valley (Andover)
4% Chalker (Southington) & Grand Valley (Orwell) & Pymatuning Valley (Andover)
3% Chalker (Southington) & Grand Valley (Orwell)

Northeastern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
44% Louisville outright
24% Marlington (Alliance) outright
21% Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville
7% Louisville & Alliance
4% Marlington (Alliance) & Alliance

Northern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
98% Genoa Area (Genoa) outright
2% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
1% Genoa Area (Genoa) & Rossford

Northern Lakes League championship probabilities
88% Perrysburg outright
9% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
2% Napoleon & Perrysburg
1% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) outright
1% Napoleon outright

Northern Ohio League championship probabilities
94% Columbian (Tiffin) outright
5% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
1% Ontario (Mansfield) & Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
1% Ontario (Mansfield) & Columbian (Tiffin)
1% Norwalk outright

Northwest Conference championship probabilities
96% Jefferson (Delphos) outright
3% Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
1% Crestview (Convoy) & Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
1% Ada outright
1% Crestview (Convoy) & Jefferson (Delphos)

Northwest Central Conference championship probabilities
95% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) outright
5% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie
1% Fort Loramie outright
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey)
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Riverside (De Graff)

Northwest Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
93% Bryan outright
5% Wauseon & Bryan
2% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Bryan
1% Archbold & Bryan
1% Wauseon outright

Ohio Capital Conference – Capital championship probabilities
81% New Albany outright
10% Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) outright
5% New Albany & Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus)
3% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center) & Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus)
1% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center)

Ohio Capital Conference – Cardinal championship probabilities
37% Westerville Central (Westerville) outright
26% Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) outright
12% Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)
10% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)
6% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville)

Ohio Capital Conference – Central championship probabilities
89% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) outright
4% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)
3% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
2% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
1% Olentangy Liberty (Powell) & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)

Ohio Capital Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
93% Pickerington North (Pickerington) outright
6% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
1% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Lincoln (Gahanna)
1% Pickerington Central (Pickerington) outright
1% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington) & Lincoln (Gahanna)

Ohio Cardinal Conference championship probabilities
92% Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) outright
8% Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% Clear Fork (Bellville) & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% Ashland outright
1% Clear Fork (Bellville) outright

Ohio Heritage Conference championship probabilities
86% Triad (North Lewisburg) outright
6% Mechanicsburg & West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
5% Mechanicsburg & Triad (North Lewisburg)
3% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
1% Mechanicsburg outright

Ohio Valley Conference championship probabilities
64% Fairland (Proctorville) outright
25% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) outright
7% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Fairland (Proctorville)
3% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)
1% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Chesapeake & Fairland (Proctorville)

Ohio Valley Athletic League championship probabilities
35% Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) outright
27% Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
9% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati)
8% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
7% Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) outright

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stars championship probabilities
64% Black River (Sullivan) outright
19% Keystone (La Grange) outright
8% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan)
6% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)
2% Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stripes championship probabilities
86% Columbia (Columbia Station) outright
6% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
3% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
2% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Lutheran West (Rocky River) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
1% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Lutheran West (Rocky River)

Pioneer Valley Conference championship probabilities
88% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) outright
7% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)
5% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield)
1% Fort Frye (Beverly) outright
1% Caldwell outright

Portage Trail Conference – County championship probabilities
99% Woodridge (Peninsula) outright
1% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula)
1% Woodridge (Peninsula) & Garfield (Garrettsville)

Portage Trail Conference – Metro championship probabilities
85% Roosevelt (Kent) outright
7% Norton & Roosevelt (Kent)
4% Norton outright
2% Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)
1% Norton & Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)

Premier Athletic Conference championship probabilities
32% Madison & Chardon & South (Willoughby)
27% Madison & South (Willoughby)
14% Chardon & South (Willoughby)
7% South (Willoughby) outright
6% South (Willoughby) & Riverside (Painesville)

Principals Athletic Conference championship probabilities
27% Triway (Wooster) outright
20% Triway (Wooster) & Manchester (Akron)
13% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) & Manchester (Akron)
9% Triway (Wooster) & Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten)
8% Manchester (Akron) outright

Sandusky Bay Conference championship probabilities
97% Perkins (Sandusky) outright
2% Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
1% Huron & Perkins (Sandusky)
1% Clyde outright

Scioto Valley Conference championship probabilities
34% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) outright
26% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)
12% Westfall (Williamsport) outright
7% Piketon outright
6% Westfall (Williamsport) & Piketon

Cleveland Senate Athletic League championship probabilities
98% Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) outright
2% John Hay (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)

South Central Ohio League championship probabilities
61% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) outright
24% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) outright
9% chance of a 4-way tie
3% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe
2% Washington (Washington Court House) outright

Southeastern Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
58% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) outright
20% Logan outright
10% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Logan
10% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson & Logan
1% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – American championship probabilities
82% Western Brown (Mount Orab) outright
14% Norwood & New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
2% Norwood & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
2% New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
1% Norwood & New Richmond

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – National championship probabilities
93% Williamsburg outright
6% Williamsburg & Blanchester
1% Williamsburg & Clermont Northeastern (Batavia)

Southern Ohio Conference I championship probabilities
86% Oak Hill outright
9% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
5% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) outright
1% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
1% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Oak Hill

Southern Ohio Conference II championship probabilities
52% Wheelersburg outright
24% Valley (Lucasville) outright
16% Wheelersburg & Valley (Lucasville)
3% Wheelersburg & Minford
2% Minford & Valley (Lucasville)

Southwestern Conference championship probabilities
96% Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) outright
4% Avon Lake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Avon Lake outright
1% chance of a 4-way tie
1% Avon Lake & Berea-Midpark & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)

Southwest Ohio Conference championship probabilities
48% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) outright
45% Northwest (Cincinnati) outright
4% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison
4% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)
1% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison

Southwestern Buckeye League – Buckeye championship probabilities
95% Carlisle outright
4% Waynesville & Carlisle
1% Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
1% Waynesville & Dixie (New Lebanon) & Carlisle
1% Waynesville outright

Southwestern Buckeye League – Southwestern championship probabilities
60% Franklin outright
21% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin
8% Franklin & Eaton
5% Valley View (Germantown) outright
3% Eaton outright

Suburban League championship probabilities
37% Highland (Medina) outright
37% Nordonia (Macedonia) outright
11% Highland (Medina) & Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)
10% Highland (Medina) & Nordonia (Macedonia)
2% Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)

Three Rivers Athletic Conference championship probabilities
95% Central Catholic (Toledo) outright
4% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo) & Lima Senior (Lima)
1% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Lima Senior (Lima)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) outright

Toledo Area Athletic Conference championship probabilities
82% Northwood outright
5% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Edon & Northwood
4% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Northwood
4% Toledo Christian (Toledo) outright
4% Edon & Northwood

Toledo City League championship probabilities
71% Bowsher (Toledo) outright
16% Start (Toledo) outright
11% Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
1% Waite (Toledo) & Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
1% Waite (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)

Tri-Valley Conference – Hocking championship probabilities
84% Trimble (Glouster) outright
12% Southern (Racine) outright
4% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)

Tri-Valley Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
92% Athens (The Plains) outright
5% Meigs (Pomeroy) outright
3% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains)
1% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains) & Vinton County (Mc Arthur)
1% Wellston & Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains)

Wayne County Athletic League championship probabilities
74% Northwestern (West Salem) outright
9% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)
8% Northwestern (West Salem) & Chippewa (Doylestown)
5% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston) & Chippewa (Doylestown)
2% Norwayne (Creston) outright

West Shore Conference championship probabilities
99% Avon outright
1% Avon & Midview (Grafton)
1% Elyria Catholic (Elyria) & Avon
1% Midview (Grafton) outright

Western Buckeye League championship probabilities
87% Kenton outright
6% Kenton & Wapakoneta & Celina
6% Kenton & Wapakoneta
1% Kenton & Celina
1% Wapakoneta & Celina

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