The Fantastic 50: Who the formula says wins in Week 8

Image

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Who is favored to win this
weekend? Here’s who the computers and the Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

formula favors…


 

_______________________________________________________________________

This Week’s Fantastic 50

_______________________________________________________________________

This Week’s
Playoff Odds

_______________________________________________________________________

We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s
Predictions

PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK 8 GAMES

St Wendelin (Fostoria) (0-2, D6 R0) at an unsanctioned team – no pick
Ada (7-0, D6 R24) by 30 (97%) at Allen East (Harrod) (1-6, D5 R18)
Adena (Frankfort) (3-4, D5 R20) by 2 (55%) at Unioto (Chillicothe) (3-4, D4 R15)
Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (2-5, D4 R15) by 15 (82%) vs Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (2-5, D3 R12)
Anderson (Cincinnati) (3-4, D2 R8) by 8 (69%) vs Glen Este (Cincinnati) (3-4, D1 R4)
Anna (3-4, D5 R20) by 16 (83%) at New Bremen (2-5, D6 R24)
Arcanum (2-5, D6 R24) by 12 (77%) at Mississinawa Valley (Union City) (0-7, D6 R24)
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (6-0, D3 R12) by 27 (95%) at Carroll (Dayton) (2-4, D3 R12)
Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (4-3, D3 R12) by 29 (96%) vs Roger Bacon (St Bernard) (0-7, D4 R16)
#16 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (5-2, D1 R4) at Cathedral (Indianapolis) [IN] (4-4, D1) – no pick
Arlington (4-3, D6 R22) by 32 (98%) vs Hardin Northern (Dola) (0-7, D6 R24)
Ashland (4-3, D2 R7) by 15 (82%) at Clear Fork (Bellville) (2-5, D4 R14)
Athens (The Plains) (6-1, D3 R12) by 37 (99%) vs Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (1-6, D3 R12)
Aurora (6-1, D2 R5) by 27 (95%) vs Perry (3-4, D4 R13)
#17 Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-1, D1 R1) by 31 (97%) at Marion Harding (Marion) (3-4, D2 R7)
Avon (6-1, D2 R6) by 36 (99%) vs Vermilion (2-5, D3 R10)
Avon Lake (5-2, D1 R2) by 5 (63%) at Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (4-3, D1 R1)
Badin (Hamilton) (4-3, D4 R16) by 24 (93%) vs Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) (1-6, D5 R20)
Batavia (7-0, D4 R16) by 29 (96%) at Bethel-Tate (Bethel) (2-5, D4 R16)
Beallsville (2-5, D6 R23) by 16 (83%) at Bridgeport (1-6, D6 R21)
Beavercreek (4-3, D1 R4) by 14 (79%) vs Springfield (1-6, D1 R3)
Bedford (3-4, D2 R6) by 28 (96%) vs Warrensville Heights (1-6, D3 R9)
Beechcroft (Columbus) (5-1, D2 R7) by 29 (96%) vs East (Columbus) (3-4, D3 R10)
Bellaire (5-2, D5 R17) by 29 (96%) vs Union Local (Belmont) (1-6, D4 R15)
Bellevue (6-1, D3 R10) by 4 (60%) vs Norwalk (7-0, D2 R6)
Benjamin Logan (Bellefontaine) (2-5, D3 R10) by 2 (54%) vs Graham (St Paris) (1-6, D3 R10)
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (0-7, D5 R19) by 14 (80%) vs Millersport (0-7, D6 R23)
Bethel (Tipp City) (2-5, D5 R20) by 16 (83%) vs Ansonia (1-6, D6 R24)
#25 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (7-0, D4 R14) by 21 (90%) at Ironton (5-2, D4 R15)
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (6-1, D4 R14) by 32 (97%) vs Montpelier (2-5, D6 R22)
Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (6-1, D6 R23) by 24 (93%) at Marietta (1-6, D2 R7)
Black River (Sullivan) (3-4, D4 R13) by 26 (95%) at Brookside (Sheffield) (0-7, D3 R9)
Boardman (Youngstown) (4-3, D1 R1) by 15 (82%) vs Jackson (Massillon) (3-4, D1 R2)
Bradford (6-1, D6 R24) by 3 (56%) at Miami East (Casstown) (4-3, D5 R20)
Bradley (Hilliard) (3-4, D1 R3) by 25 (93%) vs Westerville North (Westerville) (0-7, D1 R3)
Brookfield (7-0, D4 R13) by 44 (99%) at Conneaut (0-7, D3 R9)
Brookhaven (Columbus) (5-2, D2 R7) by 35 (98%) at Centennial (Columbus) (1-6, D3 R10)
Brookville (6-1, D4 R16) by 5 (61%) at Bellbrook (2-5, D2 R7)
Brunswick (4-3, D1 R2) by 21 (90%) at Strongsville (2-5, D1 R1)
Bryan (7-0, D3 R10) by 9 (71%) at Liberty Center (6-1, D5 R18)
Buchtel (Akron) (3-4, D3 R9) by 34 (98%) vs North (Akron) (1-6, D3 R9)
Buckeye (Medina) (2-5, D3 R9) by 7 (66%) at Firelands (Oberlin) (2-5, D3 R9)
Bucyrus (3-4, D5 R19) by 2 (55%) vs Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) (4-3, D5 R20)
Butler (Vandalia) (4-3, D2 R8) by 21 (90%) at Sidney (3-4, D2 R8)
Canal Winchester (5-2, D2 R7) by 14 (80%) vs Logan Elm (Circleville) (4-3, D3 R12)
#24 Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (5-1, D1 R2) by 12 (77%) vs Perry (Massillon) (4-3, D1 R2)
Cardinal (Middlefield) (5-2, D4 R13) by 1 (53%) vs Fairport Harding (Fairport Harbor) (4-3, D6 R21)
#2 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-4, D3 R11) vs Mcdowell (Erie) [PA] (2-4, D1) – no pick
Carey (5-2, D5 R18) by 29 (96%) at North Baltimore (1-6, D6 R22)
Carlisle (5-2, D4 R16) by 14 (81%) vs Valley View (Germantown) (2-5, D4 R16)
Carrollton (5-2, D3 R11) by 16 (83%) at Alliance (1-6, D2 R5)
Catholic Central (Steubenville) (5-2, D6 R21) at Weir (Weirton) [WV] (0-7, D3) – no pick
Celina (6-1, D2 R8) by 3 (56%) at Kenton (4-3, D4 R14)
Centerburg (3-4, D5 R19) by 18 (87%) vs Northridge (Johnstown) (3-4, D4 R15)
#34 Centerville (5-2, D1 R4) by 1 (50%) vs #29 Wayne (Huber Heights) (5-2, D1 R4)
#13 Central Catholic (Toledo) (7-0, D2 R6) by 20 (89%) vs St John’s Jesuit (Toledo) (3-4, D1 R2)
Chagrin Falls (6-1, D3 R9) by 25 (93%) vs West Geauga (Chesterland) (3-4, D2 R5)
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (5-2, D4 R16) by 4 (60%) at Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (5-2, D4 R16)
Chardon (6-1, D2 R5) by 19 (88%) at Riverside (Painesville) (5-2, D1 R1)
Chesapeake (3-4, D4 R15) by 25 (94%) at South Point (1-6, D4 R15)
Chillicothe (2-5, D2 R7) by 9 (72%) at Logan (1-6, D2 R7)
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (6-1, D4 R16) by 20 (89%) vs Clark Montessori (Cincinnati) (5-2, D5 R20)
Circleville (6-1, D3 R12) by 27 (95%) vs Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (2-5, D4 R15)
Claymont (Uhrichsville) (4-3, D3 R11) by 6 (64%) at Beaver (Lisbon) (2-5, D3 R11)
Clearview (Lorain) (5-2, D4 R14) by 9 (70%) vs Lutheran West (Rocky River) (3-4, D4 R13)
Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) (4-3, D4 R13) by 2 (54%) at Holy Name (Parma Heights) (2-5, D3 R9)
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (7-0, D4 R16) by 31 (97%) vs Washington (Washington Court House) (4-3, D3 R12)
#20 Coldwater (7-0, D5 R20) by 15 (82%) vs Marion Local (Maria Stein) (6-1, D6 R24)
#3 Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-0, D1 R4) by 32 (97%) at Fairfield (2-5, D1 R4)
Columbia (Columbia Station) (6-1, D5 R18) by 30 (97%) vs Brooklyn (0-7, D4 R13)
#33 Columbian (Tiffin) (7-0, D2 R6) by 35 (98%) vs Willard (3-4, D4 R14)
Columbiana (6-1, D5 R17) by 26 (94%) at Lowellville (1-6, D6 R21)
Columbus Grove (4-3, D5 R18) by 30 (97%) vs Paulding (0-7, D4 R14)
Conotton Valley (Bowerston) (4-3, D6 R21) by 11 (75%) vs Toronto (2-5, D6 R21)
Copley (5-2, D2 R5) by 1 (50%) at Wadsworth (4-3, D1 R2)
Coshocton (1-6, D4 R15) by 13 (78%) at Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-4, D4 R15)
Covington (7-0, D5 R20) by 31 (97%) vs National Trail (New Paris) (6-1, D5 R20)
Crestview (Ashland) (1-6, D5 R19) by 7 (66%) vs Mapleton (Ashland) (2-5, D6 R23)
Crestview (Columbiana) (7-0, D5 R17) by 46 (99%) vs Jackson-Milton (North Jackson) (0-7, D6 R21)
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (6-1, D5 R17) by 6 (64%) at Beachwood (6-1, D4 R13)
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (3-4, D3 R9) by 10 (72%) at Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (3-4, D4 R15)
Dalton (2-5, D6 R21) by 9 (71%) at Chippewa (Doylestown) (1-6, D4 R13)
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (3-3, D5 R19) by 2 (56%) at Fairland (Proctorville) (3-4, D4 R15)
Dayton Christian (Miamisburg) (7-0, D5 R20) by 25 (94%) vs Meadowdale (Dayton) (1-6, D3 R12)
Defiance (3-4, D3 R10) by 6 (64%) at Shawnee (Lima) (1-6, D3 R10)
Delta (1-6, D4 R14) by 12 (77%) vs Swanton (0-7, D4 R14)
Dover (5-2, D3 R11) by 11 (75%) at Cambridge (5-2, D3 R11)
#8 Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (7-0, D1 R3) by 47 (99%) vs Westland (Galloway) (1-6, D1 R3)
Dunbar (Dayton) (4-3, D3 R12) by 2 (56%) at Taft (Cincinnati) (4-3, D3 R12)
East Canton (3-4, D6 R21) by 13 (78%) at Windham (3-4, D6 R21)
#1 East Liverpool (1-6, D3 R11) vs Oak Glen (New Cumberland) [WV] (4-3, D4) – no pick
East Technical (Cleveland) (2-5, D1 R1) by 3 (57%) at John Marshall (Cleveland) (1-6, D1 R1)
Eastern (Reedsville) (4-3, D6 R23) at Doddridge County [WV] (5-2, D4) – no pick
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (5-2, D3 R10) by 3 (57%) at Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (4-3, D2 R7)
Eastwood (Pemberville) (4-3, D4 R14) by 6 (64%) vs Otsego (Tontogany) (4-3, D4 R14)
Edgerton (1-6, D6 R22) by 14 (80%) at Holgate (2-5, D6 R22)
Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3, D4 R13) by 10 (73%) at Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (2-5, D5 R17)
Edgewood (Trenton) (5-2, D2 R8) by 22 (91%) vs Talawanda (Oxford) (1-6, D2 R8)
Edison (Milan) (4-3, D4 R14) by 15 (82%) vs St Mary Central Catholic (Sandusky) (2-5, D6 R22)
Edon (4-3, D6 R22) by 25 (94%) at Cardinal Stritch (Oregon) (1-6, D6 R22)
#11 Elder (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4) by 14 (80%) vs #43 Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-2, D2 R8)
Elida (5-2, D3 R10) by 13 (78%) vs Bath (Lima) (5-2, D4 R14)
Ellet (Akron) (5-2$, D2 R5) by 9 (71%) vs Firestone (Akron) (3-4, D2 R5)
Elyria (5-2, D1 R2) by 9 (71%) vs Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) (2-5, D1 R2)
Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (4-3, D4 R14) by 5 (62%) at North Ridgeville (1-6, D1 R2)
Euclid (4-3, D1 R1) by 19 (88%) at Lorain (2-5, D1 R2)
Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (5-2, D6 R23) by 2 (54%) at Ridgemont (Ridgeway) (5-2, D6 R24)
Fairview (Fairview Park) (2-5, D4 R13) by 5 (62%) vs Oberlin (5-2, D5 R18)
Fairview (Sherwood) (4-3, D5 R18) by 35 (98%) at Antwerp (0-7, D6 R22)
Fayetteville (1-6, D6 R24) by 8 (69%) vs Manchester (1-6, D6 R24)
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (5-2, D5 R19) by 22 (91%) at Miller (Corning) (1-6, D6 R23)
Field (Mogadore) (2-5, D3 R9) by 2 (54%) at Crestwood (Mantua) (2-5, D3 R9)
#41 Findlay (5-2, D1 R2) by 16 (83%) at Clay (Oregon) (3-4, D2 R6)
Fort Frye (Beverly) (5-2, D5 R17) by 14 (80%) at Caldwell (1-6, D6 R23)
Fort Loramie (5-2, D6 R24) by 34 (98%) at Riverside (De Graff) (1-6, D6 R24)
Franklin (6-1, D2 R8) by 11 (74%) at Eaton (5-2, D3 R12)
Fredericktown (3-4, D5 R19) by 9 (71%) at Utica (1-6, D4 R15)
Frontier (New Matamoras) (3-4, D6 R23) vs Valley (Wetzel) (Pine Grove) [WV] (1-6, D6) – no pick
Galion (6-1, D4 R14) by 42 (99%) at Crestline (0-7, D6 R23)
Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (5-2, D3 R12) by 23 (92%) at Warren (Vincent) (2-5, D2 R7)
Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) (4-3, D6 R24) by 3 (57%) vs Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) (2-4, D6 R24)
Garaway (Sugarcreek) (7-0, D5 R17) by 16 (83%) at Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (4-3, D5 R19)
Garfield (Akron) (3-4, D2 R5) by 33 (98%) vs East (Akron) (0-7, D2 R5)
Garfield Heights (2-5, D1 R1) by 8 (69%) vs Valley Forge (Parma Heights) (1-6, D1 R1)
Genoa Area (Genoa) (7-0, D4 R14) by 34 (98%) at Woodmore (Elmore) (3-4, D5 R18)
Gibsonburg (2-5, D5 R18) by 7 (66%) vs Hilltop (West Unity) (2-5, D6 R22)
#18 Glenoak (Canton) (6-1, D1 R2) by 19 (88%) at Lake (Uniontown) (2-5, D2 R5)
#19 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (5-2, D1 R1) by 34 (98%) at John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (4-3, D1 R1)
Goshen (4-3, D3 R12) by 2 (56%) at New Richmond (2-5, D3 R12)
Grand Valley (Orwell) (4-3, D4 R13) by 5 (62%) at Chalker (Southington) (3-4, D6 R21)
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (4-3, D5 R19) by 21 (90%) at Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) (1-6, D6 R23)
Granville (6-1, D3 R11) by 36 (98%) vs Lakewood (Hebron) (1-6, D3 R11)
Green (5-2, D1 R2) by 7 (66%) vs Highland (Medina) (4-3, D2 R6)
Greeneview (Jamestown) (4-3, D4 R16) by 16 (84%) vs Catholic Central (Springfield) (0-7, D6 R24)
Grove City Christian (Grove City) (3-4, D6 R23) by 2 (56%) at Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) (3-4, D6 R23)
Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (4-3, D6 R23) by 1 (53%) vs Liberty Union (Baltimore) (5-2, D5 R19)
Hawken (Gates Mills) (6-1, D4 R13) by 28 (96%) vs Richmond Heights (2-5, D6 R21)
Heath (2-5, D4 R15) by 6 (63%) at Bexley (Columbus) (2-5, D3 R10)
Hicksville (3-4, D5 R18) by 12 (77%) at Ayersville (Defiance) (4-3, D6 R22)
Highland (Sparta) (4-3, D4 R14) by 14 (81%) vs Mount Gilead (1-6, D5 R19)
#15 Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (7-0, D1 R3) by 5 (62%) vs #21 Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (6-1, D1 R3)
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (5-2, D1 R3) by 1 (52%) at Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (6-1, D1 R3)
Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (5-2, D5 R19) by 34 (98%) at Rittman (1-6, D5 R19)
#42 Hoover (North Canton) (5-2, D1 R2) by 25 (94%) at Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (3-4, D4 R13)
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (4-3, D5 R18) by 6 (64%) vs Seneca East (Attica) (5-2, D5 R18)
Howland (Warren) (6-1, D2 R5) by 15 (82%) vs Niles Mc Kinley (Niles) (6-1, D3 R9)
#39 Hudson (6-1, D1 R2) by 4 (59%) at Mayfield (4-3, D1 R1)
Huntington (Chillicothe) (4-3, D5 R20) by 19 (88%) vs Southeastern (Chillicothe) (1-6, D5 R20)
Huron (4-3, D4 R14) by 23 (91%) vs Margaretta (Castalia) (2-5, D5 R18)
Independence (4-3, D5 R17) by 24 (93%) vs Newbury (3-4, D6 R21)
Independence (Columbus) (4-3, D3 R10) by 32 (97%) at Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (0-7, D6 R23)
Indian Creek (Wintersville) (6-1, D3 R11) by 11 (74%) vs Harrison Central (Cadiz) (5-2, D4 R15)
Indian Hill (Cincinnati) (0-7, D3 R12) by 3 (57%) at Finneytown (Cincinnati) (0-7, D4 R16)
Indian Lake (Lewistown) (4-3, D3 R10) by 19 (88%) vs Greenon (Springfield) (1-6, D4 R14)
Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (3-4, D4 R15) by 6 (65%) at Fairless (Navarre) (3-4, D4 R13)
Jackson (4-3, D3 R12) by 18 (86%) at Portsmouth (1-6, D4 R15)
Jefferson (Delphos) (5-2, D5 R18) by 28 (96%) at Perry (Lima) (3-4, D6 R22)
Jefferson Area (Jefferson) (5-2, D3 R9) by 15 (82%) vs Champion (Warren) (3-4, D4 R13)
Jefferson Township (Dayton) (3-3, D6 R24) by 33 (98%) vs Elmwood (St Bernard) (0-7, D6 R24)
John Adams (Cleveland) (3-4, D1 R1) by 28 (96%) at Collinwood (Cleveland) (0-7, D2 R6)
John F Kennedy (Warren) (6-1, D6 R21) by 22 (91%) vs Trinity (Garfield Heights) (3-4, D5 R17)
John Hay (Cleveland) (5-2, D3 R9) by 19 (88%) vs Rhodes (Cleveland) (4-3, D1 R1)
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (6-1, D4 R15) by 4 (59%) at Danville (6-1, D6 R23)
Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (5-2, D2 R5) by 40 (99%) at Harvey (Painesville) (0-7, D2 R5)
Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (5-2, D3 R12) by 8 (69%) vs Stebbins (Riverside) (2-5, D2 R8)
#48 Kirtland (7-0, D5 R17) by 35 (98%) vs Berkshire (Burton) (3-4, D5 R17)
#45 La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4) at Brother Rice (Bloomfield Hills) [MI] (5-2, D1) – no pick
Labrae (Leavittsburg) (1-6, D4 R13) by 11 (74%) vs Girard (0-7, D4 R13)
Lake (Millbury) (2-5, D4 R14) by 15 (82%) vs Fostoria (0-7, D4 R14)
Lake Catholic (Mentor) (4-3, D3 R9) by 25 (93%) vs Padua Franciscan (Parma) (2-5, D3 R9)
Lakeview (Cortland) (4-3, D4 R13) by 3 (58%) vs Memorial (Campbell) (4-3, D5 R17)
#10 Lakota West (West Chester) (7-0, D1 R4) by 22 (91%) vs Middletown (2-5, D1 R4)
Lebanon (5-2, D1 R4) by 29 (96%) at Fairborn (1-6, D1 R4)
Ledgemont (Thompson) (3-4, D6 R21) by 2 (56%) vs Pymatuning Valley (Andover) (2-5, D4 R13)
Leetonia (4-3, D6 R21) by 24 (93%) at Mc Kinley (Sebring) (0-7, D6 R21)
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (3-4, D6 R24) by 23 (92%) at Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey) (0-7, D6 R24)
Leipsic (7-0, D6 R22) by 36 (98%) vs Cory-Rawson (Rawson) (2-5, D6 R22)
Liberty (Youngstown) (6-1, D4 R13) by 26 (94%) at Newton Falls (1-6, D4 R13)
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (6-1, D5 R18) by 26 (94%) vs Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (4-3, D6 R22)
Licking Heights (Pataskala) (7-0, D2 R7) by 10 (73%) vs West Jefferson (6-1, D5 R20)
Licking Valley (Newark) (4-3, D3 R11) by 4 (60%) vs Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (4-3, D5 R19)
Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (7-0, D5 R18) by 33 (98%) vs Bluffton (3-4, D5 R18)
Lincoln (Gahanna) (6-1, D1 R3) by 12 (77%) at Grove City (3-4, D1 R3)
Lincoln West (Cleveland) (0-7, D1 R1) at Grand River Academy (Austinburg) (0-0, D6) – no pick
London (0-7, D3 R12) by 6 (64%) at Hillsboro (0-7, D3 R12)
Loudonville (5-2, D5 R19) by 4 (59%) at East Knox (Howard) (5-2, D5 R19)
Louisville (4-3, D2 R5) by 5 (61%) vs West Branch (Beloit) (3-4, D3 R11)
Loveland (5-2, D1 R4) by 22 (91%) at Walnut Hills (Cincinnati) (3-4, D1 R4)
Madeira (Cincinnati) (6-1, D4 R16) by 29 (96%) at Deer Park (Cincinnati) (1-6, D5 R20)
Madison (4-3, D2 R5) by 25 (93%) at Geneva (2-5, D2 R5)
Madison (Middletown) (3-4, D4 R16) by 28 (95%) at Preble Shawnee (Camden) (0-7, D4 R16)
Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (6-1, D2 R6) by 23 (92%) at Orrville (1-6, D4 R13)
Madison Plains (London) (4-3, D5 R20) by 7 (66%) at East Clinton (Lees Creek) (2-5, D4 R16)
Malvern (6-1, D6 R21) by 26 (94%) vs Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (4-3, D6 R21)
Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (6-1, D2 R6) by 20 (89%) vs Wooster (2-5, D2 R7)
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (6-1, D2 R7) by 30 (97%) vs West (Columbus) (4-3, D2 R7)
Marlington (Alliance) (7-0, D3 R11) by 17 (85%) at Canton South (Canton) (6-1, D3 R11)
Martins Ferry (5-2, D4 R15) by 28 (95%) vs Edison (Richmond) (1-6, D4 R15)
#40 Mason (4-3, D1 R4) by 3 (58%) vs #49 Lakota East (Liberty Township) (5-2, D1 R4)
Massillon Washington (Massillon) (6-1, D1 R2) vs Pauline Johnson (Brantford) [ON] (0-2-1, D1) – no pick
Mathews (Vienna) (1-6, D6 R21) by 1 (53%) vs Lutheran East (Cleveland Heights) (0-7, D6 R21)
Maumee (4-3, D2 R6) by 19 (87%) at Sylvania Northview (Sylvania) (3-4, D2 R6)
Maysville (Zanesville) (6-1, D3 R11) by 15 (82%) vs Sheridan (Thornville) (4-3, D3 R11)
Mc Comb (7-0, D6 R22) by 31 (97%) vs Arcadia (3-4, D6 R22)
Mc Donald (3-4, D6 R21) by 3 (56%) at Wellsville (3-4, D6 R21)
#5 Mentor (6-1, D1 R1) by 35 (98%) at Medina (2-5, D1 R2)
Miami Trace (Washington Court House) (4-3, D3 R12) by 5 (62%) vs Mc Clain (Greenfield) (5-2, D3 R12)
Midview (Grafton) (6-1, D2 R6) by 20 (88%) at Lakewood (3-4, D1 R1)
Mifflin (Columbus) (5-2, D2 R7) by 5 (61%) at Northland (Columbus) (4-3, D2 R7)
Milton-Union (West Milton) (6-1, D4 R16) by 18 (86%) vs Dixie (New Lebanon) (5-2, D5 R20)
Mineral Ridge (3-4, D6 R21) by 11 (74%) vs David Anderson (Lisbon) (2-5, D5 R17)
Minerva (2-5, D3 R11) by 20 (89%) vs Salem (0-7, D3 R11)
Minster (5-2, D6 R24) by 24 (93%) vs Fort Recovery (3-4, D6 R24)
Mogadore (7-0, D6 R21) by 38 (99%) vs Rootstown (2-5, D5 R17)
Mohawk (Sycamore) (2-5, D6 R22) by 2 (55%) at Lakota (Kansas) (2-5, D5 R18)
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (4-3, D5 R17) by 10 (73%) vs Barnesville (4-3, D5 R17)
Monroeville (2-5, D6 R22) by 8 (69%) vs South Central (Greenwich) (2-5, D6 R22)
Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (1-6, D3 R11) by 1 (53%) at West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-7, D4 R15)
Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (7-0, D2 R8) by 24 (93%) at Wilmington (3-4, D2 R8)
Mount Vernon (5-2, D2 R7) by 16 (83%) at Hayes (Delaware) (1-6, D1 R3)
Napoleon (6-0, D3 R10) by 3 (58%) vs Perrysburg (6-1, D2 R6)
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (5-2, D5 R19) by 26 (94%) vs Alexander (Albany) (3-4, D5 R19)
#26 New Albany (5-2, D2 R7) by 18 (86%) vs Big Walnut (Sunbury) (5-2, D2 R7)
New Lexington (4-3, D3 R11) by 7 (67%) vs Crooksville (3-4, D5 R19)
New Miami (Hamilton) (4-3, D6 R24) by 6 (64%) at Cincinnati Christian (Fairfield) (2-5, D6 R24)
Newark Catholic (Newark) (6-1, D6 R23) by 26 (94%) at Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (2-5, D3 R10)
Newcomerstown (3-4, D5 R17) by 7 (66%) vs Strasburg-Franklin (Strasburg) (2-5, D6 R21)
#32 Nordonia (Macedonia) (6-1, D1 R2) by 33 (98%) vs Revere (Richfield) (0-7, D2 R5)
North College Hill (Cincinnati) (4-3, D4 R16) by 28 (96%) at Lockland (2-5, D6 R24)
North Olmsted (5-2, D1 R1) by 16 (83%) at Berea (3-4, D2 R6)
#28 North Royalton (7-0, D1 R1) by 28 (96%) vs Cuyahoga Falls (3-4, D1 R2)
North Union (Richwood) (7-0, D4 R14) by 22 (91%) vs Buckeye Valley (Delaware) (5-2, D3 R10)
Northmont (Clayton) (4-3, D1 R4) by 3 (58%) at Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) (2-5, D1 R4)
Northmor (Galion) (2-5, D5 R19) by 1 (50%) vs Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (0-7, D5 R19)
Northwest (Canal Fulton) (0-7, D3 R11) by 1 (51%) vs Kenmore (Akron) (3-4, D2 R5)
Northwest (Cincinnati) (7-0, D2 R8) by 35 (98%) vs Little Miami (Morrow) (1-6, D2 R8)
Northwestern (West Salem) (6-1, D4 R13) by 33 (98%) at Waynedale (Apple Creek) (0-7, D5 R19)
Northwood (7-0, D5 R18) by 32 (97%) at Toledo Christian (Toledo) (4-3, D6 R22)
Norwayne (Creston) (7-0, D4 R13) by 26 (94%) vs Smithville (3-4, D5 R19)
Norwood (6-1, D4 R16) by 6 (64%) at Blanchester (4-3, D4 R16)
Notre Dame (Portsmouth) (5-2, D6 R23) by 27 (95%) vs Green (Franklin Furnace) (3-4, D6 R23)
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (5-2, D3 R9) by 16 (83%) at Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (1-6, D3 R9)
Oak Harbor (6-1, D4 R14) by 7 (67%) at Clyde (3-4, D3 R10)
Oak Hill (6-1, D5 R19) by 12 (77%) at Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (6-1, D6 R23)
Oak Hills (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4) by 14 (80%) at Hamilton (2-5, D1 R4)
Oakwood (Dayton) (1-6, D3 R12) by 4 (60%) vs Monroe (1-6, D3 R12)
#44 Olentangy (Lewis Center) (6-1, D1 R3) by 27 (95%) vs Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (2-5, D2 R7)
Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) (3-4, D1 R3) by 23 (92%) at Franklin Heights (Columbus) (2-5, D2 R7)
Ontario (Mansfield) (4-3, D4 R14) by 22 (91%) at Buckeye Central (New Washington) (2-5, D6 R23)
Orange (Pepper Pike) (2-5, D3 R9) by 13 (79%) at Wickliffe (3-4, D4 R13)
Ottawa Hills (Toledo) (5-2, D6 R22) by 29 (96%) at Danbury (Lakeside) (2-5, D6 R22)
#36 Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (7-0, D4 R14) by 34 (98%) at Memorial (St Marys) (0-7, D3 R10)
#1 Oyler (Cincinnati) (2-3, D6 R24) vs an unsanctioned team – no pick
Parma (2-5, D1 R1) by 11 (74%) at Normandy (Parma) (1-6, D2 R6)
Patrick Henry (Hamler) (6-1, D5 R18) by 12 (78%) vs Archbold (6-1, D5 R18)
Perkins (Sandusky) (6-1, D3 R10) by 28 (96%) at Port Clinton (1-6, D3 R10)
Philo (Duncan Falls) (6-1, D3 R11) by 20 (89%) vs River View (Warsaw) (3-4, D3 R11)
#27 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (4-2, D1 R3) by 30 (96%) at Newark (2-5, D1 R3)
#6 Pickerington North (Pickerington) (7-0, D1 R3) by 36 (99%) at Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (1-6, D1 R3)
Piketon (5-2, D4 R15) by 12 (77%) at Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (4-2, D5 R20)
Piqua (3-4, D2 R8) by 16 (83%) vs Greenville (1-6, D2 R8)
Pleasant (Marion) (5-2, D5 R20) by 16 (83%) at Elgin (Marion) (4-3, D5 R20)
Poland Seminary (Poland) (4-3, D3 R11) by 6 (63%) vs Hubbard (5-2, D3 R9)
Ponitz Tech (Dayton) (1-6, D4 R16) vs an unsanctioned team – no pick
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (2-5, D5 R19) by 2 (54%) at Waverly (1-6, D4 R15)
Ravenna (5-2, D3 R9) by 21 (90%) vs Norton (5-2, D3 R9)
Reynoldsburg (4-3, D1 R3) by 16 (84%) at Lancaster (2-5, D1 R3)
River (Hannibal) (4-3, D6 R23) by 26 (95%) vs Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (0-7, D5 R17)
River Valley (Caledonia) (5-2, D3 R10) by 39 (99%) vs Ridgedale (Morral) (0-7, D6 R23)
River Valley (Cheshire) (1-6, D4 R15) by 3 (57%) vs Rock Hill (Ironton) (0-7, D5 R19)
Rocky River (4-3, D3 R9) by 14 (81%) at Bay (Bay Village) (2-5, D3 R9)
Rogers (Toledo) (5-2, D2 R6) by 3 (57%) vs Start (Toledo) (3-4, D1 R2)
Roosevelt (Kent) (6-1, D2 R5) by 32 (97%) at Springfield (Akron) (2-5#, D2 R5)
Ross (Hamilton) (3-4, D2 R8) by 3 (58%) vs Harrison (3-4, D2 R8)
Rossford (4-3, D3 R10) by 10 (73%) at Elmwood (Bloomdale) (3-4, D5 R18)
Scott (Toledo) (2-5, D2 R6) by 23 (92%) at Woodward (Toledo) (0-7, D2 R6)
Shadyside (7-0, D6 R21) by 25 (93%) vs Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (4-3, D5 R17)
Shaker Heights (6-1, D1 R1) by 11 (75%) at Brush (Lyndhurst) (4-3, D1 R1)
Shaw (East Cleveland) (3-4, D2 R6) by 2 (54%) vs Maple Heights (4-3, D2 R6)
Shawnee (Springfield) (4-3, D3 R12) by 12 (77%) at Bellefontaine (1-5, D3 R10)
Shelby (1-6, D3 R11) by 5 (61%) at Sandusky (2-5, D2 R6)
Shroder (Cincinnati) (5-2, D4 R16) by 16 (84%) vs Hughes Center (Cincinnati) (3-4, D2 R8)
Solon (4-3, D1 R1) by 6 (64%) vs Twinsburg (4-3, D1 R2)
#12 South (Willoughby) (7-0, D1 R1) by 45 (99%) vs Lakeside (Ashtabula) (1-6, D2 R5)
South Gallia (Crown City) (0-7, D6 R23) at Wahama (Mason) [WV] (7-0, D6) – no pick
South Range (North Lima) (5-2, D5 R17) by 9 (70%) at Springfield (New Middletown) (3-4, D5 R17)
South Urban Academy (Columbus) (2-5, D3 R10) by 2 (54%) at Briggs (Columbus) (1-6, D2 R7)
Southeast (Ravenna) (5-2, D3 R9) by 23 (92%) vs Waterloo (Atwater) (2-5, D5 R17)
Southeastern Local (South Charleston) (5-2, D6 R24) by 9 (71%) vs Northeastern (Springfield) (2-5, D4 R14)
Spencerville (5-2, D5 R18) by 10 (72%) at Crestview (Convoy) (3-4, D6 R22)
#22 Springboro (7-0, D1 R4) by 24 (93%) vs Miamisburg (5-2, D1 R4)
Springfield (Holland) (1-6, D2 R6) by 1 (51%) vs Bowling Green (2-5, D2 R6)
St Charles (Columbus) (5-2, D1 R3) by 9 (71%) vs Kings (Kings Mills) (3-4, D2 R8)
St Clairsville (7-0, D4 R15) by 39 (99%) vs Buckeye Local (Rayland) (4-3, D3 R11)
#2 St Edward (Lakewood) (7-0, D1 R1) by 8 (68%) vs #4 St Xavier (Cincinnati) (5-2, D1 R4)
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (4-3, D3 R10) by 3 (58%) at Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (4-3, D3 R10)
St Francis De Sales (Toledo) (2-5, D2 R6) by 20 (89%) vs Lima Senior (Lima) (0-7, D2 R8)
St Henry (4-3, D6 R24) by 32 (97%) vs Parkway (Rockford) (0-7, D5 R20)
St Ignatius (Cleveland) (7-0, D1 R1) vs St Francis (Athol Springs) [NY] (0-6, D2) – no pick
St John Central (Bellaire) (3-4, D6 R21) vs Sherman [WV] (1-5, D4) – no pick
St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (6-1, D6 R22) by 8 (69%) at Calvert (Tiffin) (4-3, D6 R22)
St Paul (Norwalk) (4-3, D6 R22) by 6 (64%) at Plymouth (4-3, D6 R23)
St Peter Chanel (Bedford) (2-5, D5 R17) by 18 (86%) at Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (1-6, D6 R21)
St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (6-1, D5 R17) by 10 (72%) at East (Youngstown) (3-4, D1 R1)
St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (6-1, D3 R9) by 31 (97%) at Barberton (1-6, D2 R5)
Steele (Amherst) (2-5, D1 R2) by 10 (72%) at Olmsted Falls (0-7, D2 R6)
Steubenville (5-2, D3 R11) at Morgantown [WV] (5-1, D1) – no pick
Streetsboro (5-2, D4 R13) by 12 (77%) vs Coventry (Akron) (3-4, D2 R5)
Struthers (4-3, D3 R11) by 10 (72%) vs Canfield (2-5, D2 R5)
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (7-0, D5 R20) by 32 (97%) vs Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (2-5, D6 R24)
#14 Sycamore (Cincinnati) (6-1, D1 R4) by 26 (94%) vs Princeton (Cincinnati) (1-6, D1 R4)
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (3-4, D1 R2) by 2 (56%) at Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) (4-3, D1 R2)
Tallmadge (5-2, D2 R5) by 22 (91%) at Cloverleaf (Lodi) (3-4, D2 R6)
Taylor (North Bend) (3-4, D4 R16) by 10 (73%) vs Reading (3-4, D4 R16)
Teays Valley (Ashville) (4-3, D2 R7) by 2 (54%) vs Hamilton Township (Columbus) (5-2, D2 R7)
Thomas Worthington (Worthington) (1-6, D1 R3) by 8 (69%) vs Central Crossing (Grove City) (1-6, D1 R3)
#50 Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (6-1, D3 R12) by 39 (99%) at Belmont (Dayton) (3-4, D2 R8)
Tinora (Defiance) (6-1, D5 R18) by 7 (66%) at Wayne Trace (Haviland) (6-1, D5 R18)
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (7-0, D2 R8) by 12 (76%) vs Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (5-2, D2 R7)
Triad (North Lewisburg) (6-1, D5 R20) by 25 (94%) at Cedarville (1-5, D6 R24)
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (4-3, D6 R24) by 21 (90%) vs Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (3-4, D5 R20)
Trimble (Glouster) (6-1, D6 R23) by 34 (98%) vs Belpre (2-5, D5 R17)
#38 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (7-0, D2 R7) by 23 (92%) at John Glenn (New Concord) (5-2, D3 R11)
Triway (Wooster) (5-2, D4 R13) by 5 (63%) at Manchester (Akron) (4-3, D4 R13)
#35 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (5-2, D2 R8) by 18 (87%) at Troy (3-4, D1 R3)
#31 Turpin (Cincinnati) (7-0, D2 R8) by 37 (99%) vs Milford (1-6, D1 R4)
Tuslaw (Massillon) (4-3, D4 R13) by 24 (93%) at Timken (Canton) (1-6, D2 R5)
United (Hanoverton) (4-3, D5 R17) by 24 (92%) vs East Palestine (1-6, D5 R17)
University School (Hunting Valley) (3-4, D3 R9) by 14 (81%) at North (Eastlake) (1-6, D1 R1)
Upper Arlington (Columbus) (3-4, D1 R3) by 7 (67%) at Marysville (2-5, D1 R3)
Upper Sandusky (4-3, D4 R14) by 20 (89%) at Lucas (1-6, D6 R23)
Urbana (6-1, D3 R10) by 29 (96%) at Northwestern (Springfield) (3-4, D4 R14)
Ursuline (Youngstown) (4-3, D5 R17) vs Strong Vincent (Erie) [PA] (3-3, D1) – no pick
Valley (Lucasville) (7-0, D5 R19) by 44 (99%) at Northwest (Mc Dermott) (0-7, D4 R15)
Van Buren (3-4, D5 R18) by 27 (95%) vs Vanlue (0-7, D6 R22)
Versailles (5-2, D5 R20) by 2 (55%) at Delphos St John’s (4-3, D6 R22)
Waite (Toledo) (0-7, D1 R2) by 1 (51%) at Bowsher (Toledo) (3-4, D1 R2)
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (1-5, D2 R5) by 2 (56%) at Benedictine (Cleveland) (3-4, D3 R9)
Wapakoneta (4-3, D2 R8) by 28 (96%) vs Van Wert (0-7, D4 R14)
#23 Warren G Harding (Warren) (6-1, D1 R1) by 11 (75%) vs Cleveland Heights (6-1, D1 R1)
Waterford (2-5, D6 R23) by 12 (76%) vs Southern (Racine) (2-5, D6 R23)
Wauseon (3-4, D3 R10) by 1 (50%) vs Evergreen (Metamora) (3-4, D5 R18)
Waynesfield-Goshen (Waynesfield) (4-3, D6 R24) by 5 (61%) vs Fairbanks (Milford Center) (2-5, D5 R20)
Waynesville (5-2, D4 R16) by 36 (99%) vs Northridge (Dayton) (1-6, D4 R16)
Wellington (2-5, D4 R14) by 15 (83%) vs Keystone (La Grange) (3-4, D4 R14)
Wellston (2-5, D4 R15) by 3 (58%) at Meigs (Pomeroy) (2-5, D4 R15)
West Holmes (Millersburg) (6-1, D3 R11) by 1 (52%) at Lexington (5-2, D2 R6)
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (7-0, D5 R20) by 28 (96%) at Mechanicsburg (2-5, D5 R20)
Western Brown (Mount Orab) (7-0, D2 R8) by 10 (73%) vs Amelia (Batavia) (3-4, D2 R8)
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (5-2, D6 R21) by 1 (53%) vs Southern (Salineville) (5-2, D5 R17)
Western Reserve (Collins) (6-1, D5 R18) by 18 (86%) at New London (4-3, D5 R18)
#47 Westerville Central (Westerville) (6-1, D1 R3) by 1 (53%) vs #46 Westerville South (Westerville) (5-2, D1 R3)
Westfall (Williamsport) (6-1, D4 R16) by 24 (93%) vs Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (3-4, D4 R15)
Westlake (6-1, D2 R6) by 12 (77%) vs Midpark (Middleburg Heights) (5-2, D1 R1)
Wheelersburg (6-1, D5 R19) by 9 (71%) vs Minford (7-0, D4 R15)
Whetstone (Columbus) (2-5, D2 R7) by 19 (87%) vs Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (1-6, D3 R10)
#7 Whitmer (Toledo) (7-0, D1 R2) by 31 (97%) at Fremont Ross (Fremont) (3-4, D2 R6)
Williamsburg (2-5, D5 R20) by 4 (60%) at Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) (1-6, D4 R16)
Withrow (Cincinnati) (5-2, D1 R4) by 26 (94%) vs Western Hills (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4)
Woodridge (Peninsula) (5-2, D3 R9) by 24 (93%) vs Garfield (Garrettsville) (2-5, D4 R13)
Woodward (Cincinnati) (0-7, D2 R8) by 9 (71%) vs Aiken (Cincinnati) (0-7, D3 R12)
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (2-5, D2 R7) by 4 (60%) vs Dublin Jerome (Dublin) (3-4, D1 R3)
Wynford (Bucyrus) (6-1, D5 R19) by 3 (58%) vs Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (6-1, D6 R23)
Wyoming (Cincinnati) (5-2, D3 R12) by 11 (76%) vs Mariemont (Cincinnati) (4-3, D5 R20)
Xenia (4-3, D1 R4) by 14 (80%) vs West Carrollton (2-5, D2 R8)
Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (5-1, D6 R21) by 1 (53%) at Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (4-3, D4 R13)
Zanesville (6-1, D2 R7) by 5 (61%) vs New Philadelphia (7-0, D2 R5)

 

Prediction Results

Week #1: 241-105 (69.7%)
Week #2: 255-90 (73.9%)
Week #3: 266-76 (77.8%)
Week #4: 280-68 (80.5%)
Week #5: 283-68 (80.6%)
Week #6: 299-50 (85.7%)
Week #7: 282-70 (80.1%)

Detailed results after week #7
Season: 1906-527 (78.3%) Within 7 points: 728 (29.9%)
Within 3 points: 343 (14.1%)
Winner and exact margin: 49 (2.0%)
Avg. error on scores: 14.97 pts.

Week #4 onward: 1144-256 (81.7%)

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *