The Fantastic 50: Who the formula says wins in Week 9

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Who is favored to win this
weekend? Here’s who the computers and the Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

formula favors…


 

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This Week’s Fantastic 50

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This Week’s
Playoff Odds

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We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s
Predictions

PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK 9 GAMES

Ada (8-0, D6 R24) by 16 (84%) vs Jefferson (Delphos) (6-2, D5 R18)
Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (3-5, D4 R15) by 1 (53%) at Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (3-5, D4 R15)
Amelia (Batavia) (3-5, D2 R8) by 27 (95%) vs Bethel-Tate (Bethel) (2-6, D4 R16)
Arcadia (3-5, D6 R22) by 22 (91%) vs Hardin Northern (Dola) (0-8, D6 R24)
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (7-0-1, D3 R12) by 16 (83%) vs Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (6-2, D4 R16)
Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (1-7, D3 R9) by 1 (53%) vs Benedictine (Cleveland) (3-5, D3 R9)
Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (5-3, D3 R12) by 17 (86%) vs Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) (2-6, D5 R20)
Archbold (7-1, D5 R18) by 27 (95%) vs Wauseon (3-5, D3 R10)
Arlington (5-3, D6 R22) by 33 (98%) at Vanlue (0-8, D6 R22)
Ashland (5-3, D2 R7) by 1 (50%) at Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (7-1, D2 R6)
Athens (The Plains) (7-1, D3 R12) by 29 (96%) at Meigs (Pomeroy) (2-6, D4 R15)
#50 Aurora (7-1, D2 R5) by 42 (99%) vs Harvey (Painesville) (0-8, D2 R5)
#20 Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (7-1, D1 R1) by 22 (92%) vs Lake (Uniontown) (2-6, D2 R5)
Avon (7-1, D2 R6) by 19 (88%) at Rocky River (5-3, D3 R9)
Avon Lake (6-2, D1 R2) by 30 (97%) vs Olmsted Falls (1-7, D2 R6)
Badin (Hamilton) (4-4, D4 R16) by 24 (93%) at Roger Bacon (St Bernard) (0-8, D4 R16)
Barberton (1-7, D2 R5) by 25 (94%) vs East (Akron) (0-8, D2 R5)
Barnesville (4-4, D5 R17) at Magnolia (New Martinsville) [WV] (6-1, D5) – no pick
#28 Beallsville (3-5, D6 R23) vs Paden City (Paden City) [WV] (1-7, D6) – no pick
Beechcroft (Columbus) (6-1, D2 R7) by 2 (54%) at Brookhaven (Columbus) (6-2, D2 R7)
Bellaire (6-2, D5 R17) by 12 (77%) at Edison (Richmond) (2-6, D4 R15)
Bellbrook (3-5, D2 R7) by 18 (86%) vs Oakwood (Dayton) (2-6, D3 R12)
Bellevue (7-1, D3 R10) by 26 (95%) vs Shelby (1-7, D3 R11)
Belpre (2-6, D5 R17) by 16 (84%) vs Miller (Corning) (1-7, D6 R23)
Benjamin Logan (Bellefontaine) (3-5, D3 R10) by 8 (70%) at Greenon (Springfield) (1-7, D4 R14)
Berkshire (Burton) (3-5, D5 R17) by 27 (95%) vs Newbury (3-5, D6 R21)
Bethel (Tipp City) (3-5, D5 R20) by 10 (74%) at Arcanum (3-5, D6 R24)
Big Walnut (Sunbury) (5-3, D2 R7) by 5 (63%) vs Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) (4-4, D1 R3)
#22 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (8-0, D4 R14) by 32 (98%) at Coshocton (2-6, D4 R15)
Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (7-1, D6 R23) by 16 (83%) at River View (Warsaw) (3-5, D3 R11)
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (5-3, D3 R10) by 6 (65%) at St Charles (Columbus) (5-3, D1 R3)
Black River (Sullivan) (4-4, D4 R13) by 17 (86%) vs Firelands (Oberlin) (2-6, D3 R9)
Blanchester (4-4, D4 R16) by 4 (59%) at Goshen (4-4, D3 R12)
Bluffton (3-5, D5 R18) by 22 (91%) vs Paulding (0-8, D4 R14)
Bradford (6-2, D6 R24) by 32 (97%) vs Mississinawa Valley (Union City) (0-8, D6 R24)
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (4-4, D1 R1) by 5 (63%) at Midpark (Middleburg Heights) (5-3, D1 R1)
Brookfield (8-0, D4 R13) by 21 (91%) vs Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (6-1, D6 R21)
Brunswick (5-3, D1 R2) by 4 (61%) vs Solon (4-4, D1 R1)
Brush (Lyndhurst) (5-3, D1 R1) by 12 (77%) at Parma (3-5, D1 R1)
Bryan (8-0, D3 R10) by 41 (99%) at Swanton (0-8, D4 R14)
Buchtel (Akron) (4-4, D3 R9) by 22 (91%) at Kenmore (Akron) (3-5, D2 R5)
Buckeye (Medina) (3-5, D3 R9) by 4 (59%) vs Keystone (La Grange) (4-4, D4 R14)
Buckeye Central (New Washington) (2-6, D6 R23) by 3 (58%) vs Lucas (1-7, D6 R23)
Buckeye Valley (Delaware) (5-3, D3 R10) by 15 (83%) vs Elgin (Marion) (4-4, D5 R20)
Butler (Vandalia) (5-3, D2 R8) by 8 (70%) vs Piqua (4-4, D2 R8)
Caldwell (1-7, D6 R23) vs Wheeling Central Catholic (Wheeling) [WV] (5-3, D6) – no pick
Calvert (Tiffin) (4-4, D6 R22) by 11 (75%) at Mohawk (Sycamore) (3-5, D6 R22)
Canal Winchester (6-2, D2 R7) by 13 (78%) vs Teays Valley (Ashville) (4-4, D2 R7)
Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (3-5, D4 R13) vs Ecorse (Ecorse) [MI] (4-3, D5) – no pick
#17 Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (6-1, D1 R2) by 14 (80%) at Boardman (Youngstown) (4-4, D1 R1)
Canton South (Canton) (6-2, D3 R11) by 7 (66%) vs Carrollton (5-3, D3 R11)
Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (1-7, D5 R19) by 1 (52%) vs Mount Gilead (1-7, D5 R19)
Carey (6-2, D5 R18) by 7 (67%) vs Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (4-4, D5 R18)
Carlisle (6-2, D4 R16) by 38 (99%) vs Preble Shawnee (Camden) (0-8, D4 R16)
Catholic Central (Springfield) (1-7, D6 R24) by 1 (54%) vs Mechanicsburg (2-6, D5 R20)
Catholic Central (Steubenville) (6-2, D6 R21) vs Madonna (Weirton) [WV] (6-1, D6) – no pick
Centerburg (4-4, D5 R19) by 1 (51%) at Fredericktown (4-4, D5 R19)
#45 Centerville (5-3, D1 R4) by 8 (68%) at Beavercreek (5-3, D1 R4)
#13 Central Catholic (Toledo) (8-0, D2 R6) by 29 (96%) at St Francis De Sales (Toledo) (3-5, D2 R6)
#48 Chagrin Falls (7-1, D3 R9) by 24 (93%) vs Orange (Pepper Pike) (3-5, D3 R9)
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (5-3, D4 R16) by 13 (78%) vs Carroll (Dayton) (2-5, D3 R12)
Champion (Warren) (3-5, D4 R13) by 1 (54%) vs Labrae (Leavittsburg) (1-7, D4 R13)
Chardon (6-2, D2 R5) by 15 (82%) vs University School (Hunting Valley) (4-4, D3 R9)
Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) (3-4, D6 R24) by 21 (90%) at Elmwood (St Bernard) (0-8, D6 R24)
Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (2-6, D6 R24) by 8 (68%) vs Lockland (2-6, D6 R24)
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (7-1, D4 R16) by 26 (94%) at New Miami (Hamilton) (5-3, D6 R24)
Circleville (6-2, D3 R12) by 5 (63%) at Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-4, D3 R12)
Clay (Oregon) (3-5, D2 R6) by 2 (54%) at Fremont Ross (Fremont) (3-5, D2 R6)
Claymont (Uhrichsville) (5-3, D3 R11) by 25 (94%) vs Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-5, D4 R15)
Clearview (Lorain) (6-2, D4 R14) by 24 (93%) at Brooklyn (0-8, D4 R13)
Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) (4-4, D4 R13) by 24 (93%) at Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (1-7, D6 R21)
Cleveland Heights (6-2, D1 R1) by 21 (90%) vs Lorain (2-6, D1 R2)
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (8-0, D4 R16) by 24 (93%) at Miami Trace (Washington Court House) (5-3, D3 R12)
Cloverleaf (Lodi) (3-5, D2 R6) by 6 (63%) at Revere (Richfield) (0-8, D2 R5)
Clyde (4-4, D3 R10) by 15 (83%) vs Edison (Milan) (5-3, D4 R14)
#19 Coldwater (8-0, D5 R20) by 43 (99%) at Parkway (Rockford) (0-8, D5 R20)
#3 Colerain (Cincinnati) (8-0, D1 R4) by 9 (71%) vs #8 Lakota West (West Chester) (8-0, D1 R4)
Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (6-2, D6 R23) by 21 (90%) vs Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) (4-4, D5 R20)
Columbia (Columbia Station) (7-1, D5 R18) by 11 (76%) vs Fairview (Fairview Park) (3-5, D4 R13)
#28 Columbian (Tiffin) (8-0, D2 R6) by 31 (97%) vs Sandusky (3-5, D2 R6)
Columbiana (6-2, D5 R17) by 9 (71%) at Mc Donald (4-4, D6 R21)
Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (4-4, D5 R19) by 21 (91%) vs Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (2-6, D3 R10)
Columbus Grove (5-3, D5 R18) by 7 (67%) vs Crestview (Convoy) (3-5, D6 R22)
Covington (8-0, D5 R20) by 39 (99%) at Ansonia (1-7, D6 R24)
Crestview (Columbiana) (8-0, D5 R17) by 34 (98%) at East Palestine (1-7, D5 R17)
Crestwood (Mantua) (2-6, D3 R9) by 15 (82%) at Springfield (Akron) (2-6#, D2 R5)
Crooksville (3-5, D5 R19) by 15 (82%) vs Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (2-6, D3 R11)
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (7-1, D5 R17) by 25 (94%) vs Independence (5-3, D5 R17)
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (4-4, D3 R9) by 22 (91%) vs Timken (Canton) (1-7, D2 R5)
Dalton (3-5, D6 R21) by 18 (87%) vs Waynedale (Apple Creek) (0-8, D5 R19)
Danville (7-1, D6 R23) by 28 (96%) vs Utica (1-7, D4 R15)
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (4-3, D5 R19) by 9 (71%) at Chesapeake (4-4, D4 R15)
Dayton Christian (Miamisburg) (8-0, D5 R20) by 20 (89%) at Belmont (Dayton) (3-5, D2 R8)
Dixie (New Lebanon) (6-2, D5 R20) by 11 (74%) vs Madison (Middletown) (4-4, D4 R16)
Dover (6-2, D3 R11) by 36 (99%) vs Marietta (1-7, D2 R7)
#7 Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (8-0, D1 R3) by 22 (91%) at Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (6-2, D1 R3)
#23 Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (6-2, D1 R3) by 26 (94%) vs Bradley (Hilliard) (4-4, D1 R3)
East (Columbus) (3-5, D3 R10) by 17 (86%) vs Centennial (Columbus) (1-7, D3 R10)
East Canton (4-4, D6 R21) by 15 (83%) at Rootstown (2-6, D5 R17)
East Clinton (Lees Creek) (3-5, D4 R16) by 5 (63%) vs London (1-7, D3 R12)
East Liverpool (2-6, D3 R11) by 9 (70%) vs East Technical (Cleveland) (2-6, D1 R1)
Eastern (Reedsville) (5-3, D6 R23) by 1 (53%) at Federal Hocking (Stewart) (6-2, D5 R19)
Eastwood (Pemberville) (5-3, D4 R14) by 22 (92%) at Woodmore (Elmore) (3-5, D5 R18)
Eaton (5-3, D3 R12) by 8 (69%) at Valley View (Germantown) (2-6, D4 R16)
Edgewood (Ashtabula) (5-3, D4 R13) by 25 (94%) at Conneaut (0-8, D3 R9)
Edon (5-3, D6 R22) by 7 (67%) at Toledo Christian (Toledo) (4-4, D6 R22)
#10 Elder (Cincinnati) (5-3, D1 R4) at Highlands (Fort Thomas) [KY] (8-0, D2) – no pick
Elida (6-2, D3 R10) by 2 (54%) vs Celina (6-2, D2 R8)
Ellet (Akron) (6-2$, D2 R5) by 11 (75%) at Garfield (Akron) (4-4, D2 R5)
Elmwood (Bloomdale) (3-5, D5 R18) by 10 (72%) at Fostoria (0-8, D4 R14)
Euclid (5-3, D1 R1) by 17 (85%) at Maple Heights (4-4, D2 R6)
Evergreen (Metamora) (4-4, D5 R18) by 18 (87%) vs Montpelier (2-6, D6 R22)
Fairbanks (Milford Center) (3-5, D5 R20) by 13 (79%) at Perry (Lima) (3-5, D6 R22)
Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (6-2, D6 R23) by 7 (66%) vs Jefferson Township (Dayton) (5-2#, D6 R24)
Fairland (Proctorville) (3-5, D4 R15) by 23 (92%) at Rock Hill (Ironton) (1-7, D5 R19)
Fairport Harding (Fairport Harbor) (5-3, D6 R21) by 23 (92%) at Richmond Heights (2-6, D6 R21)
Fairview (Sherwood) (5-3, D5 R18) by 18 (87%) vs Edgerton (2-6, D6 R22)
Field (Mogadore) (3-5, D3 R9) by 12 (77%) at Coventry (Akron) (3-5, D2 R5)
#39 Findlay (6-2, D1 R2) by 13 (79%) vs St John’s Jesuit (Toledo) (3-5, D1 R2)
Firestone (Akron) (3-5, D2 R5) by 28 (96%) vs North (Akron) (1-7, D3 R9)
Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) (2-6#, D6 R23) by 23 (92%) at Millersport (0-8, D6 R23)
Fort Frye (Beverly) (6-2, D5 R17) by 27 (95%) vs Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (0-8, D5 R17)
Fort Loramie (6-2, D6 R24) by 27 (95%) at Ridgemont (Ridgeway) (5-3, D6 R24)
Franklin (7-1, D2 R8) by 14 (80%) at Brookville (6-2, D4 R16)
Galion (7-1, D4 R14) by 7 (67%) vs Wynford (Bucyrus) (7-1, D5 R19)
Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (6-2, D3 R12) by 15 (83%) at Logan (2-6, D2 R7)
Garaway (Sugarcreek) (8-0, D5 R17) by 31 (97%) vs Newcomerstown (4-4, D5 R17)
Garfield (Garrettsville) (2-6, D4 R13) by 6 (63%) at Waterloo (Atwater) (2-6, D5 R17)
Genoa Area (Genoa) (8-0, D4 R14) by 24 (93%) vs Rossford (5-3, D3 R10)
Gibsonburg (3-5, D5 R18) by 16 (84%) at Danbury (Lakeside) (2-6, D6 R22)
Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (3-5#, D5 R17) vs Linsly (Wheeling) [WV] (2-5, D6) – no pick
Glen Este (Cincinnati) (4-4, D1 R4) by 4 (60%) vs Kings (Kings Mills) (4-4, D2 R8)
#16 Glenoak (Canton) (7-1, D1 R2) by 10 (73%) at Hoover (North Canton) (6-2, D1 R2)
#25 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (6-2, D1 R1) by 49 (99%) at Lincoln West (Cleveland) (0-7, D1 R1)
Grand Valley (Orwell) (5-3, D4 R13) by 26 (94%) vs Mathews (Vienna) (1-7, D6 R21)
Granville (7-1, D3 R11) by 1 (51%) at Newark Catholic (Newark) (7-1, D6 R23)
Green (5-3, D1 R2) by 6 (64%) at Copley (5-3, D2 R5)
Grove City Christian (Grove City) (4-4, D6 R23) by 28 (96%) vs Fayetteville (2-6, D6 R24)
Hamilton Township (Columbus) (6-2, D2 R7) by 23 (92%) at Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-6, D3 R12)
Harrison Central (Cadiz) (5-3, D4 R15) by 27 (95%) at Union Local (Belmont) (1-7, D4 R15)
Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (4-4, D6 R23) by 1 (51%) at Grandview Heights (Columbus) (5-3, D5 R19)
Hawken (Gates Mills) (7-1, D4 R13) by 13 (79%) at Cardinal (Middlefield) (5-3, D4 R13)
Hayes (Delaware) (2-6, D1 R3) by 16 (84%) vs Franklin Heights (Columbus) (2-6, D2 R7)
Heath (3-5, D4 R15) by 19 (88%) at Lakewood (Hebron) (1-7, D3 R11)
Hicksville (4-4, D5 R18) by 34 (98%) vs Holgate (2-6, D6 R22)
#12 Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (8-0, D1 R3) by 19 (87%) vs Westerville Central (Westerville) (6-2, D1 R3)
#38 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (6-2, D1 R3) by 33 (98%) vs Thomas Worthington (Worthington) (2-6, D1 R3)
Hilltop (West Unity) (2-6, D6 R22) by 11 (75%) vs Cardinal Stritch (Oregon) (1-7, D6 R22)
Holy Name (Parma Heights) (3-5, D3 R9) by 15 (82%) at Trinity (Garfield Heights) (3-5, D5 R17)
Howland (Warren) (6-2, D2 R5) by 18 (87%) at Canfield (2-6, D2 R5)
Hubbard (5-3, D3 R9) by 15 (82%) vs Beaver (Lisbon) (2-6, D3 R11)
#30 Hudson (7-1, D1 R2) by 15 (82%) vs Elyria (6-2, D1 R2)
Hughes Center (Cincinnati) (3-5, D2 R8) by 17 (86%) vs Woodward (Cincinnati) (1-7, D2 R8)
Huron (5-3, D4 R14) by 22 (91%) at Port Clinton (1-7, D3 R10)
Independence (Columbus) (5-3, D3 R10) by 10 (73%) at West (Columbus) (4-4, D2 R7)
Indian Creek (Wintersville) (7-1, D3 R11) by 29 (96%) at Buckeye Local (Rayland) (4-4, D3 R11)
Indian Hill (Cincinnati) (1-7, D3 R12) by 10 (73%) vs Deer Park (Cincinnati) (1-7, D5 R20)
Ironton (5-3, D4 R15) by 10 (73%) at Oak Hill (7-1, D5 R19)
Jackson (5-3, D3 R12) by 11 (75%) vs Chillicothe (2-6, D2 R7)
Jefferson Area (Jefferson) (6-2, D3 R9) by 15 (82%) at Girard (1-7, D4 R13)
John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (4-4, D1 R1) by 3 (57%) at John Adams (Cleveland) (4-4, D1 R1)
John F Kennedy (Warren) (7-1, D6 R21) by 21 (90%) vs St Peter Chanel (Bedford) (3-5, D5 R17)
John Hay (Cleveland) (6-2, D3 R9) by 36 (99%) vs Collinwood (Cleveland) (0-8, D2 R6)
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (6-2, D4 R15) by 14 (80%) vs East Knox (Howard) (5-3, D5 R19)
Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (3-4, D3 R12) by 11 (75%) at Marion Harding (Marion) (3-5, D2 R7)
Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (6-2, D2 R5) by 20 (89%) at West Geauga (Chesterland) (3-5, D2 R5)
Kenton (5-3, D4 R14) by 14 (80%) at Defiance (4-4, D3 R10)
#44 Kirtland (8-0, D5 R17) by 24 (93%) at Beachwood (6-2, D4 R13)
#42 La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-4, D1 R4) by 7 (66%) at St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (4-4, D3 R10)
Lake Catholic (Mentor) (5-3, D3 R9) by 5 (61%) at Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-5, D2 R5)
Lakewood (3-5, D1 R1) by 17 (85%) vs Vermilion (2-6, D3 R10)
Lakota East (Liberty Township) (5-3, D1 R4) by 12 (78%) vs Fairfield (2-6, D1 R4)
Lancaster (2-6, D1 R3) by 1 (50%) vs Grove City (3-5, D1 R3)
Lebanon (6-2, D1 R4) by 14 (81%) vs Miamisburg (5-3, D1 R4)
Ledgemont (Thompson) (4-4, D6 R21) by 15 (82%) at Lutheran East (Cleveland Heights) (1-7, D6 R21)
Liberty (Youngstown) (7-1, D4 R13) by 6 (64%) vs Lakeview (Cortland) (5-3, D4 R13)
Liberty Center (6-2, D5 R18) by 27 (95%) at Delta (2-6, D4 R14)
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (7-1, D5 R18) by 1 (51%) vs Leipsic (8-0, D6 R22)
Licking Heights (Pataskala) (8-0, D2 R7) by 42 (99%) at Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (1-7, D5 R19)
Licking Valley (Newark) (5-3, D3 R11) by 27 (95%) vs Bexley (Columbus) (2-6, D3 R10)
Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (8-0, D5 R18) by 38 (99%) vs Allen East (Harrod) (1-7, D5 R18)
Loudonville (6-2, D5 R19) by 27 (95%) vs Northridge (Johnstown) (2-6$, D4 R15)
Louisville (4-4, D2 R5) by 23 (92%) at Salem (0-8, D3 R11)
Lowellville (2-6, D6 R21) by 27 (95%) vs Mc Kinley (Sebring) (0-8, D6 R21)
Lutheran West (Rocky River) (3-5, D4 R13) by 6 (65%) vs Oberlin (5-3, D5 R18)
Madeira (Cincinnati) (7-1, D4 R16) by 13 (79%) vs Taylor (North Bend) (4-4, D4 R16)
Madison (5-3, D2 R5) by 30 (97%) vs Lakeside (Ashtabula) (1-7, D2 R5)
Malvern (7-1, D6 R21) by 33 (98%) at Conotton Valley (Bowerston) (5-3, D6 R21)
#25 Manchester (1-7, D6 R24) vs an unsanctioned team – no pick
Manchester (Akron) (5-3, D4 R13) by 19 (88%) vs Fairless (Navarre) (3-5, D4 R13)
#47 Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (7-1, D2 R6) by 15 (82%) vs Lexington (5-3, D2 R6)
Mariemont (Cincinnati) (4-4, D5 R20) by 9 (71%) at Reading (3-5, D4 R16)
Marion Local (Maria Stein) (6-2, D6 R24) by 17 (86%) vs Anna (4-4, D5 R20)
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (7-1, D2 R7) by 13 (79%) at Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (5-3, D3 R10)
Marlington (Alliance) (8-0, D3 R11) by 19 (88%) vs West Branch (Beloit) (4-4, D3 R11)
Marysville (2-6, D1 R3) by 16 (83%) at Central Crossing (Grove City) (1-7, D1 R3)
#27 Mason (5-3, D1 R4) by 16 (85%) at Princeton (Cincinnati) (1-7, D1 R4)
#11 Massillon Washington (Massillon) (7-1, D1 R2) by 18 (87%) vs St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (7-1, D3 R9)
Maumee (5-3, D2 R6) by 5 (63%) vs Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) (4-4, D1 R2)
Mayfield (4-4, D1 R1) by 14 (80%) at Cuyahoga Falls (3-5, D1 R2)
Maysville (Zanesville) (7-1, D3 R11) by 4 (60%) vs Philo (Duncan Falls) (7-1, D3 R11)
Mc Clain (Greenfield) (5-3, D3 R12) by 7 (68%) vs Madison Plains (London) (4-4, D5 R20)
Mc Comb (8-0, D6 R22) by 27 (95%) at Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (4-4, D6 R22)
Meadowdale (Dayton) (1-7, D3 R12) by 14 (81%) at Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) (4-4, D6 R24)
Memorial (Campbell) (4-4, D5 R17) by 23 (92%) vs Newton Falls (1-7, D4 R13)
Memorial (St Marys) (0-8, D3 R10) by 1 (53%) at Van Wert (0-8, D4 R14)
#9 Mentor (7-1, D1 R1) by 35 (98%) vs Strongsville (2-6, D1 R1)
Miami East (Casstown) (5-3, D5 R20) by 21 (90%) at Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (3-5, D5 R20)
Middletown (2-6, D1 R4) by 19 (88%) vs Hamilton (2-6, D1 R4)
Midview (Grafton) (7-1, D2 R6) by 17 (85%) vs Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (5-3, D4 R14)
Mifflin (Columbus) (6-2, D2 R7) by 30 (97%) vs Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (1-7, D3 R10)
Milton-Union (West Milton) (6-2, D4 R16) by 3 (58%) vs Waynesville (6-2, D4 R16)
Minerva (3-5, D3 R11) by 5 (62%) vs Alliance (2-6, D2 R5)
Minford (7-1, D4 R15) by 20 (89%) vs Waverly (1-7, D4 R15)
Mogadore (8-0, D6 R21) by 16 (84%) at Southeast (Ravenna) (6-2, D3 R9)
Monroe (1-7, D3 R12) by 19 (88%) vs Northridge (Dayton) (1-7, D4 R16)
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (5-3, D5 R17) by 20 (89%) at Frontier (New Matamoras) (4-4, D6 R23)
Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (8-0, D2 R8) by 16 (84%) vs Edgewood (Trenton) (6-2, D2 R8)
Napoleon (7-0-1, D3 R10) by 31 (97%) vs Sylvania Northview (Sylvania) (3-5, D2 R6)
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (6-2, D5 R19) by 31 (97%) at Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (1-7, D3 R12)
#35 New Albany (6-2, D2 R7) by 28 (95%) at Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (2-6, D2 R7)
New Lexington (5-3, D3 R11) by 32 (97%) vs West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-8, D4 R15)
New London (5-3, D5 R18) by 5 (62%) vs Monroeville (3-5, D6 R22)
New Philadelphia (7-1, D2 R5) by 15 (82%) vs John Glenn (New Concord) (5-3, D3 R11)
New Richmond (3-5, D3 R12) by 25 (94%) at Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) (1-7, D4 R16)
Niles Mc Kinley (Niles) (7-1, D3 R9) by 5 (63%) vs Struthers (5-3, D3 R11)
#41 Nordonia (Macedonia) (7-1, D1 R2) by 6 (64%) at Highland (Medina) (5-3, D2 R6)
North (Eastlake) (1-7, D1 R1) by 2 (55%) at Geneva (2-6, D2 R5)
North College Hill (Cincinnati) (5-3, D4 R16) by 30 (97%) vs Cincinnati Christian (Fairfield) (2-6, D6 R24)
North Olmsted (6-2, D1 R1) by 20 (89%) at Steele (Amherst) (2-6, D1 R2)
North Ridgeville (1-7, D1 R2) by 6 (63%) vs Bay (Bay Village) (2-6, D3 R9)
#46 North Royalton (8-0, D1 R1) by 20 (89%) at Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) (2-6, D1 R2)
North Union (Richwood) (8-0, D4 R14) by 43 (99%) at Ridgedale (Morral) (0-8, D6 R23)
Northeastern (Springfield) (3-5, D4 R14) by 5 (62%) vs Greeneview (Jamestown) (4-4, D4 R16)
Northland (Columbus) (4-4, D2 R7) by 2 (55%) at Whetstone (Columbus) (3-5, D2 R7)
Northmont (Clayton) (5-3, D1 R4) by 20 (89%) vs Springfield (1-7, D1 R3)
Northwest (Cincinnati) (8-0, D2 R8) by 18 (87%) at Harrison (3-5, D2 R8)
Northwestern (Springfield) (3-5, D4 R14) by 3 (58%) at Graham (St Paris) (1-7, D3 R10)
Northwestern (West Salem) (7-1, D4 R13) by 37 (99%) vs Rittman (1-7, D5 R19)
Northwood (8-0, D5 R18) by 23 (92%) vs Ottawa Hills (Toledo) (6-2, D6 R22)
Norwalk (7-1, D2 R6) by 18 (87%) at Willard (3-5, D4 R14)
Norwayne (Creston) (8-0, D4 R13) by 9 (71%) at Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (6-2, D5 R19)
Norwood (7-1, D4 R16) by 28 (96%) vs Williamsburg (3-5, D5 R20)
Notre Dame (Portsmouth) (6-2, D6 R23) by 3 (57%) vs Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (6-2, D6 R23)
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (6-2, D3 R9) by 24 (93%) at Padua Franciscan (Parma) (2-6, D3 R9)
Oak Harbor (6-2, D4 R14) by 26 (94%) vs St Mary Central Catholic (Sandusky) (2-6, D6 R22)
Olentangy (Lewis Center) (7-1, D1 R3) by 19 (89%) at Mount Vernon (5-3, D2 R7)
Ontario (Mansfield) (5-3, D4 R14) by 39 (99%) vs Crestline (0-8, D6 R23)
Orrville (1-7, D4 R13) by 2 (56%) vs Clear Fork (Bellville) (2-6, D4 R14)
Otsego (Tontogany) (4-4, D4 R14) by 10 (73%) vs Lake (Millbury) (3-5, D4 R14)
#40 Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (8-0, D4 R14) by 23 (92%) at Bath (Lima) (5-3, D4 R14)
Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (4-3-1, D5 R20) by 1 (53%) at Huntington (Chillicothe) (5-3, D5 R20)
Patrick Henry (Hamler) (6-2, D5 R18) by 27 (95%) at Waynesfield-Goshen (Waynesfield) (4-4, D6 R24)
Perkins (Sandusky) (7-1, D3 R10) by 30 (97%) at Margaretta (Castalia) (2-6, D5 R18)
Perry (3-5, D4 R13) by 13 (78%) at Wickliffe (3-5, D4 R13)
Perry (Massillon) (4-4, D1 R2) by 2 (55%) vs Jackson (Massillon) (4-4, D1 R2)
Perrysburg (6-2, D2 R6) by 27 (95%) vs Bowling Green (3-5, D2 R6)
#29 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (5-2, D1 R3) by 30 (97%) vs Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (1-7, D1 R3)
#6 Pickerington North (Pickerington) (8-0, D1 R3) by 18 (87%) vs Lincoln (Gahanna) (7-1, D1 R3)
Piketon (6-2, D4 R15) by 32 (97%) at Southeastern (Chillicothe) (1-7, D5 R20)
Pleasant (Marion) (6-2, D5 R20) by 28 (96%) at Northmor (Galion) (2-6, D5 R19)
Poland Seminary (Poland) (5-3, D3 R11) by 12 (76%) vs East (Youngstown) (3-5, D1 R1)
Ponitz Tech (Dayton) (1-7, D4 R16) by 14 (80%) at Oyler (Cincinnati) (2-4, D6 R24)
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (3-5, D5 R19) by 33 (98%) vs Northwest (Mc Dermott) (0-8, D4 R15)
Pymatuning Valley (Andover) (2-6, D4 R13) by 2 (56%) at Chalker (Southington) (3-5, D6 R21)
Ravenna (6-2, D3 R9) by 10 (72%) at Streetsboro (6-2, D4 R13)
#49 Reynoldsburg (5-3, D1 R3) by 28 (96%) vs Newark (2-6, D1 R3)
Rhodes (Cleveland) (4-4, D1 R1) by 7 (66%) vs John Marshall (Cleveland) (2-6, D1 R1)
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (4-4, D5 R19) by 18 (87%) at Strasburg-Franklin (Strasburg) (2-6, D6 R21)
River (Hannibal) (5-3, D6 R23) by 9 (71%) at Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (4-4, D5 R17)
River Valley (Caledonia) (6-2, D3 R10) by 15 (83%) at Highland (Sparta) (5-3, D4 R14)
Rogers (Toledo) (5-3, D2 R6) by 9 (71%) at Bowsher (Toledo) (4-4, D1 R2)
Roosevelt (Kent) (7-1, D2 R5) by 23 (92%) at Norton (5-3, D3 R9)
Ross (Hamilton) (4-4, D2 R8) by 27 (95%) at Little Miami (Morrow) (1-7, D2 R8)
Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (4-4, D4 R13) by 5 (63%) at Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (2-6$, D6 R21)
Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) (3-5, D6 R23) by 7 (66%) at Green (Franklin Furnace) (3-5, D6 R23)
Seneca East (Attica) (6-2, D5 R18) by 24 (93%) at Lakota (Kansas) (2-6, D5 R18)
Shadyside (8-0, D6 R21) by 38 (99%) at Bridgeport (2-6#, D6 R21)
Shaker Heights (6-2, D1 R1) by 23 (92%) vs Garfield Heights (2-6, D1 R1)
Shaw (East Cleveland) (4-4, D2 R6) by 30 (97%) at Warrensville Heights (1-7, D3 R9)
Shawnee (Springfield) (5-3, D3 R12) by 20 (89%) at Stebbins (Riverside) (2-6, D2 R8)
Shroder (Cincinnati) (6-2, D4 R16) by 37 (99%) vs Aiken (Cincinnati) (0-8, D3 R12)
Smithville (3-5, D5 R19) by 19 (88%) vs Chippewa (Doylestown) (1-7, D4 R13)
#15 South (Willoughby) (8-0, D1 R1) by 28 (96%) vs Riverside (Painesville) (6-2, D1 R1)
South Central (Greenwich) (2-6, D6 R22) by 3 (57%) vs Mapleton (Ashland) (2-6, D6 R23)
South Point (1-7, D4 R15) by 9 (70%) at River Valley (Cheshire) (1-7, D4 R15)
South Range (North Lima) (6-2, D5 R17) by 25 (94%) at David Anderson (Lisbon) (2-6, D5 R17)
South Urban Academy (Columbus) (3-5, D3 R10) by 22 (91%) vs Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (0-8, D6 R23)
Southern (Salineville) (5-3, D5 R17) by 5 (63%) at Leetonia (5-3, D6 R21)
Spencerville (6-2, D5 R18) by 21 (91%) at Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (4-4, D6 R24)
#21 Springboro (8-0, D1 R4) by 25 (94%) vs Xenia (5-3, D1 R4)
Springfield (New Middletown) (3-5, D5 R17) by 1 (53%) vs Mineral Ridge (4-4, D6 R21)
St Clairsville (8-0, D4 R15) by 28 (96%) vs Martins Ferry (5-3, D4 R15)
#1 St Edward (Lakewood) (8-0, D1 R1) by 21 (90%) at #14 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (6-2, D1 R4)
St Henry (5-3, D6 R24) by 23 (92%) at Fort Recovery (3-5, D6 R24)
#2 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (8-0, D1 R1) by 7 (67%) at #4 St Xavier (Cincinnati) (5-3, D1 R4)
St John Central (Bellaire) (3-5$, D6 R21) vs Cameron (Cameron) [WV] (4-4, D6) – no pick
Delphos St John’s (5-3, D6 R22) by 28 (96%) vs New Bremen (2-6, D6 R24)
St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (7-1, D6 R22) by 32 (98%) vs North Baltimore (1-7, D6 R22)
St Paul (Norwalk) (5-3, D6 R22) by 16 (83%) vs Crestview (Ashland) (2-6, D5 R19)
St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (7-1, D5 R17) by 24 (93%) vs Northwest (Canal Fulton) (1-7, D3 R11)
Start (Toledo) (4-4, D1 R2) by 45 (99%) vs Woodward (Toledo) (0-8, D2 R6)
Steubenville (6-2, D3 R11) vs Sir Wilfrid Laurier Collegiate (Toronto) [ON] (3-1, D1) – no pick
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (8-0, D5 R20) by 18 (86%) at Clark Montessori (Cincinnati) (5-3, D5 R20)
#24 Sycamore (Cincinnati) (7-1, D1 R4) by 12 (77%) at Oak Hills (Cincinnati) (5-3, D1 R4)
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (4-4, D1 R2) by 30 (97%) vs Springfield (Holland) (1-7, D2 R6)
Tallmadge (6-2, D2 R5) by 11 (75%) vs Wadsworth (5-3, D1 R2)
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (6-2, D2 R7) by 25 (94%) vs Bellefontaine (1-6, D3 R10)
Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (7-1, D3 R12) by 30 (97%) vs Dunbar (Dayton) (4-4, D3 R12)
Tinora (Defiance) (6-2, D5 R18) by 22 (91%) vs Ayersville (Defiance) (4-4, D6 R22)
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (7-1, D2 R8) by 21 (90%) vs Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (6-2, D3 R12)
Toronto (2-6, D6 R21) vs Hundred (Hundred) [WV] (0-8, D6) – no pick
Triad (North Lewisburg) (7-1, D5 R20) by 18 (87%) vs Southeastern Local (South Charleston) (5-3, D6 R24)
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (5-3, D6 R24) by 12 (76%) at National Trail (New Paris) (6-2, D5 R20)
Trimble (Glouster) (7-1, D6 R23) by 32 (98%) at Southern (Racine) (3-5, D6 R23)
#32 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (8-0, D2 R7) by 33 (98%) vs Sheridan (Thornville) (4-4, D3 R11)
Triway (Wooster) (5-3, D4 R13) by 20 (89%) vs Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (3-5, D4 R15)
#31 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (6-2, D2 R8) by 35 (98%) vs Sidney (3-5, D2 R8)
Troy (3-5, D1 R3) by 16 (83%) at Greenville (1-7, D2 R8)
#34 Turpin (Cincinnati) (8-0, D2 R8) by 6 (64%) at Loveland (5-3, D1 R4)
Tuslaw (Massillon) (5-3, D4 R13) by 2 (55%) at Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (4-4, D4 R15)
Twinsburg (5-3, D1 R2) by 24 (93%) vs Medina (2-6, D1 R2)
United (Hanoverton) (5-3, D5 R17) by 35 (98%) vs Jackson-Milton (North Jackson) (0-8, D6 R21)
Upper Arlington (Columbus) (4-4, D1 R3) by 33 (98%) vs Westland (Galloway) (1-7, D1 R3)
Upper Sandusky (5-3, D4 R14) by 13 (78%) vs Bucyrus (4-4, D5 R19)
Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey) (0-8, D6 R24) by 11 (75%) vs Riverside (De Graff) (1-7, D6 R24)
Urbana (7-1, D3 R10) by 23 (92%) vs Indian Lake (Lewistown) (5-3, D3 R10)
#36 Ursuline (Youngstown) (5-3, D5 R17) by 2 (54%) vs #37 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (3-4, D3 R11)
Valley Forge (Parma Heights) (2-6, D1 R1) by 11 (75%) vs Normandy (Parma) (1-7, D2 R6)
Van Buren (4-4, D5 R18) by 13 (79%) vs Cory-Rawson (Rawson) (2-6, D6 R22)
Versailles (5-3, D5 R20) by 5 (63%) vs Minster (6-2, D6 R24)
Waite (Toledo) (0-8, D1 R2) by 9 (70%) vs Scott (Toledo) (3-5, D2 R6)
Walnut Hills (Cincinnati) (4-4, D1 R4) by 19 (88%) at Milford (1-7, D1 R4)
Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (5-3, D2 R7) by 35 (98%) vs Briggs (Columbus) (1-7, D2 R7)
Wapakoneta (5-3, D2 R8) by 19 (88%) vs Shawnee (Lima) (1-7, D3 R10)
Warren (Vincent) (2-6, D2 R7) by 1 (51%) at Portsmouth (1-7, D4 R15)
#26 Warren G Harding (Warren) (7-1, D1 R1) by 26 (94%) vs Bedford (4-4, D2 R6)
Washington (Washington Court House) (4-4, D3 R12) by 25 (94%) vs Hillsboro (0-8, D3 R12)
Waterford (2-6, D6 R23) by 14 (80%) at South Gallia (Crown City) (0-8, D6 R23)
#18 Wayne (Huber Heights) (6-2, D1 R4) by 22 (91%) vs Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) (2-6, D1 R4)
Wayne Trace (Haviland) (7-1, D5 R18) by 42 (99%) vs Antwerp (0-8, D6 R22)
Wellington (2-6, D4 R14) by 24 (93%) at Brookside (Sheffield) (0-8, D3 R9)
Wellston (3-5, D4 R15) by 10 (74%) vs Alexander (Albany) (3-5, D5 R19)
West Carrollton (2-6, D2 R8) by 4 (59%) vs Fairborn (1-7, D1 R4)
West Holmes (Millersburg) (7-1, D3 R11) by 18 (87%) vs Wooster (2-6, D2 R7)
West Jefferson (6-2, D5 R20) by 8 (68%) at Liberty Union (Baltimore) (6-2, D5 R19)
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (8-0, D5 R20) by 34 (98%) vs Cedarville (1-6-1, D6 R24)
Western Brown (Mount Orab) (8-0, D2 R8) by 5 (63%) at Batavia (8-0, D4 R16)
Western Hills (Cincinnati) (4-4, D1 R4) by 1 (53%) vs Taft (Cincinnati) (5-3, D3 R12)
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (6-2, D6 R21) by 24 (93%) at Wellsville (3-5, D6 R21)
Western Reserve (Collins) (6-2, D5 R18) by 17 (85%) vs Plymouth (4-4, D6 R23)
#33 Westerville South (Westerville) (6-2, D1 R3) by 16 (84%) at Dublin Jerome (Dublin) (4-4, D1 R3)
Westfall (Williamsport) (7-1, D4 R16) by 24 (93%) at Adena (Frankfort) (3-5, D5 R20)
Westlake (7-1, D2 R6) by 24 (93%) vs Berea (3-5, D2 R6)
Wheelersburg (7-1, D5 R19) by 1 (51%) at Valley (Lucasville) (8-0, D5 R19)
#5 Whitmer (Toledo) (8-0, D1 R2) by 44 (99%) vs Lima Senior (Lima) (0-8, D2 R8)
Wilmington (3-5, D2 R8) by 16 (83%) at Talawanda (Oxford) (1-7, D2 R8)
Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-3, D2 R8) by 14 (80%) vs Anderson (Cincinnati) (3-5, D2 R8)
Withrow (Cincinnati) (6-2, D1 R4) vs Marist (Chicago) [IL] (7-1, D1) – no pick
Woodridge (Peninsula) (6-2, D3 R9) by 31 (97%) at Windham (3-5, D6 R21)
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (2-6, D2 R7) by 26 (95%) at Westerville North (Westerville) (0-8, D1 R3)
Wyoming (Cincinnati) (6-2, D3 R12) by 30 (97%) vs Finneytown (Cincinnati) (0-8, D4 R16)
Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (3-5, D4 R15) by 4 (60%) vs Unioto (Chillicothe) (4-4, D4 R15)
#43 Zanesville (7-1, D2 R7) by 25 (94%) vs Cambridge (5-3, D3 R11)

Prediction Results

Week #1: 241-105 (69.7%)
Week #2: 255-90 (73.9%)
Week #3: 266-76 (77.8%)
Week #4: 280-68 (80.5%)
Week #5: 283-68 (80.6%)
Week #6: 299-50 (85.7%)
Week #7: 282-70 (80.1%)
Week #8: 287-63 (82.0%)

Detailed results after week #8
Season: 2193-590 (78.8%) Within 7 points: 854 (30.7%)
Within 3 points: 415 (14.9%)
Winner and exact margin: 58 (2.1%)
Avg. error on scores: 14.78 pts.

Week #4 onward: 1431-319 (81.8%)

 

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