Fantastic 50: State finals predictions…who walks away with the hardware?

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

The football season is coming to a close. Only one week left. Who will leave Stark County this weekend with the titles? Drew
Pastuer’s Fantastic 50 will tell you who the computers pick.


DREW PASTUER’S OHIO FANTASITC 50  (regardless of division)

1) Elder (Cincinnati) (13-1, D1 R4) 156.3
2) St Ignatius (Cleveland) (13-1, D1 R1) 154.9
3) Steubenville (14-0, D4 R13) 151.5
4) Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (12-2, D4 R16) 150.4
5) St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (13-1, D2 R7) 147.2
6) Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (13-1, D1 R3) 146.6
7) Colerain (Cincinnati) (11-2, D1 R4) 145.9
8) Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) (11-1, D1 R1) 144.4
9) Louisville (12-1, D2 R7) 143.3
10) Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (14-0, D5 R18) 143.2
11) Ursuline (Youngstown) (14-0, D5 R17) 143.2
12) Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (14-0, D2 R6) 143.1
13) Strongsville (11-2, D1 R1) 142.3
14) Anderson (Cincinnati) (12-2, D2 R8) 141.8
15) Coldwater (12-1, D4 R16) 141.5
16) Northmont (Clayton) (10-2, D1 R4) 141.5
17) Hoover (North Canton) (12-2, D1 R2) 141.3
18) Mentor (9-3, D1 R1) 140.5
19) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) (9-3, D4 R13) 139.9
20) Upper Arlington (10-2, D1 R3) 139.4
21) Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (11-2, D1 R3) 139.2
22) Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) (6-5, D1 R4) 138.7
23) Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (11-2, D2 R8) 138.5
24) Genoa Area (Genoa) (13-1, D4 R14) 136.1
25) Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (14-0, D6 R21) 136.0
26) St Xavier (Cincinnati) (4-6, D1 R4) 135.9
27) Centerville (7-4, D1 R4) 135.6
28) Glenoak (Canton) (10-3, D1 R2) 135.4
29) Licking Valley (Newark) (12-2, D3 R11) 135.3
30) Aurora (12-2, D3 R9) 134.6
31) Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (13-1, D3 R12) 134.5
32) Sycamore (Cincinnati) (8-2, D1 R4) 134.4
33) Washington (Massillon) (6-5, D1 R2) 133.8
34) Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (5-6, D2 R7) 133.4
35) Logan (11-1, D2 R7) 133.4
36) Dover (11-2, D3 R11) 133.2
37) Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) (9-3, D1 R3) 132.7
38) Highland (Medina) (11-2, D2 R6) 132.0
39) Princeton (Cincinnati) (5-5, D1 R4) 131.4
40) Brunswick (10-2, D1 R2) 131.2
41) Marion Local (Maria Stein) (11-3, D5 R20) 131.2
42) St Edward (Lakewood) (6-5, D1 R1) 131.1
43) Lakota West (West Chester) (6-4, D1 R4) 130.8
44) Brookville (10-1, D4 R16) 130.7
45) Perry (11-2, D4 R13) 130.5
46) Patrick Henry (Hamler) (12-1, D5 R18) 130.5
47) Twinsburg (9-3, D1 R2) 130.4
48) Mayfield (10-2, D2 R5) 130.3
49) Solon (6-4, D1 R1) 130.1
50) St Vincent-St Mary (Akron) (7-3, D4 R13) 129.6

STATE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PREDICITONS

Division I State Championship
#1 Elder (Cincinnati) (13-1, R4) by 1 (54%) vs #2 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (13-1, R1)

Division II State Championship
#12 Sylvania Southview (14-0, R6) by 1 (54%) vs #14 Anderson (Cincinnati) (12-2, R8)

Division III State Championship
#30 Aurora (12-2, R9) by 1 (50%) vs #31 Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (13-1, R12)

Division IV State Championship
#3 Steubenville (14-0, R13) by 1 (53%) vs #4 Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (12-2, R16)

Division V State Championship
#10 Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (14-0, R18) by 1 (50%) vs #11 Ursuline (Youngstown) (14-0, R17)

Division VI State Championship
#25 Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (14-0, R21) by 10 (77%) vs St John’s (Delphos) (12-2, R22)

Last Week’s Predictions 
Games Picked: 12
Record: 10-2 (83.3%)
Within 7 points: 3 (25.0%)
Within 3 points: 2 (16.7%)
Winner and exact margin: 0

All Predictions (week #5 to present)
Games Picked: 2303
Record: 1892-411 (82.2%)
Within 7 points: 814 (35.4%)
Within 3 points: 400 (17.4%)
Winner and exact margin: 61 (2.6%)

STATE CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS (Before the playoffs started)

These
odds are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular
season and playoffs. The numbers are the relative likelihood that a
team will not or will win the championship. For example, 5:2 odds mean
a 2/7 chance of that team winning the championship. These odds are not
intended to encourage any form of gambling, but rather for
informational and entertainment purposes only.

Division I State Championship Odds
St Ignatius (Cleveland) 4:1
Elder (Cincinnati) 4:1
Pickerington Central (Pickerington) 6:1
Mentor 11:1
Colerain (Cincinnati) 19:1
Strongsville 19:1
Hoover (North Canton) 21:1
Upper Arlington 24:1
Northmont (Clayton) 25:1
Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) 35:1
Brunswick 40:1
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) 40:1
Washington (Massillon) 45:1
Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) 55:1
Glenoak (Canton) 80:1
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) 110:1
Centerville 120:1
Brookhaven (Columbus) 200:1
Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) 250:1
St Edward (Lakewood) 350:1
Twinsburg 450:1
Wayne (Huber Heights) 500:1
Nordonia (Macedonia) 600:1
Euclid 800:1
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) 1300:1
Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) 1700:1
South (Willoughby) 2300:1
Woodward (Cincinnati) 3000:1
Marysville 4000:1
Steele (Amherst) 5000:1

Division II State Championship Odds
Louisville 2:1
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) 4:1
Winton Woods (Cincinnati) 14:1
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) 15:1
Mayfield 18:1
Anderson (Cincinnati) 19:1
Central Catholic (Toledo) 20:1
Padua Franciscan (Parma) 35:1
Logan 40:1
Avon Lake 50:1
Lexington 50:1
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) 55:1
Shaw (East Cleveland) 60:1
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) 75:1
Highland (Medina) 120:1
Howland (Warren) 130:1
Tallmadge 140:1
Archbishop Hoban (Akron) 250:1
Olentangy Liberty (Powell) 300:1
Beechcroft (Columbus) 300:1
Turpin (Cincinnati) 350:1
Kings (Kings Mills) 350:1
Olentangy (Lewis Center) 700:1
Cloverleaf (Lodi) 800:1
Edgewood (Trenton) 1000:1
Madison 1900:1
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 1900:1
Dunbar (Dayton) 5000:1
Western Brown (Mount Orab) 5000:1

Division III State Championship Odds
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) 5:1
Licking Valley (Newark) 8:1
Dover 10:1
Sheridan (Thornville) 11:1
Canton South (Canton) 16:1
Avon 17:1
Poland Seminary (Poland) 18:1
Clyde 20:1
Aurora 21:1
Northwest (Canal Fulton) 25:1
Big Walnut (Sunbury) 30:1
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) 35:1
Canal Winchester 40:1
Logan Elm (Circleville) 40:1
Columbian (Tiffin) 55:1
Bellevue 55:1
Valley View (Germantown) 65:1
Hubbard 70:1
Chillicothe 70:1
Granville 85:1
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) 95:1
Bexley (Columbus) 190:1
Liberty (Youngstown) 200:1
Franklin 250:1
New Philadelphia 300:1
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) 300:1
Memorial (St Marys) 450:1
Defiance 450:1
Chagrin Falls 500:1
Field (Mogadore) 1900:1
Ravenna 2500:1
Buckeye Local (Rayland) 3500:1

Division IV State Championship Odds
Steubenville 3:1
Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 7:2
Coldwater 4:1
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) 6:1
Brookville 30:1
Fostoria 35:1
Genoa Area (Genoa) 45:1
New Lexington 70:1
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) 95:1
Perry 95:1
Martins Ferry 110:1
Pleasant (Marion) 120:1
Union Local (Belmont) 170:1
Badin (Hamilton) 350:1
Jonathan Alder (Plain City) 350:1
Ironton 400:1
Oakwood (Dayton) 500:1
Huron 700:1
Labrae (Leavittsburg) 700:1
Coshocton 700:1
Eastwood (Pemberville) 1000:1
Tuslaw (Massillon) 1200:1
Clearview (Lorain) 1300:1
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) 1700:1
Westfall (Williamsport) 1900:1
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) 2300:1
Triway (Wooster) 2300:1
St Clairsville 3000:1
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) 4000:1

Division V State Championship Odds
Ursuline (Youngstown) 1:2
Patrick Henry (Hamler) 13:1
Anna 19:1
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) 22:1
Marion Local (Maria Stein) 24:1
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) 35:1
West Jefferson 35:1
Liberty Union (Baltimore) 45:1
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) 110:1
Wheelersburg 120:1
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 140:1
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 150:1
Kirtland 160:1
Wynford (Bucyrus) 200:1
Liberty Center 250:1
South Range (North Lima) 300:1
Fairview (Sherwood) 350:1
Waynesville 400:1
Crestview (Columbiana) 400:1
Archbold 450:1
Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) 500:1
Jefferson (Delphos) 600:1
Waynedale (Apple Creek) 700:1
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 800:1
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) 1700:1
Crestview (Ashland) 2100:1
Minford 2100:1
Norwayne (Creston) 2500:1
Miami East (Casstown) 3500:1
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) 4000:1

Division VI State Championship Odds
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 3:1
St Paul (Norwalk) 6:1
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) 9:1
Ada 10:1
Mechanicsburg 11:1
Malvern 12:1
River (Hannibal) 13:1
St John’s (Delphos) 18:1
Carey 24:1
Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) 35:1
Mc Donald 50:1
Arlington 140:1
Mogadore 170:1
Columbiana 180:1
Shadyside 250:1
Caldwell 250:1
Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) 300:1
Mc Comb 300:1
Beallsville 600:1
Leetonia 700:1
Lockland 700:1
East Canton 1300:1
Catholic Central (Springfield) 1600:1
Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) 2500:1
New Miami (Hamilton) 2500:1
Trimble (Glouster) 3000:1
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) 3500:1
Covington 3500:1
Ansonia 5000:1

STATE CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS BY REGION

Division I
Region 1 – 36%
Region 2 – 11%
Region 3 – 21%
Region 4 – 32%

Division II
Region 5 – 12%
Region 6 – 16%
Region 7 – 58%
Region 8 – 14%

Division III
Region 9 – 25%
Region 10 – 20%
Region 11 – 37%
Region 12 – 18%

Division IV
Region 13 – 50%
Region 14 – 7%
Region 15 – 3%
Region 16 – 40%

Division V
Region 17 – 67%
Region 18 – 13%
Region 19 – 7%
Region 20 – 13%

Division VI
Region 21 – 43%
Region 22 – 22%
Region 23 – 16%
Region 24 – 19%

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