The Fantastic 50: St. Edward still No. 1 but there’s a NEW No. 2…

Image

Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

The latest Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 calculations are out.
Based on numbers,
mathematics and football, this formula calculates and ranks the state’s
top teams regardless of division.
So…St. Edward is still No. 1 this week but there’s a new No. 2. Ursuline drops…who moves up?


We know how much Ohio high school football
fans love numbers, so here’s another set for fanatics to look at.
Thanks to Drew Pasteur, a professor of math at the College of Wooster,
we’re proud to offer Drew
Pasteur’s Ohio Fantastic 50
again this fall. In
addition to ranking every team in the state, the Fantastic 50 also
offers predictions for this weekend’s game. There’s also divisional
rankings. Enjoy. We know you will.

What is the
Fantastic 50?

The
Ohio Fantanstic 50 is a computer ranking of the state’s top 50 teams,
regardless of division. It is based completely on scores and schedules,
so there is no bias for or against any part of the state. Margin of
victory (or defeat) is used in the rankings, up to a maximum of a
21-point margin. Strength-of-schedule does play a significant part, but
a team is not heavily penalized for games against weaker teams,
provided that they win comfortably.

Under this system,
an average team has a power rating of 100, and the difference between
two teams’ ratings (not rankings) would be a predicted margin of
victory for the higher-rated team on a neutral
field, as long as this difference isn’t too large. These rankings are
not intended to be “fair” in determining teams to qualify for the
playoffs, but rather are meant to predict the outcome of future games.
Any contests against non-OHSAA opponents are not included in either the power
rating or strength-of-schedule computations.

Who
is Drew Pasteur?

Drew Pasteur is a native of North Carolina,
where he was
a high school
teacher and athletic trainer for several years. After earning a PhD in
applied math from N.C. State University, he took a job as a
math professor at the College of Wooster last year. He has
published a North
Carolina

version of the Fantastic 50 rankings for the last nine years and has
recently made a push in that stae to change the way it selects
postseason participants.

Rankings and Predictions
Here are this week’s Fantastic 50
rankings. Want to debate? Do it in the JJ forums.

CLICK
HERE FOR REGIONAL SEMIFINAL (WEEK 11) PREDICTIONS

DREW PASTEUR’S OHIO FANTASTIC 50: WEEK 10
1) St Edward (Lakewood) (11-0, D1 R1) 164.4
2) Colerain (Cincinnati) (11-0, D1 R4) 156.6
3) Ursuline (Youngstown) (11-0, D5 R17) 155.6
4) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (11-0, D1 R1) 154.6
5) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (6-4, D1 R4) 152.5
6) St John’S (Delphos) (11-0, D6 R22) 151.7
7) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (7-4, D1 R4) 151.4
8) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (10-0, D1 R3) 151.3
9) Wayne (Huber Heights) (8-3, D1 R4) 151.2
10) Solon (11-0, D1 R1) 149.9
11) Centerville (9-2, D1 R4) 149.7
12) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (10-1, D2 R5) 149.6
13) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (11-0, D1 R3) 147.9
14) La Salle (Cincinnati) (9-2, D1 R4) 147.9
15) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (9-1, D3 R10) 147.6
16) Middletown (10-1, D1 R4) 146.6
17) Springfield (9-2, D1 R3) 146.0
18) Marlington (Alliance) (11-0, D3 R11) 144.9
19) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (10-1, D1 R1) 144.8
20) Elder (Cincinnati) (4-5, D1 R4) 143.7
21) Mentor (7-4, D1 R1) 143.6
22) Maple Heights (11-0, D2 R6) 143.3
23) Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) (8-3, D1 R2) 142.7
24) Kenton (10-1, D4 R16) 142.3
25) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (10-1, D2 R8) 141.5
26) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (6-4, D3 R9) 140.9
27) Howland (Warren) (11-0, D2 R5) 140.2
28) Hamilton (7-4, D1 R4) 140.1
29) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (5-6, D3 R10) 139.9
30) Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (10-1, D4 R16) 139.7
31) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (11-0, D2 R7) 138.9
32) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (9-2, D2 R8) 138.3
33) Whitmer (Toledo) (10-1, D1 R2) 138.1
34) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (9-2, D4 R16) 137.4
35) Westerville South (Westerville) (9-2, D1 R3) 137.3
36) Coldwater (8-3, D5 R20) 136.8
37) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (7-3, D2 R5) 136.5
38) Lake (Uniontown) (8-3, D2 R7) 136.3
39) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (10-1, D5 R18) 136.0
40) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (4-6, D1 R1) 136.0
41) St John’S Jesuit (Toledo) (10-1, D1 R2) 135.7
42) Clear Fork (Bellville) (10-1, D4 R14) 135.6
43) Warren G Harding (Warren) (8-3, D1 R1) 135.5
44) Anderson (Cincinnati) (8-2, D1 R4) 135.4
45) New Albany (10-1, D2 R7) 135.3
46) South (Willoughby) (9-2, D1 R1) 135.1
47) Ashland (9-2, D2 R5) 134.8
48) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (11-0, D4 R16) 134.8
49) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (9-2, D6 R24) 134.6
50) Strongsville (6-4, D1 R1) 134.6

Division I Rankings 
1) St Edward (Lakewood) (11-0) 164.4
2) Colerain (Cincinnati) (11-0) 156.6
3) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (11-0) 154.6
4) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (6-4) 152.5
5) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (7-4) 151.4
6) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (10-0) 151.3
7) Wayne (Huber Heights) (8-3) 151.2
8) Solon (11-0) 149.9
9) Centerville (9-2) 149.7
10) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (11-0) 147.9
11) La Salle (Cincinnati) (9-2) 147.9
12) Middletown (10-1) 146.6
13) Springfield (9-2) 146.0
14) Austintown-Fitch (Youngstown) (10-1) 144.8
15) Elder (Cincinnati) (4-5) 143.7

Division II Rankings
1) Lake Catholic (Mentor) (10-1) 149.6
2) Maple Heights (11-0) 143.3
3) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (10-1) 141.5
4) Howland (Warren) (11-0) 140.2
5) Marion-Franklin (Columbus) (11-0) 138.9
6) Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) (9-2) 138.3
7) Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (7-3) 136.5
8) Lake (Uniontown) (8-3) 136.3
9) New Albany (10-1) 135.3
10) Ashland (9-2) 134.8
11) Louisville (7-3) 131.8
12) Kings (Kings Mills) (10-1) 131.6
13) Ravenna (8-2) 130.8
14) Tallmadge (11-0) 128.6
15) Central Catholic (Toledo) (8-3) 128.0

Division III Rankings
1) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (9-1) 147.6
2) Marlington (Alliance) (11-0) 144.9
3) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (6-4) 140.9
4) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (5-6) 139.9
5) Sheridan (Thornville) (11-0) 133.4
6) Poland Seminary (Poland) (7-4) 130.8
7) Eaton (11-0) 130.4
8) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (7-4) 130.1
9) Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) (9-2) 129.8
10) Elida (9-2) 129.7
11) Dover (9-2) 128.7
12) Columbian (Tiffin) (10-1) 128.6
13) Buchtel (Akron) (8-3) 128.5
14) Padua Franciscan (Parma) (8-3) 127.5
15) Minerva (8-3) 126.7

Division IV Rankings
1) Kenton (10-1) 142.3
2) Jonathan Alder (Plain City) (10-1) 139.7
3) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (9-2) 137.4
4) Clear Fork (Bellville) (10-1) 135.6
5) Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) (11-0) 134.8
6) Chagrin Falls (10-1) 131.2
7) Lakeview (Cortland) (9-2) 129.3
8) Ironton (9-2) 127.4
9) Bishop Fenwick (Franklin) (7-3) 126.8
10) Genoa Area (Genoa) (11-0) 126.8
11) Orrville (8-3) 125.6
12) Carlisle (10-1) 125.0
13) Manchester (Akron) (11-0) 124.7
14) Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (8-3) 124.0
15) Heath (10-1) 123.6

Division V Rankings
1) Ursuline (Youngstown) (11-0) 155.6
2) Coldwater (8-3) 136.8
3) Lima Central Catholic (Lima) (10-1) 136.0
4) Anna (8-3) 133.5
5) Fredericktown (11-0) 127.8
6) Archbold (11-0) 127.4
7) Tinora (Defiance) (10-1) 126.4
8) Hillsdale (Jeromesville) (10-1) 126.2
9) Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) (10-1) 125.4
10) Badin (Hamilton) (6-5) 125.4
11) Wheelersburg (9-2) 123.1
12) Versailles (6-4) 123.0
13) Patrick Henry (Hamler) (10-1) 123.0
14) West Jefferson (11-0) 120.8
15) Kirtland (11-0) 120.7

Division VI Rankings
1) St John’S (Delphos) (11-0) 151.7
2) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (9-2) 134.6
3) Mc Comb (11-0) 129.8
4) Ada (10-1) 129.1
5) Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (10-1) 125.5
6) Leipsic (9-2) 121.3
7) Mogadore (11-0) 118.3
8) Minster (6-5) 118.1
9) Bridgeport (11-0) 117.4
10) Columbus Grove (7-3) 116.5
11) Mohawk (Sycamore) (10-1) 115.7
12) Wynford (Bucyrus) (10-1) 114.7
13) St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) (9-2) 113.9
14) Catholic Central (Springfield) (9-2) 112.6
15) Covington (11-0) 111.6

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *