The Fantastic 50: Who the formula says wins in Week 5

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Who is favored to win this
weekend? Here’s who the computers and the Drew Pasteur Fantastic 50

formula favors…


 

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This Week’s Fantastic 50

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This Week’s
Predictions

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This Week’s
Playoff Odds

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We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power rating or
strength-of-schedule computations.

Who is Drew
Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina, where
he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina
version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine
years and has recently made a push in that stae to change the way it
selects postseason participants.

This Week’s
Predictions

 

PREDICTIONS FOR WEEK 5 GAMES

Ada (4-0, D6 R24) by 22 (90%) at Bluffton (2-2, D5 R18)
Alexander (Albany) (1-3, D5 R19) by 15 (80%) vs River Valley (Cheshire) (1-3, D4 R15)
Anderson (Cincinnati) (1-3, D2 R8) by 21 (89%) vs Milford (1-3, D1 R4)
Anthony Wayne (Whitehouse) (3-1, D1 R2) by 7 (65%) vs Perrysburg (3-1, D2 R6)
Arcadia (3-1, D6 R22) by 3 (57%) at Van Buren (2-2, D5 R18)
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (3-0-1, D3 R12) by 32 (96%) at Purcell Marian (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R20)
Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (3-1, D3 R12) by 2 (54%) vs Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (3-1, D4 R16)
Archbold (3-1, D5 R18) by 36 (98%) at Swanton (0-4, D4 R14)
Ashland (3-1, D2 R7) by 3 (57%) vs West Holmes (Millersburg) (4-0, D3 R11)
Athens (The Plains) (3-1, D3 R12) by 26 (93%) vs Waverly (1-3, D4 R15)
#46 Aurora (3-1, D2 R5) by 29 (95%) vs Orange (Pepper Pike) (1-3, D3 R9)
#5 Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (4-0, D1 R1) by 12 (75%) vs #30 Boardman (Youngstown) (3-1, D1 R1)
Avon (3-1, D2 R6) by 21 (88%) vs Bay (Bay Village) (2-2, D3 R9)
Avon Lake (3-1, D1 R2) by 14 (79%) vs Midpark (Middleburg Heights) (4-0, D1 R1)
Badin (Hamilton) (2-2, D4 R16) by 16 (82%) vs Carroll (Dayton) (0-3, D3 R12)
Barnesville (3-1, D5 R17) by 23 (90%) at Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (0-4, D5 R17)
Batavia (4-0, D4 R16) by 24 (92%) vs Clermont Northeastern (Batavia) (1-3, D4 R16)
Bath (Lima) (2-2, D4 R14) by 11 (73%) vs Van Wert (0-4, D4 R14)
Beachwood (3-1, D4 R13) by 13 (77%) at Berkshire (Burton) (2-2, D5 R17)
Beavercreek (2-2, D1 R4) by 24 (92%) vs Fairborn (1-3, D1 R4)
Beechcroft (Columbus) (2-1, D2 R7) by 31 (96%) vs Whetstone (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R7)
Bellefontaine (1-2, D3 R10) by 3 (56%) at Indian Lake (Lewistown) (1-3, D3 R10)
Bellevue (4-0, D3 R10) by 28 (94%) at Waite (Toledo) (0-4, D1 R2)
Benedictine (Cleveland) (2-2, D3 R9) by 13 (78%) at Cleveland Central Catholic (Cleveland) (2-2, D4 R13)
Bexley (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R10) by 4 (59%) at Lakewood (Hebron) (1-3, D3 R11)
Big Walnut (Sunbury) (2-2, D2 R7) by 14 (79%) at Hayes (Delaware) (1-3, D1 R3)
#43 Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (4-0, D4 R14) by 29 (95%) at Fairland (Proctorville) (2-2, D4 R15)
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (4-0, D4 R14) by 16 (82%) vs Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (1-2, D5 R19)
Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) (3-1, D6 R23) by 9 (69%) at Meadowbrook (Byesville) (3-1, D4 R15)
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R10) by 1 (53%) vs La Salle (Cincinnati) (3-1, D1 R4)
Black River (Sullivan) (1-3, D4 R13) by 3 (57%) vs Fairview (Fairview Park) (1-3, D4 R13)
Blanchester (2-2, D4 R16) by 23 (91%) at Williamsburg (1-3, D5 R20)
Bloom-Carroll (Carroll) (2-2, D4 R15) by 13 (76%) at Fairfield Union (Lancaster) (1-3, D3 R12)
Bradford (3-1, D6 R24) by 23 (90%) at Ansonia (0-4, D6 R24)
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) (1-3, D1 R1) by 13 (77%) at Olmsted Falls (0-4, D2 R6)
Briggs (Columbus) (0-4, D2 R7) by 16 (82%) vs Africentric Secondary (Columbus) (0-4, D6 R23)
Brookfield (4-0, D4 R13) by 23 (91%) vs John F Kennedy (Warren) (4-0, D6 R21)
Brookhaven (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R7) by 22 (89%) vs Northland (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R7)
#35 Brunswick (3-1, D1 R2) by 30 (96%) vs Garfield Heights (2-2, D1 R1)
Bryan (4-0, D3 R10) by 34 (97%) vs Montpelier (2-2, D6 R22)
Buchtel (Akron) (1-3, D3 R9) by 9 (69%) vs Garfield (Akron) (2-2, D2 R5)
Buckeye Local (Rayland) (2-2, D3 R11) by 3 (57%) vs Edison (Richmond) (1-3, D4 R15)
Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (2-2, D5 R17) by 21 (89%) vs Bridgeport (1-3, D6 R21)
Buckeye Valley (Delaware) (2-2, D3 R10) by 16 (81%) at Northmor (Galion) (1-3, D5 R19)
Calvert (Tiffin) (2-2, D6 R22) by 5 (61%) vs Seneca East (Attica) (3-1, D5 R18)
Canal Winchester (2-2, D2 R7) by 6 (63%) at Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) (2-2, D4 R15)
#15 Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (3-0, D1 R2) by 15 (80%) at Lake (Uniontown) (2-2, D2 R5)
Canton South (Canton) (3-1, D3 R11) by 18 (85%) at Alliance (0-4, D2 R5)
Cardinal (Middlefield) (3-1, D4 R13) by 21 (89%) at Richmond Heights (1-3, D6 R21)
#12 Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-2, D3 R11) by 19 (86%) at Lake Catholic (Mentor) (1-3, D3 R9)
Carey (3-1, D5 R18) by 5 (61%) at St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (3-1, D6 R22)
Carlisle (3-1, D4 R16) by 40 (99%) vs Northridge (Dayton) (0-4, D4 R16)
Carrollton (4-0, D3 R11) by 9 (70%) vs West Branch (Beloit) (1-3, D3 R11)
Catholic Central (Steubenville) (2-2, D6 R21) at OAK GLEN (New Cumberland) [WV] (2-2, D4) – no pick
Celina (3-1, D2 R8) by 28 (95%) at Memorial (St Marys) (0-4, D3 R10)
#42 Centerville (2-2, D1 R4) by 33 (97%) vs Greenville (1-3, D2 R8)
#22 Chagrin Falls (4-0, D3 R9) by 15 (80%) at Kenston (Chagrin Falls) (2-2, D2 R5)
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (3-1, D4 R16) by 33 (97%) at Roger Bacon (St Bernard) (0-4, D4 R16)
Chardon (4-0, D2 R5) by 13 (77%) vs Madison (3-1, D2 R5)
Chesapeake (1-3, D4 R15) by 1 (53%) at Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (1-3, D5 R19)
Chippewa (Doylestown) (0-4, D4 R13) by 10 (71%) vs Rittman (0-4, D5 R19)
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) (4-0, D4 R16) by 31 (96%) at Cincinnati Country Day (Cincinnati) (2-2, D6 R24)
Clark Montessori (Cincinnati) (3-1, D5 R20) by 24 (91%) at Cincinnati Christian (Fairfield) (1-3, D6 R24)
Claymont (Uhrichsville) (3-1, D3 R11) by 7 (65%) at Coshocton (1-3, D4 R15)
Clearview (Lorain) (3-1, D4 R14) by 11 (73%) vs Wellington (0-4, D4 R14)
#34 Cleveland Heights (4-0, D1 R1) by 20 (88%) vs Maple Heights (2-2, D2 R6)
#45 Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (4-0, D4 R16) by 31 (96%) vs Madison Plains (London) (4-0, D5 R20)
Clyde (1-3, D3 R10) by 24 (91%) at Margaretta (Castalia) (1-3, D5 R18)
#14 Coldwater (4-0, D5 R20) by 26 (93%) at Minster (3-1, D6 R24)
#3 Colerain (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4) by 11 (74%) at #19 Sycamore (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4)
Colonel Crawford (North Robinson) (4-0, D6 R23) by 27 (94%) vs Lucas (1-3, D6 R23)
Columbia (Columbia Station) (3-1, D5 R18) by 12 (75%) vs Buckeye (Medina) (1-3, D3 R9)
Columbian (Tiffin) (4-0, D2 R6) by 25 (92%) at Start (Toledo) (1-3, D1 R2)
Columbiana (3-1, D5 R17) by 35 (98%) at Mc Kinley (Sebring) (0-4, D6 R21)
Columbus Grove (2-2, D5 R18) by 2 (56%) at Spencerville (3-1, D5 R18)
Covington (4-0, D5 R20) by 19 (86%) at Tri-County North (Lewisburg) (3-1, D6 R24)
Crestview (Ashland) (1-3, D5 R19) by 6 (64%) at New London (2-2, D5 R18)
Crestview (Columbiana) (4-0, D5 R17) by 28 (94%) at Mineral Ridge (2-2, D6 R21)
Crestview (Convoy) (2-2, D6 R22) by 19 (86%) at Allen East (Harrod) (0-4, D5 R18)
Crestwood (Mantua) (1-3, D3 R9) by 5 (62%) at Norton (3-1, D3 R9)
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-2, D3 R9) by 5 (62%) vs Indian Valley (Gnadenhutten) (2-2, D4 R15)
Danville (3-1, D6 R23) by 6 (64%) vs Fredericktown (3-1, D5 R19)
David Anderson (Lisbon) (1-3, D5 R17) by 25 (92%) vs Jackson-Milton (North Jackson) (0-4, D6 R21)
Dayton Christian (Miamisburg) (4-0, D5 R20) by 21 (89%) at Fairfield Christian Academy (Lancaster) (3-1, D6 R23)
Dixie (New Lebanon) (4-0, D5 R20) by 5 (62%) at Brookville (3-1, D4 R16)
Dover (2-2, D3 R11) by 50 (99%) vs Woodward (Toledo) (0-4, D2 R6)
#7 Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (4-0, D1 R3) by 31 (96%) at Marysville (1-3, D1 R3)
#48 Dublin Scioto (Dublin) (3-1, D1 R3) by 37 (98%) vs Westerville North (Westerville) (0-4, D1 R3)
East (Youngstown) (1-3, D1 R1) by 1 (51%) at Barberton (1-3, D2 R5)
East Canton (2-2, D6 R21) by 3 (58%) vs Garfield (Garrettsville) (1-3, D4 R13)
East Knox (Howard) (3-1, D5 R19) by 13 (78%) at Centerburg (2-2, D5 R19)
East Liverpool (1-3, D3 R11) at JOHN MARSHALL (Glen Dale) [WV] (1-3, D2) – no pick
East Technical (Cleveland) (1-3, D1 R1) by 4 (59%) vs John Adams (Cleveland) (1-3, D1 R1)
Eastern (Reedsville) (2-2, D6 R23) by 26 (93%) vs South Gallia (Crown City) (0-4, D6 R23)
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R10) by 22 (90%) vs West (Columbus) (3-1, D2 R7)
Eastwood (Pemberville) (1-3, D4 R14) by 8 (67%) vs Elmwood (Bloomdale) (3-1, D5 R18)
Eaton (2-2, D3 R12) by 12 (75%) at Oakwood (Dayton) (1-3, D3 R12)
Edgerton (0-4, D6 R22) by 27 (94%) vs Antwerp (0-4, D6 R22)
Edgewood (Ashtabula) (2-2, D4 R13) by 11 (73%) at Ledgemont (Thompson) (1-3, D6 R21)
Edgewood (Trenton) (4-0, D2 R8) by 15 (80%) at Ross (Hamilton) (1-3, D2 R8)
Edon (2-2, D6 R22) by 27 (94%) at Danbury (Lakeside) (2-2, D6 R22)
#9 Elder (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) at BISHOP CHATARD (INDIANAPOLIS) [IN] (4-1, D3) – no pick
Elgin (Marion) (2-2, D5 R20) by 21 (88%) vs Ridgedale (Morral) (0-4, D6 R23)
Elida (4-0, D3 R10) by 21 (88%) vs Shawnee (Lima) (1-3, D3 R10)
Ellet (Akron) (2-2$, D2 R5) by 35 (98%) at East (Akron) (0-4, D2 R5)
Elyria Catholic (Elyria) (3-1, D4 R14) by 16 (82%) at Rocky River (1-3, D3 R9)
Euclid (2-2, D1 R1) by 12 (76%) vs Bedford (2-2, D2 R6)
Fairview (Sherwood) (2-2, D5 R18) by 22 (90%) vs Ayersville (Defiance) (2-2, D6 R22)
Fayetteville (0-4, D6 R24) by 11 (73%) vs Elmwood (St Bernard) (0-4, D6 R24)
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (3-1, D5 R19) by 6 (63%) at Belpre (1-3, D5 R17)
#28 Findlay (4-0, D1 R2) by 3 (56%) at #47 Central Catholic (Toledo) (4-0, D2 R6)
Firestone (Akron) (1-3, D2 R5) by 10 (72%) vs Kenmore (Akron) (2-2, D2 R5)
Fort Loramie (3-1, D6 R24) by 22 (89%) vs Waynesfield-Goshen (Waynesfield) (2-2, D6 R24)
Fort Recovery (2-2, D6 R24) by 13 (76%) vs Parkway (Rockford) (0-4, D5 R20)
Franklin (3-1, D2 R8) by 14 (80%) at Bellbrook (1-3, D2 R7)
Fremont Ross (Fremont) (2-2, D2 R6) by 24 (91%) vs Lima Senior (Lima) (0-4, D2 R8)
Frontier (New Matamoras) (2-2, D6 R23) by 6 (64%) vs Beallsville (0-4, D6 R23)
Galion (3-1, D4 R14) by 22 (90%) vs Bucyrus (2-2, D5 R19)
Gallia Academy (Gallipolis) (2-2, D3 R12) by 37 (98%) vs Vinton County (Mc Arthur) (1-3, D3 R12)
Gamble Montessori (Cincinnati) (1-3, D6 R24) vs HILLCREST (CINCINNATI) (0-1, D6) – no pick
Garaway (Sugarcreek) (4-0, D5 R17) by 24 (92%) at Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) (3-1, D6 R21)
Genoa Area (Genoa) (4-0, D4 R14) by 32 (96%) vs Lake (Millbury) (1-3, D4 R14)
#32 Glenoak (Canton) (3-1, D1 R2) by 16 (81%) at Jackson (Massillon) (2-2, D1 R2)
#13 Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (3-1, D1 R1) by 44 (99%) vs Rhodes (Cleveland) (2-2, D1 R1)
Goshen (4-0, D3 R12) by 14 (79%) vs Amelia (Batavia) (1-3, D2 R8)
Grand Valley (Orwell) (2-2, D4 R13) by 4 (59%) at Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) (0-4, D5 R17)
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (2-2, D5 R19) by 39 (99%) vs Millersport (0-4, D6 R23)
Granville (4-0, D3 R11) by 10 (71%) at Licking Valley (Newark) (2-2, D3 R11)
Greeneview (Jamestown) (3-1, D4 R16) by 16 (81%) vs Cedarville (1-2-1, D6 R24)
Grove City Christian (Grove City) (2-2, D6 R23) by 20 (88%) at Perry (Lima) (0-4, D6 R22)
Groveport-Madison (Groveport) (1-3, D1 R3) by 1 (53%) vs Grove City (1-3, D1 R3)
Hamilton Township (Columbus) (4-0, D2 R7) by 8 (67%) at Circleville (3-1, D3 R12)
Harrison (1-3, D2 R8) by 26 (93%) vs Talawanda (Oxford) (0-4, D2 R8)
Harvest Preparatory (Canal Winchester) (2-2, D6 R23) by 30 (96%) at Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (0-4, D5 R19)
Hawken (Gates Mills) (4-0, D4 R13) by 21 (88%) at Newbury (3-1, D6 R21)
Heath (1-3, D4 R15) by 7 (66%) vs Whitehall-Yearling (Whitehall) (1-3, D3 R10)
Hicksville (2-2, D5 R18) by 13 (77%) vs Tinora (Defiance) (3-1, D5 R18)
Highland (Medina) (3-1, D2 R6) by 14 (78%) vs Copley (3-1, D2 R5)
Highland (Sparta) (2-2, D4 R14) by 23 (91%) vs Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (0-4, D5 R19)
#26 Hilliard Darby (Hilliard) (4-0, D1 R3) by 21 (89%) vs Dublin Jerome (Dublin) (2-2, D1 R3)
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (2-2, D1 R3) by 31 (96%) vs Central Crossing (Grove City) (1-3, D1 R3)
Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (3-1, D5 R19) by 14 (78%) at Smithville (2-2, D5 R19)
#39 Hoover (North Canton) (3-1, D1 R2) by 18 (85%) at Perry (Massillon) (2-2, D1 R2)
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (2-2, D5 R18) by 28 (95%) vs Lakota (Kansas) (2-2, D5 R18)
Howland (Warren) (3-1, D2 R5) vs WATERDOWN [ON] (0-0, D1) – no pick
#41 Hudson (3-1, D1 R2) by 23 (91%) vs Cuyahoga Falls (3-1, D1 R2)
Huron (3-1, D4 R14) by 30 (96%) at St Mary Central Catholic (Sandusky) (1-3, D6 R22)
Independence (4-0, D5 R17) by 8 (68%) vs Fairport Harding (Fairport Harbor) (3-1, D6 R21)
Indian Creek (Wintersville) (3-1, D3 R11) by 1 (51%) at Bellaire (4-0, D5 R17)
Ironton (4-0, D4 R15) by 25 (92%) at Portsmouth (1-3, D4 R15)
Jefferson Area (Jefferson) (3-1, D3 R9) by 1 (53%) at Liberty (Youngstown) (3-1, D4 R13)
John F Kennedy (Cleveland) (2-2, D1 R1) by 30 (95%) at Lincoln West (Cleveland) (0-4, D1 R1)
John Glenn (New Concord) (3-1, D3 R11) by 8 (67%) vs Philo (Duncan Falls) (3-1, D3 R11)
John Marshall (Cleveland) (0-4, D1 R1) by 4 (59%) vs Collinwood (Cleveland) (0-4, D2 R6)
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (3-1, D4 R15) by 4 (59%) at Loudonville (3-1, D5 R19)
Kenton Ridge (Springfield) (4-0, D3 R12) by 18 (84%) at Northwestern (Springfield) (2-2, D4 R14)
Keystone (La Grange) (1-3, D4 R14) by 6 (62%) at Brooklyn (0-4, D4 R13)
Kirtland (4-0, D5 R17) by 12 (76%) at Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (4-0, D5 R17)
Lakeside (Ashtabula) (1-3, D2 R5) by 5 (62%) at Geneva (1-3, D2 R5)
Lakeview (Cortland) (2-2, D4 R13) by 17 (84%) at Girard (0-4, D4 R13)
#11 Lakota West (West Chester) (4-0, D1 R4) by 22 (89%) at Fairfield (2-2, D1 R4)
Lebanon (3-1, D1 R4) by 13 (77%) at Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) (1-3, D1 R4)
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (1-3, D6 R24) by 29 (95%) vs Riverside (De Graff) (1-3, D6 R24)
Leipsic (4-0, D6 R22) by 15 (81%) at Arlington (3-1, D6 R22)
Lexington (3-1, D2 R6) by 9 (70%) at Clear Fork (Bellville) (2-2, D4 R14)
Liberty Center (3-1, D5 R18) by 25 (92%) vs Wauseon (2-2, D3 R10)
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (3-1, D5 R18) by 33 (97%) at Cory-Rawson (Rawson) (1-3, D6 R22)
Licking Heights (Pataskala) (4-0, D2 R7) by 20 (87%) at Liberty Union (Baltimore) (3-1, D5 R19)
Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (4-0, D5 R18) by 24 (91%) vs Jefferson (Delphos) (4-0, D5 R18)
#23 Lincoln (Gahanna) (4-0, D1 R3) by 31 (96%) at Newark (1-3, D1 R3)
Linden Mc Kinley (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R10) by 10 (71%) vs Centennial (Columbus) (0-4, D3 R10)
Lockland (2-2, D6 R24) by 2 (55%) at New Miami (Hamilton) (2-2, D6 R24)
Logan (0-4, D2 R7) by 4 (59%) vs Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (2-2, D5 R19)
Louisville (2-2, D2 R5) by 11 (74%) vs Minerva (2-2, D3 R11)
Loveland (3-1, D1 R4) by 9 (69%) at Kings (Kings Mills) (1-3, D2 R8)
Lutheran West (Rocky River) (1-3, D4 R13) by 18 (85%) at Brookside (Sheffield) (0-4, D3 R9)
Madeira (Cincinnati) (3-1, D4 R16) by 29 (95%) vs Finneytown (Cincinnati) (0-4, D4 R16)
Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) (3-1, D2 R6) by 9 (69%) vs Wooster (1-3, D2 R7)
Malvern (3-1, D6 R21) by 9 (70%) vs Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (3-1, D5 R19)
Manchester (Akron) (2-2, D4 R13) by 24 (91%) vs Timken (Canton) (1-3, D2 R5)
Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) (3-1, D2 R6) by 16 (82%) at Orrville (1-3, D4 R13)
Mapleton (Ashland) (2-2, D6 R23) by 6 (63%) vs Plymouth (1-3, D6 R23)
Mariemont (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R20) by 2 (54%) vs Indian Hill (Cincinnati) (0-4, D3 R12)
Marion Local (Maria Stein) (4-0, D6 R24) by 7 (65%) at Versailles (2-2, D5 R20)
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (3-1, D2 R7) by 21 (89%) at Independence (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R10)
#50 Marlington (Alliance) (4-0, D3 R11) by 33 (97%) at Salem (0-4, D3 R11)
Martins Ferry (3-1, D4 R15) by 32 (97%) vs Union Local (Belmont) (1-3, D4 R15)
Mason (2-2, D1 R4) by 13 (77%) vs Hamilton (2-2, D1 R4)
#29 Massillon Washington (Massillon) (3-1, D1 R2) by 6 (63%) vs #49 Steubenville (4-0, D3 R11)
Mayfield (2-2, D1 R1) by 12 (75%) at Stow-Munroe Falls (Stow) (1-3, D1 R2)
Maysville (Zanesville) (3-1, D3 R11) by 28 (95%) at West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-4, D4 R15)
Mc Clain (Greenfield) (2-2, D3 R12) by 3 (56%) at East Clinton (Lees Creek) (1-3, D4 R16)
Mc Comb (4-0, D6 R22) by 44 (99%) vs Vanlue (0-4, D6 R22)
Meadowdale (Dayton) (1-3, D3 R12) by 28 (94%) vs Pontz Tech (Dayton) (0-4, D4 R16)
Memorial (Campbell) (2-2, D5 R17) by 20 (88%) vs Labrae (Leavittsburg) (0-4, D4 R13)
#8 Mentor (3-1, D1 R1) by 35 (98%) at Parma (1-3, D1 R1)
Miami East (Casstown) (3-1, D5 R20) by 16 (82%) vs Bethel (Tipp City) (1-3, D5 R20)
Miami Trace (Washington Court House) (1-3, D3 R12) by 20 (87%) vs Hillsboro (0-4, D3 R12)
#38 Middletown (2-2, D1 R4) by 2 (54%) at Lakota East (Liberty Township) (3-1, D1 R4)
Midview (Grafton) (4-0, D2 R6) by 38 (98%) at Vermilion (1-3, D3 R10)
Mifflin (Columbus) (3-1, D2 R7) by 8 (68%) vs East (Columbus) (3-1, D3 R10)
Milton-Union (West Milton) (3-1, D4 R16) by 16 (81%) vs Madison (Middletown) (3-1, D4 R16)
Minford (4-0, D4 R15) by 5 (62%) vs Oak Hill (4-0, D5 R19)
Mogadore (4-0, D6 R21) by 34 (97%) at Waterloo (Atwater) (1-3, D5 R17)
Mohawk (Sycamore) (1-3, D6 R22) by 7 (65%) vs North Baltimore (1-3, D6 R22)
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (3-1, D5 R17) by 15 (81%) at Fort Frye (Beverly) (2-2, D5 R17)
Mount Healthy (Cincinnati) (4-0, D2 R8) by 28 (94%) at Little Miami (Morrow) (1-3, D2 R8)
Mount Vernon (3-1, D2 R7) by 5 (62%) vs Watkins Memorial (Pataskala) (1-3, D2 R7)
Napoleon (3-0-1, D3 R10) by 37 (98%) at Springfield (Holland) (0-4, D2 R6)
National Trail (New Paris) (3-1, D5 R20) by 12 (75%) vs Arcanum (1-3, D6 R24)
New Albany (2-2, D2 R7) by 35 (98%) vs Franklin Heights (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R7)
New Lexington (2-2, D3 R11) by 17 (84%) at Morgan (Mc Connelsville) (1-3, D3 R11)
New Philadelphia (4-0, D2 R5) by 22 (90%) at Northwest (Canal Fulton) (0-4, D3 R11)
New Richmond (2-2, D3 R12) by 7 (66%) vs Norwood (3-1, D4 R16)
Newark Catholic (Newark) (3-1, D6 R23) by 2 (55%) vs Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (2-2, D5 R19)
Newcomerstown (1-3, D5 R17) by 1 (50%) vs Conotton Valley (Bowerston) (3-1, D6 R21)
Newton Falls (1-3, D4 R13) by 8 (67%) at Champion (Warren) (1-3, D4 R13)
Niles Mc Kinley (Niles) (4-0, D3 R9) by 25 (92%) vs Beaver (Lisbon) (1-3, D3 R11)
Nordonia (Macedonia) (3-1, D1 R2) by 3 (57%) at Green (3-1, D1 R2)
North College Hill (Cincinnati) (2-2, D4 R16) by 1 (50%) at Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) (4-0, D5 R20)
North Ridgeville (1-3, D1 R2) by 6 (63%) vs Lakewood (1-3, D1 R1)
#36 North Royalton (4-0, D1 R1) by 10 (71%) at Elyria (3-1, D1 R2)
North Union (Richwood) (4-0, D4 R14) by 9 (69%) at River Valley (Caledonia) (3-1, D3 R10)
Northmont (Clayton) (2-2, D1 R4) by 23 (91%) vs Dunbar (Dayton) (3-1, D3 R12)
Northwest (Cincinnati) (4-0, D2 R8) by 13 (77%) vs Wilmington (3-1, D2 R8)
Northwest (Mc Dermott) (0-4, D4 R15) by 4 (60%) vs Green (Franklin Furnace) (2-2, D6 R23)
Northwestern (West Salem) (3-1, D4 R13) by 13 (77%) at Dalton (1-3, D6 R21)
Northwood (4-0, D5 R18) by 42 (99%) vs Gibsonburg (0-4, D5 R18)
Norwalk (4-0, D2 R6) by 30 (96%) at Delta (1-3, D4 R14)
Norwayne (Creston) (4-0, D4 R13) by 35 (98%) at Waynedale (Apple Creek) (0-4, D5 R19)
Notre Dame (Portsmouth) (3-1, D6 R23) by 16 (83%) at Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (1-3, D6 R21)
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) (2-2, D3 R9) vs CENTRAL (Erie) [PA] (1-2, D1) – no pick
Oak Harbor (3-1, D4 R14) by 11 (74%) vs Port Clinton (1-3, D3 R10)
Oak Hills (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) by 1 (53%) at Princeton (Cincinnati) (0-4, D1 R4)
Oberlin (4-0, D5 R18) by 8 (68%) at Firelands (Oberlin) (0-4, D3 R9)
#37 Olentangy (Lewis Center) (4-0, D1 R3) by 18 (85%) vs Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) (2-2, D1 R3)
Olentangy Liberty (Powell) (3-1, D1 R3) by 5 (61%) vs Upper Arlington (Columbus) (2-2, D1 R3)
Ontario (Mansfield) (2-2, D4 R14) by 4 (58%) vs Upper Sandusky (2-2, D4 R14)
Otsego (Tontogany) (2-2, D4 R14) by 15 (81%) vs Fostoria (0-4, D4 R14)
Ottawa Hills (Toledo) (2-2, D6 R22) by 5 (61%) at Hilltop (West Unity) (2-2, D6 R22)
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (4-0, D4 R14) by 7 (65%) vs Kenton (3-1, D4 R14)
Oyler (Cincinnati) (2-1, D6 R24) by 10 (72%) vs Cincinnati College Prep (Cincinnati) (0-4, D6 R24)
Padua Franciscan (Parma) (2-2, D3 R9) by 13 (78%) at Holy Name (Parma Heights) (0-4, D3 R9)
Paint Valley (Bainbridge) (2-1-1, D5 R20) by 14 (78%) at Southeastern (Chillicothe) (1-3, D5 R20)
Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) (1-3, D6 R22) by 23 (91%) vs Hardin Northern (Dola) (0-4, D6 R24)
Patrick Henry (Hamler) (4-0, D5 R18) by 25 (92%) at Evergreen (Metamora) (2-2, D5 R18)
Paulding (0-4, D4 R14) at WESTERN RESERVE ACADEMY (HUDSON) (1-3, D5) – no pick
Perkins (Sandusky) (3-1, D3 R10) by 7 (66%) vs Edison (Milan) (3-1, D4 R14)
#20 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (2-1, D1 R3) by 12 (75%) at Reynoldsburg (3-1, D1 R3)
#16 Pickerington North (Pickerington) (4-0, D1 R3) by 23 (90%) at Lancaster (1-3, D1 R3)
Piketon (2-2, D4 R15) by 14 (79%) vs Huntington (Chillicothe) (3-1, D5 R20)
Pleasant (Marion) (3-1, D5 R20) by 25 (93%) at Mount Gilead (1-3, D5 R19)
Poland Seminary (Poland) (2-2, D3 R11) by 6 (63%) at Canfield (2-2, D2 R5)
Pymatuning Valley (Andover) (0-4, D4 R13) by 10 (73%) vs Conneaut (0-4, D3 R9)
Ravenna (2-2, D3 R9) by 26 (93%) at Coventry (Akron) (2-2, D2 R5)
Ridgemont (Ridgeway) (3-1, D6 R24) by 2 (55%) vs Upper Scioto Valley (Mc Guffey) (0-4, D6 R24)
River (Hannibal) (2-2, D6 R23) by 19 (86%) at Caldwell (0-4, D6 R23)
River View (Warsaw) (1-3, D3 R11) by 6 (63%) vs Marietta (1-3, D2 R7)
Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) (2-2, D5 R20) by 7 (66%) at Buckeye Central (New Washington) (1-3, D6 R23)
Riverside (Painesville) (3-1, D1 R1) by 20 (87%) at North (Eastlake) (0-4, D1 R1)
Riverview East Academy (Cincinnati) (1-2, D6 R24) by 8 (68%) at Manchester (0-4, D6 R24)
Rogers (Toledo) (2-2, D2 R6) by 12 (75%) vs John Hay (Cleveland) (3-1, D3 R9)
Roosevelt (Kent) (3-1, D2 R5) by 8 (68%) vs Field (Mogadore) (2-2, D3 R9)
Rossford (2-2, D3 R10) by 3 (56%) at Woodmore (Elmore) (2-2, D5 R18)
Sandusky (0-4, D2 R6) by 4 (58%) at Bowsher (Toledo) (1-3, D1 R2)
Sandy Valley (Magnolia) (3-1, D4 R13) by 13 (77%) vs Strasburg-Franklin (Strasburg) (2-2, D6 R21)
Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) (3-1, D6 R23) by 6 (64%) at Jefferson Township (Dayton) (2-2, D6 R24)
Scott (Toledo) (1-3, D2 R6) by 25 (92%) at Lutheran East (Cleveland Heights) (0-4, D6 R21)
Shadyside (4-0, D6 R21) vs LINSLY (WHEELING) [WV] (1-3, D6) – no pick
Shaker Heights (3-1, D1 R1) by 15 (80%) at Medina (1-3, D1 R2)
Shaw (East Cleveland) (2-2, D2 R6) by 10 (71%) at Lorain (1-3, D1 R2)
Shawnee (Springfield) (2-2, D3 R12) by 18 (85%) at Greenon (Springfield) (1-3, D4 R14)
Shelby (1-3, D3 R11) by 8 (67%) vs Marion Harding (Marion) (1-3, D2 R7)
Sheridan (Thornville) (4-0, D3 R11) by 12 (74%) at Cambridge (2-2, D3 R11)
Sidney (2-2, D2 R8) by 19 (86%) vs Belmont (Dayton) (1-3, D2 R8)
Solon (2-2, D1 R1) by 35 (98%) vs Normandy (Parma) (1-3, D2 R6)
#21 South (Willoughby) (4-0, D1 R1) by 31 (96%) at University School (Hunting Valley) (1-3, D3 R9)
Southeast (Ravenna) (2-2, D3 R9) by 16 (81%) at Windham (3-1, D6 R21)
Southeastern Local (South Charleston) (2-2, D6 R24) by 13 (76%) vs Mechanicsburg (1-3, D5 R20)
Southern (Salineville) (3-1, D5 R17) by 17 (83%) at Mc Donald (2-2, D6 R21)
#27 Springboro (4-0, D1 R4) by 26 (93%) vs Piqua (2-2, D2 R8)
Springfield (1-3, D1 R3) by 7 (66%) vs Xenia (2-2, D1 R4)
Springfield (New Middletown) (1-3, D5 R17) by 4 (59%) at East Palestine (0-4, D5 R17)
St Charles (Columbus) (3-1, D1 R3) at an unsanctioned team – no pick
St Clairsville (4-0, D4 R15) by 3 (57%) at Harrison Central (Cadiz) (4-0, D4 R15)
#2 St Edward (Lakewood) (4-0, D1 R1) by 29 (95%) vs Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-1, D5 R17)
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (1-3, D3 R10) by 21 (89%) vs Chillicothe (1-3, D2 R7)
St Francis De Sales (Toledo) (1-3, D2 R6) by 2 (54%) vs Clay (Oregon) (2-2, D2 R6)
St Henry (3-1, D6 R24) by 27 (94%) vs New Bremen (1-3, D6 R24)
#1 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (4-0, D1 R1) at McDOWELL (Erie) [PA] (2-1, D1) – no pick
St John Central (Bellaire) (2-2, D6 R21) at CLAY-BATTELLE (Blacksville) [WV] (4-0, D6) – no pick
St John’S (Delphos) (2-2, D6 R22) by 11 (74%) vs Anna (3-1, D5 R20)
St Paul (Norwalk) (2-2, D6 R22) by 24 (91%) at South Central (Greenwich) (1-3, D6 R22)
St Peter Chanel (Bedford) (2-2, D5 R17) by 4 (58%) vs Canton Central Catholic (Canton) (1-3, D4 R13)
St Thomas Aquinas (Louisville) (3-1, D5 R17) by 38 (98%) vs North (Akron) (1-3, D3 R9)
St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (3-1, D3 R9) by 26 (93%) vs Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (0-4, D3 R9)
#4 St Xavier (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) by 2 (55%) vs #6 Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4)
Steele (Amherst) (1-3, D1 R2) by 5 (61%) at Berea (2-2, D2 R6)
Streetsboro (3-1, D4 R13) by 16 (82%) at Springfield (Akron) (2-2#, D2 R5)
Strongsville (1-3, D1 R1) by 15 (81%) vs Valley Forge (Parma Heights) (1-3, D1 R1)
Struthers (3-1, D3 R11) by 9 (69%) at Hubbard (3-1, D3 R9)
Sylvania Northview (Sylvania) (2-2, D2 R6) by 3 (57%) at Bowling Green (2-2, D2 R6)
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (1-3, D1 R2) by 1 (50%) vs Maumee (3-1, D2 R6)
Symmes Valley (Willow Wood) (3-1, D6 R23) by 30 (96%) vs Southern (Racine) (1-3, D6 R23)
Taft (Cincinnati) (2-2, D3 R12) by 33 (97%) at Aiken (Cincinnati) (0-4, D3 R12)
Tallmadge (3-1, D2 R5) by 25 (92%) at Revere (Richfield) (0-4, D2 R5)
Taylor (North Bend) (1-3, D4 R16) by 11 (74%) at Deer Park (Cincinnati) (1-3, D5 R20)
Teays Valley (Ashville) (2-2, D2 R7) by 4 (59%) vs Logan Elm (Circleville) (2-2, D3 R12)
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) (2-2, D2 R7) by 25 (93%) at Graham (St Paris) (0-4, D3 R10)
Thomas Worthington (Worthington) (0-4, D1 R3) by 16 (82%) vs Westland (Galloway) (1-3, D1 R3)
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) (4-0, D2 R8) by 32 (97%) at Benjamin Logan (Bellefontaine) (1-3, D3 R10)
Toledo Christian (Toledo) (2-2, D6 R22) by 21 (88%) vs Cardinal Stritch (Oregon) (1-3, D6 R22)
Toronto (0-4, D6 R21) vs VALLEY (WETZEL) (Pine Grove) [WV] (1-3, D6) – no pick
Triad (North Lewisburg) (3-1, D5 R20) by 11 (73%) at Northeastern (Springfield) (1-3, D4 R14)
Trimble (Glouster) (3-1, D6 R23) by 35 (98%) at Miller (Corning) (1-3, D6 R23)
Trinity (Garfield Heights) (1-3, D5 R17) by 11 (73%) at Chalker (Southington) (2-2, D6 R21)
#40 Tri-Valley (Dresden) (4-0, D2 R7) by 28 (94%) at Crooksville (2-2, D5 R19)
Triway (Wooster) (3-1, D4 R13) by 3 (57%) vs Tuslaw (Massillon) (2-2, D4 R13)
#31 Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (2-2, D2 R8) by 31 (96%) at West Carrollton (2-2, D2 R8)
Troy (2-2, D1 R3) by 14 (78%) at Miamisburg (2-2, D1 R4)
Turpin (Cincinnati) (4-0, D2 R8) by 22 (89%) at Glen Este (Cincinnati) (1-3, D1 R4)
Tuscarawas Valley (Zoarville) (1-3, D4 R15) by 1 (53%) vs Fairless (Navarre) (1-3, D4 R13)
Twin Valley South (West Alexandria) (2-2, D5 R20) by 18 (85%) vs Mississinawa Valley (Union City) (0-4, D6 R24)
Twinsburg (2-2, D1 R2) by 16 (81%) at Brush (Lyndhurst) (2-2, D1 R1)
United (Hanoverton) (3-1, D5 R17) by 2 (55%) vs South Range (North Lima) (2-2, D5 R17)
Urbana (3-1, D3 R10) by 27 (94%) vs Stebbins (Riverside) (2-2, D2 R8)
Utica (1-3, D4 R15) by 13 (77%) vs Northridge (Johnstown) (2-2, D4 R15)
Valley (Lucasville) (4-0, D5 R19) by 41 (99%) at South Point (0-4, D4 R15)
Valley View (Germantown) (1-3, D4 R16) by 12 (76%) vs Monroe (1-3, D3 R12)
Wadsworth (2-2, D1 R2) by 5 (60%) at Cloverleaf (Lodi) (3-1, D2 R6)
Walnut Hills (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) by 6 (63%) vs Shroder (Cincinnati) (4-0, D4 R16)
Walnut Ridge (Columbus) (2-2, D2 R7) by 26 (93%) vs South Urban Academy (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R10)
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (0-3, D2 R5) vs CANISIUS (BUFFALO) [NY] (3-0, D1) – no pick
Wapakoneta (2-2, D2 R8) by 12 (75%) vs Defiance (1-3, D3 R10)
Warren (Vincent) (1-3, D2 R7) by 8 (68%) at Meigs (Pomeroy) (1-3, D4 R15)
#24 Warren G Harding (Warren) (3-1, D1 R1) by 43 (99%) vs Warrensville Heights (1-3, D3 R9)
Washington (Washington Court House) (2-2, D3 R12) by 6 (63%) at London (0-4, D3 R12)
Waterford (1-3, D6 R23) vs WAHAMA (Mason) [WV] (4-0, D6) – no pick
#10 Wayne (Huber Heights) (3-1, D1 R4) by 31 (96%) vs Butler (Vandalia) (2-2, D2 R8)
Wayne Trace (Haviland) (3-1, D5 R18) by 22 (89%) at Holgate (2-2, D6 R22)
Waynesville (2-2, D4 R16) by 36 (98%) vs Preble Shawnee (Camden) (0-4, D4 R16)
Wellston (1-3, D4 R15) by 11 (73%) vs Rock Hill (Ironton) (0-4, D5 R19)
Wellsville (2-2, D6 R21) by 22 (90%) vs Lowellville (0-4, D6 R21)
West Geauga (Chesterland) (2-2, D2 R5) by 12 (75%) vs Perry (2-2, D4 R13)
West Jefferson (3-1, D5 R20) by 35 (98%) vs Fisher Catholic (Lancaster) (1-3, D6 R23)
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) (4-0, D5 R20) by 31 (96%) at Catholic Central (Springfield) (0-4, D6 R24)
Western Brown (Mount Orab) (4-0, D2 R8) by 29 (95%) at Bethel-Tate (Bethel) (1-3, D4 R16)
Western Hills (Cincinnati) (1-3, D1 R4) by 24 (92%) vs Woodward (Cincinnati) (0-4, D2 R8)
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (2-2, D6 R21) by 15 (80%) vs Leetonia (3-1, D6 R21)
Western Reserve (Collins) (3-1, D5 R18) by 16 (81%) at Monroeville (1-3, D6 R22)
Westerville Central (Westerville) (3-1, D1 R3) by 8 (67%) at Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (1-3, D2 R7)
#25 Westerville South (Westerville) (4-0, D1 R3) by 17 (83%) at Bradley (Hilliard) (3-1, D1 R3)
Westfall (Williamsport) (3-1, D4 R16) by 24 (92%) vs Unioto (Chillicothe) (3-1, D4 R15)
Westlake (4-0, D2 R6) by 4 (58%) at North Olmsted (3-1, D1 R1)
Wheelersburg (3-1, D5 R19) by 8 (68%) vs Jackson (2-2, D3 R12)
#17 Whitmer (Toledo) (4-0, D1 R2) by 17 (83%) at St John’S Jesuit (Toledo) (1-3, D1 R2)
Wickliffe (2-2, D4 R13) by 5 (61%) at Harvey (Painesville) (0-4, D2 R5)
Willard (2-2, D4 R14) by 10 (72%) vs Fairbanks (Milford Center) (1-3, D5 R20)
#18 Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (3-1, D2 R8) by 6 (63%) vs #33 Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (4-0, D3 R12)
Withrow (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) by 31 (96%) vs Hughes Center (Cincinnati) (3-1, D2 R8)
Woodridge (Peninsula) (2-2, D3 R9) by 28 (94%) at Rootstown (2-2, D5 R17)
Wynford (Bucyrus) (4-0, D5 R19) by 44 (99%) vs Crestline (0-4, D6 R23)
Wyoming (Cincinnati) (2-2, D3 R12) by 23 (90%) vs Reading (2-2, D4 R16)
Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (4-0, D6 R21) by 30 (96%) vs Mathews (Vienna) (1-3, D6 R21)
Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (2-2, D4 R15) by 13 (77%) at Adena (Frankfort) (1-3, D5 R20)
#44 Zanesville (4-0, D2 R7) by 12 (75%) vs Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (3-1, D3 R12)

Prediction Results  (Back to top)
Week #1: 242-105 (69.7%)
Week #2: 255-90 (73.9%)
Week #3: 266-76 (77.8%)
Week #4: 280-68 (80.5%)
Week #5:
Week #6:
Week #7:
Week #8:
Week #9:
Week #10:
First Round:
Second Round:
Regional Finals:
State Semifinals:
State Finals:

Pick details, after week #4
Season: 1043-339 (75.5%)
Within 7 points: 388 (28.1%)
Within 3 points: 178 (12.9%)
Winner & exact margin: 22 (1.6%)
Avg. error on scores: 15.78 pts

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