The Fantastic 50: Week 8 Rankings…Ohio’s top HS football team team is?

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Based on Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 formula, what team – regardless of division – sits at No. 1 in Ohio? Click here to see who the computers like.


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This Week’s
Predictions

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This Week’s
Playoff Odds

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We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

Ohio’s Top Teams are…

1) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (7-0, D1 R1) 163.7
2) St Edward (Lakewood) (7-0, D1 R1) 161.8
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-0, D1 R4) 157.5
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (5-2, D1 R4) 155.5
5) Mentor (6-1, D1 R1) 150.6
6) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (7-0, D1 R3) 150.1
7) Whitmer (Toledo) (7-0, D1 R2) 149.8
8) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (7-0, D1 R3) 149.4
9) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (6-1, D1 R2) 147.9
10) Lakota West (West Chester) (7-0, D1 R4) 147.8
11) Elder (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4) 145.7
12) South (Willoughby) (7-0, D1 R1) 144.6
13) Central Catholic (Toledo) (7-0, D2 R6) 144.0
14) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (6-1, D1 R4) 143.2
15) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (7-0, D1 R3) 143.2
16) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (5-2, D1 R4) 142.6
17) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-1, D1 R1) 142.4
18) Glenoak (Canton) (6-1, D1 R2) 141.2
19) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (5-2, D1 R1) 140.8
20) Coldwater (7-0, D5 R20) 139.6
21) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (6-1, D1 R3) 139.5
22) Springboro (7-0, D1 R4) 139.2
23) Warren G Harding (Warren) (6-1, D1 R1) 138.9
24) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (5-1, D1 R2) 138.8
25) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (7-0, D4 R14) 138.1
26) New Albany (5-2, D2 R7) 137.6
27) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (4-2, D1 R3) 137.6
28) North Royalton (7-0, D1 R1) 137.1
29) Wayne (Huber Heights) (5-2, D1 R4) 137.1
30) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-4, D3 R11) 136.9
31) Turpin (Cincinnati) (7-0, D2 R8) 136.3
32) Nordonia (Macedonia) (6-1, D1 R2) 136.0
33) Columbian (Tiffin) (7-0, D2 R6) 135.9
34) Centerville (5-2, D1 R4) 135.7
35) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (5-2, D2 R8) 135.4
36) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (7-0, D4 R14) 135.4
37) Ursuline (Youngstown) (4-3, D5 R17) 135.3
38) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (7-0, D2 R7) 135.2
39) Hudson (6-1, D1 R2) 135.1
40) Mason (4-3, D1 R4) 134.7
41) Findlay (5-2, D1 R2) 134.1
42) Hoover (North Canton) (5-2, D1 R2) 134.1
43) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-2, D2 R8) 133.5
44) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (6-1, D1 R3) 133.4
45) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R4) 133.4
46) Westerville South (Westerville) (5-2, D1 R3) 133.3
47) Westerville Central (Westerville) (6-1, D1 R3) 133.2
48) Kirtland (7-0, D5 R17) 133.1
49) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (5-2, D1 R4) 132.9
50) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (6-1, D3 R12) 132.9

OHSAA Division I Rankings
1) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (7-0) 163.7
2) St Edward (Lakewood) (7-0) 161.8
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (7-0) 157.5
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (5-2) 155.5
5) Mentor (6-1) 150.6
6) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (7-0) 150.1
7) Whitmer (Toledo) (7-0) 149.8
8) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (7-0) 149.4
9) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (6-1) 147.9
10) Lakota West (West Chester) (7-0) 147.8
11) Elder (Cincinnati) (4-3) 145.7
12) South (Willoughby) (7-0) 144.6
13) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (6-1) 143.2
14) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (7-0) 143.2
15) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (5-2) 142.6

OHSAA Division II Rankings
1) Central Catholic (Toledo) (7-0) 144.0
2) New Albany (5-2) 137.6
3) Turpin (Cincinnati) (7-0) 136.3
4) Columbian (Tiffin) (7-0) 135.9
5) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (5-2) 135.4
6) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (7-0) 135.2
7) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-2) 133.5
8) Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (5-2) 131.9
9) Aurora (6-1) 131.6
10) Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (6-1) 131.1
11) Tallmadge (5-2) 130.7
12) Zanesville (6-1) 129.9
13) Avon (6-1) 129.3
14) Chardon (6-1) 128.1
15) Celina (6-1) 127.3

OHSAA Division III Rankings
1) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-4) 136.9
2) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (6-1) 132.9
3) Chagrin Falls (6-1) 132.5
4) Marlington (Alliance) (7-0) 131.5
5) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (6-0) 131.3
6) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (6-1) 130.0
7) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (4-3) 129.6
8) Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (5-2) 128.7
9) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (4-3) 127.3
10) Napoleon (6-0) 127.2
11) Bryan (7-0) 126.5
12) Dover (5-2) 125.6
13) West Holmes (Millersburg) (6-1) 125.3
14) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (4-3) 124.7
15) Bellevue (6-1) 123.2

OHSAA Division IV Rankings
1) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (7-0) 138.1
2) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (7-0) 135.4
3) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (7-0) 129.0
4) St Clairsville (7-0) 128.9
5) Genoa Area (Genoa) (7-0) 127.2
6) Brookfield (7-0) 124.3
7) Kenton (4-3) 123.1
8) Norwayne (Creston) (7-0) 121.9
9) Galion (6-1) 119.4
10) Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (5-2) 118.9
11) Bishop Ready (Columbus) (6-1) 117.9
12) North Union (Richwood) (7-0) 117.9
13) Oak Harbor (6-1) 116.7
14) Milton-Union (West Milton) (6-1) 115.9
15) Ironton (5-2) 115.1

OHSAA Division V Rankings
1) Coldwater (7-0) 139.6
2) Ursuline (Youngstown) (4-3) 135.3
3) Kirtland (7-0) 133.1
4) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (7-0) 132.5
5) Patrick Henry (Hamler) (6-1) 123.9
6) Versailles (5-2) 123.0
7) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (6-1) 121.7
8) Crestview (Columbiana) (7-0) 118.5
9) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (6-1) 118.0
10) Garaway (Sugarcreek) (7-0) 117.5
11) Covington (7-0) 115.9
12) Liberty Center (6-1) 115.9
13) Valley (Lucasville) (7-0) 115.5
14) West Jefferson (6-1) 114.9
15) Northwood (7-0) 114.7

OHSAA Division VI Rankings
1) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (6-1) 126.3
2) Mc Comb (7-0) 121.7
3) Ada (7-0) 121.6
4) Leipsic (7-0) 120.4
5) Mogadore (7-0) 120.0
6) Delphos St John’s (4-3) 119.6
7) Newark Catholic (Newark) (6-1) 117.3
8) St Henry (4-3) 116.7
9) Minster (5-2) 116.3
10) Malvern (6-1) 113.8
11) Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (6-1) 110.9
12) Danville (6-1) 108.1
13) Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (6-1) 107.6
14) John F Kennedy (Warren) (6-1) 107.6
15) Shadyside (7-0) 107.3

 

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