Fantastic 50: Regional final predictions…who makes state?

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Drew Pasteur’s Fantastic 50 rankings and predictions

The postseason is upon us and so are the debates. Who will win this
weekend? Who will win the region? Who will win the state? Drew
Pastuer’s Fantastic 50 will tell you who the computers pick.


REGIONAL FINAL PREDICTIONS

Rankings shown are for teams in the all-divisions Fantastic 50 rankings.

Second Round Picks Record: 41-7 (85.4%)

Region 1
#2 St Ignatius (Cleveland) (11-1) by 6 (66%) vs #10 Strongsville (11-1)

Region 2
#12 Hoover (North Canton) (11-1) by 4 (61%) vs #21 Glenoak (Canton) (10-2)

Region 3
#4 Pickerington Central (Pickerington) (12-0) by 9 (74%) vs #16 Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) (11-1)

Region 4
#1 Elder (Cincinnati) (11-1) by 5 (65%) vs #6 Colerain (Cincinnati) (11-1)

Region 5
#38 Tallmadge (9-3) by 6 (67%) vs Archbishop Hoban (Akron) (8-4)

Region 6
#17 Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) (12-0) by 6 (68%) vs #32 Highland (Medina) (11-1)

Region 7
#5 Louisville (12-0) by 4 (60%) vs #8 St Francis De Sales (Columbus) (12-0)

Region 8
#20 Winton Woods (Cincinnati) (11-1) by 1 (53%) vs #23 Anderson (Cincinnati) (10-2)
 
Region 9
#41 Aurora (10-2) by 1 (50%) vs #42 Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) (9-2)

Region 10
Avon (12-0) by 4 (60%) vs Big Walnut (Sunbury) (10-2)

Region 11
#24 Dover (11-1) by 1 (53%) vs #25 Licking Valley (Newark) (11-1)

Region 12
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) (11-1) by 4 (60%) vs Logan Elm (Circleville) (12-0)

Region 13
#3 Steubenville (12-0) by 19 (91%) vs #46 Perry (11-1)

Region 14
#26 Genoa Area (Genoa) (12-0) by 16 (87%) vs Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) (8-4)

Region 15
New Lexington (11-1) by 1 (51%) vs Martins Ferry (11-1)

Region 16
#7 Archbishop Alter (Kettering) (10-2) by 2 (56%) vs #11 Coldwater (12-0)

Region 17
#9 Ursuline (Youngstown) (12-0) by 18 (90%) vs Kirtland (12-0)

Region 18
#34 Patrick Henry (Hamler) (12-0) by 1 (53%) vs #37 Liberty-Benton (Findlay) (12-0)

Region 19
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (8-2) by 1 (51%) vs Liberty Union (Baltimore) (11-1)

Region 20
#39 Marion Local (Maria Stein) (10-2) by 6 (66%) vs West Jefferson (10-2)

Region 21
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) (12-0) by 3 (59%) vs St Paul (Norwalk) (12-0)

Region 22
Ada (12-0) by 2 (55%) vs St John’S (Delphos) (10-2)

Region 23
Malvern (12-0) by 2 (57%) vs River (Hannibal) (12-0)

Region 24
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) (10-1) by 1 (52%) vs Mechanicsburg (12-0)

OHIO REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS (Before the Playoffs started)

These
odds are based on 25,000 simulations of the playoffs. The numbers are
the relative likelihood that a team will not or will win the
championship. For example, 5:2 odds mean a 2/7 chance of that team
winning the championship. These odds are not intended to encourage any
form of gambling, but rather for informational and entertainment
purposes only.

Region 1 Championship Odds
St Ignatius (Cleveland) 6:5
Mentor 3:1
Strongsville 5:1
Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) 11:1
St Edward (Lakewood) 40:1
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) 85:1
Euclid 90:1
South (Willoughby) 130:1

Region 2 Championship Odds
Hoover (North Canton) 5:2
Brunswick 4:1
Washington (Massillon) 4:1
Glenoak (Canton) 7:1
Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) 13:1
Twinsburg 14:1
Nordonia (Macedonia) 25:1
Steele (Amherst) 55:1

Region 3 Championship Odds
Pickerington Central (Pickerington) 6:5
Upper Arlington 4:1
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) 5:1
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) 11:1
Brookhaven (Columbus) 17:1
Grove City 150:1
Marysville 150:1
Hayes (Delaware) 350:1

Region 4 Championship Odds
Elder (Cincinnati) 4:3
Colerain (Cincinnati) 4:1
Northmont (Clayton) 5:1
Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) 7:1
Centerville 19:1
Wayne (Huber Heights) 40:1
Woodward (Cincinnati) 110:1
Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) 130:1

Region 5 Championship Odds
Mayfield 9:5
Padua Franciscan (Parma) 7:2
Shaw (East Cleveland) 5:1
Howland (Warren) 10:1
Tallmadge 10:1
Archbishop Hoban (Akron) 15:1
Madison 55:1
Roosevelt (Kent) 250:1

Region 6 Championship Odds
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) 5:2
Central Catholic (Toledo) 3:1
Avon Lake 6:1
Lexington 6:1
Highland (Medina) 13:1
Olentangy Liberty (Powell) 23:1
Olentangy (Lewis Center) 40:1
Cloverleaf (Lodi) 40:1

Region 7 Championship Odds
Louisville 1:1
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) 9:5
Logan 14:1
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) 18:1
Beechcroft (Columbus) 50:1
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 300:1
Dublin Jerome (Dublin) 500:1
Independence (Columbus) 1400:1

Region 8 Championship Odds
Winton Woods (Cincinnati) 3:2
Anderson (Cincinnati) 5:2
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) 6:1
Turpin (Cincinnati) 16:1
Kings (Kings Mills) 18:1
Edgewood (Trenton) 45:1
Western Brown (Mount Orab) 100:1
Dunbar (Dayton) 130:1

Region 9 Championship Odds (Back to top)
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) 4:5
Aurora 7:2
Hubbard 8:1
Liberty (Youngstown) 20:1
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) 25:1
Chagrin Falls 35:1
Field (Mogadore) 85:1
Ravenna 100:1

Region 10 Championship Odds
Avon 3:1
Clyde 4:1
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) 6:1
Big Walnut (Sunbury) 6:1
Columbian (Tiffin) 8:1
Bellevue 9:1
Memorial (St Marys) 35:1
Defiance 40:1

Region 11 Championship Odds
Licking Valley (Newark) 5:2
Dover 7:2
Canton South (Canton) 6:1
Poland Seminary (Poland) 6:1
Northwest (Canal Fulton) 8:1
Granville 19:1
New Philadelphia 45:1
Buckeye Local (Rayland) 300:1

Region 12 Championship Odds
Sheridan (Thornville) 2:1
Logan Elm (Circleville) 6:1
Canal Winchester 6:1
Valley View (Germantown) 8:1
Chillicothe 9:1
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) 12:1
Bexley (Columbus) 19:1
Franklin 21:1

Region 13 Championship Odds
Steubenville 6:5
Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 4:3
Perry 15:1
Labrae (Leavittsburg) 55:1
Coshocton 100:1
Tuslaw (Massillon) 120:1
Triway (Wooster) 120:1
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) 250:1

Region 14 Championship Odds
Fostoria 9:5
Genoa Area (Genoa) 5:2
Pleasant (Marion) 5:1
Eastwood (Pemberville) 17:1
Clearview (Lorain) 17:1
Huron 18:1
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) 25:1
Highland (Sparta) 300:1

Region 15 Championship Odds
New Lexington 9:5
Martins Ferry 3:1
Union Local (Belmont) 5:1
Ironton 9:1
Westfall (Williamsport) 18:1
St Clairsville 22:1
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) 25:1
Meigs (Pomeroy) 160:1

Region 16 Championship Odds
Coldwater 6:5
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) 2:1
Brookville 10:1
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) 19:1
Badin (Hamilton) 55:1
Jonathan Alder (Plain City) 55:1
Oakwood (Dayton) 65:1
North College Hill (Cincinnati) 800:1

Region 17 Championship Odds
Ursuline (Youngstown) 1:8
Kirtland 30:1
South Range (North Lima) 45:1
Crestview (Columbiana) 65:1
Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) 70:1
Waynedale (Apple Creek) 80:1
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) 120:1
Norwayne (Creston) 180:1

Region 18 Championship Odds
Patrick Henry (Hamler) 7:5
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) 5:2
Wynford (Bucyrus) 13:1
Liberty Center 15:1
Archbold 18:1
Fairview (Sherwood) 19:1
Jefferson (Delphos) 35:1
Crestview (Ashland) 75:1

Region 19 Championship Odds
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) 5:2
Liberty Union (Baltimore) 5:2
Wheelersburg 6:1
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 8:1
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 9:1
Minford 40:1
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) 65:1
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) 190:1

Region 20 Championship Odds
Anna 5:2
Marion Local (Maria Stein) 3:1
West Jefferson 3:1
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) 7:1
Waynesville 17:1
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 45:1
Miami East (Casstown) 85:1
East Clinton (Lees Creek) 200:1

Region 21 Championship Odds
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 1:1
St Paul (Norwalk) 2:1
Mc Donald 11:1
Mogadore 25:1
Columbiana 30:1
Leetonia 85:1
East Canton 140:1
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) 170:1

Region 22 Championship Odds
Ada 9:5
St John’S (Delphos) 7:2
Carey 5:1
Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) 5:1
Arlington 19:1
Mc Comb 25:1
Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) 150:1
Hilltop (West Unity) 500:1

Region 23 Championship Odds
River (Hannibal) 7:5
Malvern 3:2
Caldwell 15:1
Shadyside 17:1
Beallsville 22:1
Trimble (Glouster) 65:1
Bishop Rosecrans (Zanesville) 300:1
Bridgeport 350:1

Region 24 Championship Odds
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) 6:5
Mechanicsburg 7:5
Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) 17:1
Lockland 30:1
Catholic Central (Springfield) 55:1
New Miami (Hamilton) 75:1
Covington 90:1
Ansonia 180:1

STATE CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS (Before the playoffs started)

These
odds are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of the regular
season and playoffs. The numbers are the relative likelihood that a
team will not or will win the championship. For example, 5:2 odds mean
a 2/7 chance of that team winning the championship. These odds are not
intended to encourage any form of gambling, but rather for
informational and entertainment purposes only.

Division I State Championship Odds
St Ignatius (Cleveland) 4:1
Elder (Cincinnati) 4:1
Pickerington Central (Pickerington) 6:1
Mentor 11:1
Colerain (Cincinnati) 19:1
Strongsville 19:1
Hoover (North Canton) 21:1
Upper Arlington 24:1
Northmont (Clayton) 25:1
Archbishop Moeller (Cincinnati) 35:1
Brunswick 40:1
Hilliard Davidson (Hilliard) 40:1
Washington (Massillon) 45:1
Glenville Academic Campus (Cleveland) 55:1
Glenoak (Canton) 80:1
Worthington Kilbourne (Columbus) 110:1
Centerville 120:1
Brookhaven (Columbus) 200:1
Canton Mc Kinley (Canton) 250:1
St Edward (Lakewood) 350:1
Twinsburg 450:1
Wayne (Huber Heights) 500:1
Nordonia (Macedonia) 600:1
Euclid 800:1
Brecksville-Broadview Heights (Broadview Heights) 1300:1
Kettering Fairmont (Kettering) 1700:1
South (Willoughby) 2300:1
Woodward (Cincinnati) 3000:1
Marysville 4000:1
Steele (Amherst) 5000:1

Division II State Championship Odds
Louisville 2:1
St Francis De Sales (Columbus) 4:1
Winton Woods (Cincinnati) 14:1
Sylvania Southview (Sylvania) 15:1
Mayfield 18:1
Anderson (Cincinnati) 19:1
Central Catholic (Toledo) 20:1
Padua Franciscan (Parma) 35:1
Logan 40:1
Avon Lake 50:1
Lexington 50:1
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) 55:1
Shaw (East Cleveland) 60:1
Tecumseh (New Carlisle) 75:1
Highland (Medina) 120:1
Howland (Warren) 130:1
Tallmadge 140:1
Archbishop Hoban (Akron) 250:1
Olentangy Liberty (Powell) 300:1
Beechcroft (Columbus) 300:1
Turpin (Cincinnati) 350:1
Kings (Kings Mills) 350:1
Olentangy (Lewis Center) 700:1
Cloverleaf (Lodi) 800:1
Edgewood (Trenton) 1000:1
Madison 1900:1
Marion-Franklin (Columbus) 1900:1
Dunbar (Dayton) 5000:1
Western Brown (Mount Orab) 5000:1

Division III State Championship Odds
Walsh Jesuit (Cuyahoga Falls) 5:1
Licking Valley (Newark) 8:1
Dover 10:1
Sheridan (Thornville) 11:1
Canton South (Canton) 16:1
Avon 17:1
Poland Seminary (Poland) 18:1
Clyde 20:1
Aurora 21:1
Northwest (Canal Fulton) 25:1
Big Walnut (Sunbury) 30:1
Tippecanoe (Tipp City) 35:1
Canal Winchester 40:1
Logan Elm (Circleville) 40:1
Columbian (Tiffin) 55:1
Bellevue 55:1
Valley View (Germantown) 65:1
Hubbard 70:1
Chillicothe 70:1
Granville 85:1
Eastmoor Academy (Columbus) 95:1
Bexley (Columbus) 190:1
Liberty (Youngstown) 200:1
Franklin 250:1
New Philadelphia 300:1
Notre Dame-Cathedral Latin (Chardon) 300:1
Memorial (St Marys) 450:1
Defiance 450:1
Chagrin Falls 500:1
Field (Mogadore) 1900:1
Ravenna 2500:1
Buckeye Local (Rayland) 3500:1

Division IV State Championship Odds
Steubenville 3:1
Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 7:2
Coldwater 4:1
Archbishop Alter (Kettering) 6:1
Brookville 30:1
Fostoria 35:1
Genoa Area (Genoa) 45:1
New Lexington 70:1
Clinton-Massie (Clarksville) 95:1
Perry 95:1
Martins Ferry 110:1
Pleasant (Marion) 120:1
Union Local (Belmont) 170:1
Badin (Hamilton) 350:1
Jonathan Alder (Plain City) 350:1
Ironton 400:1
Oakwood (Dayton) 500:1
Huron 700:1
Labrae (Leavittsburg) 700:1
Coshocton 700:1
Eastwood (Pemberville) 1000:1
Tuslaw (Massillon) 1200:1
Clearview (Lorain) 1300:1
Ottawa-Glandorf (Ottawa) 1700:1
Westfall (Williamsport) 1900:1
Cuyahoga Valley Christian (Cuyahoga Falls) 2300:1
Triway (Wooster) 2300:1
St Clairsville 3000:1
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) 4000:1

Division V State Championship Odds
Ursuline (Youngstown) 1:2
Patrick Henry (Hamler) 13:1
Anna 19:1
Liberty-Benton (Findlay) 22:1
Marion Local (Maria Stein) 24:1
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) 35:1
West Jefferson 35:1
Liberty Union (Baltimore) 45:1
Cincinnati Hills Christian (Cincinnati) 110:1
Wheelersburg 120:1
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 140:1
Johnstown-Monroe (Johnstown) 150:1
Kirtland 160:1
Wynford (Bucyrus) 200:1
Liberty Center 250:1
South Range (North Lima) 300:1
Fairview (Sherwood) 350:1
Waynesville 400:1
Crestview (Columbiana) 400:1
Archbold 450:1
Gilmour Academy (Gates Mills) 500:1
Jefferson (Delphos) 600:1
Waynedale (Apple Creek) 700:1
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 800:1
Cuyahoga Heights (Cleveland) 1700:1
Crestview (Ashland) 2100:1
Minford 2100:1
Norwayne (Creston) 2500:1
Miami East (Casstown) 3500:1
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) 4000:1

Division VI State Championship Odds
Hopewell-Loudon (Bascom) 3:1
St Paul (Norwalk) 6:1
Lehman Catholic (Sidney) 9:1
Ada 10:1
Mechanicsburg 11:1
Malvern 12:1
River (Hannibal) 13:1
St John’s (Delphos) 18:1
Carey 24:1
Pandora-Gilboa (Pandora) 35:1
Mc Donald 50:1
Arlington 140:1
Mogadore 170:1
Columbiana 180:1
Shadyside 250:1
Caldwell 250:1
Sciotoville Community (Portsmouth) 300:1
Mc Comb 300:1
Beallsville 600:1
Leetonia 700:1
Lockland 700:1
East Canton 1300:1
Catholic Central (Springfield) 1600:1
Riverdale (Mt. Blanchard) 2500:1
New Miami (Hamilton) 2500:1
Trimble (Glouster) 3000:1
Western Reserve (Berlin Center) 3500:1
Covington 3500:1
Ansonia 5000:1

STATE CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS BY REGION

Division I
Region 1 – 36%
Region 2 – 11%
Region 3 – 21%
Region 4 – 32%

Division II
Region 5 – 12%
Region 6 – 16%
Region 7 – 58%
Region 8 – 14%

Division III
Region 9 – 25%
Region 10 – 20%
Region 11 – 37%
Region 12 – 18%

Division IV
Region 13 – 50%
Region 14 – 7%
Region 15 – 3%
Region 16 – 40%

Division V
Region 17 – 67%
Region 18 – 13%
Region 19 – 7%
Region 20 – 13%

Division VI
Region 21 – 43%
Region 22 – 22%
Region 23 – 16%
Region 24 – 19%

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