The Fantastic 50: The Top 3 remain the same, see who else landed where

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

Based on Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 formula, what team – regardless
of division – is No. 1 in Ohio?
Well, the Top 3 are again St. Edward, St. Xavier and Moeller. Who is 4-50? Click here to see who the computers like.


We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power
rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who
is Drew Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina,
where he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina

version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has
recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects
postseason participants.

This
Week’s Fantastic 50: Week 5

Drew Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50 
1) St Edward (Lakewood) (4-0, D1 R1) 160.7
2) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (3-1, D1 R4) 158.4
3) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4) 156.1
4) Mentor (4-0, D1 R1) 153.2
5) Colerain (Cincinnati) (3-1, D1 R4) 148.5
6) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (2-2, D1 R1) 148.2
7) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (4-0, D2 R8) 148.0
8) Middletown (4-0, D1 R4) 147.7
9) Solon (4-0, D1 R1) 146.9
10) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4) 146.8
11) Elder (Cincinnati) (2-2, D1 R4) 145.9
12) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (3-1, D1 R2) 144.9
13) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (4-0, D3 R9) 144.4
14) St John’S Jesuit (Toledo) (4-0, D1 R2) 142.8
15) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (3-0, D1 R3) 141.9
16) Kings (Kings Mills) (4-0, D2 R8) 141.4
17) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-2, D3 R11) 140.9
18) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (4-0, D1 R3) 140.9
19) Glenoak (Canton) (4-0, D1 R2) 140.5
20) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (3-1, D1 R1) 140.4
21) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (1-2, D1 R3) 139.9
22) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (4-0, D5 R18) 139.8
23) Kenton (4-0, D4 R14) 139.6
24) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (3-1, D1 R1) 139.2
25) Chagrin Falls (4-0, D3 R9) 138.5
26) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4) 138.1
27) Massillon Washington (Massillon) (3-1, D1 R2) 138.0
28) Dublin Coffman (Dublin) (4-0, D1 R3) 138.0
29) Whitmer (Toledo) (4-0, D1 R2) 137.8
30) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (4-0, D3 R9) 137.0
31) Ravenna (3-1, D3 R9) 136.6
32) Princeton (Cincinnati) (4-0, D1 R4) 136.1
33) Lakota East (Liberty Township) (3-1, D1 R4) 136.1
34) Maple Heights (4-0, D2 R6) 136.0
35) Ursuline (Youngstown) (1-3, D5 R17) 135.4
36) Troy (3-1, D1 R3) 135.1
37) Central Catholic (Toledo) (3-1, D2 R6) 135.1
38) Wayne (Huber Heights) (1-3, D1 R4) 135.0
39) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-1, D2 R5) 134.7
40) Upper Arlington (Columbus) (3-1, D1 R3) 134.1
41) Fremont Ross (Fremont) (3-1, D2 R6) 134.0
42) Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (4-0, D3 R12) 133.8
43) Steubenville (4-0, D3 R11) 133.6
44) Cleveland Heights (4-0, D1 R1) 133.4
45) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (2-2, D3 R10) 133.3
46) Canfield (3-1, D2 R5) 133.0
47) Howland (Warren) (4-0, D2 R5) 132.9
48) Coldwater (3-1, D5 R20) 132.8
49) Wadsworth (4-0, D1 R2) 132.6
50) Louisville (2-2, D2 R5) 132.5

Division I Rankings  
1) St Edward (Lakewood) (4-0) 160.7
2) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (3-1) 158.4
3) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (4-0) 156.1
4) Mentor (4-0) 153.2
5) Colerain (Cincinnati) (3-1) 148.5
6) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (2-2) 148.2
7) Middletown (4-0) 147.7
8) Solon (4-0) 146.9
9) La Salle (Cincinnati) (4-0) 146.8
10) Elder (Cincinnati) (2-2) 145.9
11) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (3-1) 144.9
12) St John’S Jesuit (Toledo) (4-0) 142.8
13) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (3-0) 141.9
14) Pickerington North (Pickerington) (4-0) 140.9
15) Glenoak (Canton) (4-0) 140.5

Division II Rankings
1) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (4-0) 148.0
2) Kings (Kings Mills) (4-0) 141.4
3) Maple Heights (4-0) 136.0
4) Central Catholic (Toledo) (3-1) 135.1
5) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (2-1) 134.7
6) Fremont Ross (Fremont) (3-1) 134.0
7) Canfield (3-1) 133.0
8) Howland (Warren) (4-0) 132.9
9) Louisville (2-2) 132.5
10) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (1-3) 131.8
11) Avon (4-0) 131.7
12) Aurora (3-1) 131.0
13) West Geauga (Chesterland) (4-0) 130.7
14) Copley (3-1) 130.1
15) New Albany (3-1) 129.9

Division III Rankings
1) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (4-0) 144.4
2) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (2-2) 140.9
3) Chagrin Falls (4-0) 138.5
4) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (4-0) 137.0
5) Ravenna (3-1) 136.6
6) Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (4-0) 133.8
7) Steubenville (4-0) 133.6
8) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (2-2) 133.3
9) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (4-0) 132.2
10) Marlington (Alliance) (3-1) 131.4
11) Dover (3-1) 130.1
12) Benedictine (Cleveland) (4-0) 128.6
13) Thurgood Marshall (Dayton) (3-1) 128.3
14) Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (3-1) 126.5
15) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (2-2) 126.0

Division IV Rankings
1) Kenton (4-0) 139.6
2) Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (4-0) 132.3
3) Waynesville (4-0) 129.8
4) Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (4-0) 129.7
5) Genoa Area (Genoa) (4-0) 128.9
6) Ironton (3-1) 128.6
7) Orrville (3-1) 128.0
8) Girard (4-0) 127.3
9) Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) (4-0) 127.0
10) Norwayne (Creston) (4-0) 125.6
11) Coshocton (4-0) 122.8
12) Eastwood (Pemberville) (4-0) 122.4
13) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (4-0) 122.0
14) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (2-2) 119.4
15) Brookfield (4-0) 118.2

Division V Rankings
1) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (4-0) 139.8
2) Ursuline (Youngstown) (1-3) 135.4
3) Coldwater (3-1) 132.8
4) Kirtland (4-0) 127.8
5) Wynford (Bucyrus) (4-0) 122.7
6) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (4-0) 120.9
7) Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (4-0) 119.1
8) Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (4-0) 119.1
9) Pleasant (Marion) (4-0) 118.9
10) Archbold (3-1) 117.9
11) Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (4-0) 117.1
12) Columbus Grove (3-1) 116.2
13) Versailles (4-0) 116.0
14) Valley (Lucasville) (4-0) 116.0
15) Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (4-0) 115.9

Division VI Rankings
1) St John’S (Delphos) (2-2) 129.2
2) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (3-1) 118.2
3) Ada (3-1) 117.3
4) Malvern (4-0) 114.8
5) Calvert (Tiffin) (4-0) 112.8
6) Minster (2-2) 112.2
7) Western Reserve (Berlin Center) (4-0) 111.9
8) Leipsic (3-1) 108.9
9) Mc Comb (2-2) 108.7
10) Catholic Central (Springfield) (3-1) 108.3
11) St Henry (1-3) 107.8
12) Ledgemont (Thompson) (4-0) 107.0
13) Shadyside (2-2) 106.9
14) Villa Angela-St Joseph (Cleveland) (3-1) 106.6
15) Edgerton (3-1) 104.7

Click here for This Week’s Game Predictions

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