The Fantastic 50: Week 5 League Championship Possibilities

Based on at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season, here’s the most likely outcomes of conference championship races. Yep. You read that right. How cool? Very. Thanks to math guru Drew Pasteur, heading into the halfway point we can already breakdown the conference and league championship odds. Every Ohio race is broken down…

We know how much Ohio high school football fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at. Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster, we’re proud to offer Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 again this fall. In addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the Fantastic 50?
The Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams, regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules, so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a 21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams, provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system, an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games. Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew Pasteur?
Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where he was a high school teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has published a North Carolina version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects postseason participants.

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This Week’s Game Predictions

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This Week’s League Title Possibilities

This feature uses at least 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season to determine the most likely outcomes of conference championship races.

Akron City Series championship probabilities
58% Ellet (Akron) outright
16% Buchtel (Akron) outright
10% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron)
6% Ellet (Akron) & Buchtel (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)
3% Ellet (Akron) & Garfield (Akron)

All-American Conference – American championship probabilities
26% Liberty (Youngstown) outright
19% Girard outright
16% Lakeview (Cortland) outright
8% Girard & Liberty (Youngstown)
7% Liberty (Youngstown) & Lakeview (Cortland)

All-American Conference – National championship probabilities
67% Poland Seminary (Poland) outright
13% Struthers & Poland Seminary (Poland)
10% Struthers outright
4% Poland Seminary (Poland) & Hubbard
2% Hubbard outright

Blanchard Valley Conference championship probabilities
49% Liberty-Benton (Findlay) outright
23% Arlington outright
16% Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
2% Mc Comb & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)
2% Mc Comb & Arlington & Liberty-Benton (Findlay)

Buckeye 8 championship probabilities
74% St Clairsville outright
7% St Clairsville & Indian Creek (Wintersville)
6% St Clairsville & Harrison Central (Cadiz)
4% Harrison Central (Cadiz) outright
4% Indian Creek (Wintersville) outright

Central Buckeye Conference – Kenton Trail championship probabilities
29% Shawnee (Springfield) outright
28% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) outright
14% Tippecanoe (Tipp City) & Shawnee (Springfield)
4% Kenton Ridge (Springfield) outright
3% Shawnee (Springfield) & Kenton Ridge (Springfield)

Central Buckeye Conference – Mad River championship probabilities
89% Urbana outright
3% Urbana & Indian Lake (Lewistown)
3% Northwestern (Springfield) & Urbana
2% Indian Lake (Lewistown) outright
1% Northwestern (Springfield) outright

Central Catholic League championship probabilities
66% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) outright
11% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Francis De Sales (Columbus)
11% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & St Charles (Columbus)
5% Bishop Hartley (Columbus) & Bishop Watterson (Columbus)
2% Bishop Watterson (Columbus) outright

Chagrin Valley Conference – Chagrin championship probabilities
59% Aurora outright
9% Chagrin Falls & Aurora
6% Aurora & Kenston (Chagrin Falls)
6% Kenston (Chagrin Falls) outright
4% Perry & Aurora

Chagrin Valley Conference – Metro championship probabilities
54% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) outright
20% Independence & Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland)
17% Independence outright
6% Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) & Beachwood
3% Independence & Beachwood

Chagrin Valley Conference – Valley championship probabilities
97% Kirtland outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) outright
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)
1% Cardinal (Middlefield) & Kirtland
1% Kirtland & Berkshire (Burton)

Cincinnati Hills League championship probabilities
58% Wyoming (Cincinnati) outright
7% Taylor (North Bend) & Wyoming (Cincinnati)
6% Reading & Wyoming (Cincinnati)
6% Taylor (North Bend) outright
6% Reading outright

Cincinnati Metro Athletic Conference championship probabilities
97% Withrow (Cincinnati) outright
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Taft (Cincinnati)
1% Western Hills (Cincinnati) outright
1% Withrow (Cincinnati) & Taft (Cincinnati) & Western Hills (Cincinnati)

Columbus City League – North championship probabilities
27% Brookhaven (Columbus) outright
21% Beechcroft (Columbus) outright
10% Beechcroft (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)
9% Mifflin (Columbus) outright
5% Mifflin (Columbus) & Brookhaven (Columbus)

Columbus City League – South championship probabilities
74% Marion-Franklin (Columbus) outright
13% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) outright
7% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
2% Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) & Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus)
1% Walnut Ridge (Columbus) & Marion-Franklin (Columbus) & Independence (Columbus)

Cross County Conference championship probabilities
36% Covington outright
18% Miami East (Casstown) outright
13% Tri-County North (Lewisburg) outright
11% Covington & Miami East (Casstown)
9% Covington & Tri-County North (Lewisburg) & Miami East (Casstown)

Dayton City League championship probabilities
99% Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) outright
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Dunbar (Dayton) outright
1% Dunbar (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)
1% Meadowdale (Dayton) & Thurgood Marshall (Dayton)

East Central Ohio League – Gray championship probabilities
74% Claymont (Uhrichsville) outright
7% Meadowbrook (Byesville) outright
6% Meadowbrook (Byesville) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
3% Coshocton & Claymont (Uhrichsville)
2% River View (Warsaw) & Claymont (Uhrichsville)

East Central Ohio League – Scarlett championship probabilities
37% Zanesville outright
26% Dover outright
18% New Philadelphia & Dover & Zanesville
10% New Philadelphia outright
5% Dover & Zanesville

Eastern Cincinnati Conference championship probabilities
78% Loveland outright
9% Kings (Kings Mills) & Loveland
5% Kings (Kings Mills) outright
3% Anderson (Cincinnati) & Loveland
1% Anderson (Cincinnati) outright

Federal League championship probabilities
45% Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) outright
24% Glenoak (Canton) outright
17% Glenoak (Canton) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
3% Jackson (Massillon) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)
2% Lake (Uniontown) & Canton Mc Kinley (Canton)

Firelands Conference championship probabilities
23% St Paul (Norwalk) outright
21% New London outright
15% Western Reserve (Collins) outright
8% St Paul (Norwalk) & New London
6% New London & Western Reserve (Collins)

Greater Catholic League – Central championship probabilities
42% Badin (Hamilton) outright
19% Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) outright
10% Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
7% Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) & Badin (Hamilton) & Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati)
5% Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) & Badin (Hamilton)

Greater Catholic League – North championship probabilities
30% Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) outright
21% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) outright
17% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)
15% Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) outright
5% Archbishop Alter (Kettering) & Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton)

Greater Catholic League – South championship probabilities
33% Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) outright
9% Elder (Cincinnati) outright
9% St Xavier (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)
8% St Xavier (Cincinnati) outright
8% Elder (Cincinnati) & Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati)

Greater Miami Conference championship probabilities
66% Colerain (Cincinnati) outright
9% Lakota West (West Chester) & Colerain (Cincinnati)
6% Fairfield & Colerain (Cincinnati)
4% Sycamore (Cincinnati) outright
4% Sycamore (Cincinnati) & Colerain (Cincinnati)

Greater Western Ohio Conference – Central championship probabilities
56% Centerville outright
13% Wayne (Huber Heights) outright
10% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Centerville
6% Wayne (Huber Heights) & Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville
5% Northmont (Clayton) & Centerville

Greater Western Ohio Conference – North championship probabilities
70% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) outright
8% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Troy
5% Butler (Vandalia) & Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood)
5% Troy outright
3% Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) & Piqua

Greater Western Ohio Conference – South championship probabilities
58% Springboro outright
13% Lebanon outright
9% Springboro & Lebanon
7% Springboro & Miamisburg & Lebanon
4% Miamisburg outright

Green Meadows Conference championship probabilities
57% Wayne Trace (Haviland) outright
18% Tinora (Defiance) outright
11% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Tinora (Defiance)
4% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Hicksville & Tinora (Defiance)
3% Wayne Trace (Haviland) & Hicksville

Inter Tri-County League – Large championship probabilities
70% South Range (North Lima) outright
11% South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)
5% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima)
3% South Range (North Lima) & United (Hanoverton)
3% Springfield (New Middletown) & South Range (North Lima) & Crestview (Columbiana)

Inter Tri-County League – Small championship probabilities
75% Western Reserve (Berlin Center) outright
7% Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
6% Mc Donald outright
4% Wellsville & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)
3% Wellsville & Mc Donald & Western Reserve (Berlin Center)

Inter Valley Conference championship probabilities
49% Malvern outright
24% Garaway (Sugarcreek) outright
19% Malvern & Garaway (Sugarcreek)
1% Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) & Malvern
1% Malvern & Ridgewood (West Lafayette) & Garaway (Sugarcreek)

Lake Erie League championship probabilities
55% Cleveland Heights outright
18% Warren G Harding (Warren) outright
15% Warren G Harding (Warren) & Cleveland Heights
2% Cleveland Heights & Bedford
2% Euclid & Cleveland Heights

Licking County League championship probabilities
39% Granville outright
11% Licking Heights (Pataskala) outright
11% Licking Valley (Newark) outright
9% Licking Heights (Pataskala) & Granville
8% Licking Valley (Newark) & Granville

Miami Valley Conference championship probabilities
73% Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) outright
8% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) outright
6% Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
4% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)
3% Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) & Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati)

Mid Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
75% Loudonville outright
21% Danville outright
3% Danville & Loudonville & East Knox (Howard)
1% Danville & Loudonville
1% Lucas & Danville & Loudonville

Midland Athletic League championship probabilities
40% St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) outright
14% Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) outright
9% St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) & Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom)
7% Carey outright
5% Carey & St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont)

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Blue championship probabilities
37% Highland (Sparta) outright
33% Centerburg outright
13% Fredericktown & Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
7% Centerburg & Highland (Sparta)
6% Fredericktown outright

Mid Ohio Athletic Conference – Red championship probabilities
42% North Union (Richwood) outright
34% River Valley (Caledonia) outright
14% North Union (Richwood) & River Valley (Caledonia)
2% North Union (Richwood) & Jonathan Alder (Plain City) & River Valley (Caledonia)
2% North Union (Richwood) & Pleasant (Marion) & River Valley (Caledonia)

Mid-State League – Buckeye championship probabilities
26% Liberty Union (Baltimore) outright
16% Hamilton Township (Columbus) outright
11% Logan Elm (Circleville) outright
10% Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) outright
6% Liberty Union (Baltimore) & Hamilton Township (Columbus)

Mid-State League – Cardinal championship probabilities
51% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) outright
9% Grove City Christian (Grove City) & Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester)
8% Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) & Berne Union (Sugar Grove)
7% Grove City Christian (Grove City) outright
7% Berne Union (Sugar Grove) outright

Mid-State League – Ohio championship probabilities
41% West Jefferson outright
9% West Jefferson & Bexley (Columbus)
9% Bexley (Columbus) outright
8% West Jefferson & Columbus Academy (Gahanna)
7% West Jefferson & Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall)

Midwest Athletic Conference championship probabilities
65% Coldwater outright
23% Marion Local (Maria Stein) outright
9% Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
2% Versailles & Marion Local (Maria Stein) & Coldwater
1% Versailles & Coldwater

Muskingum Valley League – North championship probabilities
41% Maysville (Zanesville) outright
28% Tri-Valley (Dresden) outright
21% Maysville (Zanesville) & John Glenn (New Concord) & Tri-Valley (Dresden)
9% John Glenn (New Concord) outright
1% Maysville (Zanesville) & John Glenn (New Concord)

Muskingum Valley League – South championship probabilities
32% Philo (Duncan Falls) outright
26% Sheridan (Thornville) outright
11% Crooksville & Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
10% Sheridan (Thornville) & Philo (Duncan Falls)
7% Crooksville outright

North Central Conference championship probabilities
72% Galion outright
9% Upper Sandusky & Galion
8% Upper Sandusky outright
3% Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) & Galion
2% Wynford (Bucyrus) & Galion

North Coast League – Blue championship probabilities
32% Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) outright
17% Lake Catholic (Mentor) outright
12% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) outright
10% Lake Catholic (Mentor) & Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon)
7% Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) & Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon)

North Coast League – White championship probabilities
61% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) outright
7% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Holy Name (Parma Heights)
5% John F Kennedy (Warren) & Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland)
5% Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) & Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland)
5% Holy Name (Parma Heights) outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – Lake championship probabilities
45% Brush (Lyndhurst) outright
10% Garfield Heights outright
9% Brush (Lyndhurst) & Garfield Heights
6% Valley Forge (Parma Heights) & Brush (Lyndhurst)
6% Valley Forge (Parma Heights) outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – River championship probabilities
26% Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) outright
19% Mayfield outright
9% Shaker Heights outright
8% Mayfield & Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow)
8% Elyria outright

Northeast Ohio Conference – Valley championship probabilities
28% Mentor outright
27% Hudson outright
13% Hudson & Mentor
10% Solon outright
7% Hudson & Solon & Mentor

Northeastern Athletic Conference championship probabilities
21% Chalker (Southington) outright
19% Pymatuning Valley (Andover) outright
9% Mathews (Vienna) outright
7% Grand Valley (Orwell) outright
6% Ledgemont (Thompson) outright

Northeastern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
30% Marlington (Alliance) outright
20% Louisville outright
10% Minerva outright
10% Marlington (Alliance) & Louisville
6% Minerva & Marlington (Alliance)

Northern Buckeye Conference championship probabilities
37% Eastwood (Pemberville) outright
29% Genoa Area (Genoa) outright
11% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
10% Eastwood (Pemberville) & Lake (Millbury) & Genoa Area (Genoa)
6% Lake (Millbury) outright

Northern Lakes League championship probabilities
38% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) outright
23% Perrysburg outright
14% Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) & Perrysburg
5% Napoleon outright
4% Napoleon & Sylvania Southview (Sylvania)

Northern Ohio League championship probabilities
65% Columbian (Tiffin) outright
8% Columbian (Tiffin) & Bellevue
6% Bellevue outright
6% Columbian (Tiffin) & Norwalk
4% Ontario (Mansfield) & Columbian (Tiffin)

Northwest Conference championship probabilities
45% Jefferson (Delphos) outright
16% Ada outright
10% Ada & Jefferson (Delphos)
6% Crestview (Convoy) outright
5% Crestview (Convoy) & Jefferson (Delphos)

Northwest Central Conference championship probabilities
47% Fort Loramie outright
35% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) outright
11% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie
3% Lehman Catholic (Sidney) & Fort Loramie & Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey)
1% Fort Loramie & Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey)

Northwest Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
51% Bryan outright
12% Patrick Henry (Hamler) outright
11% Patrick Henry (Hamler) & Bryan
8% Wauseon & Bryan
6% Wauseon outright

Ohio Capital Conference – Capital championship probabilities
50% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center)
30% New Albany outright
17% Olentangy (Lewis Center) outright
1% New Albany & Hayes (Delaware)
1% New Albany & Olentangy (Lewis Center) & Hayes (Delaware)

Ohio Capital Conference – Cardinal championship probabilities
26% Westerville Central (Westerville) outright
14% Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) outright
13% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) outright
9% Dublin Scioto (Dublin) & Westerville Central (Westerville)
6% Westerville Central (Westerville) & Hilliard Darby (Hilliard)

Ohio Capital Conference – Central championship probabilities
79% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) outright
6% Marysville & Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard)
4% Marysville outright
4% Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) & Upper Arlington (Columbus)
2% Upper Arlington (Columbus) outright

Ohio Capital Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
31% Pickerington North (Pickerington) outright
23% Pickerington Central (Pickerington) outright
11% Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)
11% Reynoldsburg outright
9% Reynoldsburg & Pickerington North (Pickerington) & Pickerington Central (Pickerington)

Ohio Cardinal Conference championship probabilities
37% Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) outright
17% West Holmes (Millersburg) outright
10% West Holmes (Millersburg) & Mansfield Senior (Mansfield)
7% Ashland outright
5% Orrville outright

Ohio Heritage Conference championship probabilities
48% Triad (North Lewisburg) outright
20% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) outright
14% West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) & Triad (North Lewisburg)
3% Cedarville & Triad (North Lewisburg)
3% Mechanicsburg & Triad (North Lewisburg)

Ohio Valley Conference championship probabilities
50% Fairland (Proctorville) outright
16% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) outright
12% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & Fairland (Proctorville)
4% South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)
3% Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) & South Point & Fairland (Proctorville)

Ohio Valley Athletic League championship probabilities
26% Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) outright
17% MIAMI VALLEY CHRISTIAN ACADEMY (CINCINNATI) outright
16% Manchester outright
9% MIAMI VALLEY CHRISTIAN ACADEMY (CINCINNATI) & Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati)
8% Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) & Manchester

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stars championship probabilities
39% Black River (Sullivan) outright
24% Keystone (La Grange) outright
15% Keystone (La Grange) & Black River (Sullivan)
4% Black River (Sullivan) & Buckeye (Medina)
3% Buckeye (Medina) outright

Patriot Athletic Conference – Stripes championship probabilities
44% Columbia (Columbia Station) outright
32% Fairview (Fairview Park) outright
12% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
3% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Clearview (Lorain) & Fairview (Fairview Park)
3% Columbia (Columbia Station) & Lutheran West (Rocky River) & Fairview (Fairview Park)

Pioneer Valley Conference championship probabilities
51% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) outright
26% Fort Frye (Beverly) outright
17% Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)
1% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield)
1% Caldwell & Monroe Central (Woodsfield) & Fort Frye (Beverly)

Portage Trail Conference – County championship probabilities
37% Mogadore outright
31% Woodridge (Peninsula) outright
13% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula)
4% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula) & Streetsboro
3% Mogadore & Woodridge (Peninsula) & Southeast (Ravenna)

Portage Trail Conference – Metro championship probabilities
84% Roosevelt (Kent) outright
6% Norton & Roosevelt (Kent)
3% Field (Mogadore) & Roosevelt (Kent)
3% Norton outright
1% Field (Mogadore) outright

Premier Athletic Conference championship probabilities
81% South (Willoughby) outright
8% Madison outright
7% Madison & South (Willoughby)
1% Chardon & South (Willoughby)
1% Madison & Chardon & South (Willoughby)

Principals Athletic Conference championship probabilities
30% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) outright
15% Fairless (Navarre) outright
11% Triway (Wooster) outright
7% Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) & Fairless (Navarre)
5% Manchester (Akron) outright

Sandusky Bay Conference championship probabilities
49% Clyde outright
28% Perkins (Sandusky) outright
12% Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
5% Huron & Perkins (Sandusky) & Clyde
2% Huron & Clyde

Scioto Valley Conference championship probabilities
53% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) outright
8% Zane Trace (Chillicothe) outright
8% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Zane Trace (Chillicothe)
6% Westfall (Williamsport) outright
6% Paint Valley (Bainbridge) & Westfall (Williamsport)

Cleveland Senate Athletic League championship probabilities
65% John Hay (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)
34% Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) outright
2% John Hay (Cleveland) outright
1% John Hay (Cleveland) & John F Kennedy (Cleveland) & Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland)
1% John F Kennedy (Cleveland) outright

South Central Ohio League championship probabilities
36% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) outright
26% Chillicothe outright
15% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) outright
8% Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe
6% Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) & Miami Trace (Washington Court House) & Chillicothe

Southeastern Ohio Athletic League championship probabilities
43% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) outright
12% Jackson outright
10% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Jackson
7% Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) & Warren (Vincent)
6% Warren (Vincent) outright

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – American championship probabilities
65% Western Brown (Mount Orab) outright
9% New Richmond & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
7% Norwood & Western Brown (Mount Orab)
4% Norwood outright
2% Goshen & Western Brown (Mount Orab)

Southern Buckeye Athletic Conference – National championship probabilities
37% Batavia outright
17% Blanchester outright
15% Williamsburg outright
14% Williamsburg & Blanchester & Batavia
7% Blanchester & Batavia

Southern Ohio Conference I championship probabilities
44% Oak Hill outright
35% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) outright
14% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) & Oak Hill
3% Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) outright
2% Notre Dame (Portsmouth) & Oak Hill

Southern Ohio Conference II championship probabilities
50% Wheelersburg outright
14% Valley (Lucasville) outright
13% Wheelersburg & Minford & Valley (Lucasville)
10% Minford outright
6% Wheelersburg & Valley (Lucasville)

Southwestern Conference championship probabilities
40% Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) outright
28% Avon Lake outright
18% Avon Lake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
3% Westlake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)
3% Avon Lake & Westlake & Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights)

Southwest Ohio Conference championship probabilities
50% Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) outright
36% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)
13% Northwest (Cincinnati) outright
1% Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) & Harrison
1% Ross (Hamilton) & Northwest (Cincinnati) & Mount Healthy (Cincinnati)

Southwestern Buckeye League – Buckeye championship probabilities
57% Carlisle outright
12% Waynesville & Carlisle
8% Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle
7% Madison (Middletown) outright
5% Waynesville & Madison (Middletown) & Carlisle

Southwestern Buckeye League – Southwestern championship probabilities
54% Valley View (Germantown) outright
10% Brookville & Valley View (Germantown)
10% Brookville outright
6% Valley View (Germantown) & Franklin
5% Franklin outright

Suburban League championship probabilities
38% Nordonia (Macedonia) outright
24% Highland (Medina) outright
15% Highland (Medina) & Nordonia (Macedonia)
2% Green outright
2% Nordonia (Macedonia) & Green

Three Rivers Athletic Conference championship probabilities
86% Central Catholic (Toledo) outright
9% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo)
1% St Francis De Sales (Toledo) & Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo)
1% Central Catholic (Toledo) & Whitmer (Toledo) & Findlay

Toledo Area Athletic Conference championship probabilities
64% Northwood outright
10% Northwood & Gibsonburg
8% Gibsonburg outright
6% Edon & Northwood
3% Toledo Christian (Toledo) & Northwood

Toledo City League championship probabilities
51% Bowsher (Toledo) outright
16% Rogers (Toledo) outright
13% Rogers (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
4% Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)
3% Rogers (Toledo) & Start (Toledo) & Bowsher (Toledo)

Tri-Valley Conference – Hocking championship probabilities
83% Trimble (Glouster) outright
9% Southern (Racine) outright
6% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)
1% Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster) & Belpre
1% Eastern (Reedsville) & Southern (Racine) & Trimble (Glouster)

Tri-Valley Conference – Ohio championship probabilities
94% Athens (The Plains) outright
2% Athens (The Plains) & Vinton County (Mc Arthur)
1% Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) & Athens (The Plains)
1% Vinton County (Mc Arthur) outright
1% Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) outright

Wayne County Athletic League championship probabilities
30% Norwayne (Creston) outright
25% Northwestern (West Salem) outright
11% Northwestern (West Salem) & Norwayne (Creston)
9% Hillsdale (Jeromesville) outright
6% Hillsdale (Jeromesville) & Norwayne (Creston)

West Shore Conference championship probabilities
84% Avon outright
4% Avon & North Ridgeville
4% Avon & Midview (Grafton)
2% North Ridgeville outright
2% Midview (Grafton) outright

Western Buckeye League championship probabilities
82% Kenton outright
6% Kenton & Celina
4% Celina outright
4% Kenton & Wapakoneta
2% Kenton & Wapakoneta & Celina

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