The Fantastic 50: Week 7 League Championship Possibilities

Based on at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, here’s the most likely outcomes of conference championship races. Yep. You read that right. How cool? Very. Thanks to math guru Drew Pasteur, heading into the halfway point we can already breakdown the conference and league championship odds. Every Ohio race is broken down…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at. Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

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This Week’s Game Predictions

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This Week’s League Title Possibilities

This feature uses at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season to determine the most likely outcomes of conference championship races.

Akron City Series championship probabilities
62% Ellet (Akron) outright
30% Buchtel (Akron) outright
5% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron)
3% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
1% Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)

All-American Conference – American championship probabilities
46% Lakeview (Cortland) outright
20% Liberty (Youngstown) outright
15% Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)
7% Girard & Lakeview (Cortland)
6% Girard & Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)

All-American Conference – National championship probabilities
66% Poland Seminary (Poland) outright
27% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
6% Hubbard outright
1% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
1% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard & Howland (Warren)

Blanchard Valley Conference championship probabilities
66% Liberty-Benton (Findlay) outright
11% Mc Comb & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
9% Mc Comb & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
7% Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
3% Mc Comb & Arlington

Buckeye 8 championship probabilities
90% St Clairsville outright
3% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry
3% St Clairsville & Bellaire
2% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry & Bellaire
2% Bellaire outright

Central Buckeye Conference – Kenton Trail championship probabilities
43% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) outright
27% Shawnee (Springfield) outright
16% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield)
3% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Tecumseh (New Carlisle)
2% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield) & Tecumseh (New Carlisle)

Central Buckeye Conference – Mad River championship probabilities
90% Urbana outright
3% Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)
2% Indian Lake (Lewistown) outright
2% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana
2% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)

Central Catholic League championship probabilities
79% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) outright
16% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Charles (Columbus)
4% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & Bishop Watterson (Columbus)

Chagrin Valley Conference – Chagrin championship probabilities
20% Aurora outright
15% West Geauga (Chesterland) outright
15% West Geauga (Chesterland) & Aurora
14% Chagrin Falls & Aurora
12% Chagrin Falls outright

Chagrin Valley Conference – Metro championship probabilities
50% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) outright
21% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) & Beachwood
19% Independence & Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland)
9% Independence & Beachwood
1% Beachwood outright

Chagrin Valley Conference – Valley championship probabilities
99% Kirtland outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)
1% Berkshire (Burton) outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland
1% Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)

Cincinnati Hills League championship probabilities
88% Wyoming (Cincinnati) outright
9% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Madeira (Cincinnati)
1% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Mariemont (Cincinnati)
1% Madeira (Cincinnati) outright
1% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Madeira (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)

Cincinnati Metro Athletic Conference championship probabilities
96% Withrow (Cincinnati) outright
2% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)
1% Western Hills (Cincinnati) outright
1% Shroder (Cincinnati) & Withrow (Cincinnati)
1% Shroder (Cincinnati) & Withrow (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)

Columbus City League – North championship probabilities
35% Brookhaven (Columbus) outright
19% Mifflin (Columbus) outright
13% Mifflin (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
8% Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
5% Mifflin (Columbus) & Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)

Columbus City League – South championship probabilities
96% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) outright
2% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) & Independence (Columbus)

Cross County Conference championship probabilities
56% Covington outright
18% Miami East (Casstown) outright
11% Covington & Miami East (Casstown)
7% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg) & Miami East (Casstown)
4% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg)

Dayton City League championship probabilities
99% Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) outright
1% Dunbar (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)

East Central Ohio League – Gray championship probabilities
66% Claymont (Uhrichsville) outright
21% Meadowbrook (Byesville) outright
6% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
3% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
2% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & River View (Warsaw) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)

East Central Ohio League – Scarlett championship probabilities
71% Zanesville outright
13% New Philadelphia & Dover & Zanesville
13% New Philadelphia outright
2% New Philadelphia & Zanesville
1% Dover & Zanesville

Eastern Cincinnati Conference championship probabilities
96% Loveland outright
2% Kings (Kings Mills) & Loveland
1% Loveland & Glen Este (Cincinnati)
1% Anderson (Cincinnati) & Loveland
1% Glen Este (Cincinnati) outright

Federal League championship probabilities
92% Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) outright
5% Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
2% Glenoak (Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
1% Jackson (Massillon) & Glenoak (Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
1% Jackson (Massillon) outright

Firelands Conference championship probabilities
68% St Paul (Norwalk) outright
12% St Paul (Norwalk) & Mapleton (Ashland)
11% Mapleton (Ashland) outright
3% St Paul (Norwalk) & Mapleton (Ashland) & Western Reserve (Collins)
3% St Paul (Norwalk) & Western Reserve (Collins)

Greater Catholic League – Central championship probabilities
55% Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) outright
16% Badin (Hamilton) outright
9% Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
6% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
3% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)

Greater Catholic League – North championship probabilities
44% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) outright
17% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
15% Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) outright
14% Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) outright
4% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin)

Greater Catholic League – South championship probabilities
47% Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) outright
38% Elder (Cincinnati) outright
8% Elder (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)
7% La Salle (Cincinnati) & Elder (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)

Greater Miami Conference championship probabilities
34% Colerain (Cincinnati) outright
27% Lakota West (West Chester) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
12% Fairfield & Colerain (Cincinnati)
11% Lakota West (West Chester) outright
5% Fairfield outright

Greater Western Ohio Conference – Central championship probabilities
54% Centerville outright
19% Wayne (Huber Heights) outright
9% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville
8% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Centerville
4% Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville

Greater Western Ohio Conference – North championship probabilities
80% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) outright
7% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood)
4% Butler (Vandalia) outright
3% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Sidney
2% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua

Greater Western Ohio Conference – South championship probabilities
52% Springboro outright
20% Lebanon outright
12% Springboro & Miamisburg & Lebanon
7% Springboro & Lebanon
5% Miamisburg outright

Green Meadows Conference championship probabilities
52% Wayne Trace (Haviland) outright
32% Tinora (Defiance) outright
8% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Tinora (Defiance)
4% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Ayersville (Defiance) & Tinora (Defiance)
2% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Hicksville & Tinora (Defiance)

Inter Tri-County League – Large championship probabilities
65% South Range (North Lima) outright
12% Springfield (New Middletown) outright
11% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
7% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima)
3% South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)

Inter Tri-County League – Small championship probabilities
85% Western Reserve (Berlin Center) outright
4% Lowellville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
4% Lowellville outright
2% Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
2% Mc Donald & Lowellville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)

Inter Valley Conference championship probabilities
66% Malvern outright
17% Malvern & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
15% Sandy Valley (Magnolia) outright
1% Malvern & Garaway (Sugarcreek) & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
1% Malvern & Ridgewood (West Lafayette) & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)

Lake Erie League championship probabilities
71% Cleveland Heights outright
9% Warren G Harding (Warren) outright
7% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights & Bedford
7% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights
5% Cleveland Heights & Bedford

Licking County League championship probabilities
35% Granville outright
15% Licking Valley (Newark) outright
14% Licking Valley (Newark) & Granville
9% Licking Heights (Pataskala) & Granville
5% Newark Catholic (Newark) & Granville

Miami Valley Conference championship probabilities
77% Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) outright
15% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
2% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
2% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) outright

Mid Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
69% Loudonville outright
27% Danville outright
2% Danville & Loudonville & East Knox (Howard)
2% Danville & Loudonville
1% Lucas & Danville & Loudonville

Midland Athletic League championship probabilities
15% Carey outright
14% Seneca East (Attica) outright
11% St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) outright
10% Calvert (Tiffin) outright
6% St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) & Seneca East (Attica)

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Blue championship probabilities
47% Centerburg outright
37% Highland (Sparta) outright
12% Fredericktown & Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
2% Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
1% Fredericktown & Highland (Sparta)

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Red championship probabilities
68% River Valley (Caledonia) outright
13% North Union (Richwood) & Pleasant (Marion) & River Valley (Caledonia)
13% North Union (Richwood) & River Valley (Caledonia)
3% Pleasant (Marion) & River Valley (Caledonia)
2% North Union (Richwood) & Pleasant (Marion)

Mid-State League – Buckeye championship probabilities
73% Liberty Union (Baltimore) outright
9% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Logan Elm (Circleville)
6% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)
5% Logan Elm (Circleville) outright
2% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Circleville

Mid-State League – Cardinal championship probabilities
22% Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) outright
16% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) outright
12% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)
8% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)
8% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Fisher Catholic (Lancaster)

Mid-State League – Ohio championship probabilities
63% West Jefferson outright
13% Columbus Academy (Gahanna) outright
10% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna)
7% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna) & Bexley (Columbus)
6% West Jefferson & Bexley (Columbus)

Midwest Athletic Conference championship probabilities
63% Coldwater outright
34% Marion Local (Maria Stein) outright
3% Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Minster & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater

Muskingum Valley League – North championship probabilities
45% Tri-Valley (Dresden) outright
28% Maysville (Zanesville) outright
20% Maysville (Zanesville) & John Glenn (New Concord) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
7% John Glenn (New Concord) outright

Muskingum Valley League – South championship probabilities
44% Philo (Duncan Falls) outright
39% Sheridan (Thornville) outright
10% Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
4% Crooksville & Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
1% Crooksville & Philo (Duncan Falls)

North Central Conference championship probabilities
62% Galion outright
20% Upper Sandusky outright
9% Upper Sandusky & Galion
4% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Upper Sandusky & Galion
2% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Galion

North Coast League – Blue championship probabilities
36% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) outright
15% Archbishop Hoban (Akron) outright
9% Benedictine (Cleveland) outright
8% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Archbishop Hoban (Akron)
5% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Benedictine (Cleveland)

North Coast League – White championship probabilities
47% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) outright
22% Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) outright
15% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland)
4% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)
3% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)

Northeast Ohio Conference – Lake championship probabilities
74% Brush (Lyndhurst) outright
6% Parma & Brush (Lyndhurst)
5% Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
4% Cuyahoga Falls & Brush (Lyndhurst)
3% Parma outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – River championship probabilities
34% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) outright
29% Elyria outright
16% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria
2% Mayfield & Elyria
2% Mayfield & Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria

Northeast Ohio Conference – Valley championship probabilities
31% Hudson outright
30% Mentor outright
15% Hudson & Mentor
6% Hudson & Solon & Mentor
6% Solon outright

Northeastern Athletic Conference championship probabilities
28% Pymatuning Valley (Andover) outright
27% Grand Valley (Orwell) outright
13% Grand Valley (Orwell) & Pymatuning Valley (Andover)
8% Mathews (Vienna) outright
5% Mathews (Vienna) & Pymatuning Valley (Andover)

Northeastern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
40% Marlington (Alliance) outright
18% Louisville outright
14% Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville
8% Minerva & Marlington (Alliance)
4% Minerva & Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville

Northern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
85% Genoa Area (Genoa) outright
9% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Lake (Millbury) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
5% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
1% Lake (Millbury) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
1% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Lake (Millbury)

Northern Lakes League championship probabilities
79% Perrysburg outright
12% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
3% Napoleon & Perrysburg
2% Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) & Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
1% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) outright

Northern Ohio League championship probabilities
94% Columbian (Tiffin) outright
4% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
2% Columbian (Tiffin) & Bellevue
1% Ontario (Mansfield) & Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
1% Ontario (Mansfield) & Columbian (Tiffin)

Northwest Conference championship probabilities
82% Jefferson (Delphos) outright
12% Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
6% Ada outright
1% Crestview (Convoy) & Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
1% Ada & Spencerville & Jefferson (Delphos)

Northwest Central Conference championship probabilities
59% Fort Loramie outright
32% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) outright
8% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Riverside (De Graff)
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Riverside (De Graff)

Northwest Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
66% Bryan outright
8% Wauseon & Bryan
8% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Bryan
8% Patrick Henry (Hamler) outright
7% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Wauseon & Bryan

Ohio Capital Conference – Capital championship probabilities
48% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center)
24% New Albany outright
18% Olentangy (Lewis Center) outright
6% New Albany & Hayes (Delaware)
1% Olentangy (Lewis Center) & Hayes (Delaware)

Ohio Capital Conference – Cardinal championship probabilities
27% Westerville Central (Westerville) outright
19% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) outright
19% Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) outright
15% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville)
10% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)

Ohio Capital Conference – Central championship probabilities
84% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) outright
6% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
4% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)
2% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
1% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Upper Arlington (Columbus)

Ohio Capital Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
88% Pickerington North (Pickerington) outright
8% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
2% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington) & Lincoln (Gahanna)
1% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Lincoln (Gahanna)
1% Lincoln (Gahanna) outright

Ohio Cardinal Conference championship probabilities
87% Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) outright
7% Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
2% West Holmes (Millersburg) & Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
2% West Holmes (Millersburg) & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% Ashland outright

Ohio Heritage Conference championship probabilities
63% Triad (North Lewisburg) outright
15% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) outright
13% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
3% Mechanicsburg & West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
2% Mechanicsburg & Triad (North Lewisburg)

Ohio Valley Conference championship probabilities
62% Fairland (Proctorville) outright
23% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) outright
9% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Fairland (Proctorville)
2% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Chesapeake & Fairland (Proctorville)
1% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)

Ohio Valley Athletic League championship probabilities
49% Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) outright
26% Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
7% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
6% Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) outright
5% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stars championship probabilities
40% Black River (Sullivan) outright
19% Keystone (La Grange) outright
11% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan)
9% Buckeye (Medina) outright
9% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stripes championship probabilities
88% Columbia (Columbia Station) outright
5% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
3% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
2% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain)
1% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Lutheran West (Rocky River)

Pioneer Valley Conference championship probabilities
88% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) outright
7% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)
4% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield)
1% Fort Frye (Beverly) outright
1% Caldwell outright

Portage Trail Conference – County championship probabilities
78% Woodridge (Peninsula) outright
15% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula) & Streetsboro
4% Woodridge (Peninsula) & Streetsboro
2% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula)
1% Mogadore & Streetsboro

Portage Trail Conference – Metro championship probabilities
71% Roosevelt (Kent) outright
10% Norton & Roosevelt (Kent)
8% Norton outright
3% Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)
2% Norton & Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)

Premier Athletic Conference championship probabilities
39% Madison outright
22% Madison & South (Willoughby)
15% Madison & Chardon & South (Willoughby)
7% Madison & Chardon
5% South (Willoughby) outright

Principals Athletic Conference championship probabilities
37% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) outright
15% Triway (Wooster) outright
11% Triway (Wooster) & Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten)
9% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) & Manchester (Akron)
6% Manchester (Akron) outright

Sandusky Bay Conference championship probabilities
97% Perkins (Sandusky) outright
2% Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
1% Huron & Perkins (Sandusky)
1% Oak Harbor & Perkins (Sandusky)
1% Oak Harbor & Huron & Perkins (Sandusky)

Scioto Valley Conference championship probabilities
89% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) outright
6% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Zane Trace (Chillicothe)
2% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)
1% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Piketon
1% Zane Trace (Chillicothe) outright

Cleveland Senate Athletic League championship probabilities
98% Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) outright
2% John Hay (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)

South Central Ohio League championship probabilities
33% Chillicothe outright
21% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) outright
20% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe
18% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) outright
4% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe

Southeastern Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
48% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) outright
13% Jackson outright
10% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson
8% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson & Logan
7% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Logan

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – American championship probabilities
84% Western Brown (Mount Orab) outright
6% Norwood & New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
5% New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
3% Norwood & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
2% Goshen & Western Brown (Mount Orab)

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – National championship probabilities
96% Williamsburg outright
2% Williamsburg & Batavia
2% Williamsburg & Blanchester
1% Williamsburg & Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) & Batavia
1% Williamsburg & Clermont Northeastern (Batavia)

Southern Ohio Conference I championship probabilities
42% Oak Hill outright
31% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) outright
18% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
6% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) outright
1% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Oak Hill

Southern Ohio Conference II championship probabilities
58% Wheelersburg outright
17% Valley (Lucasville) outright
14% Wheelersburg & Valley (Lucasville)
3% Wheelersburg & Minford
3% Wheelersburg & Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) & Valley (Lucasville)

Southwestern Conference championship probabilities
50% Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) outright
35% Avon Lake outright
13% Avon Lake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Avon Lake & Berea-Midpark & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Berea-Midpark & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)

Southwest Ohio Conference championship probabilities
47% Northwest (Cincinnati) outright
37% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) outright
7% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison
6% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)
1% Harrison outright

Southwestern Buckeye League – Buckeye championship probabilities
78% Carlisle outright
9% Waynesville & Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
5% Madison (Middletown) outright
4% Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
4% Waynesville & Carlisle

Southwestern Buckeye League – Southwestern championship probabilities
54% Valley View (Germantown) outright
18% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin
17% Franklin outright
5% Valley View (Germantown) & Eaton
2% Franklin & Eaton

Suburban League championship probabilities
37% Highland (Medina) outright
34% Nordonia (Macedonia) outright
17% Highland (Medina) & Nordonia (Macedonia)
4% Highland (Medina) & Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)
2% Highland (Medina) & Wadsworth

Three Rivers Athletic Conference championship probabilities
94% Central Catholic (Toledo) outright
4% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo)
1% Whitmer (Toledo) outright
1% Central Catholic (Toledo) & St John’s Jesuit (Toledo)

Toledo Area Athletic Conference championship probabilities
87% Northwood outright
6% Edon & Northwood
2% Northwood & Gibsonburg
2% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Northwood
1% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Edon & Northwood

Toledo City League championship probabilities
60% Bowsher (Toledo) outright
13% Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
12% Start (Toledo) outright
4% Waite (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
3% Waite (Toledo) & Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)

Tri-Valley Conference – Hocking championship probabilities
86% Trimble (Glouster) outright
11% Southern (Racine) outright
3% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)

Tri-Valley Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
93% Athens (The Plains) outright
3% Meigs (Pomeroy) outright
2% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains)
1% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains) & Vinton County (Mc Arthur)
1% Athens (The Plains) & Vinton County (Mc Arthur)

Wayne County Athletic League championship probabilities
64% Northwestern (West Salem) outright
9% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)
5% Northwestern (West Salem) & Chippewa (Doylestown)
5% Northwestern (West Salem) & Waynedale (Apple Creek)
4% Norwayne (Creston) outright

West Shore Conference championship probabilities
96% Avon outright
2% Avon & Midview (Grafton)
1% Avon & North Ridgeville & Midview (Grafton)
1% Avon & North Ridgeville
1% Elyria Catholic (Elyria) & Avon

Western Buckeye League championship probabilities
83% Kenton outright
10% Kenton & Wapakoneta
5% Kenton & Wapakoneta & Celina
1% Kenton & Celina
1% Wapakoneta outright

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