The Fantastic 50: Week 6 League Championship Possibilities

Based on at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, here’s the most likely outcomes of conference championship races. Yep. You read that right. How cool? Very. Thanks to math guru Drew Pasteur, heading into the halfway point we can already breakdown the conference and league championship odds. Every Ohio race is broken down…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at. Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

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This Week’s Game Predictions

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This Week’s League Title Possibilities

This feature uses at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season to determine the most likely outcomes of conference championship races.

Akron City Series championship probabilities
55% Ellet (Akron) outright
33% Buchtel (Akron) outright
8% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron)
4% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
1% Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)

All-American Conference – American championship probabilities
48% Lakeview (Cortland) outright
20% Liberty (Youngstown) outright
15% Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)
5% Girard & Lakeview (Cortland)
3% Girard & Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)

All-American Conference – National championship probabilities
65% Poland Seminary (Poland) outright
20% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
7% Hubbard outright
2% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland)
1% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard

Blanchard Valley Conference championship probabilities
43% Liberty-Benton (Findlay) outright
30% Arlington outright
17% Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
2% Mc Comb & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
2% Leipsic & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)

Buckeye 8 championship probabilities
93% St Clairsville outright
4% St Clairsville & Martins Ferry
1% St Clairsville & Indian Creek (Wintersville)
1% St Clairsville & Bellaire
1% St Clairsville & Harrison Central (Cadiz)

Central Buckeye Conference – Kenton Trail championship probabilities
26% Shawnee (Springfield) outright
24% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) outright
12% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield)
6% Kenton Ridge (Springfield) outright
4% Tecumseh (New Carlisle) outright

Central Buckeye Conference – Mad River championship probabilities
92% Urbana outright
2% Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)
2% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana
1% Indian Lake (Lewistown) outright
1% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)

Central Catholic League championship probabilities
55% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) outright
11% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Francis De Sales (Columbus)
10% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & Bishop Watterson (Columbus)
8% Bishop Watterson (Columbus) outright
7% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Charles (Columbus)

Chagrin Valley Conference – Chagrin championship probabilities
69% Aurora outright
16% Chagrin Falls & Aurora
3% Chagrin Falls outright
3% West Geauga (Chesterland) & Aurora
1% Aurora & Kenston (Chagrin Falls)

Chagrin Valley Conference – Metro championship probabilities
49% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) outright
20% Independence & Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland)
17% Independence outright
9% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) & Beachwood
4% Independence & Beachwood

Chagrin Valley Conference – Valley championship probabilities
99% Kirtland outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)
1% Berkshire (Burton) outright

Cincinnati Hills League championship probabilities
79% Wyoming (Cincinnati) outright
12% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Madeira (Cincinnati)
2% Taylor (North Bend) & Wyoming (Cincinnati)
1% Madeira (Cincinnati) outright
1% Wyoming (Cincinnati) & Indian Hill (Cincinnati)

Cincinnati Metro Athletic Conference championship probabilities
97% Withrow (Cincinnati) outright
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Taft (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)
1% Western Hills (Cincinnati) outright
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Taft (Cincinnati)

Columbus City League – North championship probabilities
34% Brookhaven (Columbus) outright
12% Beechcroft (Columbus) outright
9% Beechcroft (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
9% Mifflin (Columbus) outright
8% Northland (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)

Columbus City League – South championship probabilities
96% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) outright
2% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) & Independence (Columbus)

Cross County Conference championship probabilities
38% Covington outright
16% Tri-County North (Lewisburg) outright
14% Miami East (Casstown) outright
11% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg) & Miami East (Casstown)
8% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg)

Dayton City League championship probabilities
99% Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Dunbar (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)

East Central Ohio League – Gray championship probabilities
70% Claymont (Uhrichsville) outright
13% Meadowbrook (Byesville) outright
6% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
3% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & River View (Warsaw) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
2% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)

East Central Ohio League – Scarlett championship probabilities
32% Zanesville outright
28% Dover outright
22% New Philadelphia & Dover & Zanesville
14% New Philadelphia outright
2% Dover & Zanesville

Eastern Cincinnati Conference championship probabilities
90% Loveland outright
3% Anderson (Cincinnati) & Loveland
3% Kings (Kings Mills) & Loveland
2% Loveland & Glen Este (Cincinnati)
1% Anderson (Cincinnati) outright

Federal League championship probabilities
72% Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) outright
11% Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
8% Jackson (Massillon) outright
3% Glenoak (Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
3% Jackson (Massillon) & Glenoak (Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)

Firelands Conference championship probabilities
47% St Paul (Norwalk) outright
15% Mapleton (Ashland) outright
12% St Paul (Norwalk) & Mapleton (Ashland)
4% St Paul (Norwalk) & New London
3% St Paul (Norwalk) & Western Reserve (Collins)

Greater Catholic League – Central championship probabilities
37% Badin (Hamilton) outright
33% Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) outright
10% Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
6% Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
4% Roger Bacon (St Bernard) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)

Greater Catholic League – North championship probabilities
30% Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) outright
28% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) outright
15% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
10% Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) outright
7% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)

Greater Catholic League – South championship probabilities
58% Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) outright
8% Elder (Cincinnati) outright
8% Elder (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)
6% St Xavier (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)
6% St Xavier (Cincinnati) & Elder (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)

Greater Miami Conference championship probabilities
48% Colerain (Cincinnati) outright
20% Lakota West (West Chester) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
14% Fairfield & Colerain (Cincinnati)
7% Lakota West (West Chester) outright
4% Fairfield outright

Greater Western Ohio Conference – Central championship probabilities
62% Centerville outright
15% Wayne (Huber Heights) outright
10% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Centerville
4% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville
3% Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville

Greater Western Ohio Conference – North championship probabilities
72% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) outright
6% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood)
5% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Troy
4% Butler (Vandalia) outright
3% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua

Greater Western Ohio Conference – South championship probabilities
55% Springboro outright
15% Lebanon outright
9% Springboro & Lebanon
8% Springboro & Miamisburg & Lebanon
4% Miamisburg outright

Green Meadows Conference championship probabilities
58% Wayne Trace (Haviland) outright
24% Tinora (Defiance) outright
9% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Tinora (Defiance)
5% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Ayersville (Defiance) & Tinora (Defiance)
1% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Ayersville (Defiance)

Inter Tri-County League – Large championship probabilities
57% South Range (North Lima) outright
13% Springfield (New Middletown) outright
10% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
10% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima)
7% South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)

Inter Tri-County League – Small championship probabilities
81% Western Reserve (Berlin Center) outright
4% Wellsville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
4% Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
3% Lowellville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
2% Wellsville outright

Inter Valley Conference championship probabilities
60% Malvern outright
7% Sandy Valley (Magnolia) outright
7% Malvern & Sandy Valley (Magnolia)
5% Malvern & Garaway (Sugarcreek)
5% Garaway (Sugarcreek) outright

Lake Erie League championship probabilities
64% Cleveland Heights outright
12% Warren G Harding (Warren) outright
11% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights
5% Cleveland Heights & Bedford
3% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights & Bedford

Licking County League championship probabilities
27% Granville outright
19% Licking Valley (Newark) outright
11% Licking Valley (Newark) & Granville
8% Licking Heights (Pataskala) & Granville
7% Licking Heights (Pataskala) outright

Miami Valley Conference championship probabilities
80% Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) outright
13% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
1% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
1% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)
1% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) & North College Hill (Cincinnati)

Mid Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
71% Loudonville outright
23% Danville outright
3% Danville & Loudonville & East Knox (Howard)
2% Danville & Loudonville
1% Lucas & Danville & Loudonville

Midland Athletic League championship probabilities
39% Carey outright
17% Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) outright
11% Carey & Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom)
7% Carey & St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont)
4% Seneca East (Attica) outright

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Blue championship probabilities
33% Centerburg outright
31% Highland (Sparta) outright
18% Fredericktown & Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
9% Fredericktown outright
4% Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Red championship probabilities
42% North Union (Richwood) outright
33% River Valley (Caledonia) outright
13% North Union (Richwood) & River Valley (Caledonia)
4% North Union (Richwood) & Jonathan Alder (Plain City) & River Valley (Caledonia)
2% North Union (Richwood) & Pleasant (Marion) & River Valley (Caledonia)

Mid-State League – Buckeye championship probabilities
49% Liberty Union (Baltimore) outright
13% Hamilton Township (Columbus) outright
12% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)
5% Logan Elm (Circleville) outright
5% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Logan Elm (Circleville)

Mid-State League – Cardinal championship probabilities
45% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) outright
15% Grove City Christian (Grove City) outright
13% Grove City Christian (Grove City) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)
5% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Berne Union (Sugar Grove)
3% Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)

Mid-State League – Ohio championship probabilities
44% West Jefferson outright
13% Bexley (Columbus) outright
11% West Jefferson & Bexley (Columbus)
9% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna)
8% Columbus Academy (Gahanna) outright

Midwest Athletic Conference championship probabilities
61% Coldwater outright
31% Marion Local (Maria Stein) outright
7% Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Delphos St John’s & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Minster & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater

Muskingum Valley League – North championship probabilities
46% Maysville (Zanesville) outright
34% Tri-Valley (Dresden) outright
16% Maysville (Zanesville) & John Glenn (New Concord) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
4% John Glenn (New Concord) outright
1% Maysville (Zanesville) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)

Muskingum Valley League – South championship probabilities
47% Philo (Duncan Falls) outright
16% Sheridan (Thornville) outright
11% Crooksville & Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
8% Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
7% Crooksville outright

North Central Conference championship probabilities
63% Galion outright
13% Upper Sandusky outright
11% Upper Sandusky & Galion
3% Wynford (Bucyrus) & Galion
3% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Galion

North Coast League – Blue championship probabilities
34% Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) outright
16% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) outright
12% Lake Catholic (Mentor) outright
10% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon)
7% Lake Catholic (Mentor) & Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon)

North Coast League – White championship probabilities
40% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) outright
15% Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) outright
12% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland)
5% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)
4% Holy Name (Parma Heights) outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – Lake championship probabilities
46% Brush (Lyndhurst) outright
10% Garfield Heights outright
9% Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
7% Valley Forge (Parma Heights) & Brush (Lyndhurst)
6% Valley Forge (Parma Heights) outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – River championship probabilities
35% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) outright
26% Elyria outright
16% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) & Elyria
3% Mayfield & Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow)
3% Mayfield & Elyria

Northeast Ohio Conference – Valley championship probabilities
32% Mentor outright
27% Hudson outright
14% Hudson & Mentor
7% Solon outright
6% Hudson & Solon & Mentor

Northeastern Athletic Conference championship probabilities
20% Chalker (Southington) outright
16% Pymatuning Valley (Andover) outright
10% Grand Valley (Orwell) outright
7% Windham outright
7% Ledgemont (Thompson) outright

Northeastern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
32% Marlington (Alliance) outright
31% Louisville outright
15% Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville
4% Minerva & Marlington (Alliance)
3% Minerva & Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville

Northern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
78% Genoa Area (Genoa) outright
9% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Lake (Millbury) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
6% Lake (Millbury) outright
4% Lake (Millbury) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
3% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Genoa Area (Genoa)

Northern Lakes League championship probabilities
41% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) outright
34% Perrysburg outright
17% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
2% Napoleon & Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
1% Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) & Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg

Northern Ohio League championship probabilities
72% Columbian (Tiffin) outright
9% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
6% Columbian (Tiffin) & Bellevue
5% Bellevue outright
5% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk & Bellevue

Northwest Conference championship probabilities
66% Jefferson (Delphos) outright
14% Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
11% Ada outright
4% Crestview (Convoy) & Jefferson (Delphos)
2% Crestview (Convoy) outright

Northwest Central Conference championship probabilities
55% Fort Loramie outright
34% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) outright
9% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Perry (Lima)
1% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Perry (Lima)

Northwest Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
50% Bryan outright
15% Wauseon outright
13% Wauseon & Bryan
6% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Bryan
6% Patrick Henry (Hamler) outright

Ohio Capital Conference – Capital championship probabilities
54% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center)
20% New Albany outright
18% Olentangy (Lewis Center) outright
5% New Albany & Hayes (Delaware)
1% Olentangy (Lewis Center) & Hayes (Delaware)

Ohio Capital Conference – Cardinal championship probabilities
24% Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) outright
22% Westerville Central (Westerville) outright
13% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) outright
8% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville)
7% Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)

Ohio Capital Conference – Central championship probabilities
87% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) outright
3% Olentangy Liberty (Powell) & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)
3% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Dublin Coffman (Dublin)
2% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)
1% Olentangy Liberty (Powell) outright

Ohio Capital Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
38% Pickerington Central (Pickerington) outright
35% Pickerington North (Pickerington) outright
13% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
8% Reynoldsburg & Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
3% Reynoldsburg & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)

Ohio Cardinal Conference championship probabilities
48% Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) outright
28% Ashland outright
18% Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% West Holmes (Millersburg) & Ashland & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
1% Orrville & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)

Ohio Heritage Conference championship probabilities
46% Triad (North Lewisburg) outright
22% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) outright
14% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
6% Mechanicsburg & West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
5% Mechanicsburg & Triad (North Lewisburg)

Ohio Valley Conference championship probabilities
54% Fairland (Proctorville) outright
23% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) outright
13% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Fairland (Proctorville)
4% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)
2% South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)

Ohio Valley Athletic League championship probabilities
56% Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) outright
17% Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
4% Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
4% Miami Valley Christian Academy (Cincinnati) & Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati)
4% Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) outright

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stars championship probabilities
33% Black River (Sullivan) outright
22% Keystone (La Grange) outright
12% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan)
8% Buckeye (Medina) outright
6% Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stripes championship probabilities
46% Columbia (Columbia Station) outright
35% Fairview (Fairview Park) outright
11% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
4% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
1% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain)

Pioneer Valley Conference championship probabilities
80% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) outright
7% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield)
5% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)
3% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Buckeye Trail (Lore City)
1% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Buckeye Trail (Lore City)

Portage Trail Conference – County championship probabilities
68% Woodridge (Peninsula) outright
14% Streetsboro outright
11% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula) & Streetsboro
6% Woodridge (Peninsula) & Streetsboro
1% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula)

Portage Trail Conference – Metro championship probabilities
84% Roosevelt (Kent) outright
6% Norton & Roosevelt (Kent)
3% Norton outright
3% Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)
1% Field (Mogadore) outright

Premier Athletic Conference championship probabilities
77% South (Willoughby) outright
14% Madison outright
7% Madison & South (Willoughby)
1% Madison & Chardon & South (Willoughby)
1% Madison & South (Willoughby) & Riverside (Painesville)

Principals Athletic Conference championship probabilities
33% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) outright
13% Triway (Wooster) outright
9% Manchester (Akron) outright
7% Triway (Wooster) & Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten)
7% Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) outright

Sandusky Bay Conference championship probabilities
41% Clyde outright
38% Perkins (Sandusky) outright
11% Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
4% Huron & Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
2% Oak Harbor & Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde

Scioto Valley Conference championship probabilities
66% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) outright
12% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)
10% Westfall (Williamsport) outright
3% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Zane Trace (Chillicothe)
2% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Piketon

Cleveland Senate Athletic League championship probabilities
98% Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & John F Kennedy (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)
1% John F Kennedy (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)

South Central Ohio League championship probabilities
31% Chillicothe outright
25% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) outright
18% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) outright
16% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe
4% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe

Southeastern Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
48% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) outright
9% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson
9% Portsmouth & Gallia Academy (Gallipolis)
8% Portsmouth outright
7% Jackson outright

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – American championship probabilities
70% Western Brown (Mount Orab) outright
11% New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
5% Goshen & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
4% New Richmond & Goshen & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
3% Goshen outright

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – National championship probabilities
39% Williamsburg outright
37% Batavia outright
15% Williamsburg & Blanchester & Batavia
6% Williamsburg & Batavia
1% Blanchester & Batavia

Southern Ohio Conference I championship probabilities
49% Oak Hill outright
31% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) outright
14% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
3% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) outright
2% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Oak Hill

Southern Ohio Conference II championship probabilities
45% Wheelersburg outright
16% Wheelersburg & Minford & Valley (Lucasville)
15% Minford outright
14% Valley (Lucasville) outright
4% Wheelersburg & Valley (Lucasville)

Southwestern Conference championship probabilities
54% Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) outright
27% Avon Lake outright
16% Avon Lake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Avon Lake & Olmsted Falls & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
1% Olmsted Falls & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)

Southwest Ohio Conference championship probabilities
51% Northwest (Cincinnati) outright
27% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) outright
10% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)
4% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison
2% Ross (Hamilton) & Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)

Southwestern Buckeye League – Buckeye championship probabilities
59% Carlisle outright
11% Madison (Middletown) outright
10% Waynesville & Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
9% Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
7% Waynesville & Carlisle

Southwestern Buckeye League – Southwestern championship probabilities
42% Valley View (Germantown) outright
12% Franklin outright
12% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin
8% Brookville & Valley View (Germantown)
7% Brookville outright

Suburban League championship probabilities
41% Nordonia (Macedonia) outright
27% Highland (Medina) outright
16% Highland (Medina) & Nordonia (Macedonia)
4% Highland (Medina) & Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)
2% Wadsworth & Nordonia (Macedonia)

Three Rivers Athletic Conference championship probabilities
83% Central Catholic (Toledo) outright
7% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo)
4% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo)
2% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo)
2% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) outright

Toledo Area Athletic Conference championship probabilities
87% Northwood outright
4% Edon & Northwood
3% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Northwood
3% Northwood & Gibsonburg
1% Toledo Christian (Toledo) outright

Toledo City League championship probabilities
57% Bowsher (Toledo) outright
8% Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
8% Rogers (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
7% Start (Toledo) outright
7% Rogers (Toledo) outright

Tri-Valley Conference – Hocking championship probabilities
88% Trimble (Glouster) outright
9% Southern (Racine) outright
3% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)
1% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster) & Federal Hocking (Stewart)
1% Trimble (Glouster) & Federal Hocking (Stewart)

Tri-Valley Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
92% Athens (The Plains) outright
2% Meigs (Pomeroy) & Athens (The Plains)
1% Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) & Athens (The Plains)
1% Meigs (Pomeroy) outright
1% Athens (The Plains) & Vinton County (Mc Arthur)

Wayne County Athletic League championship probabilities
35% Norwayne (Creston) outright
24% Northwestern (West Salem) outright
13% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)
7% Hillsdale (Jeromesville) outright
7% Hillsdale (Jeromesville) & Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)

West Shore Conference championship probabilities
91% Avon outright
2% Avon & North Ridgeville
2% Avon & Midview (Grafton)
1% Elyria Catholic (Elyria) & Avon
1% North Ridgeville outright

Western Buckeye League championship probabilities
84% Kenton outright
8% Kenton & Wapakoneta
3% Kenton & Wapakoneta & Celina
3% Kenton & Celina
1% Kenton & Defiance

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