The Fantastic 50: Week 7 Rankings…Ohio’s top HS football team team is?

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Based on Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 formula, what team – regardless of division – sits at No. 1 in Ohio? St. Ignatius? Colerain? St. Ed? St. X? Fitch? Click here to see who the computers like.


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This Week’s
Predictions

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This Week’s
Playoff Odds

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We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

Ohio’s Top Teams are…

1) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (6-0, D1 R1) 165.0
2) St Edward (Lakewood) (6-0, D1 R1) 159.8
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (6-0, D1 R4) 155.8
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (4-2, D1 R4) 154.8
5) Mentor (5-1, D1 R1) 151.7
6) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-0, D1 R1) 149.6
7) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (6-0, D1 R3) 148.4
8) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (6-0, D1 R3) 147.2
9) Central Catholic (Toledo) (6-0, D2 R6) 146.1
10) Lakota West (West Chester) (6-0, D1 R4) 145.9
11) Wayne (Huber Heights) (5-1, D1 R4) 145.3
12) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (5-1, D1 R4) 145.3
13) South (Willoughby) (6-0, D1 R1) 145.0
14) Whitmer (Toledo) (6-0, D1 R2) 144.8
15) Coldwater (6-0, D5 R20) 143.8
16) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (5-0, D1 R2) 142.3
17) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (5-1, D1 R2) 142.3
18) Elder (Cincinnati) (3-3, D1 R4) 142.1
19) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (4-2, D1 R1) 141.5
20) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-1, D2 R8) 141.4
21) Glenoak (Canton) (5-1, D1 R2) 139.9
22) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (5-1, D1 R4) 139.4
23) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (5-1, D1 R3) 138.7
24) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (6-0, D4 R14) 138.5
25) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (5-1, D1 R4) 138.4
26) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-3, D3 R11) 138.3
27) Zanesville (6-0, D2 R7) 137.8
28) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (6-0, D4 R14) 137.5
29) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (4-2, D2 R8) 137.3
30) Warren G Harding (Warren) (5-1, D1 R1) 137.2
31) Springboro (6-0, D1 R4) 137.0
32) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (6-0, D1 R3) 136.9
33) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (6-0, D1 R3) 136.7
34) Boardman (Youngstown) (4-2, D1 R1) 136.5
35) Findlay (5-1, D1 R2) 136.2
36) Westerville South (Westerville) (5-1, D1 R3) 136.1
37) Hudson (5-1, D1 R2) 136.0
38) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (3-2, D1 R3) 135.9
39) Brunswick (4-2, D1 R2) 135.6
40) Columbian (Tiffin) (6-0, D2 R6) 135.2
41) North Royalton (6-0, D1 R1) 135.2
42) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (6-0, D2 R7) 134.7
43) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (5-1, D3 R12) 134.5
44) Kirtland (6-0, D5 R17) 133.9
45) Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-3, D5 R17) 133.8
46) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-2, D1 R4) 133.7
47) Chagrin Falls (5-1, D3 R9) 133.2
48) Reynoldsburg (4-2, D1 R3) 132.9
49) Nordonia (Macedonia) (5-1, D1 R2) 132.9
50) Aurora (5-1, D2 R5) 132.9

OHSAA Division I Rankings
1) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (6-0) 165.0
2) St Edward (Lakewood) (6-0) 159.8
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (6-0) 155.8
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (4-2) 154.8
5) Mentor (5-1) 151.7
6) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (6-0) 149.6
7) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (6-0) 148.4
8) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (6-0) 147.2
9) Lakota West (West Chester) (6-0) 145.9
10) Wayne (Huber Heights) (5-1) 145.3
11) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (5-1) 145.3
12) South (Willoughby) (6-0) 145.0
13) Whitmer (Toledo) (6-0) 144.8
14) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (5-0) 142.3
15) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (5-1) 142.3

OHSAA Division II Rankings
1) Central Catholic (Toledo) (6-0) 146.1
2) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (5-1) 141.4
3) Zanesville (6-0) 137.8
4) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (4-2) 137.3
5) Columbian (Tiffin) (6-0) 135.2
6) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (6-0) 134.7
7) Aurora (5-1) 132.9
8) New Albany (4-2) 132.6
9) Tallmadge (5-1) 132.5
10) Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (4-2) 132.1
11) Turpin (Cincinnati) (6-0) 131.7
12) Chardon (5-1) 129.5
13) New Philadelphia (6-0) 128.8
14) Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (5-1) 127.9
15) Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (5-1) 127.6

OHSAA Division III Rankings
1) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-3) 138.3
2) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (5-1) 134.5
3) Chagrin Falls (5-1) 133.2
4) Marlington (Alliance) (6-0) 132.9
5) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (5-1) 130.7
6) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (5-0) 130.1
7) West Holmes (Millersburg) (6-0) 129.6
8) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (3-3) 128.2
9) Steubenville (5-1) 127.7
10) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (3-3) 127.6
11) Napoleon (5-0) 127.3
12) Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (4-2) 126.8
13) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (3-3) 124.4
14) Poland Seminary (Poland) (4-2) 123.4
15) Bryan (6-0) 123.1

OHSAA Division IV Rankings
1) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (6-0) 138.5
2) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (6-0) 137.5
3) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (6-0) 131.9
4) St Clairsville (6-0) 128.6
5) Kenton (4-2) 127.7
6) Genoa Area (Genoa) (6-0) 126.7
7) Brookfield (6-0) 124.9
8) Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (5-1) 124.7
9) Norwayne (Creston) (6-0) 122.7
10) Ironton (5-1) 121.8
11) Bishop Ready (Columbus) (6-0) 119.2
12) Galion (5-1) 119.0
13) North Union (Richwood) (6-0) 118.2
14) Milton-Union (West Milton) (5-1) 116.5
15) Triway (Wooster) (5-1) 115.4

OHSAA Division V Rankings
1) Coldwater (6-0) 143.8
2) Kirtland (6-0) 133.9
3) Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-3) 133.8
4) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (6-0) 128.5
5) Patrick Henry (Hamler) (6-0) 126.9
6) Versailles (4-2) 122.2
7) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (5-1) 121.6
8) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (5-1) 117.4
9) Northwood (6-0) 116.7
10) Wheelersburg (5-1) 116.5
11) Covington (6-0) 116.5
12) Garaway (Sugarcreek) (6-0) 116.4
13) Crestview (Columbiana) (6-0) 116.0
14) Liberty Center (5-1) 115.5
15) Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (5-1) 114.7

OHSAA Division VI Rankings
1) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (5-1) 122.4
2) Ada (6-0) 122.1
3) Leipsic (6-0) 121.7
4) St Henry (4-2) 119.3
5) Mc Comb (6-0) 119.3
6) Mogadore (6-0) 119.1
7) Delphos St John’s (3-3) 118.6
8) Minster (4-2) 117.4
9) Malvern (5-1) 114.6
10) Newark Catholic (Newark) (5-1) 112.9
11) Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (5-1) 108.2
12) Danville (5-1) 107.4
13) Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (5-1) 107.1
14) Shadyside (6-0) 106.7
15) Arlington (4-2) 104.1

 

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