Fantastic 50: Week 7 State Championship Odds

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Drew Pasteur’s Playoff Odds

Fantastic 50: Week 7 State Championship Odds


These odds are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular season and playoffs.  The numbers are the relative likelihood that a team will not or will win the championship.  For example, 5:2 odds mean a 2/7 chance of that team winning the championship.  These odds are not intended to encourage any form of gambling, but rather for informational and entertainment purposes only.  Only teams with odds of 500:1 or better are listed.

Division I State Championship Odds 
St Ignatius (Cleveland) 5:1
St Xavier (Cincinnati) 5:1
Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) 8:1
Elder (Cincinnati) 12:1
Dublin Coffman (Dublin) 13:1
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) 15:1
Massillon Washington (Massillon) 17:1
Solon 18:1
Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) 19:1
Anderson (Cincinnati) 25:1
Westerville South (Westerville) 60:1
Centerville 70:1
Glenoak (Canton) 95:1
Mayfield 110:1
Mentor 110:1
Lakota West (West Chester) 120:1
Colerain (Cincinnati) 120:1
Northmont (Clayton) 130:1
Wadsworth 140:1
Whitmer (Toledo) 150:1
Groveport-Madison (Groveport) 200:1
Middletown 200:1
Twinsburg 300:1
Pickerington Central (Pickerington) 300:1
Hoover (North Canton) 400:1
Brunswick 450:1
Hudson 450:1
Olentangy Liberty (Powell) 450:1
Warren G Harding (Warren) 500:1
 
Division II State Championship Odds 
Lake Catholic (Mentor) 6:1
Louisville 6:1
Logan 6:1
Winton Woods (Cincinnati) 7:1
Turpin (Cincinnati) 10:1
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) 14:1
St Francis De Sales (Toledo) 14:1
Central Catholic (Toledo) 25:1
West Geauga (Chesterland) 30:1
New Philadelphia 35:1
Maple Heights 50:1
Howland (Warren) 60:1
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) 65:1
Olmsted Falls 85:1
St Charles (Columbus) 140:1
Big Walnut (Sunbury) 150:1
Trotwood-Madison (Trotwood) 160:1
Rogers (Toledo) 170:1
Aurora 170:1
Olentangy Orange (Lewis Center) 180:1
Brookhaven (Columbus) 190:1
Tri-Valley (Dresden) 250:1
Ashland 300:1
Canal Winchester 300:1
Roosevelt (Kent) 350:1
Canfield 350:1
Avon Lake 350:1
 
Division III State Championship Odds 
Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 3:2
Steubenville 4:1
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) 7:1
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) 10:1
Dover 22:1
Poland Seminary (Poland) 35:1
St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) 35:1
Archbishop Hoban (Akron) 85:1
Hubbard 120:1
Wyoming (Cincinnati) 120:1
Padua Franciscan (Parma) 130:1
Marlington (Alliance) 160:1
Granville 160:1
Perkins (Sandusky) 180:1
Napoleon 200:1
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) 200:1
Northwest (Canal Fulton) 250:1
Bellefontaine 350:1
Field (Mogadore) 400:1
Bryan 400:1
Minerva 400:1
Logan Elm (Circleville) 450:1
Franklin 500:1
 
Division IV State Championship Odds 
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) 4:5
Genoa Area (Genoa) 9:1
Chagrin Falls 12:1
Kenton 21:1
Amanda-Clearcreek (Amanda) 30:1
Clear Fork (Bellville) 40:1
Martins Ferry 45:1
Girard 55:1
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) 55:1
Coshocton 60:1
Ironton 60:1
West Muskingum (Zanesville) 130:1
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) 130:1
Orrville 150:1
Elyria Catholic (Elyria) 170:1
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) 170:1
Perry 180:1
Manchester (Akron) 200:1
Galion 250:1
Woodridge (Peninsula) 250:1
Carlisle 300:1
Triway (Wooster) 350:1
Heath 350:1
Edison (Milan) 500:1
Lakeview (Cortland) 500:1
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) 500:1
 
Division V State Championship Odds 
Coldwater 5:2
Ursuline (Youngstown) 7:2
Patrick Henry (Hamler) 9:1
Anna 9:1
St Henry 25:1
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) 30:1
Fredericktown 35:1
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 40:1
Liberty Union (Baltimore) 40:1
Lima Central Catholic (Lima) 45:1
Tinora (Defiance) 60:1
Crestview (Columbiana) 65:1
West Jefferson 70:1
Hillsdale (Jeromesville) 85:1
Wheelersburg 130:1
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) 140:1
Hawken (Gates Mills) 160:1
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) 180:1
East Palestine 200:1
Crestview (Ashland) 200:1
Oak Hill 300:1
Badin (Hamilton) 350:1
Minford 400:1
Jefferson (Delphos) 400:1
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) 400:1
North Union (Richwood) 400:1
 
Division VI State Championship Odds 
St John’s (Delphos) 1:1
St Paul (Norwalk) 4:1
Ada 16:1
Marion Local (Maria Stein) 20:1
Carey 25:1
Mc Donald 35:1
Wynford (Bucyrus) 55:1
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 60:1
Leipsic 70:1
Mogadore 90:1
Malvern 110:1
Columbiana 140:1
Fort Loramie 150:1
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) 170:1
John F Kennedy (Warren) 200:1
New Bremen 300:1
Tuscarawas Central Catholic (New Philadelphia) 300:1
Dalton 350:1
Ansonia 450:1
Lockland 500:1
St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) 500:1
Calvert (Tiffin) 500:1
Arlington 500:1

State Championship Odds by Region 

Division I
Region 1 – 31%
Region 2 – 9%
Region 3 – 16%
Region 4 – 44%

Division II
Region 5 – 22%
Region 6 – 15%
Region 7 – 34%
Region 8 – 29%

Division III
Region 9 – 49%
Region 10 – 23%
Region 11 – 26%
Region 12 – 2%

Division IV
Region 13 – 13%
Region 14 – 15%
Region 15 – 9%
Region 16 – 63% (skewed by Alter)

Division V
Region 17 – 28%
Region 18 – 16%
Region 19 – 8%
Region 20 – 49%

Division VI
Region 21 – 29%
Region 22 – 61%
Region 23 – 3%
Region 24 – 7%

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