The Fantastic 50: Week 6 Rankings…Ohio’s top team is?

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Based on Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 formula, what team – regardless of division – debuts at No. 1 in Ohio? St. Ignatius? Colerain? St. Ed? St. X? Fitch? Click here to see who the computers like.


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This Week’s
Predictions

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This Week’s
Playoff Odds

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We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

Ohio’s Top Teams are…

1) St Edward (Lakewood) (5-0, D1 R1) 161.3
2) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (5-0, D1 R1) 161.1
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (5-0, D1 R4) 154.1
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (3-2, D1 R4) 150.6
5) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (5-0, D1 R1) 150.3
6) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (5-0, D1 R3) 147.8
7) Lakota West (West Chester) (5-0, D1 R4) 147.1
8) Elder (Cincinnati) (3-2, D1 R4) 145.6
9) Mentor (4-1, D1 R1) 145.2
10) Central Catholic (Toledo) (5-0, D2 R6) 145.1
11) Whitmer (Toledo) (5-0, D1 R2) 144.5
12) Wayne (Huber Heights) (4-1, D1 R4) 144.1
13) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (4-1, D1 R1) 143.0
14) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (4-1, D1 R2) 142.8
15) Coldwater (5-0, D5 R20) 142.1
16) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (5-0, D1 R3) 141.8
17) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (4-0, D1 R2) 141.0
18) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (4-1, D2 R8) 140.8
19) South (Willoughby) (5-0, D1 R1) 139.8
20) Westerville South (Westerville) (5-0, D1 R3) 139.8
21) Zanesville (5-0, D2 R7) 139.2
22) Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (5-0, D1 R3) 138.9
23) Springboro (5-0, D1 R4) 138.9
24) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (4-1, D1 R4) 138.9
25) Brunswick (4-1, D1 R2) 138.4
26) Glenoak (Canton) (4-1, D1 R2) 138.4
27) Cleveland Heights (5-0, D1 R1) 138.4
28) Olentangy (Lewis Center) (5-0, D1 R3) 137.9
29) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (3-1, D1 R3) 137.9
30) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-1, D1 R4) 137.8
31) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-3, D3 R11) 137.8
32) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (4-1, D1 R4) 137.7
33) Lincoln (Gahanna) (5-0, D1 R3) 137.5
34) Warren G Harding (Warren) (4-1, D1 R1) 137.1
35) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (4-1, D1 R4) 137.1
36) Hudson (4-1, D1 R2) 136.8
37) North Royalton (5-0, D1 R1) 136.5
38) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (3-2, D2 R8) 136.3
39) Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-2, D5 R17) 135.0
40) Centerville (3-2, D1 R4) 135.0
41) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (5-0, D2 R7) 134.6
42) Boardman (Youngstown) (3-2, D1 R1) 134.3
43) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (5-0, D4 R14) 134.1
44) Lebanon (4-1, D1 R4) 134.1
45) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (4-1, D3 R12) 134.0
46) Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (4-1, D1 R3) 133.7
47) Findlay (4-1, D1 R2) 133.6
48) Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (4-1, D1 R3) 133.3
49) Kirtland (5-0, D5 R17) 133.2
50) Turpin (Cincinnati) (5-0, D2 R8) 133.1

OHSAA Division I Rankings
1) St Edward (Lakewood) (5-0) 161.3
2) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (5-0) 161.1
3) Colerain (Cincinnati) (5-0) 154.1
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (3-2) 150.6
5) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (5-0) 150.3
6) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (5-0) 147.8
7) Lakota West (West Chester) (5-0) 147.1
8) Elder (Cincinnati) (3-2) 145.6
9) Mentor (4-1) 145.2
10) Whitmer (Toledo) (5-0) 144.5
11) Wayne (Huber Heights) (4-1) 144.1
12) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (4-1) 143.0
13) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (4-1) 142.8
14) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (5-0) 141.8
15) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (4-0) 141.0

OHSAA Division II Rankings
1) Central Catholic (Toledo) (5-0) 145.1
2) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (4-1) 140.8
3) Zanesville (5-0) 139.2
4) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (3-2) 136.3
5) Tri-Valley (Dresden) (5-0) 134.6
6) Turpin (Cincinnati) (5-0) 133.1
7) Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (3-2) 132.1
8) Chardon (5-0) 131.8
9) New Albany (3-2) 131.6
10) Columbian (Tiffin) (5-0) 130.4
11) Aurora (4-1) 129.9
12) Midview (Grafton) (5-0) 129.6
13) Tallmadge (4-1) 129.5
14) New Philadelphia (5-0) 128.0
15) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (4-1) 126.8

OHSAA Division III Rankings
1) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-3) 137.8
2) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (4-1) 134.0
3) Marlington (Alliance) (5-0) 131.6
4) Chagrin Falls (4-1) 131.4
5) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (4-1) 130.0
6) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (2-3) 129.7
7) Elida (5-0) 128.9
8) Steubenville (4-1) 128.8
9) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (4-0) 128.5
10) West Holmes (Millersburg) (5-0) 128.2
11) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (3-2) 126.7
12) Napoleon (4-0) 125.7
13) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (2-3) 125.7
14) Bellevue (5-0) 125.0
15) Bryan (5-0) 123.9

OHSAA Division IV Rankings
1) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (5-0) 134.1
2) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (5-0) 132.4
3) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (5-0) 132.3
4) St Clairsville (5-0) 129.3
5) Brookfield (5-0) 127.8
6) Genoa Area (Genoa) (5-0) 125.8
7) Norwayne (Creston) (5-0) 124.2
8) Ironton (5-0) 122.1
9) Kenton (3-2) 120.7
10) Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (4-1) 120.3
11) North Union (Richwood) (5-0) 119.5
12) Bishop Ready (Columbus) (5-0) 118.5
13) Huron (4-1) 115.8
14) Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-1) 114.3
15) Galion (4-1) 114.1

OHSAA Division V Rankings
1) Coldwater (5-0) 142.1
2) Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-2) 135.0
3) Kirtland (5-0) 133.2
4) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (5-0) 130.3
5) Patrick Henry (Hamler) (5-0) 128.1
6) Versailles (3-2) 121.9
7) St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (4-1) 121.8
8) Northwood (5-0) 117.8
9) Wheelersburg (4-1) 117.5
10) Wynford (Bucyrus) (5-0) 116.9
11) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (4-1) 116.7
12) Liberty Center (4-1) 116.5
13) Crestview (Columbiana) (5-0) 115.8
14) Valley (Lucasville) (5-0) 115.6
15) Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (4-1) 115.3

OHSAA Division VI Rankings
1) Delphos St John’s (3-2) 124.2
2) Leipsic (5-0) 122.3
3) Ada (5-0) 121.1
4) Mc Comb (5-0) 120.9
5) Mogadore (5-0) 119.0
6) St Henry (4-1) 119.0
7) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (4-1) 118.1
8) Malvern (4-1) 113.9
9) Minster (3-2) 111.7
10) Newark Catholic (Newark) (4-1) 110.4
11) Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (5-0) 108.8
12) Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (4-1) 108.3
13) Shadyside (5-0) 107.6
14) Danville (4-1) 106.6
15) John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-1) 104.7

 

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